Search found 74 matches

by josecarlos
Sat Nov 18, 2017 11:00 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

The simple offensive rating is just scoring efficiency, though it is also called offensive efficiency. The complicated one is evaluating the entire offensive impact OF INDIVIDUALS (not teams to my knowledge) and comes from Dean Oliver. The complicated defensive rating should be the average complica...
by josecarlos
Sat Nov 18, 2017 10:58 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Analyzing the Celtics
Replies: 21
Views: 15395

Re: Analyzing the Celtics

watto84 wrote:Named after rockets gm Daryl morey. Basically there are only 3 shots allowed...3’s, dunks/layups and free throws. No shots from the midrange. Daryl is 1 of the pioneers in terms of implementing an analytic driven game.
Thank you very much for your answer!!!
by josecarlos
Sat Nov 18, 2017 12:30 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Analyzing the Celtics
Replies: 21
Views: 15395

Re: Analyzing the Celtics

Sorry ... but what is or what is the meaning of ... Moreyball Team?
by josecarlos
Sat Nov 18, 2017 12:19 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

Hi!!! I invoke all the guru's forum to help me with my doubt!!! :) My question is about offensive rating and defensive rating for teams . About Offensive Rating there is an easy formula to calculate it, ORTG = 100*Points Scored/Possessions, but I have found another formular more accurately whichi is...
by josecarlos
Thu Nov 09, 2017 5:46 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: European play-by-play data source
Replies: 11
Views: 10565

Re: Follow Up: European play-by-play data source

Jose, I can appreciate basic stats but I am more into the backend data. I did a project called Just Live Basketball a while ago that is still live, we did it with a colleague working at the Turkish Basketball Federation. Basic stats are a part of the collective agreement all the clubs sign in to wh...
by josecarlos
Tue Nov 07, 2017 4:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

If you can compute the overall offensive and defensive efficiencies, that is a start. If you can compute the "4 factors" (efg%, oR%, turnover%, ftm/fga for offense and "allowed" by defense), that gives you more information. You can compare offensive factor to defensive factor and say where the adva...
by josecarlos
Mon Nov 06, 2017 11:13 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

Hi all!!!

- ¿Which advanced stats do you consider that are better to know what are the best teams and players in attack and defense?
- If you want to compare two or more players to decide which one is better. ¿which stats do you will use?

Thanks in advance!!!
by josecarlos
Mon Nov 06, 2017 11:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: European play-by-play data source
Replies: 11
Views: 10565

Re: Follow Up: European play-by-play data source

Emmanuel, as a business owner in this area, I am sad to say that the leagues you are seeking data - play by play data for are really tough to get... mainly due to NDA issues The Turkish Basketball Federation recently signed a 5 year deal with Genius Sports in terms of their data restructuring which...
by josecarlos
Mon Nov 06, 2017 10:46 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: OFF TOPIC: Video playbook project
Replies: 2
Views: 3499

Re: OFF TOPIC: Video playbook project

Congratulations for your baby!!! I would like to help you in your project, but I don't have experience editing video. If you have a little bit of patience with me, I can learn and make the video playbooks that you require. Please, if you think I'm useful for your project send me a private message. I...
by josecarlos
Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:02 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 134523

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Approaches to team projections will vary some in the details but the general approach of most is: project player performance based on past (and maybe aging, convert performance to win impacts, project minutes and sum the products. Some folks regress to mean, blend metrics, make subjective adjustmen...
by josecarlos
Fri Oct 27, 2017 3:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 134523

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

How do you do your predictions? Which formula do you use? Which data do you use?

Thanks in advance for your answers!!!
by josecarlos
Wed Oct 25, 2017 9:10 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

https://www.basketball-reference.com/about/ Pythagorean Wins; the formula is G * (Tm PTS14 / (Tm PTS14 + Opp PTS14)). The formula was obtained by fitting a logistic regression model with log(Tm PTS / Opp PTS) as the explanatory variable. Using this formula for all BAA, NBA, and ABA seasons, the roo...
by josecarlos
Tue Oct 24, 2017 4:52 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

https://www.basketball-reference.com/about/ Pythagorean Wins; the formula is G * (Tm PTS14 / (Tm PTS14 + Opp PTS14)). The formula was obtained by fitting a logistic regression model with log(Tm PTS / Opp PTS) as the explanatory variable. Using this formula for all BAA, NBA, and ABA seasons, the roo...
by josecarlos
Tue Oct 24, 2017 4:42 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: European play-by-play data source
Replies: 11
Views: 10565

Re: European play-by-play data source

Ufff!!! The location of shots!!! ACB Spanish League gives you a graphic about the shoots, but in this graphic doesn't appear which player has made which shoot, it is only a team level graphic. I don't know if this graphic is generated previously in the server or the server send the data to the brows...
by josecarlos
Tue Oct 24, 2017 12:13 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie on basketball statistics
Replies: 67
Views: 50109

Re: Newbie on basketball statistics

(TmPts)^14/(TmPts^14 + OppPts^14) is also used to project Win% Different exponents have been used, from 12 to 16.5 Pts can be total, per game, or per x possessions. then Win% * G = Wins Pace is possessions per 48 minutes. For a team, this is really the average of the team's inherent pace and their ...