2019 playoffs, East round 1

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Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:23 pm

D Russell gets more passes to him than he gives out by almost 50% according to nba.com. And that is after bring up the ball and starting with it most times. Passes to him in playoffs so far are down by about as much as passes from him though.

Mike G
Posts: 4413
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Sat Apr 20, 2019 11:01 am

Raptors 2 , Magic 1
avg score 103.3 - 93
Pyth wins 2.41 - .59 , eWins 1.95 - 1.05

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.56   Pascal Siakam  Tor   40  .589   25.6   9.1   3.2   .3    .3   .6   2.22
.50   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   35  .595   33.0   7.0   4.4  1.1   4.0   .0   2.32
.33   Marc Gasol     Tor   27  .738   19.1   5.4   5.2  3.7    .0   .0   1.97
.30   Kyle Lowry     Tor   37  .493   11.9   5.2   9.8  1.7   2.4   .7   1.32
.24   Nikola Vucevic Orl   33  .488   14.1  10.6   4.3   .4   3.8  1.9   1.16

.22   Aaron Gordon   Orl   34  .548   15.1   8.1   4.1  1.5   2.9   .4   1.06
.21   D.J. Augustin  Orl   28  .651   20.4   2.2   4.6   .9   1.7   .4   1.20
.20   Terrence Ross  Orl   28  .551   20.3   4.9   1.1  1.6   1.6   .4   1.14
.14   Serge Ibaka    Tor   21  .480   12.4  12.1   1.8   .0   1.6  2.0   1.05
.13   Jonathan Isaac Orl   31  .455   10.5   7.7    .4   .8    .4  2.0    .68

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.07   Danny Green    Tor   30  .520   11.4   4.1   2.4   .8   1.7  1.2    .38
.05   M C-Williams   Orl   20  .444    9.9   9.9   2.7   .0   2.7   .0    .37
.03   Norman Powell  Tor   19  .425    9.0   5.7    .7  1.7    .6   .0    .28
.02   Khem Birch     Orl   15  .444    7.3  11.0    .6   .7   2.1   .0    .23
.01   Fred VanVleet  Tor   24  .455    9.1   2.3   4.4   .0   1.9   .5    .06

-.00  Evan Fournier  Orl   35  .375    9.2   3.2   2.1  1.4   2.1   .0   -.01
-.01  Wesley Iwundu  Orl   11  .455    8.4   3.7   1.7   .9   1.8   .0   -.14
shooting: Tor .549 - .490 Orl
rebounds: Orl 45.0 - 43.3 Tor
turnovers: Tor 11.0 - 14.7 Orl


Celtics 3 , Pacers 0
avg score 95.7 - 87.0
Pyth wins 2.34 - .66, eWins 1.92 - 1.08

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.73   Kyrie Irving   Bos   37  .567   32.1   5.4   9.4   1.3   2.5  1.0   3.14
.36   Jayson Tatum   Bos   35  .596   26.7   5.0   1.6   1.4   2.6   .3   1.64
.29   Thaddeus Young Ind   32  .452   11.8   7.2   4.6   4.3   1.7  1.1   1.44
.28   Al Horford     Bos   35  .508   12.4  10.4   5.6    .7   3.0  1.1   1.27
.25 Bojan Bogdanovic Ind   37  .476   15.6   4.9   2.6   2.7   1.5   .0   1.07

.19   Tyreke Evans   Ind   19  .571   23.8   8.2   1.1    .6   2.5   .5   1.53
.18   Jaylen Brown   Bos   30  .660   17.7   8.8   1.0    .4   2.6   .4    .94
.16 Domantas Sabonis Ind   25  .400    7.6   9.2   6.2   1.4   1.5   .4   1.01
.13   Marcus Morris  Bos   25  .463   15.1   8.3   1.1    .0   1.0   .0    .86
.11   Gordon Hayward Bos   30  .483   12.2   6.5   2.3    .8   1.6   .0    .57

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   Myles Turner   Ind   31  .473    9.7   7.0   2.3    .0   1.3  1.9    .56
.10   Terry Rozier   Bos   19  .419   11.0   7.7   7.0    .0   3.7   .6    .83
.07   Cory Joseph    Ind   22  .625   13.4   2.9    .9   1.5    .0   .0    .51
.05   Aron Baynes    Bos   20  .643    7.7   9.0   2.3    .6   2.0  1.3    .41
.01   Doug McDermott Ind   10  .250    3.9   5.2   4.2    .0    .0  1.0    .20

.01  Darren Collison Ind   28  .453   11.8   2.6   4.9    .0   3.9   .0    .05
.01   Daniel Theis   Bos    7  .333    4.9   8.8    .0   1.4    .0   .0    .19
.01  Wesley Matthews Ind   30  .510   10.1   3.2   2.4    .8   2.7   .4    .03
shooting: Bos .534 - .478 Ind
rebounds: Bos 49.3 - 39.3 Ind
turnovers: Ind 12.0 - 15.7 Bos

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Sat Apr 20, 2019 2:40 pm

T Youngs' playofff assist rate and assists per 100 possessions are about 50% higher than ever before with Oladipo missing.

