APBRmetrics

Gotta say, I don't feel my 'victory' has been accepted among the community.

Yeah, I believe I'm a sooner rather than a later.

Sputtering away from contention over the past month.

Appreciate the thorough explanation, Mike ! As far as posting the question, I was in a discussion with a casual fan about this year's MVP race and where Westbrook, Harden, LeBron, KD fit in, they asked me if there was a was a way to estimate how many wins a player added to a team, to which I pointed...

Stop me if I've asked before, but Mike G., how exactly do you arrive at your e-Win totals ? I'm not looking to copy anything or attempting to improve upon it, I was just curious as to the steps taken to arrive at a total. I'm interested in the nuts and bolts, I could have sworn I've seen it on here ...

Maybe I should just revert back to past year's contest for my answer, but is our winner based on average absolute error or RMSE ? Is working with a blend of the 3 redundant ?

Pleasantly surprised to say the least. It's still anybody's competition at this point. Alot of entries clustered pretty close together.

So if I'm to understand, I've made less errors than most, but my errors are also of a larger discrepancy. When I hit, I'm almost dead on, but when I miss, it's pretty substantial.

Am I seeing this correctly ? This latest has me in the lead ?

The contest seemed a little more 'involved' last year. Am I wrong ? Glaring absences I can think of are no DSmok1, no Statman, no Evan Z, no Dr. Positivity..

eWins for Orlando Magic. This year(2016-2017) vs. last year (2015-2016) vs. 2 years ago (2014-2015) ?

Why am I so low in RMSE ? Not a criticism, Im just curious.

Whoops. I left out the word 'all' before luck, in the phrase, definitely not luck. Just reread that.

2015-2016 on left, 2016-2017 on right (+) denotes being too high on a team's win total (--) denotes being too low on a team's win total With a couple exceptions, it would seem there's just teams I seem to closer on than others. Miami................0 +1 Minnesota.........0 +2 Atlanta..............+1...

Do you think the reason for such a tight field and a much lower margin of error is everyone individually improving their methods over time, or moreso just a 'wisdom of crowds' approach. I believe I saw a couple people say they included the group projection within their blend. It's definitely not all...