APBRmetrics

Anyone else normally use a simulated season for your projections? That's what I did last year, but I'm not sure if there's any way that makes any sense to do that this season when we only have half the schedule released.

I need him to start getting some consistent run so I can pick him up in fantasy.

Trying something new this year where I simulate the whole schedule instead of just making team-level projections and back that into 1230 wins. Also artificially increased the standard deviation of wins because the grouping was way too tight. Hopefully it works out. Team Wins MIL 58.52 HOU 55.81 PHI ...

Subject to revisions and reviews, based on K Pelton minutes linked upthread. west wins east wins LAL 54.7 Phl 53.9 Hou 53.9 Mil 52.6 LAC 51.9 Orl 45.5 Uta 50.7 Ind 45.2 Por 46.7 Bos 42.3 SAS 45.5 Brk 41.7 Den 44.8 Det 41.4 NOP 41.9 NYK 40.5 GSW 41.0 Tor 37.9 Dal 40.6 Chi 36.3 Sac 39.5 Mia 36.2 Min ...

Coefficients of GmBPM: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_yEqHQYGR1_LxI3v0zZ8UM1uh9whU5cpbk841J7nXi8/edit#gid=77600438 I'm interested in input: should any of these stats be in any way context dependent? I.E. relative to league or team averages? Thanks! I generally like to index everything to ...

Has anyone released any draft projections for this year yet other than Pelton?

Who does the model like this year?

I am not buying a real high ceiling for Barrett. I don't know a lot but what I do see leads my gut to think that the optimistic ceiling projections are too high or way too high. Harden? Don't think that should be suggested. I just don't like Barrett as a prospect at all. Pelton has him 31st by his ...

I'm not sure how position would be implemented reliably from the box score, height/weight or what? It is relatively easy to determine position strictly from the box score. No, height/weight would not be included. If you're comfortable with including a position variable, you can try including a posi...

Phew, narrowly better than Vegas.

It's a tough question, because the answer might be the Knicks, despite the fact that potentially the only useful player currently on their roster going forward is Mitchell Robinson. But it's also eminently possible that in three months they'll have Kevin Durant, Zion Williamson, and Kyrie Irving, wh...

At a basic level, developing a SPM model just involves regressing some player stats against a RAPM sample, but what is the best way to do that? Is it: 1. Regress a multi-year player sample against a multi-year RAPM sample (i.e. Kevin Durant's 2010-2015 box score stats against Durant's 2010-2015 RAPM...

I'm sure many of us use Google Sheets' ImportHTML function to automate pulling data from various sites, although it unfortunately doesn't work with Stats.NBA.com. I'm wondering if anyone has been able to find a good way to automatically pull in data from the site. Using the API, I'm able to get a JS...

RPM is now out for this season

I have an idea for a straightforward implementation of this based on Sports-Reference's Simple Rating System, but I can't seem to get it to calculate correctly.