3 straight very strong playoff BPM ratings. He should be highly sought as a free agent despite turning 31 this June.

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Sat Apr 20, 2019 9:59 pm

Nets change starting lineup but not quite to what I suggested. I don't think it worked that way.

Mike G
Posts: 4413
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:17 am

Bucks 3 , Pistons 0
avg score 120 - 96
Pyth wins 2.85 - .15 , eWins 2.18 - .82

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.43   Giannis A       Mil   27  .538   28.8  16.1   5.9    .9   4.8   .9   2.57
.42   Eric Bledsoe    Mil   28  .587   28.1   5.2   8.4   2.6   2.3   .4   2.43
.39   Khris Middleton Mil   29  .617   26.0   6.9   7.8    .8   2.2   .0   2.10
.25   Brook Lopez     Mil   31  .661   17.8   5.8   2.3    .4    .8  3.6   1.32
.23   Andre Drummond  Det   31  .447   13.3  13.9   1.6   1.9   3.6  1.9   1.15

.20   Pat Connaughton Mil   29  .711   14.7   8.0   2.8    .0    .8  2.0   1.14
.19   Reggie Jackson  Det   25  .479   18.4   4.3   7.1   1.0   2.5   .0   1.22
.18   Sterling Brown  Mil   25  .828   15.2   4.5   5.1   1.9   1.5  1.5   1.17
.17   Luke Kennard    Det   33  .628   17.6   4.8   1.5    .4    .7   .0    .83
.17   George Hill     Mil   24  .544   14.1   4.3   6.6    .5    .5   .9   1.13

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.14   Blake Griffin   Det   10  .509   28.3   7.4   4.8   2.4   2.4   .0   2.13
.10   Ersan Ilyasova  Mil   21  .600    9.7   8.7   3.1    .0   1.1  1.6    .73
.03   Ish Smith       Det   23  .324    6.8   3.9   4.6   1.0   1.5   .5    .24
.02   Glenn Robinson  Det   11  .382    9.0   6.1   1.4   2.0   1.0   .0    .36
.01   Thon Maker      Det   18  .348    6.8   3.5   1.4    .0    .7  2.6    .05

.00 Langston Galloway Det   26  .457    7.1   5.0    .3    .0    .9  1.7    .02
-.00  Bruce Brown     Det   14  .550    8.2   2.2   1.1   1.6   1.7   .8   -.03
-.00  Wayne Ellington Det   34  .433    7.0   4.1    .8   1.1    .7   .0   -.01
-.00  Nikola Mirotic  Mil   14  .462   12.1   2.8   1.9    .0   3.3   .0   -.04
shooting: Mil .597 - .459 Det
rebounds: Mil 53.0 - 44.3 Det
turnovers: Det 10.3 - 13.0 Mil


Sixers 3 , Nets 1
avg score 122.5 - 114.3
Pyth wins 2.87 - 1.13 , eWins 2.43 - 1.57

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.63   Joel Embiid     Phl   19  .585   37.1  18.5   5.0   1.4   5.0  5.2   3.90
.52   Ben Simmons     Phl   35  .646   20.7   7.2   7.3   1.6   3.5  1.5   1.80
.44   Tobias Harris   Phl   38  .585   17.9   8.2   3.6    .7    .8   .5   1.41
.43   Caris LeVert    Brk   28  .608   27.2   6.1   2.9   1.3   2.0   .6   1.84
.37   Jimmy Butler    Phl   33  .560   18.1   5.0   4.4   2.0   1.2   .5   1.38

.33   Jarrett Allen   Brk   22  .691   22.8  10.5   3.9   1.3   3.2   .9   1.82
.31  D'Angelo Russell Brk   30  .486   23.0   4.7   3.9   1.5   4.1   .3   1.25
.27  Boban Marjanovic Phl   16  .635   27.5  12.3   2.8   1.1   4.5  1.6   2.07
.17 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   27  .574   21.1   3.7   1.1    .3   2.3   .0    .76
.15   R H-Jefferson   Brk   12  .508   20.6   7.1   3.0    .7   1.5  2.3   1.56

