Search found 9 matches

by Chris Hoffman
Thu Apr 09, 2015 2:35 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Re: Metrics Question Discussion

Wow great analysis on shot location vs defender location! I can't believe the mid range jump shots only have around a 40% chance of going in when the defender is at 4 feet away. That is a pretty much open shot! These are pros! Wow just wow i would have thought open mid-range 2's at 10 feet would be ...
by Chris Hoffman
Wed Apr 08, 2015 6:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Re: Metrics Question Discussion

Is there a relationship between shot distance and FG percentage? Yes. This is NBA data, but the college game should be similar: http://www.82games.com/locations.htm http://thinkbluecrew.blogspot.com/2010/08/anatomy-of-block-by-shot-location-part.html http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2010/02/exp...
by Chris Hoffman
Wed Apr 08, 2015 2:11 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Re: Metrics Question Discussion

After witnessing the defeat of Kentucky to Wisconsin which I think everyone is suprised about; ... Fivethirtyeight gave them a 1 in 4 chance to lose, and Vegas had them at -5. Those aren't sky-high odds. How do we know that the Badgers didn't just have an extra lucky day? Remember, the announcers j...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 6:36 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Re: Metrics Question Discussion

I may or may not be on same wave length as the original poster but I can see that time to shoot / score would be useful to look at when say preceded by greater than 50-60-65% shooting on previous 5-7 shots or below average shooting too. Could also look at shot attempts by floor location. If above o...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 6:00 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Re: Metrics Question Discussion

Very insightful analysis, it seems people are way ahead of me, am still playing catchup here. That study showed inconsistent results with time per possession and offensive efficiency, it seemed like there was corellation between the two but it's not so simple, thanks for the post it's a good read I'...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 3:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: How do I measure noise?
Replies: 5
Views: 7518

Re: How do I measure noise?

So, I want to revisit the question of measuring noise in a dataset. This is related to my project looking at productivity based on in-game splits, but I figure this is worth asking in a new thread. I formulas that tell me how much players increase or decrease their rate of recording box score stats...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 2:58 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Metrics Question Discussion
Replies: 10
Views: 8900

Metrics Question Discussion

Hello everyone, After witnessing the defeat of Kentucky to Wisconsin which I think everyone is suprised about; it got me thinking about in-game synergy with team-mates. The analysis for an hour after that game consisted of many points, but the most interesting to me was this point: Wisconsin was abl...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 2:39 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: A new analytic project?
Replies: 7
Views: 6707

Re: A new analytic accessory project?

Team analytic efforts include staff, computers, video tools, servers, maybe consultants, coffee... What about a part or full time test basketball team? Former good college (or possibly some pro) players to endlessly run offensive and defensive play tests on to get micro reaction measurements and re...
by Chris Hoffman
Mon Apr 06, 2015 2:02 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015 NBA Draft
Replies: 19
Views: 16830

Re: 2015 NBA Draft

Hey nice predictions on the 2015, what kind of analysis did you do to produce those numbers and what do they mean?

-chris