most improved 2014-15

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Mike G
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most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Tue Nov 11, 2014 12:57 am

Continuing a long tradition -- viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8393

Most improvement from last year, ranked by additional eWins in this year's minutes.

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eW+    per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.49   Chris Bosh     Mia  .587   26.2  11.7   3.3   2.42      .588   22.0   8.2   1.4   1.46
.49   James Harden   Hou  .567   29.9   7.2   8.7   2.89      .602   27.8   4.7   6.2   1.96
.47   Tony Wroten    Phl  .520   22.6   4.8   5.9   1.70      .484   17.5   4.4   3.6    .74
.44   Brandon Knight Mil  .552   22.7   7.8   7.5   2.09      .515   20.2   4.0   4.7   1.14
.41   Stephen Curry  GSW  .641   34.7   6.7   8.3   3.18      .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24

.38   Donald Sloan   Ind  .515   16.9   5.4   5.3   1.15      .433   10.0   4.0   4.6    .39
.36   Roy Hibbert    Ind  .553   17.2  10.8   1.7   1.76      .490   14.9   8.6   1.5    .91
.35   Anthony Davis  NOP  .562   26.2  11.9   1.7   2.87      .569   23.7  11.1   1.5   1.96
.34   Klay Thompson  GSW  .598   29.7   2.9   3.9   2.02      .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
.34   Jimmy Butler   Chi  .580   19.9   5.8   3.8   1.58      .509   14.4   5.0   2.4    .74

eW+    per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.34   Iman Shumpert  NYK  .596   18.3   4.5   3.6   1.17      .476    9.3   6.1   2.4    .38
.33   Kobe Bryant    LAL  .475   23.5   6.0   2.8   1.51      .497   16.4   4.8   7.2    .75
.32   Aaron Brooks   Chi  .659   23.1   2.4   8.0   1.74  Den .513   14.7   3.3   5.5    .75
.31   Courtney Lee   Mem  .710   23.2   4.4   2.9   1.66      .568   16.3   3.8   2.0    .72
.31   Joe Johnson    Brk  .564   23.6   6.8   4.5   1.82      .558   20.0   4.0   3.1   1.06

.30   Solomon Hill   Ind  .571   15.4   6.2   1.7    .80      .540    8.4   6.4   1.9    .15
.29   Gordon Hayward Uta  .607   19.2   6.8   5.1   1.62      .510   16.9   5.4   4.7   1.06
.28   Garrett Temple Was  .564   12.7   4.7   2.1    .65      .425    7.0   3.9   3.7    .09
.26   Brandon Davies Phl  .584   16.2   6.0   2.1    .88      .466    7.6   6.2   1.4    .05
.26   Dwight Howard  Hou  .587   26.6  14.0   2.1   2.53      .579   22.0  13.9   2.3   1.86
.26  Shawne Williams Mia  .602   14.0   6.9   2.2   1.00  LAL .500    8.7   7.1   1.3    .36
Some Pacers have stepped up, but they're not as good as the guys they're replacing.

Here are the early downers:

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eW+     per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.47  Carmelo Anthony NYK   .451   19.0   5.2   3.6   1.14      .552   29.0   8.1   2.9   2.06
-.43   LeBron James   Cle   .529   21.5   6.0   5.3   1.64  Mia .635   33.5   7.2   6.6   2.67
-.41   Kevin Love     Cle   .517   17.2  12.0   1.7   1.53  Min .578   28.9  12.8   4.6   2.59
-.38   Eric Gordon    NOP   .352    6.8   3.1   1.3   -.22      .532   18.7   3.1   3.5    .88
-.34   Goran Dragic   Phx   .523   16.3   4.2   3.1    .90      .593   24.0   3.5   6.6   1.64

-.34   C.J. Miles     Ind   .331    9.5   2.4   2.7   -.10  Cle .563   20.6   4.0   1.7   1.05
-.29   Matt Barnes    LAC   .493    7.6   3.1    .7   -.14      .546   14.1   6.1   2.9    .77
-.29   Arron Afflalo  Den   .474   11.0   4.3   1.8    .32  Orl .564   21.2   3.8   3.2   1.08
-.29   Jason Thompson Sac   .324    3.5   8.6    .7   -.16      .515   10.7  10.3    .9    .62
-.27   Paul Millsap   Atl   .447   12.7   8.1   3.3    .92      .534   21.1   9.4   3.4   1.65

eW+     per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.27   Carlos Boozer  LAL   .504   13.3   7.9   2.5    .68  Chi .484   20.4  11.7   2.1   1.50
-.26   Blake Griffin  LAC   .516   23.3   7.1   3.3   1.64      .569   27.7   9.7   4.4   2.21
-.25   Dion Waiters   Cle   .423   11.6   1.8   1.4    .02      .502   19.9   3.5   3.3    .95
-.24   Kyle Singler   Det   .400    4.7   3.3   1.5   -.48      .565   12.6   4.9   1.0    .40
-.24   Jon Leuer      Mem   .259    4.3   7.5    .8   -.12      .560   19.0   9.5   1.0   1.27

