APBRmetrics

For example, Jae Crowder is expected to produce 17.9 wins over the next 3 seasons, while making a total of $21.9m. Amazing deal. It would produce a surplus of $34.3m over that time period. Anthony Davis, on the other hand, will produce 34.8 wins over the next 4 seasons, while making a total of $105...

Kind of a wide open question, but what comes to mind (on a team-level)? You've mentioned probably the best examples but overall I think we have a problem with lack of transparency - from the outside we simply don't know whenever some changes were made because analytics suggested it or was it simply...

I'd say Daniel Gibson is one example. He had a postseason WS/48 of .211 in Cavs NBA finals run during his rookie season. Maybe Norris Cole. Wait a second, they maybe played over their heads but their stock around the league was still low. Gibson was overpaid by the Cavs and was out of the league so...

It turns out, there is a point where an open mid-range shot is preferable to shooting a contested three as can be seen in this graph: In your dataset what's the ratio of open shots to contested shots for each shot type in the last 5 seconds? In other words, I wonder how often those open mid-range s...

Some folks asked for the daily links 1) Yes, the daily posts to the blog were not my idea. I received approximately 15 requests from folks to do it & about that many are using it on a daily basis. I didn't know about it so at least I understand the point of it. But now I wonder why those 15 peo...

Can you please contain these posts to your thread? It's spamming the forum with random links - if you wanted to discuss it, by all means discuss it, but just making a new thread with a link is bothersome. Maybe others disagree. I agree. What's more, I feel the same way about the entire "New Bl...

wilq's idea of waiting until the deadline is interesting and has some merits, just that there is obviously also the risk involved that the Timberwolves having a bad start and then see the trade value for Love decrease I disagree here, I don't think Cavs wouldn't want Love just because TWolves have ...

So Kobe/Shaq accumulated more stats in the playoffs than Iverson despite such unusual scenario in 2001. Did they? [...] Win Shares were: 3.8 Kobe, 3.8 Mutombo, 3.7 Shaq To clarify, I didn't mean "more stats in the *2001* playoffs" but total for their careers. The statistics accumulated ov...

While we've got 3 weeks to sit around and wait for this trade to possibly happen, I'm curious what everyone's thoughts are? IMO it depends on the point of view. Wolves should wait until the trade deadline for two reasons: 1) there's a small chance of hot start which could convince Love to stay, but...

In the same year: The 2001 Lakers went 15-1; the Sixers went 12-11. Is 23 games better than 16? The Lakers were the much better team -- basically, their players were better. The ratio 26/23 seems to fit better than 16/23. If your focus was on a single season, I would buy that argument. But you try ...

If you play 23 postseason games and lose at the Finals, is that just as good as playing 23 games, winning it all, and having nobody else to play? At one time there were just 2 rounds -- the Russell Celtics would beat one opponent to get into the Finals. If there had been more rounds, they'd have go...

NBA and ABA titles are considered [...] No awards are considered [...] Isn't this an inconsistent approach? Aren't titles basically awards for the teams? rank per36 rates - years - G Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk 3's T po/rs pog 1 Michael Jordan 1985 2003 1251 39 .559 31.2 6.5 5.1 2.3 2.7 .8 729 ...

So who is the eastern GM that he got the anti-analytics comments from? IMHO the question is - how's that working out for you eastern GM?? You play in a clearly weaker conference and even there you can't win that many games... Also I find it very ironic to use Keith Law's quote in anti-analytics art...

The problem is that I’m just not that interested in the result. The context and the noise, which these models work so hard to control for, are exactly the things I’m interested in . I don’t just want to know which player is better.I want to know why and in what ways.[...] This problem is not unique...

Mike G wrote:Final numbers

I added some more entries to the contest... but this year it didn't matter because they couldn't beat you ;-)
Great season for APBR members, congratulations!

Link: http://weaksideawareness.wordpress.com/ ... ojections/