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Ed Davis        Brk   10  .727   14.8  15.4   1.4    .0    .0   .9   1.50
.11   Greg Monroe     Phl    9  .412   10.3  14.4   1.8   3.1    .0  1.0   1.54
.05   T.J. McConnell  Phl    8  .636   16.0    .0   4.0   1.1    .0   .0    .75
.02   Mike Scott      Phl   26  .500    7.2   5.6    .6   1.0    .3   .0    .08
.01   Rodions Kurucs  Brk   14  .393    5.3   8.8   1.2    .7   1.4   .0    .07

.01   James Ennis     Phl   13  .607   11.0   6.7    .6    .7   3.4   .0    .06
.00   J.J. Redick     Phl   29  .548   16.6    .9   1.1    .0   3.6   .3    .02
.00   DeMarre Carroll Brk   26  .368    5.9   6.3    .6   1.4   1.1   .0    .01
-.01  Jared Dudley    Brk   16  .600    6.6    .5   4.2   1.1   1.7   .6   -.09
-.03  Joe Harris      Brk   30  .486    8.8   4.2    .8    .6   1.9   .0   -.11
-.07  Treveon Graham  Brk   17  .292    2.0   4.5    .9   1.0   1.6   .0   -.54
shooting: Phl .570 - .540 Brk
rebounds: Phl 52.0 - 40.5 Brk
turnovers: Brk 14.0 - 15.3 Phl

Crow
Posts: 6148
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Sun Apr 21, 2019 5:18 pm

Atkinson spun thru 66 lineups in first 3 games. (Yesterday's game data not yet posted on BRef.) Less than 26% of the selections are positive. But I hear he is a good or great coach. Has used an average of 17 new, not yet used in playoffs lineups every game. Might be acceptable if it worked. It hasn't much.

Mike G
Posts: 4413
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Sun Apr 21, 2019 6:33 pm

Best playoffs in the East after 3 games or 4 (Phl, Brk)

Code: Select all

eW/G   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.242   Kyrie Irving  Bos   37  .567   32.1   5.4   9.4   1.3   2.5  1.0   3.14
.185   Pascal Siakam Tor   40  .589   25.6   9.1   3.2    .3    .3   .6   2.22
.168   Kawhi Leonard Tor   35  .595   33.0   7.0   4.4   1.1   4.0   .0   2.32
.156   Joel Embiid   Phl   19  .585   37.1  18.5   5.0   1.4   5.0  5.2   3.90
.144   Giannis A     Mil   27  .538   28.8  16.1   5.9    .9   4.8   .9   2.57

.140   Eric Bledsoe  Mil   28  .587   28.1   5.2   8.4   2.6   2.3   .4   2.43
.131   Ben Simmons   Phl   35  .646   20.7   7.2   7.3   1.6   3.5  1.5   1.80
.129 Khris Middleton Mil   29  .617   26.0   6.9   7.8    .8   2.2   .0   2.10
.121   Jayson Tatum  Bos   35  .596   26.7   5.0   1.6   1.4   2.6   .3   1.64
.110   Tobias Harris Phl   38  .585   17.9   8.2   3.6    .7    .8   .5   1.41

eW/G   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.110   Marc Gasol    Tor   27  .738   19.1   5.4   5.2   3.7    .0   .0   1.97
.108   Caris LeVert  Brk   28  .608   27.2   6.1   2.9   1.3   2.0   .6   1.84
.101   Kyle Lowry    Tor   37  .493   11.9   5.2   9.8   1.7   2.4   .7   1.32

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:06 pm

10 of 11 most used player pairs by Nets are negative.

The best pairs involve Dinwiddie LeVert Carroll and Dudley. They are almost exclusively the players in the only positive lineups among the 20 most used. Put all four together and they are the only positive quad in top 9. 5 of the most used 6 quads are stupendously awful (-55 to 65 pts per 100 possessions). While doing that Atkinson has only used his best performing quad in 2 of 4 games. Makes no sense to me. Would be hard to have worse results and a worst looking underplay. The best performing playoff quad got zero seconds of play in latest loss. 2 or 3 of 4 but never all 4.

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:22 pm

Sabonis with the worst Pacers on the court plus minus per 100 possessions before today and another awful plus minus today. Decent boxscore today. Hadn't been shooting well before.

T Young neutral before today and will probably end up around there. No else anywhere close.

Mike G
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Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Mon Apr 22, 2019 1:24 am

When your team is completely overmatched, lineups aren't going to save you. You rest players as needed, go with who is hot, etc. Pacers and Nets never had a chance in these matchups. All lineups get slaughtered, other than briefly being lucky.

