APBRmetrics

I think the coolest example of someone getting an NBA job was Hollinger. I remember his last year at ESPN he started doing projections of literally every single player in the league, and making comments on things like what he would do if he was the GM [at the 76ers expense, he hated the Nick Young m...

If anyone is wondering, My leagues categories are: FGM, FTM, PTS, 3PM, Double Double (DD), RBD, AST, STL, and BLK. All I did was divide Pts/every category to get everything in terms of the same relative stat, and I got: Player Ranking = 2.66*FGM + 5.31*FTM + 16.71*3PM + 2.58*REB + 4.26*AST + 13.97*S...

Wish these weren't per 36 though. My league is just all bulk, so projected minutes is huge. That shouldn't be too hard to fix though.

Great!!!! Thank you

Hey,
Really regret not posting this earlier cause my fantasy draft is tomorrow, but does anyone know any good projection systems for next season other than the ESPN/Yahoo ones?

Yeah I think generally adding a boost to FG%'s if player X is on the court would be easy. If(player X is on the court) then(All other players on the court's shooting %'s in crease by some arbitrary amount). But I don't think that is a vital aspect of a game simulator. It's more important to have the...

Yeah that's what it looks like too. I think because he works for ESPN he's not allowed to release his projections or system. Nate SIlver said he couldn't release his exact algorithms and stuff too, so I bet it's the same deal. So the jist is that he projects players next season stats based on projec...

What are people's thoughts on his position rankings that he's been posting over the last week? Drummond as the #2 center of players like Gasol was a stunner to me. Do you think instead of giving a single WARP projection, he should give a range to account for the uncertainty in the projections? I'm n...

Wow that GM site is cool. Our game is using team/player statistics to simulate games. Our goal is to use this seasons stats to simulate the season, and see how similar our simulated seasons are to the actual season. But that github post will be crucial to see how I can actually store data and stuff....

http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat/po ... s-per-game
Possession Data

http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... games.html
Nevermind I found it in the most obvious place possible lol

I think to see how realistic our simulations are, we need to compare it to actual seasons results. Is there a good data source anyone knows of the get a log of single game scores throughout the year, and number of possessions in each games. Then I could have a distribution of real game results to co...

Cool, yeah I wonder if these guys http://www.whatifsports.com/locker/ bought them out or something, XO sports looks down. Thanks for the post, right now we are simulating a game based solely on player data (usage rates triggering the possession, instead of events). Once we have that working, were go...

We now have a game that can take Inputs from Team Data (for both teams, these are just the variables): double teamB2ps = .5; double teamB3ps = .25; double teamBFt = .1; double teamBTurn = .25; double teamB2pPerc = .5; double teamB3pPerc = .33; double teamBFtPerc = .8; double teamBOReb = .3; double t...

Nice! Yeah it's hard to put down once you start it.