Search found 52 matches
- Mon Oct 24, 2016 12:51 am
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293333
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Here are mine: I retweeked them a little today from the projections posted in my recent Nylon Calc article to account for the Snell/MCW trade and to give less weight to older games in my my modeling approach. Almost no difference, which makes total sense to me. My projections for the 2016-2017 NBA s...
- Tue Sep 27, 2016 2:43 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293333
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Are we establishing a due date for win projections being posted here? Working on mine now.
- Mon Mar 07, 2016 2:18 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBeerMetrics & Sunday Basketball
- Replies: 6
- Views: 10673
Re: APBeerMetrics & Sunday Basketball
Ill be there Thursday, and would like to shoot my team out of wins on Sunday as well, if possible.
Thanks for setting everything up.
Thanks for setting everything up.
- Tue Oct 27, 2015 10:33 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
- Replies: 322
- Views: 428270
Re: 2015-16 Team win projections
Here's mine. Explained briefly here : http://nyloncalculus.com/2015/10/27/2016-neural-network-win-projections/ Team Wins GSW 60 LAC 59 SAS 59 HOU 57 CLE 56 MEM 52 TOR 52 OKC 50 CHI 49 ATL 48 BOS 46 NOP 46 UTA 43 WAS 42 SAC 41 DAL 39 PHO 39 MIA 38 POR 38 IND 36 MIL 34 DEN 31 NYK 31 DET 30 ORL 29 BRK ...
- Mon Jun 08, 2015 1:27 am
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Yes, a continued thanks to everyone for their work. Thanks to Amp for getting everything together and Jesse and Viraj for their awesome tool on tothemean.com as well.
- Sun Jun 07, 2015 6:08 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
So here's what Z scores would like, if anyone wants to take a look.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =529517843
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =529517843
- Sun Jun 07, 2015 3:51 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
I'm noticing Jesse gave draft models their names. I dont really have a name for mine. Should I make one? Any suggestions?
- Sun Jun 07, 2015 3:48 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Sorry I was MIA yesterday. I was outside in the stupid sun. Consequently, I wanted to ask the people on here if they mind if I edit parts of their blurb. if you don't want me to shorten your stuff, I will leave it as is (PM if you don't want to post it publicly). Feel absolutely free to edit mine if...
- Sat Jun 06, 2015 3:17 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
I don't have the time to do them myself, but if someone wanted to create Z Score rankings, I think be happy to see how they look (and obviously be very appreciative). The biggest asset of doing this is that if we had Z-score ratings, we could then have all of the international prospects fitted into...
- Sat Jun 06, 2015 3:07 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
BTW... regarding the issue of how to standardize the models, I think rank order is going to be the most intuitive for folks to read. Yes it has problems, but it really shouldn't pervert the outcomes much at all. If we post z-score standardized numbers, people might also interpret that as positive-n...
- Sat Jun 06, 2015 2:09 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Yes, min-max normalization stabilizes variance, rather than make it equal, which is what z-score does. A 0-100 scale, however, is more interpretable, which is why min-max is often used. Z score will give results like 4.17, 0.56, -1.29. Z score is (xval-mean(x))/stdev(x) where xval is the raw value, ...
- Thu Jun 04, 2015 10:01 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Haha I just meant how other models are evaulating Mario Hezonja, but I was too lazy to spell out his name.
- Thu Jun 04, 2015 9:14 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
So here's my followup writeup. Let me know if this is on point. If not I'll be happy to change it. And if anyone else along the pipeline wants to change it, that's totally fine with me as well. Whatever's easiest for everyone. Since my models includes high school ranking while several other models d...
- Tue Jun 02, 2015 2:33 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Along with my updated board I would also like to point you to a new tool we have at tothemean.com which allows you to compare these analytic draft models in a better way than a shared google doc. We also allow you to compare with some more well known projections. We have already added the draft boa...
- Thu May 28, 2015 3:30 am
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
- Replies: 277
- Views: 311711
Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
This Monday? That should work fine for me at least. I'd love to contribute to the followup articles revealing more methodology/commentary/etc as long as I get enough heads up and can dedicate enough time. With a real job taking up my week days it is hard for me to promise anything unless I have at l...