-.23   Kyrie Irving   Cle   .513   18.3   2.4   3.8    .97      .526   23.3   4.0   5.6   1.54
-.22 Lance Stephenson Cha   .352    7.3  12.3   5.2    .84  Ind .558   17.7   7.8   5.1   1.27
-.22   Kosta Koufos   Mem   .278    2.9  10.3   1.9    .07      .508   15.0  12.4   1.0   1.20
-.21   J.J. Redick    LAC   .566   17.1   3.1   1.5    .64      .590   22.6   2.8   3.3   1.22
-.20   Joakim Noah    Chi   .463    8.7  12.2   4.5   1.09      .520   15.7  12.5   5.7   1.73
Almost the Cavs starting lineup is here.

Mike G
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Fri Nov 14, 2014 1:52 pm

Stephen Curry was also among the most improved from 2013 to 2014; yet he apparently could not be considered for MIP because he'd already improved toward the end of the 2012-13 season.
??
The same 'logic' makes him ineligible this year. OK. Let's see what his tendency has been, month by month.
The Nov column includes up to 2 Oct games.
x = per36 (Pts+Reb+Ast+Stl+Blk-TO)

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Steph Curry monthly splits: per 36 minutes  
2012  Min    FGA   FTA   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO    Pts    TSA    TS%    x
Dec   101   13.9   2.9   5.7   6.4   2.9   .7   5.0   16.4   15.2   .541   27.1
Jan   210   16.1   1.5   4.1   6.7   1.9   .2   2.9   18.9   16.8   .561   28.8
Feb   361   13.5   3.0   3.8   7.4   1.8   .5   2.8   18.9   14.8   .641   29.6
Mar    59   17.1    .0   6.1   4.3   1.2   .0   3.7   22.6   17.1   .661   30.5

2013  Min    FGA   FTA   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO    Pts    TSA    TS%    x
Nov   549   15.0   3.8   4.0   5.7   1.6   .1   3.2   18.2   16.6   .546   26.3
Dec   628   15.7   3.0   4.4   6.5   1.5   .3   2.7   19.7   17.0   .579   29.8
Jan   414   17.0   3.7   2.3   6.0   1.6   .1   2.0   22.5   18.7   .604   30.4
Feb   453   18.6   3.2   4.5   6.6   1.7   .2   3.3   24.2   20.0   .606   33.8
Mar   628   17.1   4.4   3.7   6.9   1.1   .1   3.2   22.8   19.1   .598   31.4
Apr   311   18.2   2.5   3.6   7.5   2.0   .1   2.7   23.5   19.3   .609   34.0
  
2014  Min    FGA   FTA   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO    Pts    TSA    TS%    x
Nov   493   17.6   3.0   4.6   8.8   1.6   .1   3.7   21.8   18.9   .575   33.2
Dec   627   17.1   5.2   4.5   9.4   1.9   .4   4.2   22.4   19.4   .577   34.3
Jan   576   18.6   5.6   3.8   7.6   1.8   .1   3.9   25.8   21.0   .614   35.1
Feb   389   15.5   3.5   4.4   8.4    .7   .1   3.2   21.7   17.1   .633   32.1
Mar   473   17.4   4.9   4.3   6.9   1.3   .2   3.4   24.7   19.5   .631   33.9
Apr   287   18.9   3.0   3.6   9.9   2.5   .0   3.5   26.5   20.3   .653   39.0

2015  Min    FGA   FTA   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO    Pts    TSA    TS%    x
Nov   493   18.3   5.3   6.1   6.9   2.7   .0   4.5   25.9   20.7   .626   37.0
    
