Search found 362 matches

by schtevie
Tue Feb 05, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: How bad is Gordon Hayward?
Replies: 17
Views: 10365

Re: How bad is Gordon Hayward?

I guess I don't understand some of the above calculations and data. Looking at the four 4-man lineups first shown, I calculate the net points per 100 possessions differential (w/o Hayward - w/ Hayward) for each as: B-H-I-T: +0.13 (that is, playing with any and all other players, this foursome scores...
by schtevie
Sat Sep 15, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

Crow, apologies for the delay in reply. Not sure why I had clicked on the old link thinking it was the new one....Oh well. And, no, the new podcast contained no discernible predictions to my perception. But having listened agin to the old one, I can list the claims that were of note to me and (more ...
by schtevie
Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

rlee, not quite sure why you reposted this year-old link, but I am grateful for the reference and encourage one and all to (re?)listen. There are some implicit predictions (DeanO style, so by no means hard) that merit notice.
by schtevie
Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:09 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: "Back then [in New York], there wasn't even analytics. I was going by my gut..."
Replies: 1
Views: 3189

"Back then [in New York], there wasn't even analytics. I was going by my gut..."

Whether bullshitting now or honestly relaying the truth as he saw it then, there are quotes in this article that are both sad and funny, and they speak to the entire enterprise: http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/2436 ... ork-knicks
by schtevie
Mon Aug 06, 2018 10:22 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nylon Calc notice
Replies: 17
Views: 22634

Re: Nylon Calc notice

Before responding point by point to your reply, let me just say that your initial results are interesting, less because of the sign of the effect (i.e. it is reasonable to believe and unsurprising to find, for a bunch of reasons, that a traded player would become less productive relative to remainin...
by schtevie
Sun Aug 05, 2018 5:21 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nylon Calc notice
Replies: 17
Views: 22634

Re: Nylon Calc notice

The third link for me as well, as it relates to a follow up comment owed here (on what is an important topic beyond the specific focus): http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=9454 First and foremost, I am grateful for the interesting and informative contribution. A few comments on the data and...
by schtevie
Sat Jun 02, 2018 1:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018 NBA Finals: Cavs - Warriors IV
Replies: 8
Views: 8401

Re: 2018 NBA Finals: Cle vs GSW

Thanks for that. I semi-cynically view game coaching as a form of performance art, where coaches gotta coach because they get paid the big bucks and that is what they do, and lineup changes is coaching, so the more the merrier. In the instance, Kyle Korver was doing just great in an unadjusted sense...
by schtevie
Fri Jun 01, 2018 11:46 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018 NBA Finals: Cavs - Warriors IV
Replies: 8
Views: 8401

Re: 2018 NBA Finals: Cle vs GSW

Having not watched the game, I am interested in hearing from those that did. Kyle Korver was +12 in just 16 minutes. He did not have an impressive box score performance (and I have seen no mention of his impact in media commentary - unsurprisingly) but the scoreboard moved in the right direction whe...
by schtevie
Sun Feb 18, 2018 3:30 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?
Replies: 7
Views: 7468

Re: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?

Jeremias, should you have the time and inclination, I (and perhaps others) would be very interested in better understanding the context of the effect of changing teams on expected player RPM. There are what, four full seasons now of RPM? Could you provide a graph and/or summary statistics for this p...
by schtevie
Mon Feb 12, 2018 1:18 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?
Replies: 7
Views: 7468

Why did we get the Kyrie Irving trade so wrong?

Kevin Pelton offers comment on this topic (http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/22393420/why-did-get-kyrie-irving-trade-wrong-kevin-pelton-nba) stipulating the case and goes about documenting how (and suggests why) Thomas' and Crowders' performances have cratered this year, according to advanced stati...
by schtevie
Fri Oct 13, 2017 2:54 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

Dean, I don't believe that there's anything I've said here (recently and going back deep into the mists of time) from which once could conclude that I "hate George based on public perception". My view here, then, now, and always, has been that coaching isn't that big of a factor in determining NBA o...
by schtevie
Fri Oct 13, 2017 1:09 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

Berri's method is fully laid out and available. You can replace his player metric with whatever you like and run the analysis. It ain't easy, but not much is easy in evaluating coaches. Dean, is there a link to Berri's coaching stuff you might have on hand? I don't recall it, from back in the day, ...
by schtevie
Sun Oct 08, 2017 3:19 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

I don't think I ever estimated a total, but I'd guess in hindsight that he added 5-8 wins per season. It was interesting making projections of players before we got them - either in the Draft or via other NBA teams - and seeing them exceed the projections. Perhaps it's my bias owing to the Debacle ...
by schtevie
Thu Oct 05, 2017 2:10 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

George Karl was pretty significant, maybe not at 95%, but he did get a lot out of most of his players. I studied it when I was there with him. If you have a good coach, he will get more out of the players you bring in. That makes it easier to make trades. Were there players that he wouldn't maximiz...
by schtevie
Tue Oct 03, 2017 8:42 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: New DeanO Pod
Replies: 34
Views: 35580

Re: New DeanO Pod

My apologies for carelessly having suggested that Dean said 25 points (as opposed to 25 wins) as the max effect of a player contribution. But still, such an effect is significantly greater than any in the xRAPM/RPM record. A notional increase of 25 wins implies substituting the contributions of a (3...