Search found 11 matches
- Mon Mar 19, 2018 4:04 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
- Replies: 184
- Views: 249739
Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Thanks for the additional info, Mike; you do a fantastic job moderating this contest and providing us all with interesting updates.
- Fri Mar 16, 2018 1:04 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
- Replies: 184
- Views: 249739
Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest
avg abs err RMSE avg abs err RMSE 538_ 5.05 6.34 GK5. 5.33 7.04 RyRi 5.05 6.18 emin 5.33 6.38 sbs. 5.08 6.24 Nath 5.40 6.57 cali 5.10 6.31 Josh 5.57 6.74 sndi 5.17 6.08 Crow 5.58 6.79 kmed 5.18 6.48 gold 5.62 6.78 lnqi 5.21 6.33 ATCt 5.62 7.06 shad 5.24 6.64 Mike 5.71 6.89 vegas 5.26 6.52 knar 5.78...
- Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:45 am
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
- Replies: 184
- Views: 249739
Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Good luck everyone! Team Decimal-W Wins GSW 62.98 63 SAS 58.10 58 HOU 55.14 55 CLE 51.40 52 DEN 49.94 50 LAC 49.20 49 MIN 49.13 49 TOR 48.00 48 BOS 47.95 48 OKC 46.81 47 WAS 45.20 45 CHA 44.98 45 UTA 44.94 45 NOP 43.30 43 MIA 42.91 43 MIL 42.51 43 POR 40.21 40 DET 36.89 37 MEM 36.81 37 DAL 36.24 36 ...
- Fri Mar 17, 2017 2:16 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293360
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
6 best and 6 worst for me. I think I may have the largest difference between SMRE and RMSE as well.
- Tue Mar 07, 2017 9:54 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: Sam Hinkie gone :(
- Replies: 166
- Views: 177167
Re: Sam Hinkie gone :(
Why even have an RPM if Saric (legitimately 1st or 2nd in upcoming ROY voting) is "ranked" so low? Re-name it UPM. How about a requirement that any inventor of a statistical ranking system has to have seen at least one NBA game before his/her system enters the public domain? Many of the n...
- Tue Jan 31, 2017 1:43 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293360
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Glad to see I have moved from the basement in all three categories
Thanks for keeping this updated Mike!

Thanks for keeping this updated Mike!
- Tue Jan 31, 2017 1:40 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: Help with Regression Analysis
- Replies: 3
- Views: 5676
Re: Help with Regression Analysis
If you are trying to do a simple linear regression, then it is probably easier to just run it in R.
This may help. http://www.statmethods.net/stats/regression.html
This may help. http://www.statmethods.net/stats/regression.html
- Tue Jan 31, 2017 1:36 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: Estimating Wins From a +/- Model
- Replies: 5
- Views: 7179
Re: Estimating Wins From a +/- Model
From looking at my data I've found Point differential to be closer to the 2.7 coefficient rather than the 2.55 depending on how far back you go. You mentioned having a minute weighted +/- number for each team. It might be more accurate to see the correlation between team minute weighted +/- and wins...
- Wed Nov 30, 2016 1:33 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293360
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Thank you for taking the time to keep score!
- Tue Oct 25, 2016 10:51 pm
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293360
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
Posted my projections on page 2, but wanted to add my decimals in too. GSW 72.93 73 SAS 53.40 53 CLE 52.45 52 TOR 52.31 52 UTA 51.25 51 LAC 48.51 49 BOS 48.07 48 OKC 47.68 48 HOU 45.30 45 POR 45.40 45 CHO 42.89 43 CHI 41.498 41 DET 39.81 40 MIN 39.69 40 DEN 38.77 39 IND 39.10 39 WAS 38.51 39 ATL 38....
- Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:58 am
- Forum: APBRmetrics
- Topic: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
- Replies: 213
- Views: 293360
Re: 2016-17 Team Win Projection Contest / Discussion
First entry after watching for a few years. Best of luck to all.
GSW 73
SAS 53
CLE 52
TOR 52
UTA 51
LAC 49
BOS 48
OKC 48
HOU 45
POR 45
CHA 43
CHI 41
DET 40
MIN 40
DEN 39
IND 39
WAS 39
ATL 38
DAL 38
SAC 38
MEM 37
ORL 37
MIA 36
NOP 35
NYK 31
PHO 31
MIL 30
PHI 29
BRK 28
LAL 25
Total 1230
GSW 73
SAS 53
CLE 52
TOR 52
UTA 51
LAC 49
BOS 48
OKC 48
HOU 45
POR 45
CHA 43
CHI 41
DET 40
MIN 40
DEN 39
IND 39
WAS 39
ATL 38
DAL 38
SAC 38
MEM 37
ORL 37
MIA 36
NOP 35
NYK 31
PHO 31
MIL 30
PHI 29
BRK 28
LAL 25
Total 1230