                                
3-yr  Min    FGA   FTA   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO    Pts    TSA    TS%    x
Nov   347   16.2   3.4   4.3   7.2   1.6   .1   3.4   19.9   17.7   .561   29.6
Dec   452   16.2   4.0   4.5   7.9   1.8   .4   3.6   20.7   18.0   .576   31.7
Jan   400   17.6   4.2   3.3   6.9   1.7   .1   3.1   23.5   19.5   .603   32.4
Feb   401   16.1   3.2   4.2   7.4   1.4   .2   3.1   21.8   17.5   .624   32.0
Mar   387   17.2   4.4   4.0   6.8   1.2   .1   3.3   23.6   19.2   .615   32.4
Apr   199   18.5   2.8   3.6   8.7   2.2   .1   3.1   24.9   19.8   .631   36.4                                   
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... lits/2014/
This seasons' rates are inserted chronologically; they aren't included in his 3-year Nov. line.
He seems to improve every month of every year; exceptions being accompanied by notably low minutes, i.e. injury.
April is always his best (short) month, except for FT trips and Reb -- stuff where you might get hurt.

Mike G
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Tue Nov 18, 2014 3:10 pm

Didn't get around to posting this yesterday; does not include last night's games.

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eW+    per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.66   Kobe Bryant    LAL  .472   24.9   5.7   3.5   1.67      .497   16.4   4.8   7.2    .75
.56   Klay Thompson  GSW  .613   28.5   3.6   4.0   1.94      .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
.56   Jimmy Butler   Chi  .625   21.7   5.8   3.2   1.59      .509   14.4   5.0   2.4    .74
.55   Roy Hibbert    Ind  .532   18.4  10.3   2.0   1.72      .490   14.9   8.6   1.5    .91
.54  Shawne Williams Mia  .698   17.8   7.7   1.8   1.30  LAL .500    8.7   7.1   1.3    .36

.54   Anthony Davis  NOP  .594   26.6  11.9   2.2   2.86      .569   23.7  11.1   1.5   1.96
.53   James Harden   Hou  .541   29.4   6.7   8.4   2.65      .602   27.8   4.7   6.2   1.96
.50   Brandon Knight Mil  .565   24.0   7.1   6.4   1.89      .515   20.2   4.0   4.7   1.14
.47   Solomon Hill   Ind  .500   14.8   6.8   1.5    .77      .540    8.4   6.4   1.9    .15
.47   Gordon Hayward Uta  .603   20.8   6.5   4.7   1.64      .510   16.9   5.4   4.7   1.06

eW+    per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.47   Iman Shumpert  NYK  .605   18.9   5.4   3.9   1.23      .476    9.3   6.1   2.4    .38
.46   Donald Sloan   Ind  .505   15.6   5.0   5.3   1.02      .433   10.0   4.0   4.6    .39
.45   Tony Wroten    Phl  .520   21.9   4.9   5.6   1.47      .484   17.5   4.4   3.6    .74
.43 Brandon Jennings Det  .568   23.0   3.6   7.0   1.77      .479   16.1   3.5   7.2   1.05
.39   Tyson Chandler Dal  .691   16.6  14.6   1.8   1.75  NYK .601   12.4  12.5   1.3   1.06

.39 Gi Antetokounmpo Mil  .555   18.1   7.8   1.8   1.16      .506   10.0   6.6   2.5    .41
.39   Lance Thomas   Okl  .418    9.8   5.9   1.9    .32  NOP .273    3.3   6.1   2.3   -.31
.35   Damian Lillard Por  .632   24.6   5.4   7.4   2.01      .559   23.1   3.6   5.9   1.52
.34   Joe Johnson    Brk  .548   21.4   6.5   4.2   1.61      .558   20.0   4.0   3.1   1.06
.33   Draymond Green GSW  .592   16.2   8.5   3.7   1.28      .491   10.4   8.1   3.0    .77

eW+    per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.33  Harrison Barnes GSW  .656   16.8   6.3   2.2   1.00      .480   12.1   5.1   1.9    .45
.32   Stephen Curry  GSW  .625   30.3   6.2   9.3   2.71      .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24
.31   Derrick Favors Uta  .606   20.4  10.8   2.0   1.78      .546   17.3  11.2   1.4   1.34
.31  Dennis Schr÷der Atl  .623   18.0   3.9   5.2   1.26      .437    9.2   3.2   4.9    .12
.30   Garrett Temple Was  .529   11.5   4.8   2.4    .61      .425    7.0   3.9   3.7    .09

.30   Chris Bosh     Mia  .515   21.7  10.0   3.2   1.86      .588   22.0   8.2   1.4   1.46
.29   Norris Cole    Mia  .527   12.2   3.9   6.1    .86      .493    9.9   3.0   4.7    .30
.29   Otto Porter    Was  .606   13.4   4.8   1.7    .67      .402    7.5   6.5   1.0    .03
.29   Lavoy Allen    Ind  .497   11.7  11.4   1.9   1.14      .470    9.0   9.8   2.0    .60
.28   Courtney Lee   Mem  .676   19.7   3.9   2.8   1.23      .568   16.3   3.8   2.0    .72
Kobe got 44 points in a game. Only 3 others have ever scored as many after age 35.
http://bkref.com/tiny/5SX9l

Crow
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Crow » Tue Nov 18, 2014 8:40 pm

Kobe e484 at .75...

