Search found 110 matches

by nbacouchside
Fri Oct 26, 2018 6:10 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Opponent-adjusted pace?
Replies: 5
Views: 4116

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

RyanRiot wrote:
Fri Oct 26, 2018 5:35 pm
Are there any publicly available opponent-adjusted pace/tempo stats available for the NBA? Everywhere I've looked seems to only have raw pace numbers. I know for NCAA Kenpom has AdjT, but I haven't found anything similar for the NBA.
This would be very useful.
by nbacouchside
Thu Oct 25, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 season commentary
Replies: 353
Views: 117380

Re: 2018-19 season commentary

Is Luke Walton a great, good, average coach or worse? I dunno. But right now just 1 of the Lakers 12 most used lineups is cumulatively positive and just 3 of the top 20. Could you do worse? Maybe. Results so far don't show sufficient insight, command or execution. I think Luke does well with the pe...
by nbacouchside
Tue Oct 23, 2018 3:01 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 season commentary
Replies: 353
Views: 117380

Re: 2018-19 season commentary

So far LaVine is negative with his 8 most used player pairs and 6 bad to horrible. -17 per 100 possessions overall. Let's see if Dunn helps. Probably won't solve issue. LaVine has always had a negative raw plus minus. This is his worst yet. LaVine has positive offensive box score metrics. For a tea...
by nbacouchside
Fri Oct 19, 2018 4:36 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 season commentary
Replies: 353
Views: 117380

Re: 2018-19 season commentary

Beyond new management and ownership and a new coach, what to do with the Bulls? I'd trade or drop almost everybody but Carter and Markkanen. GMs usually don't do much before February, so give LaVine, Dunn, Parker some time to try to improve their trade value; but I'd be surprised if any of them wou...
by nbacouchside
Mon Oct 15, 2018 3:13 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Free NBA Play by Play Data
Replies: 8
Views: 5307

Re: Free NBA Play by Play Data

I've never use the packaged, but from what I can tell these are the two scripts you would run. https://github.com/ethanluoyc/statsnba-playbyplay/tree/master/scripts You would run them as: python PATH/TO/INSTALLED/scripts/download_playbyplay.py -i <GAME_ID> -o <FILE_TO_SAVE> So if I wanted to use th...
by nbacouchside
Mon Oct 15, 2018 5:31 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Free NBA Play by Play Data
Replies: 8
Views: 5307

Re: Free NBA Play by Play Data

This should have most of what you need: https://github.com/ethanluoyc/statsnba-playbyplay Can someone who knows where things are on github explain to me where I can go to see how to actually utilize the statsnba-playbyplay package? I installed it, but I have no idea wht it can do or how to use it t...
by nbacouchside
Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:53 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Player Box Score Projections
Replies: 7
Views: 5027

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Basketball Reference just put out 2018-19 per-36 minute box score projections. Don't think there's a bank for them though. Basketball-Reference does per-36 numbers for ever year, going back a ways, using a modified version of the old Marcel the Monkey baseball statline projections. It's described h...
by nbacouchside
Wed Mar 14, 2018 1:21 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Turns out that screwing up your aging curve has a pretty big effect! avg abs err RMSE avg abs err RMSE 538_ 5.05 6.34 GK5. 5.33 7.04 RyRi 5.05 6.18 emin 5.33 6.38 sbs. 5.08 6.24 Nath 5.40 6.57 cali 5.10 6.31 Josh 5.57 6.74 sndi 5.17 6.08 Crow 5.58 6.79 kmed 5.18 6.48 gold 5.62 6.78 lnqi 5.21 6.33 AT...
by nbacouchside
Tue Dec 12, 2017 1:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

gonna be bringing up the rear the whole year, it seems :oops:
by nbacouchside
Mon Nov 13, 2017 1:58 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

It appears that the better entries still miss pretty bad (7 or more wins) on about 8 teams. Some of the lower performing entries miss that bad on 12 teams. A lot of the "good" teams have been really disappointing and some other teams (Celtics, Magic, Pistons, Knicks) are way overperforming expectat...
by nbacouchside
Sun Nov 12, 2017 7:53 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

I realized after the fact that I screwed something up with the aging curve I applied to all players, so I feel slightly less bad about my terrible placement this year.
by nbacouchside
Sat Nov 04, 2017 9:16 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Getting crushed. Smh.
by nbacouchside
Mon Oct 23, 2017 1:47 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 Individual RPM Projections
Replies: 4
Views: 4346

Re: 2017-18 Individual RPM Projections

The r^2 between my projections and Jerry's was roughly .89, so pretty close. Advantage of mine is that you can read exactly what went into them: https://nbacouchside.com/building-my-nb ... b72d56dd51
by nbacouchside
Thu Oct 12, 2017 3:47 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 92223

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Finally got around to this. (Updated)

Code: Select all

TEAM	Wins
GSW	69
CLE	60
HOU	59
OKC	52
LAC	52
SAS	51
TOR	48
WAS	47
MIL	47
MIN	47
DEN	46
NOP	44
CHO	44
BOS	44
MIA	42
UTA	41
POR	41
PHI	33
MEM	33
ORL	33
IND	33
DET	33
DAL	33
NYK	32
SAC	30
BRK	29
ATL	29
CHI	29
PHO	25
LAL	24