Search found 815 matches

by J.E.
Fri Jun 08, 2018 8:08 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 quick observations
Replies: 234
Views: 111946

Re: 2017-18 quick observations

Playoff RAPM updated through game 3 of Finals: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSzp3G5rwP9xgCgluVGmR3Qj4-BMoGSYiuTKM6o_pzES6s95oQE1nQvB2CXed-4fRc_MMGgpULtDaJ_/pubhtml?gid=730970445&single=true Durant and Green also led the 4-year (informed by regular season) playoff RAPM that I ran ...
by J.E.
Fri Jun 08, 2018 8:04 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Trivia
Replies: 212
Views: 224596

Re: Trivia

Mike G wrote:In 44 minutes, Kyle Korver has 4 pts, 6 reb, and 2 ast. Only Larry Hughes '07 has gone so weak in all 3 (also in 44 min) and nobody else has matched that in >33 min.
Funny/sad how the only other player who managed to record such stats was also a teammate of LeBron
by J.E.
Thu Mar 15, 2018 3:46 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 quick observations
Replies: 234
Views: 111946

Re: 2017-18 quick observations

Shot selection by distance is atrocious as is efficiency. Inexcusable. Can't be allowed to stay the same. Yeah. Watching some of their games made me curious why no one brought this up, and if Popovich may be getting a bit too much of a pass here. I realize they're missing a very important player, a...
by J.E.
Thu Feb 22, 2018 4:18 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Estimating a player's impact on DFS production of each team
Replies: 4
Views: 3745

Estimating a player's impact on DFS production of each team

I’ve come up with a way to estimate each player’s impact on every one of his teammates BoxScore statistics Essentially, this is an extension of this , but instead of estimating each player’s impact - generally - on teammates, I can now estimate the impact for each existing pair To come up with the e...
by J.E.
Thu Feb 22, 2018 4:05 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?
Replies: 7
Views: 5742

Re: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?

Could you provide a graph and/or summary statistics for this period for players changing teams of expected RPM vs. (full-season) actual RPM. (And within-season team changes would be another set of interesting data.) I probably won’t have time to do that until the summer (1) is there an average tran...
by J.E.
Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:54 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?
Replies: 7
Views: 5742

Re: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?

I've mentioned it on Twitter a couple of times, but I think there are several factors that contribute to their diminished performance. Some of them out of anyone's control, some of them were not weighed as heavily as they should have been You already mentioned the coaching change. Stevens wasn't rat...
by J.E.
Sat Jan 06, 2018 11:05 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 quick observations
Replies: 234
Views: 111946

Re: 2017-18 quick observations

Single game plus minus - which I assume is what he was talking about - is definitely quite close to baloney Also, if you're a) concerned with only one team, b) have dozens of years of experience and c) see each single play from the sidelines, then I'd probably ignore plus minus as well For everyone ...
by J.E.
Tue Jan 02, 2018 3:27 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 105164

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Mike G wrote:In fact, the worst teams may be tanking later, and the contenders getting more serious.
Agree with the former, disagree with the latter. Teams that have their seed locked up will probably rest players near the end of the season
by J.E.
Fri Nov 10, 2017 1:35 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 105164

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

What value are you using for rookies? Seems like Dennis Smith is hurting them - 46% TS% with 4.5 TO/36 - and he plays lots of minutes
by J.E.
Thu Oct 26, 2017 4:13 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 quick observations
Replies: 234
Views: 111946

Re: 2017-18 quick observations

The T-Wolves did OK on the defensive end until they put Muhammad into the starting lineup...
by J.E.
Sat Oct 21, 2017 6:21 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: European play-by-play data source
Replies: 11
Views: 8711

Re: European play-by-play data source

The german league used to have PlayByPlay, then took it back down, but now seems to be up again
You should see it e.g. here
http://www.easycredit-bbl.de/de/n/spiel ... ialnavi=33
I have no idea about data quality or how far back it goes, though
by J.E.
Thu Oct 12, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 105164

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Looks like the biggest difference between Vegas and projections on this board is going to be the Celtics From a pure plus-minus standpoint, they're now without their 3 best players in ON and ON/OFF rating from last season Hayward's good in both BoxScore and plus-minus measures, while Irving has good...
by J.E.
Mon Oct 09, 2017 3:39 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Fantasy Basketball Categories
Replies: 3
Views: 3647

Re: Fantasy Basketball Categories

Pretty interesting. The images aren't showing up for me though
by J.E.
Sat Sep 16, 2017 8:35 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: "If your team went all in on RPM"
Replies: 34
Views: 23617

Re: "If your team went all in on RPM"

Frye's and Korver's drop in productivity can partially be explained by age. They'll be 34 & 36 entering the season. Wouldn't be too surprised if we saw Korver's minutes go down significantly, as he seems to have trouble on the defensive end, these days
by J.E.
Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: How can the Celtics trade for Kyrie Irving be rationalized?
Replies: 40
Views: 23409

Re: How can the Celtics trade for Kyrie Irving be rationaliz

Crow wrote:My goal would be peak in 2019-20 and 2020-21
With the Warriors as good as they are, and LeBron still great, that timeframe does indeed seem to make the most sense to peak at. Not many titles available for grabs before that