Mike G
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Tue Nov 18, 2014 11:54 pm

That was last year.
ws/48 up from -.097 to .007
BPM up from -4.9 to -1.2
PER up from 10.7 to 20.1
Quite a range of interpretations for his play; but they all show sharp improvement over his 177 minutes last season.

permaximum
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by permaximum » Wed Nov 19, 2014 12:23 am

It's funny Kobe's the second worst player in the whole league according to WP and here I see his name one way or another :)

Crow
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Crow » Wed Nov 19, 2014 4:00 am

My mistake. Data jumbled on my phone display. I assumed last column on right was this season.

Crow
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Crow » Wed Nov 19, 2014 7:03 pm

Four top improves on GSW.

Mike G
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Wed Nov 19, 2014 8:43 pm

The sum of their improvements is 1.45 eWins on top of what they did last year in as many minutes.

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eW+    per36 '14-15    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '1314 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.56   Klay Thompson   .613   28.5   3.6   4.0   1.94       .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
.33   Draymond Green  .592   16.2   8.5   3.7   1.28       .491   10.4   8.1   3.0    .77
.33   Harrison Barnes .656   16.8   6.3   2.2   1.00       .480   12.1   5.1   1.9    .45
.32   Stephen Curry   .625   30.3   6.2   9.3   2.71       .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24
.23 Marreese Speights .662   27.6  11.1   1.3   2.15       .499   18.5  10.3   1.1   1.19

.16   Andrew Bogut    .590   11.9  14.3   4.7   1.63       .604   12.2  14.2   2.5   1.35
.10   Leandro Barbosa .543   15.4   3.2   4.0    .85   Phx .498   14.2   3.6   3.2    .56
.04   Festus Ezeli    .638   12.0   9.9    .4    .57  2013 .456    5.7   9.7    .7    .37
-.04   Brandon Rush   .333    3.9   2.2   2.5   -.88   Uta .427    5.8   3.8   1.8   -.25
-.20 Shaun Livingston .456    7.0   2.8   5.4    .11   Brk .540   12.9   4.7   4.6    .78
-.37   Andre Iguodala .446    7.0   3.8   3.8    .15       .561   12.0   5.3   4.8    .80
Guys who last year could not make a shot, can't miss this year.
Bogut hasn't changed, other than kicking up his assist rate.

italia13calcio
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by italia13calcio » Mon Nov 24, 2014 8:01 pm

Here's a look at the most improved scorers by my metric. Not much overlap, but that is to be expected as I only look at scoring so far (I intend to update it with everything soon). Plus cool graphs.

http://aabstats.weebly.com/blog/most-im ... rough-1124
https://hwchase17.github.io/sports/

Follow me @aabsstats - I follow back ;)

Mike G
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Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Sat Nov 29, 2014 1:18 pm

I'll make the early prediction that Jimmy Butler takes MIP. He leads the league in minutes, and with just 0.7 more mpg than last year, his PPG are up 8.5
With Kobe 'not really' eligible, it's a long list to reach everyone within half of Butler's level of improvement.

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 2015:     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.93   Kobe Bryant     LAL  .481   23.8   5.5   3.6   1.53      .497   16.4   4.8   7.2    .75
.75   Jimmy Butler    Chi  .591   21.1   5.5   2.8   1.40      .509   14.4   5.0   2.4    .74
.68   Klay Thompson   GSW  .568   25.8   4.0   4.0   1.75      .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
.68   Donald Sloan    Ind  .500   15.0   5.3   5.5   1.03      .433   10.0   4.0   4.6    .39
.66 Gi. Antetokounmpo Mil  .532   17.0   8.1   2.4   1.16      .506   10.0   6.6   2.5    .41

