Search found 224 matches

by bbstats
Wed Jan 27, 2016 6:40 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
Replies: 322
Views: 262994

Re: 2015-16 Team win projections

Any update? :)
by bbstats
Wed Dec 16, 2015 8:03 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Kobe Bryant and All-Time Ranking of Players
Replies: 111
Views: 96928

Re: Kobe Bryant and All-Time Ranking of Players

Not sure if anyone's done this yet, but in my opinion the way regular season should be scaled is how it correlates to increasing odds of winning a title.

I.e. Delta % Odds Of Winning Title ~ x1*Regular Season VORP + x2*Playoff VORP
by bbstats
Thu Nov 12, 2015 3:13 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: RAPM adjusted for luck?
Replies: 11
Views: 9725

Re: RAPM adjusted for luck?

There's WAY more than meets the eye going on in terms of luck. As I've said before and as we all know, not all points are created equally. Making/missing open shots at absurd rates is definitely a starting point but not the easiest. You might not think of this as luck, but essentially, points that c...
by bbstats
Wed Oct 28, 2015 9:01 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Which stat predicted the 2015 the best? (Results here)
Replies: 15
Views: 13688

Re: Which stat predicted the 2015 the best? (Results here)

You should try Wins Produced.
by bbstats
Wed Oct 28, 2015 8:25 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
Replies: 322
Views: 262994

Re: 2015-16 Team win projections

Also - SUPER-love the chart. But can we remove 15 Pyth + Regression from the "Max" and "Min" calculation? It covers the plurality of it.
by bbstats
Wed Oct 28, 2015 8:24 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
Replies: 322
Views: 262994

Re: 2015-16 Team win projections

I think I still have a good chance of winning with a pool this size BECAUSE MY PICKS WERE CRAZY.
by bbstats
Mon Oct 26, 2015 1:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
Replies: 322
Views: 262994

Re: 2015-16 Team win projections

official bbstats entry

Code: Select all

Team	ExpW
mia	35
por	42
lal	21
bos	52
mil	38
bkn	21
atl	43
gsw	64
nop	43
lac	53
cha	38
chi	46
ind	38
okc	54
mem	48
det	39
phx	38
nyk	28
phi	23
orl	33
was	47
tor	48
sas	56
dal	39
uta	42
sac	35
hou	55
den	27
cle	57
min	28
by bbstats
Fri Oct 09, 2015 2:22 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 Team win projections
Replies: 322
Views: 262994

Re: 2015-16 Team win projections

Are we going to do the contest in this thread?
by bbstats
Thu Oct 01, 2015 9:03 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2015-16 minutes projections
Replies: 21
Views: 24440

Re: 2015-16 minutes projections

Any thoughts on Shump here?
by bbstats
Mon Jul 20, 2015 7:36 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Worst a Player Can Be
Replies: 27
Views: 17436

Re: Worst a Player Can Be

Idea: find the average distance to the shooter of a defender in a 5 on 4 fast-break.
Use that value's expected eFG% difference to calculate.
by bbstats
Mon May 11, 2015 4:34 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Simple question regarding True Shot Attempts
Replies: 16
Views: 9785

Re: Simple question regarding True Shot Attempts

Good question though! I frequently look at Pts/Shot Attempt rather than TS% as it can be understood in a Pts/Possession context.
by bbstats
Mon May 11, 2015 4:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Better Defender; Khris Middleton or John Henson?
Replies: 8
Views: 4821

Re: Better Defender; Khris Middleton or John Henson?

FWIW, this season's RPM is single-season and last year's was multi-year.

Middleton's year-to-year might not be crazy different though I am not sure.
by bbstats
Fri May 01, 2015 8:31 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Can you talk basketball with non-stat people?
Replies: 8
Views: 5309

Re: Can you talk basketball with non-stat people?

Sure. But I do tell them that SPG > RPG.
by bbstats
Fri Apr 17, 2015 3:37 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predictions 2014-2015
Replies: 265
Views: 286248

Re: Predictions 2014-2015

Well...mine was built to predict RPM in the same way PT-PM was built to predict RAPM, so....

:)

Thanks guys, that was fun.
by bbstats
Wed Mar 11, 2015 1:47 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predictions 2014-2015
Replies: 265
Views: 286248

Re: Predictions 2014-2015

Any updates? :)