APBRmetrics

Good luck to everyone this year!

Just looking at the 538 issue now, it kind of seems to me that their preseason projections using RAPTOR are changing in-season because the Thunder are not the only team where what I have down as their projection is different from what they currently list. As for the difference between us, I suspect ...

Honestly didn't put any thought into it haha. Someone built this last year and used this method, just copied it over to this year and automated it. Also want to be clear what I mean. So using the Warriors for example, this is how the sites included have them: 538 - 25 wins BBall Ref - 22.3 TeamRanki...

Updates daily. Used the sources the sheet last year did so an average of TeamRank, 538 and BBR as well as current wins + average of our preseason projection pace for remaining games.

FYI to all, I replicated the sheet someone put together last year to track the contest:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

NBA recently added a "security" feature that messed up pretty much all code using their API. I'd reach out to Ryan Davis (https://twitter.com/rd11490) because he has a solution that he can explain far better than myself.

Carlisle is pretty notorious for hockey style subs

Good luck to everyone this year. Team Wins ATL 27.19 BRK 36.71 BOS 49.36 CHI 39.25 CHO 26.21 CLE 23.13 DAL 45.51 DEN 52.36 DET 32.89 GSW 44.85 HOU 55.88 IND 41.96 LAC 50.15 LAL 49.34 MEM 31.51 MIA 43.41 MIL 59.95 MIN 39.23 NOP 43.64 NYK 26.27 OKC 37.54 ORL 41.74 PHI 53.51 PHO 29.55 POR 45.38 SAC 37....

How much of that Pelicans win projection is Zion? I used Jacob Goldstein's PIPM projections for rookies. Zion ranks as the most valuable player on the Pelicans this year, so he's a big part of it. The other big part of it is that Jaxson Hayes grades highly (I'm dubious on this), and there just aren...

My final PIPM win projections for the year. Best of luck to everyone. I treated Butler as a free agent, replaced his minutes with an average backup wing. Feel the Butler fiasco will be a large source of error for all of us this year. ATL 27.36 BOS 55.04 BRK 32.54 CHO 40.59 CHI 29.85 CLE 33.62 DAL 33...

I'm aware it wasn't based off that, was just noting what I saw from a quick glance that stood out as main contributors. I think Carlisle will be fine, he's a good coach. Last year was intentional, they'll try for half the year and see how close they are. I think there are real scenarios where they g...

I know of a company trying to do it for Europe, but it's obviously a slow process to get off the ground. Probably a few years away from another approaching a robust data set.

Seems the biggest difference between my projections and 538 for the Mavs is how they value Doncic at around replacement level (-2.2) while my model has him as a small positive (+0.4)

Carter has some lateral quickness issues that make him a bit of a worse prospect than his statistical profile suggests, not really close to the level of passer Love is, though Carter is certainly above average at it.

Nash was a higher leverage and better passer than Stockton. Assist numbers are actually a horrible measure of creation. Stockton is an all-time PG, but Nash is one of the most underrated offensive players ever. I also love the irony of someone saying watch the games to see what I mean and all the re...