.66   Marc Gasol      Mem  .574   23.8   8.8   3.9   2.02      .517   18.2   8.9   3.8   1.46
.62   Roy Hibbert     Ind  .531   18.2  10.4   2.2   1.72      .490   14.9   8.6   1.5    .91
.60   Anthony Davis   NOP  .592   25.4  11.5   1.8   2.53      .569   23.7  11.1   1.5   1.96
.58   Tyson Chandler  Dal  .696   15.0  14.7   1.7   1.63  NYK .601   12.4  12.5   1.3   1.06
.55   Shawne Williams Mia  .669   14.4   7.3   2.0    .98  LAL .500    8.7   7.1   1.3    .36

eW+    per36 2015:     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.54   Solomon Hill    Ind  .503   13.6   6.2   1.8    .64      .540    8.4   6.4   1.9    .15
.54 Marreese Speights GSW  .626   30.7   9.8   2.0   2.39      .499   18.5  10.3   1.1   1.19
.54   Iman Shumpert   NYK  .526   15.2   5.3   4.1    .97      .476    9.3   6.1   2.4    .38
.51   Stephen Curry   GSW  .636   31.4   6.0   9.1   2.75      .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24
.51   Chris Bosh      Mia  .549   23.5  10.5   2.7   1.93      .588   22.0   8.2   1.4   1.46

.50   Brandon Knight  Mil  .555   22.0   5.7   6.1   1.60      .515   20.2   4.0   4.7   1.14
.50   Damian Lillard  Por  .615   23.8   5.3   7.4   1.95      .559   23.1   3.6   5.9   1.52
.49   Dennis Schr÷der Atl  .590   18.1   3.9   6.3   1.24      .437    9.2   3.2   4.9    .12
.47   James Harden    Hou  .547   27.6   6.3   7.2   2.35      .602   27.8   4.7   6.2   1.96
.47   Gordon Hayward  Uta  .576   20.4   6.5   3.9   1.47      .510   16.9   5.4   4.7   1.06

eW+    per36 2015:     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.47   Lance Thomas    Okl  .389    8.7   6.1   1.7    .21  NOP .273    3.3   6.1   2.3   -.31
.45   Draymond Green  GSW  .557   14.8   8.4   3.8   1.23      .491   10.4   8.1   3.0    .77
.45   Lavoy Allen     Ind  .494   11.3  12.6   2.1   1.19      .470    9.0   9.8   2.0    .60
.43  Brandon Jennings Det  .558   22.0   3.4   6.4   1.60      .479   16.1   3.5   7.2   1.05
.43   Jose Barea      Dal  .538   17.5   3.8   9.9   1.73  Min .467   15.0   3.7   7.7    .96

.41   Louis Williams  Tor  .593   25.6   2.4   1.9   1.46  Atl .536   16.5   3.1   4.9    .86
.39   Harrison Barnes GSW  .612   14.7   7.3   2.0    .87      .480   12.1   5.1   1.9    .45
.38   Alex Len        Phx  .647   10.8   9.9    .8    .77      .460    7.7   9.7    .4    .19
.37   Reggie Jackson  Okl  .499   20.3   5.1   7.0   1.53      .521   17.8   5.2   5.7   1.20
.37   Kyle Lowry      Tor  .557   22.0   6.1   8.2   2.05      .557   21.1   5.1   7.8   1.71
GSW have 5 in this top 30; Pacers have 4; Dal, Mia, Mil, Okl, Tor 2 each.

Underachievers relative to last season, who are still getting minutes:

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 2015:    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.16  Kevin Love     Cle  .545   17.3  10.8   2.5  1.45  Min .578   28.9  12.8   4.6   2.59
-.77   Goran Dragic   Phx  .535   16.7   3.6   4.1   .91      .593   24.0   3.5   6.6   1.64
-.76   Chris Copeland Ind  .478   16.0   5.1   1.9   .62      .617   25.2   4.2   2.4   1.42
-.63   J.J. Redick    LAC  .560   16.5   2.4   1.9   .50      .590   22.6   2.8   3.3   1.22
-.55   Channing Frye  Orl  .587   10.2   6.1   1.7   .37  Phx .551   15.3   6.8   1.7    .85