Mike G
Posts: 4413
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Mon Apr 22, 2019 10:40 am

Celtics 4 , Pacers 0
avg score 99.8 - 91.3
Pyth wins 2.96 - 1.04 , eWins 2.48 - 1.52

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.77   Kyrie Irving   Bos   37  .539   26.9   4.6   9.3   1.2   2.7   .7   2.49
.45   Jayson Tatum   Bos   36  .588   25.4   5.8   1.8   1.3   3.1   .3   1.52
.37   Al Horford     Bos   35  .427   11.9  11.2   6.0    .5   2.9   .8   1.28
.36 Bojan Bogdanovic Ind   37  .503   17.6   5.7   2.6   2.0   1.6   .0   1.18
.33   Thaddeus Young Ind   33  .462   11.1   7.9   4.2   3.1   1.5   .8   1.23

.26   Jaylen Brown   Bos   29  .657   18.9   8.7   1.1    .3   2.4   .3   1.05
.25   Tyreke Evans   Ind   21  .555   24.9   6.5   1.1    .8   2.5   .4   1.46
.24   Gordon Hayward Bos   31  .605   17.3   5.6   2.2   1.1   2.1   .3    .94
.24   Marcus Morris  Bos   26  .538   18.1   8.4    .8    .0    .7   .0   1.10
.23 Domantas Sabonis Ind   24  .472   11.1   9.9   5.3   1.0   1.8   .3   1.13

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.16   Myles Turner   Ind   32  .470   10.6   7.3   1.7    .0    .9  1.9    .62
.15  Darren Collison Ind   29  .500   15.1   3.8   5.0    .6   3.4   .0    .62
.14   Terry Rozier   Bos   19  .509   14.4   6.1   5.6    .9   3.7   .4    .91
.08   Cory Joseph    Ind   21  .600   12.6   2.7   1.5   1.5    .0   .0    .47
.04   Aron Baynes    Bos   19  .688    7.4   7.9   1.7   1.0   2.1  1.0    .22

.01   Doug McDermott Ind    7  .250    3.7   5.2   4.1    .0    .0  1.0    .17
-.00  T.J. Leaf      Ind    3  .250    3.5   9.0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.07
-.00  Daniel Theis   Bos    7  .333    3.6   7.8    .0   1.1    .0   .0   -.08
-.02  Aaron Holiday  Ind    3  .500   10.7    .0    .0    .0   2.4   .0   -.68
-.04 Wesley Matthews Ind   30  .444    7.8   3.1   2.5    .9   2.7   .3   -.16
shooting: Bos .546 - .489 Ind
rebounds: Bos 47.8 - 40.3 Ind
turnovers: Ind 12.0 - 16.0 Bos


Raptors 3 , Magic 1
avg score 104.3 - 91.0
Pyth wins 3.44 - .56 , eWins 2.72 - 1.28

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.77   Kawhi Leonard Tor   35  .622   37.6   7.1   3.9   1.3   3.3   .5   2.69
.62   Pascal Siakam Tor   39  .586   24.7   8.6   3.0    .2    .7   .7   1.92
.39   Aaron Gordon  Orl   35  .591   18.8   8.0   4.1   1.3   2.4   .3   1.35
.36   Kyle Lowry    Tor   38  .494   11.4   5.0   9.8   2.2   3.3   .5   1.16
.36   Marc Gasol    Tor   26  .688   15.3   6.5   4.9   3.5    .0   .7   1.65

.27   Serge Ibaka   Tor   21  .578   17.3  12.9   1.9    .0   1.6  2.0   1.52
.25  Nikola Vucevic Orl   33  .455   13.0   9.6   3.7    .6   3.4  1.4    .92
.21   D.J. Augustin Orl   29  .645   18.1   2.3   4.3    .6   1.9   .3    .87
.16   Terrence Ross Orl   29  .535   16.4   4.3   1.6   1.5   2.1   .3    .67
.14   Norman Powell Tor   19  .559   16.1   6.1   1.0   1.3    .4   .0    .88

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.12   Danny Green   Tor   29  .515   11.9   3.9   2.7   1.3   1.3  1.0    .51
.11  Jonathan Isaac Orl   27  .405    8.5   8.8    .6    .7   1.0  1.7    .50
.07   Fred VanVleet Tor   24  .500   11.3   2.6   5.1    .4   1.8   .4    .38
.06   M C-Williams  Orl   19  .453    9.8   9.2   2.9    .4   3.1   .0    .37
.05   Khem Birch    Orl   16  .531    9.0  10.8    .5    .5   2.1   .5    .39

