Search found 35 matches

by Jacob Frankel
Sat May 03, 2014 1:51 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New Blog: Basketball Intelligence
Replies: 1915
Views: 767624

Re: New Blog: Basketball Intelligence

Good work, but at this point we should be able to find the blog on our own and links each day aren't necessary. Thanks.
by Jacob Frankel
Fri Apr 11, 2014 6:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Adjusting defense by using offensive results?
Replies: 5
Views: 3662

Re: Adjusting defense by using offensive results?

Not necessarily half court. It just gives us a better picture of which teams are good on offense and defense by separating the too. The Rockets aren't as good on offense as we think they are. They score about a point more per100 possessions because of something that happens on the other side of the ...
by Jacob Frankel
Tue Apr 08, 2014 8:50 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Well, well, well...
Replies: 42
Views: 21071

Re: Well, well, well...

Massive step for NBA analytics, and can't wait to see what else you guys have coming over the next few days. Thanks a lot for investing in this, Royce et al. Jerry, have the RAPMs from years prior to this one on stats-for-the-nba been updated with your new coach and score effect findings ? I'd imagi...
by Jacob Frankel
Mon Feb 17, 2014 1:02 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBeerMetrics & Sunday Basketball
Replies: 10
Views: 6465

Re: APBeerMetrics & Sunday Basketball

I too am leaving Sunday morning, but I'll be sure to hit up the Fours on Thursday night to hangout.
by Jacob Frankel
Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:55 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Coach RAPM
Replies: 61
Views: 35831

Re: Coach RAPM

I suspect Scott Brooks is stealing a little bit of credit from the OKC player development staff. Durant, Westbrook, and Reggie Jackson have made big leaps that aren't covered by the typical aging curve, and Jeremy Lamb was in the D-League last year and is now a solid role player.
by Jacob Frankel
Tue Feb 11, 2014 9:12 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Kirk Goldsberry Article & Sloan Paper - Databall
Replies: 25
Views: 21560

Re: Kirk Goldsberry Article & Sloan Paper - Databall

And this is still the problem with bottom-up models that assign values to discrete actions: it's unclear how to distribute credit between the Tony Parkers and the Kawhi Leonards. Until there's a way around this, top-down APM type things will be more accurate.
by Jacob Frankel
Sat Feb 08, 2014 7:51 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Kirk Goldsberry Article & Sloan Paper - Databall
Replies: 25
Views: 21560

Re: Kirk Goldsberry Article & Sloan Paper - Databall

SUPER important thing to keep in mind while looking at the results that are questionable: the sample size. The authors mention that many of these players have under 20 games of SportVU tracking. Chris Paul had only 11 games! I think you guys are focusing too much on the results of the model and not ...
by Jacob Frankel
Sat Feb 08, 2014 7:42 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Rough early estimate of chances to win this season's tiltle
Replies: 33
Views: 10718

Re: Rough early estimate of chances to win this season's til

I think OKC have the highest probability. I'd say they're a 85% bet to come out of the West while Miami and Indiana are both 50/50. And I think OKC can beat both of those teams in the Finals. Also, what's the rationale behind having the Blazers with better title chances than the Clippers?
by Jacob Frankel
Tue Jan 07, 2014 5:12 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Who Shot? JR - Stupid but how stupid, really?
Replies: 15
Views: 6035

Re: Who Shot? JR - Stupid but how stupid, really?

Steve, a couple rebuttals 1. You point out that JR was 1-7 in this game. Do you have statistical evidence that this is relevant? And 10 shots is minuscule sample size to judge how he's shooting in a specific situation. And again, the factor of being wiiiiiide open matters a lot. 2. Because of the st...
by Jacob Frankel
Fri Nov 22, 2013 4:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Usage Adjusted Rating (Usg Adj. Alternate Win Score)
Replies: 10
Views: 5208

Re: Usage Adjusted Rating (Usg Adj. Alternate Win Score)

nbacouchside wrote:So I just ran the correlation for UAR with PER and the correlation was .964. Wow. :shock:
Umm..that would tend to happen when the basis of the stat is the boxscore PER formula.
by Jacob Frankel
Mon Nov 18, 2013 6:34 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: How to pull stats directly from NBA.com/stats?
Replies: 15
Views: 25755

Re: How to pull stats directly from NBA.com/stats?

Nope. Copy/paste away.
by Jacob Frankel
Tue Nov 12, 2013 7:43 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: NBA Datasets 2013-14 Season
Replies: 8
Views: 3745

Re: NBA Datasets 2013-14 Season

I'm getting an error when I click on the XML link. Anybody else?

Thanks for putting this together and making it public!
by Jacob Frankel
Tue Oct 29, 2013 10:18 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predictions 2013-14
Replies: 176
Views: 109558

Re: Predictions 2013-14

by Jacob Frankel
Tue Oct 29, 2013 10:11 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predictions 2013-14
Replies: 176
Views: 109558

Re: Predictions 2013-14

SCHOENE's are here: http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/preview2013/story/_/id/9892134/final-2013-14-schoene-projections Wages of Wins are here: http://www.boxscoregeeks.com/previews Might want to throw in previous season's SRS too. Here are mine: Atlanta Hawks 45 Boston Celtics 26 Brooklyn Nets 56 Charl...