-.53 Lance Stephenson Cha  .415   10.1   9.0   5.1   .82  Ind .558   17.7   7.8   5.1   1.27
-.53   LeBron James   Cle  .568   26.1   6.4   6.8  2.19  Mia .635   33.5   7.2   6.6   2.67
-.49   Eric Gordon    NOP  .483   10.8   2.8   2.3   .24      .532   18.7   3.1   3.5    .88
-.49   Al Jefferson   Cha  .510   22.1   8.9   1.8  1.68      .526   25.5  11.7   2.3   2.10
-.48  Marvin Williams Cha  .574    9.8   5.0   1.5   .21  Uta .536   13.8   7.7   1.6    .82

eW+     per36 2015:    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.46   Brook Lopez    Brk  .544   20.0   7.3    .7  1.29      .614   28.9   7.3   1.1   1.92
-.45 Gerald Henderson Cha  .492   10.2   4.0   1.9   .24      .498   17.4   4.8   2.9    .91
-.44   Caron Butler   Det  .540   10.2   5.7    .8   .21  Okl .510   15.0   6.0   1.9    .75
-.43   Andre Iguodala GSW  .523    9.3   4.0   3.4   .29      .561   12.0   5.3   4.8    .80
-.41   Carlos Boozer  LAL  .512   15.4   9.2   1.9  1.01  Chi .484   20.4  11.7   2.1   1.50

-.39   C.J. Miles     Ind  .326   10.1   2.8   2.5   .09  Cle .563   20.6   4.0   1.7   1.05
-.38   Kemba Walker   Cha  .453   14.7   5.1   4.9  1.03      .491   19.5   4.4   6.0   1.34
-.38   Blake Griffin  LAC  .512   23.7   8.8   4.6  1.86      .569   27.7   9.7   4.4   2.21
-.37   Matt Barnes    LAC  .568   10.7   3.7   1.2   .22      .546   14.1   6.1   2.9    .77
-.37   Andre Drummond Det  .445   12.2  14.5    .5  1.23      .587   16.5  15.9    .5   1.63
Charlotte dominates the downside, with 5 of 20; the Clipps have 3; Cle, Det, Ind 2 each.

Crow
Posts: 6245
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Crow » Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:15 pm

The voters will probably focus on Butler, Thompson and Davis. Davis probably gets it. M Gasol will draw some votes.

Who was it that said on twitter that Love was a perfect fit for Cavs?

Most of the downers have 5+ years in league. The ones that don't, seem to have a change in role, team or coach. Has Kemba's role changed by design or just got Lanced?

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Sun Nov 30, 2014 12:07 pm

Among centers and point guards, improvers outnumber downers by quite a bit.

Code: Select all

up     centers        tm       up    centers        tm      down    centers       tm
.66   Marc Gasol     Mem      .29   DeMarc Cousins Sac      -.49   Al Jefferson  Cha
.62   Roy Hibbert    Ind      .29   Robin Lopez    Por      -.46   Brook Lopez   Brk
.58   Tyson Chandler Dal      .28   Steven Adams   Okl      -.37  Andre Drummond Det
.51   Chris Bosh     Mia      .26   Aron Baynes    SAS      -.32   Joakim Noah   Chi
.38   Alex Len       Phx      .26   Nikola Vucevic Orl      -.30  Chris Andersen Mia
.34  Jon Valanciunas Tor      .25   Rudy Gobert    Uta      -.30   Miles Plumlee Phx
.34   Larry Sanders  Mil      .21   Enes Kanter    Uta      -.25  Nikola Pekovic Min
.32   Ian Mahinmi    Ind      .16   JaVale McGee   Den      -.25   Al Horford    Atl
.31   Chris Kaman    Por      .15  Bismack Biyombo Cha      -.18  DeAndre Jordan LAC
.30   Andrew Bogut   GSW      .15 Kendrick Perkins Okl      -.10   Kosta Koufos  Mem
   
                          
up     point guard   tm        up    point guard    tm      down    point guard   tm
.68   Donald Sloan   Ind      .29   Rodney Stuckey Ind      -.38   Kemba Walker  Cha
.51   Stephen Curry  GSW      .29  Darren Collison Sac      -.35   D.J. Augustin Det
.50   Brandon Knight Mil      .28   Mario Chalmers Mia      -.31   Jordan Farmar LAC
.50   Damian Lillard Por      .28   Isaiah Canaan  Hou      -.30  Ramon Sessions Sac
.49  Dennis Schr÷der Atl      .28   Norris Cole    Mia      -.27 Jimmer Fredette NOP
.43 Brandon Jennings Det      .26   Jarrett Jack   Brk      -.17   Sh Livingston GSW
.43   Jose Barea     Dal      .25   A.J. Price     Ind      -.17   Jameer Nelson Dal
.37   Reggie Jackson Okl      .25   Jeff Teague    Atl      -.15   Chris Paul    LAC
.37   Kyle Lowry     Tor      .22 Patrick Beverley Hou      -.15  Jerryd Bayless Mil
.34   Derrick Rose   Chi      .20   Rajon Rondo    Bos      -.15   Jeremy Lin    LAL
.30   Aaron Brooks   Chi                        
I wonder how other metrics have (or have not) registered this.

