APBRmetrics

I don't think they even do per-100-possessions by per-possession. A player moving from a high-paced team to a low-paced team, for example, does not show a season (or 2-season) total per100 based on his estimated possessions with each team, but rather to his minutes in each place. BPM (and eWins) ar...

A very strange thing happened. In mid Jan. I opened my Excel file to update, and it had reverted to a version saved sometime in Nov. This after updating (and saving) almost every day in the meantime. I searched all thru my computer for another version of the file but never found one. So I blame mic...

FINAL . avg err rmse r^2 . avg err rmse r^2 dtka 7.50 9.7 .46 emin 8.47 10.9 .37 TmTj 7.63 10.0 .44 eExp 8.48 10.7 .42 avgA 7.82 10.1 .41 WShr 8.49 10.3 .39 medi 7.87 11.1 .37 24pr 8.51 10.8 .33 DQin 7.93 10.3 .42 KPel 8.52 10.0 .58 bpmW 8.14 10.0 .43 24py 8.66 11.7 .33 Crow 8.33 10.6 .41 bmgm 9.13...

Who / how many regressed as a separate step? Based on guess or formal analysis? By a standard amount or informed by team specific experience relative to estimated strength? Any other adjustments people want to share / show-off / ask about / discuss? Anybody include coach and / or front office as se...

Striking to me is that Kareem seems to be the only player with a top-250 WS/48 season both before and after the 1973-74 break, aka pre- and post-BPM. https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/ws_per_48_season.html https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/bpm_season.html These 2 lists of 250 ...

Relatedly, I am pretty sure that replacement level is quite a bit lower than I previously thought. -2 is what was used for VORP, but more recently additional research has shown to me that is quite a bit too high. -3 is probably about right, perhaps even -3.5. This is because better statistics are s...

OK, just curious. If a team BPM is -2.6, and a -2.0 player enters the lineup, does he have a positive impact? Right, the vast majority of NBA players are below the average NBA impact. It's not a bell curve, it's a strongly skewed distribution with relatively few players with very strong positive im...

With closeness of 2-5 and 6 to 9 or 10 in west, almost any matchup are possible. Matchup manipulation hard to do now but might play a factor later. So if 2-5 is one group set with 4 teams and 6-10 a second set with 5 teams, then every team will want to finish as high as possible. 6-10 is obvious wi...

Lname Fname Ht Team Type 0 Trials great. :) that was what I was in need of. can you provide the same info (players names) for 1968 trials? for 1968 trials I still miss about 10 to 15 players names. This is from a roster just before the Trials; it's possible a couple of guys didn't play - there were...

The players were split into 8 Teams, each given a color. I have one color photo for the 8 trials teams. so I can create the jerseys for NBA2K13 game. but do you know which players played together in one team? need player names. https://www.expressnews.com/guidetosa/article/Former-coaches-teammates-...

They played 5 exhibition games, beating various teams of NBA and ABA players - the first against former Olympians. that's what I need. where did they play the 5 exhibition games (location?), which ABA/NBA players played? I have where they played, the rosters are probably shaky as there are just box...

The players were split into 8 Teams, each given a color. I have one color photo for the 8 trials teams. so I can create the jerseys for NBA2K13 game. but do you know which players played together in one team? need player names. https://www.expressnews.com/guidetosa/article/Former-coaches-teammates-...

AllStar Break. 15 teams are still entirely above or below all our guesses. Ten are in the West. w Atl w Bos w Brk w Cha w Chi w Cle w Det w Ind 44 pW 62 em 37 KP 34 pW 35 WS 65 b-r 42 b-r 48 pW 41 WS 61 DQ 34 WS 33 em 35 bW 52 dt 33 eW 47 mr 41 dt 61 mr 31 eW 31 Cr 34 eW 50 mr 33 pW 47 Cr 41 bW 60 ...

Never heard of him? He seems to pop up in almost every list I do.

The Olympic Trials were held in Colorado in June 1972. This was during the NBA-ABA war for signing players, as a result college seniors, who typically would wait to after the Olympics to sign with pro teams, pretty much skipped the Trials. This rule changed in 1976, where seniors could sign a contra...