Search found 8 matches

by JonCBK
Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:43 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Heat win total in 2014-15
Replies: 6
Views: 6896

Re: Heat win total in 2014-15

Seems like they can contend for a nice playoff spot in the East. Have some excitement. Re-solidify Bosh's hall of fame credentials if he returns to being a 20 point scorer. Then in 2016, when the salary cap increases by $20 million or so, they will have room to sign a max free agent, maybe two depen...
by JonCBK
Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:02 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Help calculating the break-even point for 3 pt shooting
Replies: 4
Views: 7509

Re: Help calculating the break-even point for 3 pt shooting

Math above is correct. FT attempts is a potential downside. Potential upside is that some folks think offensive rebounds are easier to get off of missed 3Pt shots. Alternatively, if you don't want to crash the boards, the simple time it takes for a 3PT shot to get to the rim gives your team plenty o...
by JonCBK
Mon Sep 23, 2013 11:53 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Should defenses let long 2s go uncontested?
Replies: 14
Views: 13903

Re: Should defenses let long 2s go uncontested?

Truly uncontested shots would go in at a far higher rate than +12% is my guess. Also it depends on who you are leaving open. And the suggested players above are not the only ones you have to worry about. Garnett and Dirk are able to shoot that shot in a game and be great at it mainly because of thei...
by JonCBK
Sat Jul 13, 2013 3:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nets' new starters
Replies: 13
Views: 12389

Re: Nets' new starters

AK gives them a great glue guy that doesn't need the ball or to be the focus of plays to contribute. Also he helps on the defensive side quite a bit. A team with Garnett and AK on the floor should be good at defense. Also a healthy (post All Star Break) DWill will be improved as well. And while Pier...
by JonCBK
Fri Jul 05, 2013 2:37 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Brad Stevens- analytic coach. The next level of application?
Replies: 10
Views: 9833

Re: Brad Stevens- analytic coach. The next level of applicat

Did he bring the kid with him is the question.
by JonCBK
Wed Jul 03, 2013 1:39 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: The George Karl factor
Replies: 6
Views: 6433

Re: The George Karl factor

Initial premiss is wrong. His rosters have been good and they have consistent home court advantage due to Denver altitude. That plays much more of a factor in regular season than in playoffs. I suspect based on the W-L record going into the playoffs, he will have the worst record of any coach who ha...
by JonCBK
Wed Jul 03, 2013 1:35 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nets' new starters
Replies: 13
Views: 12389

Re: Nets' new starters

Nets Bench If the rumors are true that the Nets are going to sign Kyle Korver, then their bench is going to be very good. A squad that features last year's new and improved A. Blatche, the unparalleled rebounding of Reggie Evans, and the elite three point shooting of Kyle Korver would be a solid squ...
by JonCBK
Tue Jul 02, 2013 11:55 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nets' new starters
Replies: 13
Views: 12389

Re: Nets' new starters

Setting aside the Kidd coach thing which I consider both a wild card and frankly a non-issue since he will do very little that is at odds with either Lawrence Frank or the various HoFers and All Stars on this team, I'm quite optimistic. This should work out much better than the Lakers since the Nets...