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:08 am

At .244 of the season. This year's rates and last year's rates.
eW+ = (e484'15 - e484'14)*Min'15/484

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 2015      tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.28  Kobe Bryant     LAL  .480   23.5   5.3   4.3   1.58      .497   16.4   4.8   7.2    .75
1.09  Jimmy Butler    Chi  .585   21.1   5.1   3.2   1.48      .509   14.4   5.0   2.4    .74
1.03  Klay Thompson   GSW  .570   25.6   4.1   4.2   1.87      .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
.98  Gi Antetokounmpo Mil  .533   16.5   8.2   2.6   1.21      .506   10.0   6.6   2.5    .41
.91   Tyson Chandler  Dal  .705   15.1  14.9   1.8   1.74  NYK .601   12.4  12.5   1.3   1.06

.84 Dennis Schroeder  Atl  .596   20.2   3.5   6.0   1.43      .437    9.2   3.2   4.9    .12
.84   Draymond Green  GSW  .573   16.7   8.3   3.8   1.43      .491   10.4   8.1   3.0    .77
.82   Marc Gasol      Mem  .565   23.0   9.0   4.1   2.03      .517   18.2   8.9   3.8   1.46
.80   Anthony Davis   NOP  .609   26.4  10.8   1.6   2.53      .569   23.7  11.1   1.5   1.96
.78   James Harden    Hou  .566   28.8   6.5   7.2   2.47      .602   27.8   4.7   6.2   1.96

eW+    per36 2015      tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.73   Brandon Knight  Mil  .570   22.0   5.7   6.0   1.64      .515   20.2   4.0   4.7   1.14
.68   Stephen Curry   GSW  .625   30.3   5.5   9.3   2.77      .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24
.68   Damian Lillard  Por  .593   23.8   5.2   7.0   2.00      .559   23.1   3.6   5.9   1.52
.66   Donald Sloan    Ind  .479   14.1   5.1   5.5    .96      .433   10.0   4.0   4.6    .39
.65 Marreese Speights GSW  .569   27.5   9.9   1.9   2.27      .499   18.5  10.3   1.1   1.19

.64   Harrison Barnes GSW  .616   14.9   7.3   1.9    .99      .480   12.1   5.1   1.9    .45
.64   Kyle Lowry      Tor  .555   23.3   5.5   8.1   2.16      .557   21.1   5.1   7.8   1.71
.63   Solomon Hill    Ind  .491   13.2   6.0   2.0    .61      .540    8.4   6.4   1.9    .15
.59   Roy Hibbert     Ind  .511   16.9  10.3   2.1   1.53      .490   14.9   8.6   1.5    .91
.58   Monta Ellis     Dal  .534   23.5   2.9   5.4   1.61      .523   19.9   3.7   5.8   1.23

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: most improved 2014-15

Post by Mike G » Tue Dec 16, 2014 9:46 pm

Kobe is off the list, as I've inserted his 2012-13 numbers into the "last year" columns.
The season is at .294 of completion.

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '14  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.37  Jimmy Butler    Chi  .581   20.8   5.5   3.1   1.50      .509   14.4   5.0   2.4    .74
1.23  Klay Thompson   GSW  .569   25.5   3.8   4.1   1.83      .550   21.1   3.2   2.4   1.04
1.14 Gi Antetokounmpo Mil  .537   16.7   8.3   2.4   1.23      .506   10.0   6.6   2.5    .41
1.02  Draymond Green  GSW  .572   16.0   8.4   3.6   1.42      .491   10.4   8.1   3.0    .77
.98   Marc Gasol      Mem  .566   23.0   8.6   4.2   2.05      .517   18.2   8.9   3.8   1.46

