Search found 44 matches

by Mathketball
Mon Jun 24, 2013 4:27 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings
Replies: 29
Views: 12373

Re: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings

Here's a link to last year's thread on my results. http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=7992 These are the big changes I've made since then. * Added a multiplier so the results are easier to read (100's, 90's, 80's etc instead of 1.6's, 1.5's etc) * Adjusted weights to make different position...
by Mathketball
Mon Jun 24, 2013 4:17 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings
Replies: 29
Views: 12373

Re: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings

Looks pretty interesting, I'm surprised to see that Shabazz Muhammad was as low as he was, but definitely looks like there is a method behind that claim. I'm wondering if there is a usage rate measure or someway to measure players based on their varying differences in terms of their usage rate. Obv...
by Mathketball
Mon Jun 24, 2013 3:43 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings
Replies: 29
Views: 12373

Re: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings

Nice presentation of the ratings. Can you explain a bit more what goes into your model? Is it a priori? Regression based? What variable or types of variables are included? I built a couple regression models that come to similar conclusions to your ratings, so it would be interesting if you arrived ...
by Mathketball
Sun Jun 23, 2013 9:08 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2013 NBA draft prospect rankings
Replies: 29
Views: 12373

2013 NBA draft prospect rankings

With the draft a few days away I thought it'd be a good time to post my 2013 rankings. I have a base formula for evaluating collegiate players numbers that is tweaked based on position. I've made a few adjustments since last year and have been pretty happy with the results. Previously I was underval...
by Mathketball
Fri Jun 29, 2012 4:15 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2012 NBA draft ratings
Replies: 17
Views: 9384

Re: 2012 NBA draft ratings

YaoPau, I think you answered your own question. You mentioned his defensive potential, athleticism, form on his jump shot, and that he's a good kid. I don't dispute any of these claims but my formulas are based solely on numbers. Regardless of what his jump shot looks like, for a big man his PPS was...
by Mathketball
Thu Jun 28, 2012 10:23 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2012 NBA draft ratings
Replies: 17
Views: 9384

Re: 2012 NBA draft ratings

Good stuff kjb. I agree with you in terms of your draft strategy. Barton for example rates very high on my scales but I wouldn't take him until the 20-25 range simply because it's likely he'll be there. By the way, your system might have the best name of any I've seen. I certainly hope when someone ...
by Mathketball
Thu Jun 28, 2012 4:50 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2012 NBA draft ratings
Replies: 17
Views: 9384

2012 NBA draft ratings

Hey all, I thought it was time to start a thread for the 2012 draft ratings. Here's a link to my rankings (by position) for this draft. https://docs.google.com/a/kent.edu/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ApEq-8FNpOc6dHliSm9qRldPZGQyUy1XS3ZtdFNUU0E#gid=0 A quick key for how to read it: Success:Failure is a stat ...
by Mathketball
Thu Jun 28, 2012 4:01 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: March Madness and my Player Rankings
Replies: 27
Views: 20039

Re: March Madness and my Player Rankings

Statman, I believe Barton is 2 years ahead of Beal. If memory serves he spent a year at a prep school before Memphis. I was looking at some measurements the other day and found this comparison really perplexing. Barton: Ht: 6'6" Wing Span: 6'9.75" Standing Reach: 8'7" Hand Lgth: 9" Barnes: Ht: 6'8" ...
by Mathketball
Tue Jun 05, 2012 3:08 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: March Madness and my Player Rankings
Replies: 27
Views: 20039

Re: March Madness and my Player Rankings

My system also likes Barton. I have him as the #3 SG behind Denmon and Beal -- about 10th overall in this draft. My system also likes Crowder quite a bit. I agree on Crowder. He's the top SF on my scale (if you believe he really is a 3). Personally I believe MKG is the best SF but he's probably goi...
by Mathketball
Sat Jun 02, 2012 7:23 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: March Madness and my Player Rankings
Replies: 27
Views: 20039

Re: March Madness and my Player Rankings

Just wondering what are some of you guys think about Will Barton? He scored as the top SG in the draft, on my scales (which I promise I will get around to posting) slightly ahead of Brad Beal. Obviously the knock on him is his slight build but there's definitely a precedent for guys like that to suc...
by Mathketball
Mon May 21, 2012 1:38 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Newbie with a question - % Tm Poss"
Replies: 2
Views: 1471

Re: Newbie with a question - % Tm Poss"

I use .475 for converting college free throws to possessions. I got it off Wikipedia though so I'm not sure that's still the generally accepted value. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/APBRmetrics
by Mathketball
Fri May 18, 2012 3:25 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: March Madness and my Player Rankings
Replies: 27
Views: 20039

Re: March Madness and my Player Rankings

Evans, did you compile those spreadsheets yourself or are they available on DraftExpress?
I'm trying to find similar data for a larger pool of players.
by Mathketball
Mon Apr 09, 2012 1:43 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: March Madness and my Player Rankings
Replies: 27
Views: 20039

Re: March Madness and my Player Rankings

Statman, good stuff. I love these kind of things. As the draft approaches I plan on posting my draft prospect rankings. I completely agree with you guys on Crowder he could be a really nice find in the middle of the draft. I noticed Mitchell Watt at 57 a head of some bigger name guys. It wouldn't be...
by Mathketball
Fri Jul 22, 2011 11:28 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: So few good white AMERICAN players in the NBA lately?
Replies: 83
Views: 43881

Re: So few good white AMERICAN players in the NBA lately?

Evan, very interesting stuff, thanks. I've actually never heard that result about shots coming off an assist being more likely to go in. It definitely does make sense though.

Here's the link I promised earlier, although I'm sure many of you frequent this site.
http://www.hoopdata.com/shotstats.aspx
by Mathketball
Fri Jul 22, 2011 7:38 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: So few good white AMERICAN players in the NBA lately?
Replies: 83
Views: 43881

Re: So few good white AMERICAN players in the NBA lately?

I agree with kjb; players aren't any less fundamentally sound than they used to be. The mid-range jumper has died because team's realize it's an inefficient shot. Not to change the subject but I have thought a lot about the mid-range jumper lately, particularly since the finals. While I won't dispu...