Search found 14 matches

by Ryan
Thu Mar 03, 2016 3:51 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Basketball Applications Developer opening with the Blazers
Replies: 1
Views: 4482

Basketball Applications Developer opening with the Blazers

Hi everyone, We have an opening for a Basketball Applications Developer in Portland: The Portland Trail Blazers have an exciting opportunity for a Basketball Applications Developer. The position will build and maintain software applications in support of the front office and coaching staff. The posi...
by Ryan
Thu Nov 01, 2012 6:35 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: SQL, Databases, and Basketball Stats
Replies: 33
Views: 40889

Re: Houston Rockets Job Openings - Analyst and Intern

You can't become an expert DB architect overnight, but learning the basics of SQL should be easy. If it's not, then it's time to find another vocation. :)
by Ryan
Tue Aug 14, 2012 3:10 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Twitter update
Replies: 32
Views: 20943

Re: Twitter update

The forum can't even remember me when I visit... even though I tell it to do so!! :oops:
by Ryan
Sat Mar 24, 2012 2:24 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Weighting Performances
Replies: 16
Views: 20423

Re: Weighting Performances

One could also consider a longitudinal analysis.
by Ryan
Wed Jan 18, 2012 9:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Referreed Journals
Replies: 58
Views: 37344

Re: Referreed Journals

It's kind of like the internet. Just because it's published in a journal doesn't mean it's right. That issue aside, I've found journals to act as a nice archive. Can you imagine trying to find stuff people posted on blogs and other websites in say 20 years from now? Maybe someone should create journ...
by Ryan
Thu Dec 01, 2011 5:14 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: One More Try: NCAA Tournament Modeling
Replies: 1
Views: 3164

Re: One More Try: NCAA Tournament Modeling

It doesn't sound like you have a model for predicting Team X beating Team Y, but it sounds like you may be able to use properties of odds ratios (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds_ratio) to get the probabilities that Team X survives longer than Team Y.
by Ryan
Sun May 22, 2011 1:09 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization
Replies: 15
Views: 20218

Re: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization

It would be similar to RAPM in that way, yes. As for the spreadsheet, the links look hidden in the comments. "this spreadsheet" actually links to:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key= ... tZVE&hl=en

I didn't do any cross-validation with this model.
by Ryan
Sat May 21, 2011 10:49 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization
Replies: 15
Views: 20218

Re: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization

The ratings are assumed to come from a normal distribution with some unknown variance that is estimated from the data. These are estimated using MCMC techniques that give estimates for these variances, likely values, etc.
by Ryan
Sat May 21, 2011 2:10 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization
Replies: 15
Views: 20218

Re: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization

So when I say uninformed I mean that I used a "flat" prior on those variance parameters of the rating distributions. In sort of layman's terms, my use of an uninformed prior here is so that those variances are not confined to some pre-determined interval. They should theoretically be any p...
by Ryan
Sat May 21, 2011 3:18 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization
Replies: 15
Views: 20218

Re: A Review of Adjusted Plus/Minus and Stabilization

Bayesian models of efficiency are so 2009 (or earlier?): A Basic Hierarchical Model of Efficiency
by Ryan
Sat Apr 16, 2011 2:47 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Hacked
Replies: 99
Views: 92602

Re: Hacked

Anyone else required to login on every visit?
by Ryan
Sat Apr 16, 2011 2:22 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Hacked
Replies: 99
Views: 92602

Re: Hacked

Oh, and maybe you could MySQL dump this thing to your house every couple of weeks. :ugeek:
by Ryan
Sat Apr 16, 2011 2:21 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Hacked
Replies: 99
Views: 92602

Re: Hacked

It's about time you upgraded this place Kevin! The pro silver theme is great. And there are post icons!! :mrgreen:

Sad to see that everything was lost, but hey, we still have our health. A good cleansing can be healthy. So for all of you doing good work, fill this board up with it!!