.98  Dennis Schroeder Atl  .538   18.4   4.1   6.1   1.31      .437    9.2   3.2   4.9    .12
.94   James Harden    Hou  .563   29.2   6.4   7.1   2.49      .602   27.8   4.7   6.2   1.96
.85   Anthony Davis   NOP  .607   26.0  10.9   1.6   2.50      .569   23.7  11.1   1.5   1.96
.84   Tyson Chandler  Dal  .689   14.0  14.3   1.6   1.61  NYK .601   12.4  12.5   1.3   1.06
.82   Damian Lillard  Por  .576   23.8   5.3   6.5   1.97      .559   23.1   3.6   5.9   1.52

eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '14  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.75   Harrison Barnes GSW  .620   14.3   7.2   2.0    .96      .480   12.1   5.1   1.9    .45
.74   Stephen Curry   GSW  .621   30.2   5.4   9.1   2.71      .601   28.9   4.3   8.5   2.24
.70   Solomon Hill    Ind  .480   12.2   5.9   2.3    .57      .540    8.4   6.4   1.9    .15
.69   Donald Sloan    Ind  .478   13.9   5.0   5.3    .93      .433   10.0   4.0   4.6    .39
.68   Brandon Knight  Mil  .560   21.4   5.6   5.8   1.55      .515   20.2   4.0   4.7   1.14

.68   Jeff Teague     Atl  .577   22.2   3.0   8.5   1.77      .531   20.4   3.0   7.4   1.34
.68   Kyle Lowry      Tor  .541   22.1   5.3   8.7   2.09      .557   21.1   5.1   7.8   1.71
.68   Chris Bosh      Mia  .562   23.3   9.4   2.2   1.87      .588   22.0   8.2   1.4   1.46
.65 Marreese Speights GSW  .566   25.4   9.9   1.6   2.04      .499   18.5  10.3   1.1   1.19
.64   Kyle Korver     Atl  .733   17.5   4.7   3.6   1.18      .648   15.6   4.3   3.1    .79
Four of these 20 'improvers' have seen a drop in shooting%, but all are scoring more.
16 of 20 are also up (or unchanged) in Reb; just one has a drop in Ast rate, barely.

Meanwhile, Kevin Love is running away with the other end. He's not shooting badly, just not as often; and his assists are half what they were.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  2014 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.61  Kevin Love      Cle  .570   18.7  11.4   2.3  1.65  Min .578   28.9  12.8   4.6   2.59
-1.20  Chris Copeland  Ind  .482   14.5   4.6   1.8   .46      .617   25.2   4.2   2.4   1.42
-.94   Channing Frye   Orl  .564    9.1   6.2   1.4   .32  Phx .551   15.3   6.8   1.7    .85
-.87   Caron Butler    Det  .517    8.9   4.9    .8   .05  Okl .510   15.0   6.0   1.9    .75
-.79  Lance Stephenson Cha  .421   10.8   8.1   4.6   .79  Ind .558   17.7   7.8   5.1   1.27

-.78   D.J. Augustin   Det  .476   13.9   2.9   4.7   .60  Chi .562   21.4   2.5   5.6   1.26
-.75   Al Jefferson    Cha  .499   20.2   9.3   1.9  1.64      .526   25.5  11.7   2.3   2.10
-.73   Marvin Williams Cha  .566    9.5   4.9   1.2   .16  Uta .536   13.8   7.7   1.6    .82
-.71   Goran Dragic    Phx  .576   18.7   3.8   4.8  1.19      .593   24.0   3.5   6.6   1.64
-.70  Gerald Henderson Cha  .520   11.5   3.7   1.6   .26      .498   17.4   4.8   2.9    .91

-.68   LeBron James    Cle  .574   26.9   5.8   7.7  2.28  Mia .635   33.5   7.2   6.6   2.67
-.65   Shawn Marion    Cle  .488    7.6   5.6   1.6   .20  Dal .534   12.7   7.8   2.0    .76
-.60   Andre Iguodala  GSW  .495    8.9   4.0   3.6   .34      .561   12.0   5.3   4.8    .80
-.55   Brook Lopez     Brk  .528   20.0   7.5    .9  1.37      .614   28.9   7.3   1.1   1.92
-.54   Eric Gordon     NOP  .483   10.5   2.8   2.3   .18      .532   18.7   3.1   3.5    .88

-.53   J.J. Redick     LAC  .612   18.9   2.4   2.1   .86      .590   22.6   2.8   3.3   1.22
-.53   Arron Afflalo   Den  .565   16.8   3.7   1.8   .75  Orl .564   21.2   3.8   3.2   1.08
-.52   Avery Bradley   Bos  .500   14.3   2.7   1.1   .40      .506   18.1   4.7   1.6    .80
-.50   Miles Plumlee   Phx  .537    8.1   9.0   1.0   .53      .522   12.5  12.2    .9    .95
-.50   Carmelo Anthony NYK  .534   24.3   7.2   2.9  1.77      .552   29.0   8.1   2.9   2.06
The East has 11 of the bottom 12.

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