Search found 80 matches

by wilq
Sun Aug 13, 2017 5:03 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Trade Value
Replies: 24
Views: 21100

Re: Trade Value

For example, Jae Crowder is expected to produce 17.9 wins over the next 3 seasons, while making a total of $21.9m. Amazing deal. It would produce a surplus of $34.3m over that time period. Anthony Davis, on the other hand, will produce 34.8 wins over the next 4 seasons, while making a total of $105...
by wilq
Tue Aug 19, 2014 1:08 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: What analytics/databall concepts have most changed the NBA?
Replies: 8
Views: 4251

Re: What analytics/databall concepts have most changed the N

Kind of a wide open question, but what comes to mind (on a team-level)? You've mentioned probably the best examples but overall I think we have a problem with lack of transparency - from the outside we simply don't know whenever some changes were made because analytics suggested it or was it simply...
by wilq
Wed Aug 13, 2014 12:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?
Replies: 22
Views: 11633

Re: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?

I'd say Daniel Gibson is one example. He had a postseason WS/48 of .211 in Cavs NBA finals run during his rookie season. Maybe Norris Cole. Wait a second, they maybe played over their heads but their stock around the league was still low. Gibson was overpaid by the Cavs and was out of the league so...
by wilq
Wed Aug 13, 2014 12:02 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: mid-range vs. 3s vs. close shots debate by shot defense
Replies: 11
Views: 12747

Re: mid-range vs. 3s vs. close shots debate by shot defense

It turns out, there is a point where an open mid-range shot is preferable to shooting a contested three as can be seen in this graph: In your dataset what's the ratio of open shots to contested shots for each shot type in the last 5 seconds? In other words, I wonder how often those open mid-range s...
by wilq
Wed Aug 13, 2014 11:22 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense With Multiple Credit Posses
Replies: 21
Views: 9739

Re: True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense With Multiple Credit Po

Some folks asked for the daily links 1) Yes, the daily posts to the blog were not my idea. I received approximately 15 requests from folks to do it & about that many are using it on a daily basis. I didn't know about it so at least I understand the point of it. But now I wonder why those 15 people ...
by wilq
Tue Aug 12, 2014 8:35 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense With Multiple Credit Posses
Replies: 21
Views: 9739

Re: True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense With Multiple Credit Po

Can you please contain these posts to your thread? It's spamming the forum with random links - if you wanted to discuss it, by all means discuss it, but just making a new thread with a link is bothersome. Maybe others disagree. I agree. What's more, I feel the same way about the entire "New Blog: B...
by wilq
Wed Aug 06, 2014 9:13 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?
Replies: 22
Views: 11633

Re: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?

wilq's idea of waiting until the deadline is interesting and has some merits, just that there is obviously also the risk involved that the Timberwolves having a bad start and then see the trade value for Love decrease I disagree here, I don't think Cavs wouldn't want Love just because TWolves have ...
by wilq
Tue Aug 05, 2014 5:36 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers
Replies: 53
Views: 31339

Re: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers

So Kobe/Shaq accumulated more stats in the playoffs than Iverson despite such unusual scenario in 2001. Did they? [...] Win Shares were: 3.8 Kobe, 3.8 Mutombo, 3.7 Shaq To clarify, I didn't mean "more stats in the *2001* playoffs" but total for their careers. The statistics accumulated over 10 to 2...
by wilq
Tue Aug 05, 2014 4:05 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?
Replies: 22
Views: 11633

Re: Andrew Wiggins or Kevin Love?

While we've got 3 weeks to sit around and wait for this trade to possibly happen, I'm curious what everyone's thoughts are? IMO it depends on the point of view. Wolves should wait until the trade deadline for two reasons: 1) there's a small chance of hot start which could convince Love to stay, but...
by wilq
Sun Aug 03, 2014 1:35 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers
Replies: 53
Views: 31339

Re: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers

In the same year: The 2001 Lakers went 15-1; the Sixers went 12-11. Is 23 games better than 16? The Lakers were the much better team -- basically, their players were better. The ratio 26/23 seems to fit better than 16/23. If your focus was on a single season, I would buy that argument. But you try ...
by wilq
Wed Jul 30, 2014 2:39 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers
Replies: 53
Views: 31339

Re: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers

If you play 23 postseason games and lose at the Finals, is that just as good as playing 23 games, winning it all, and having nobody else to play? At one time there were just 2 rounds -- the Russell Celtics would beat one opponent to get into the Finals. If there had been more rounds, they'd have go...
by wilq
Tue Jul 29, 2014 9:10 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers
Replies: 53
Views: 31339

Re: 1952-2014 statistical rankings of 708 NBA/ABA careers

NBA and ABA titles are considered [...] No awards are considered [...] Isn't this an inconsistent approach? Aren't titles basically awards for the teams? rank per36 rates - years - G Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk 3's T po/rs pog 1 Michael Jordan 1985 2003 1251 39 .559 31.2 6.5 5.1 2.3 2.7 .8 729 ...
by wilq
Sun Jun 29, 2014 12:28 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Heisler on analytics
Replies: 19
Views: 11725

Re: Heisler on analytics

So who is the eastern GM that he got the anti-analytics comments from? IMHO the question is - how's that working out for you eastern GM?? You play in a clearly weaker conference and even there you can't win that many games... Also I find it very ironic to use Keith Law's quote in anti-analytics art...
by wilq
Sun Apr 20, 2014 8:19 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: On RPM and other models..."Pieces, Pieces Everywhere"
Replies: 14
Views: 11327

Re: On RPM and other models..."Pieces, Pieces Everywhere"

The problem is that I’m just not that interested in the result. The context and the noise, which these models work so hard to control for, are exactly the things I’m interested in . I don’t just want to know which player is better.I want to know why and in what ways.[...] This problem is not unique...
by wilq
Sun Apr 20, 2014 8:06 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predictions 2013-14
Replies: 176
Views: 112506

Re: Predictions 2013-14

Mike G wrote:Final numbers
I added some more entries to the contest... but this year it didn't matter because they couldn't beat you ;-)
Great season for APBR members, congratulations!

Link: http://weaksideawareness.wordpress.com/ ... ojections/