Search found 138 matches

by eminence
Fri Apr 12, 2019 8:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 99
Views: 42357

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

I'm not sure how position would be implemented reliably from the box score, height/weight or what?
by eminence
Fri Apr 12, 2019 5:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 99
Views: 42357

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

When we say 'box-score' that means min/pts/oreb/dreb/ast/stl/blk/tov/pf along with shooting %'s? What size sample are you going for maximum 'accuracy' on? Ranging from single game to full season(more?)? Should the other still be weighted? Also, the 5yr RAPM looks really nice! I love Korver at near o...
by eminence
Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:06 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 154
Views: 135451

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

I'd really like to eke out an edge over Pelton, always feels good to finish ahead of a professional :D
by eminence
Mon Apr 01, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Thunder
Replies: 5
Views: 3346

Re: Thunder

Not sure they could get any significant return for Westbrook/Adams (don't think they seriously consider moving Westbrook). I'd classify them as a minor disappointment going into the playoffs, but correctable if they can upset or even just push a serious contender. For the future the fixes seem prett...
by eminence
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 30
Views: 16822

Re: 2019 Draft

I can see the size/athleticism comparison for Clarke/Gordon, but in roles I think they're fairly different. I don't remember Gordon as a prospect really, but Clarke has a defensive feel that's pretty elite.
by eminence
Fri Mar 22, 2019 5:21 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 30
Views: 16822

Re: 2019 Draft

I've never tried to put together an actual draft model, but just off eye test and a glance at the stats I'd have him 2nd or 3rd in the last decade or so. AD #1 and debating with Luka.
by eminence
Fri Mar 22, 2019 4:36 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 30
Views: 16822

Re: 2019 Draft

Higher/mid lotto seems like a great spot to look for trade downs this season. Most of the guys I'm kind of liking in this draft are looking like they'll go mid-first or later. I'll have to put together at least a lottos worth of guys sometimes. Zion really is something though, pretty dang unique pla...
by eminence
Thu Mar 21, 2019 4:16 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Dirk, Wade, Vince, Melo, Pau career retrospectives
Replies: 3
Views: 2404

Re: Dirk, Wade, Vince, Melo career retrospectives

Pau is the first other guy to come to mind.

Vince has been almost shockingly effective at 42.
by eminence
Thu Mar 21, 2019 1:50 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 154
Views: 135451

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

Grizz appear to have missed the memo.
by eminence
Wed Mar 20, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 154
Views: 135451

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

Mmkay, so Pacers wins and Grizzlies losses, I can get behind it.

Overall quite happy with how the season has gone in terms of these, held steady with the front pack and that's all you can really ask for. Would like to pull it out over Pelton :lol:
by eminence
Wed Feb 20, 2019 2:03 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 154
Views: 135451

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

Last year at this time, eminence was still .66 off the lead. A few weeks earlier, it was twice that much. I don't remember a big mid-season tidal change in the NBA. Just a bunch of unrelated individual teams went his way. Nobody ever came back from 1-3 in the Finals, until LeBron- Kyrie, et al. I f...
by eminence
Sat Feb 16, 2019 7:17 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 154
Views: 135451

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

Seems like everybody missed on Bucks/Kings. Teams I'm noticeably different from the average on: Hits: Pacers (Dipo injury could blow it up after the AS break), Wolves (maybe factored in team chemistry more than most?), Bulls (seemed like a clear worst in league contender to me, not sure why the avg ...
by eminence
Tue Feb 12, 2019 4:58 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New Lottery Odds vs Tanking
Replies: 1
Views: 3481

New Lottery Odds vs Tanking

Just curious if anyone has taken a more detailed look into how effective the recent lotto odds changes have been to combat tanking. Obviously a bit tough to tell until the end of the season. Even if you haven't looked into it, does it feel to you like it's been effective? Have bottom-tier teams trie...
by eminence
Sat Jan 26, 2019 6:03 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 season commentary
Replies: 399
Views: 226255

Re: 2018-19 season commentary

I'd say I agree with that. 6-7 seems like the best number to me. Going a bit lower if you've got 'wings' like George that can easily play up.
by eminence
Sat Jan 26, 2019 1:34 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Data on draftees from last 10 years
Replies: 2
Views: 3773

Re: Data on draftees from last 10 years

How many undrafted guys hit those #'s?