Search found 548 matches

by Statman
Wed Nov 02, 2016 5:07 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Question About DBPM ?
Replies: 12
Views: 8653

Re: Question About DBPM ?

For the 1975 , Wes Unseld has a higher DBPM than Elvin Hayes . But Elvin Hayes had both more steals and blocks than Unseld. Only advantage of Unseld is Defensive Rebounds. How is this possible , statistically ? I don't have any information about calculation of Defensive BPM . I wish anyone help me ...
by Statman
Thu Jul 07, 2016 6:58 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: The Ultimate NBA Greatest Player List and Neutralized Stat R
Replies: 19
Views: 16863

Re: The Ultimate NBA Greatest Player List and Neutralized St

I can appreciate the scaling of rebounds to the # of rebounds available. But my eyes and brain tell me guys are shooting the long ball like never before; teams are collecting players with this skill; and this isn't a trend that is due to defenses now failing -- inexplicably -- to chase shooters off...
by Statman
Sun Jun 19, 2016 1:47 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

Walkup's stats are as good as I get but doing it at 23 in the Southland conference is worth being concerned about especially with athletic and 3 point shooting concerns. Should have passing and basketball IQ ability though and can see him being a rotation player He has easily been the best player f...
by Statman
Fri Jun 17, 2016 9:49 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

Has anyone seen Thomas Walkup play? He's older and he played against weaker competition, but was very productive. Looks like he'll go undrafted. Might be a nice UdFA for someone. Thomas Walkup is an exceptional player. I watched him a few times last season - including every minute his stand out pla...
by Statman
Wed Jun 15, 2016 3:29 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

Conceivably true talent has been compromised by bad early role fit and coaching decisions about when to use and not use. Players and coaches should get better with time and the correlations should rise some. But will it be enough to look decent or better eventually? OK, rereading what you wrote - y...
by Statman
Wed Jun 15, 2016 2:49 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

I don't think I agree with this method of assessment. Generally, the highest picks go to the worst teams. It would be hard for any prospect to post a good BPM on the 76ers. If we judged prospects based on rookie BPM, we wouldn't think highly of Kevin Durant (-1.4) (as an example). Not to mention - ...
by Statman
Wed Jun 15, 2016 2:43 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

How did the analytic models do compared to the GMs and their insiders and all their data, special access, experience and expertise? The actual draft order was slightly better than average of all marks in analytics model article but still had a mild negative correlation with BPM. For ws/48, the insi...
by Statman
Mon Jun 13, 2016 10:51 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Trivia
Replies: 228
Views: 285637

Re: Trivia

Where do you find current RPM? Copy/paste 21 pages from ESPN site? Yes. Is there a (playoff + RS) edition ? JE told me on twitter that what we see now is RS plus playoffs. I have a saved version from mid-April that is free of 2016 playoffs. That seems to me a little dishonest or at least weird if a...
by Statman
Mon Jun 06, 2016 4:02 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Anybody read this book and have reactions?
Replies: 4
Views: 4078

Re: Anybody read this book and have reactions?

The follow response I actually posted on my blog - since it's something I frequently lament about but rarely mention there: Suppose somebody went to a team (or a forum...) and suggested adding 100 people to basketball operations (across all sub-departments / disciplines) above team current or NBA av...
by Statman
Thu Jun 02, 2016 3:30 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Nylon Calculus Appreciation Thread
Replies: 14
Views: 14356

Re: Nylon Calculus Appreciation Thread

congratulations to both Seth and Layne on their new jobs! Greatly deserved. Congrats to Seth.... BTW, is Layne with the Bucks too? Congrats to him wherever he landed.... He cleared his whole twitter history, so I knew someone hired him. At this rate I'll end up the only guy left who publishes draft...
by Statman
Tue May 24, 2016 12:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 36815

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

I'd love to take part in the DX project again. I'll do my best to have something to share by the 30th but well see how much time I can devote before then - I may need an extra week. In any case we'll have our analytics draft board comparison tool updated again this year (closer to the draft). Whoev...
by Statman
Sun Apr 17, 2016 4:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Sam Hinkie gone :(
Replies: 166
Views: 104301

Re: Sam Hinkie gone :(

Can someone who knows more about baseball than me tell me about how the Houston Astros have fared. Not just their record, but the fan response (in houston and across the league), and their likelihood of future success? Thanks! The Astros have become the bee's knees in everyone's minds in terms of h...
by Statman
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:47 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Running Regressions On Pace
Replies: 9
Views: 8098

Re: Running Regressions On Pace

From a sort of theoretical perspective the best way to average the pace of two teams is to invert them, then average them, then invert that average. This is because the inverse of pace is time, and each team plays the same number of possessions (more or less) so what you really want to know is how ...
by Statman
Tue Apr 12, 2016 8:33 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Sam Hinkie gone :(
Replies: 166
Views: 104301

Re: Sam Hinkie gone :(

There are better ways to go than total tanking... BTW, I completely agree. My tepid support of the Hinkie "approach" has absolutely nothing to do with the concept of tanking as much as it has to do with acquisition of draft picks and talent evaluation (particularly young players) & development. Phi...
by Statman
Sun Apr 10, 2016 2:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Sam Hinkie gone :(
Replies: 166
Views: 104301

Re: Sam Hinkie gone :(

I agree with you that it is an imperative that teams maximize their ability to draft well. however,no matter how great you are at drafting, having higher picks will always be better than lower ones. It's rare to find players like Lebron James and KAT at the number 1 pick, its much more rare to find...