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Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2018 5:35 pm
by RyanRiot
Are there any publicly available opponent-adjusted pace/tempo stats available for the NBA? Everywhere I've looked seems to only have raw pace numbers. I know for NCAA Kenpom has AdjT, but I haven't found anything similar for the NBA.

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2018 6:10 pm
by nbacouchside
RyanRiot wrote:
Fri Oct 26, 2018 5:35 pm
Are there any publicly available opponent-adjusted pace/tempo stats available for the NBA? Everywhere I've looked seems to only have raw pace numbers. I know for NCAA Kenpom has AdjT, but I haven't found anything similar for the NBA.
This would be very useful.

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2018 8:23 pm
by RyanRiot
I have an idea for a straightforward implementation of this based on Sports-Reference's Simple Rating System, but I can't seem to get it to calculate correctly.

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2018 12:25 am
by sndesai1
isn't the easiest approach to use the 2 teams playing as the predictors and the # of possessions as the dependent and then just do a basic linear regression?

it would definitely be nice to have, but the gap between pace and opp-adj pace should be significantly less than it is for college

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:04 am
by Crow

Re: Opponent-adjusted pace?

Posted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:00 pm
by kmedved
As mentioned in that twitter post, I publish this (and update it daily) at the following Google docs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... edit#gid=0

I basically just use the same method as SRS to do the calculations. All pace data is from Basketball-reference, so it's not True Pace, but close enough. I've run this for every day of the season for every year since 2001, so let me know if you need any particular cut (I'm more responsive to @kmedved on Twitter).

I will be adding opponent adjusted four factors data to that sheet as well, hopefully in the next week or so.