Search found 201 matches

by BasketDork
Sun Apr 23, 2017 8:41 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Gotta say, I don't feel my 'victory' has been accepted among the community. ;)
by BasketDork
Mon Apr 03, 2017 8:12 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Yeah, I believe I'm a sooner rather than a later.
by BasketDork
Mon Apr 03, 2017 1:17 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Sputtering away from contention over the past month.
by BasketDork
Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:33 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Questions regarding "e-Wins"
Replies: 5
Views: 3232

Re: Questions regarding "e-Wins"

Appreciate the thorough explanation, Mike ! As far as posting the question, I was in a discussion with a casual fan about this year's MVP race and where Westbrook, Harden, LeBron, KD fit in, they asked me if there was a was a way to estimate how many wins a player added to a team, to which I pointed...
by BasketDork
Thu Mar 09, 2017 4:34 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Questions regarding "e-Wins"
Replies: 5
Views: 3232

Questions regarding "e-Wins"

Stop me if I've asked before, but Mike G., how exactly do you arrive at your e-Win totals ? I'm not looking to copy anything or attempting to improve upon it, I was just curious as to the steps taken to arrive at a total. I'm interested in the nuts and bolts, I could have sworn I've seen it on here ...
by BasketDork
Fri Jan 20, 2017 4:12 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Maybe I should just revert back to past year's contest for my answer, but is our winner based on average absolute error or RMSE ? Is working with a blend of the 3 redundant ?
by BasketDork
Thu Jan 12, 2017 1:19 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Pleasantly surprised to say the least. It's still anybody's competition at this point. Alot of entries clustered pretty close together.
by BasketDork
Sun Jan 08, 2017 7:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

So if I'm to understand, I've made less errors than most, but my errors are also of a larger discrepancy. When I hit, I'm almost dead on, but when I miss, it's pretty substantial.
by BasketDork
Sun Jan 08, 2017 12:23 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Am I seeing this correctly ? This latest has me in the lead ?
by BasketDork
Tue Dec 20, 2016 11:11 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

The contest seemed a little more 'involved' last year. Am I wrong ? Glaring absences I can think of are no DSmok1, no Statman, no Evan Z, no Dr. Positivity..
by BasketDork
Mon Dec 19, 2016 2:01 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: eWins leaders 2016-17
Replies: 27
Views: 28174

Re: eWins leaders 2016-17

eWins for Orlando Magic. This year(2016-2017) vs. last year (2015-2016) vs. 2 years ago (2014-2015) ?
by BasketDork
Sat Dec 03, 2016 4:49 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Why am I so low in RMSE ? Not a criticism, Im just curious.
by BasketDork
Tue Nov 29, 2016 9:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Whoops. I left out the word 'all' before luck, in the phrase, definitely not luck. Just reread that.
by BasketDork
Tue Nov 29, 2016 7:27 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

2015-2016 on left, 2016-2017 on right (+) denotes being too high on a team's win total (--) denotes being too low on a team's win total With a couple exceptions, it would seem there's just teams I seem to closer on than others. Miami................0 +1 Minnesota.........0 +2 Atlanta..............+1...
by BasketDork
Tue Nov 29, 2016 7:12 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Replies: 213
Views: 171952

Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion

Do you think the reason for such a tight field and a much lower margin of error is everyone individually improving their methods over time, or moreso just a 'wisdom of crowds' approach. I believe I saw a couple people say they included the group projection within their blend. It's definitely not all...