APBRmetrics

Fun thread! This is an unscientific approach, but I'm trying to imagine myself (averaged <2 points per game on a very bad intramural college team) on the floor in an NBA court. On offense, my best bet would probably be to just stand in the corner and try to shoot an open 3. I think it could get pret...

And of course now Jabari is confirmed out for the year. Depressing for us draft junkies!

Does this rookie class performance seem to anyone else to be abnormally bad so far? I did a quick look using the B-R play index and found that from 05-06 to 13-14, the weighted average PER for all rookies ranged from 11.2 to 13.8 and weighted average BPM -2.3 to -1.4. Yet currently the weighted aver...

Have you posted an explanation anywhere of how your metric is calculated or what the general theory behind it is? I've taken a look at your site but I all see is the outputs, not the inputs, so I don't really know what I'm looking at. That's not to try and throw stones at your metric, but one reason...

It's a misconception that bookmakers have any particularly sophisticated insight into betting lines. The general pattern of most books is to set a line with low betting limits and then gradually raise the limits as the start time of the game draws nearer. This way, they have the opportunity to deter...

It sounds plausible enough, but I seriously doubt the notion that if we could only figure out a player's mental makeup, we would know whether or not he would succeed. It seems to me much more plausible that the determination of whether or not a player has a strong work ethic is done with hindsight -...