.05   Evan Fournier Orl   35  .426   11.9   3.5   2.0   1.3   2.6   .0    .17
-.00  Wesley Iwundu Orl   12  .400    6.7   3.4   2.5   1.3   1.3   .0   -.05
-.01  Jodie Meeks   Tor    5  .231    3.1   4.9   1.9   1.6   1.6   .0   -.30
shooting: Tor .569 - .489 Orl
rebounds: Tor 43.8 - 42.3 Orl
turnovers: Tor 11.8 - 15.3 Orl

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Tue Apr 23, 2019 1:09 am

I like Sabonis but he is in the bottom end of playoff only RAPM estimates too.

Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Tue Apr 23, 2019 11:37 am

Bucks 4 , Pistons 0
avg score: 121.8 - 98.0
Pyth wins 3.79 - .21 , eWins 2.89 - 1.11

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.71   Antetokounmpo   Mil   28  .568   34.4  14.8   5.3   1.0   3.9  2.0   3.03
.52   Eric Bledsoe    Mil   28  .597   26.4   5.0   8.2   2.7   2.5   .7   2.27
.44   Khris Middleton Mil   30  .618   24.9   6.5   6.1    .6   2.0   .0   1.80
.32   Reggie Jackson  Det   27  .518   21.2   4.0   6.7   1.0   1.8   .0   1.43
.32   Brook Lopez     Mil   30  .676   16.2   6.1   2.9    .3   1.3  4.4   1.27

.29   Andre Drummond  Det   32  .442   12.8  13.6   1.8   1.7   3.4  1.4   1.09
.27   Sterling Brown  Mil   26  .702   13.6   7.8   6.2   1.8   2.3  1.1   1.25
.22   Blake Griffin   Det   15  .576   29.5   6.9   5.1   1.3   4.0   .0   1.86
.21   Pat Connaughton Mil   28  .706   12.5   7.9   2.5    .3   1.0  1.6    .89
.18   George Hill     Mil   23  .585   14.0   3.8   6.0    .7   1.2   .7    .94

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.17   Luke Kennard    Det   33  .600   15.1   3.9   1.3    .8    .9   .3    .61
.13   Ersan Ilyasova  Mil   20  .524    8.4  10.5   3.9    .0   1.3  1.2    .75
.06   Tim Frazier     Mil    5  .643   15.3   7.3   7.3   1.6   1.7   .0   1.40
.05   Khyri Thomas    Det    4  .560   25.8   3.8    .0   4.2    .0   .0   1.73
.04   D.J. Wilson     Mil    7  .722   18.0   6.6   4.1    .0   5.0   .0    .66

.03   Nikola Mirotic  Mil   15  .545   15.7   3.6   1.9    .0   3.5   .0    .26
.03   Ish Smith       Det   20  .300    5.9   4.1   4.2   1.2   1.7   .4    .16
.02 Langston Galloway Det   28  .456    7.4   4.2    .9    .6    .7  1.2    .09
.02   Glenn Robinson  Det    9  .382    8.1   5.7   1.3   1.8    .9   .0    .24
.00   Zaza Pachulia   Det    6  .357    4.8  12.0    .0    .0   1.5   .0    .07

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.00  Thon Maker      Det   17  .361    7.5   4.2   1.5    .0   1.6  2.0   -.02
-.01  Bruce Brown     Det   14  .433    6.0   4.5    .9   1.2   1.3   .6   -.09
-.02  Wayne Ellington Det   33  .431    6.4   3.8   1.0    .8    .6   .0   -.06
shooting: Mil .607 - .467 Det
rebounds: Mil 53.3 - 42.3 Det
turnovers: Det 10.5 - 14.5 Mil

Mike G
Posts: 4413
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Wed Apr 24, 2019 10:25 am

Sixers 4 , Nets 1
avg score 122.4 - 111.4
Pyth wins 3.89 - 1.11, eWins 3.19 - 1.81

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.84   Joel Embiid     Phl   19  .586   38.8  19.5   4.7   1.5   4.8  4.1   4.14
.61   Ben Simmons     Phl   33  .632   20.3   7.1   7.4   1.3   3.4  1.3   1.77
.60   Tobias Harris   Phl   35  .603   18.4   8.6   3.9   1.3    .6   .4   1.63
.48   Caris LeVert    Brk   29  .600   25.3   5.4   3.0   1.2   2.6   .5   1.60
.44   Jimmy Butler    Phl   31  .552   17.0   5.3   4.8   2.3   2.0   .7   1.35

.35   Jarrett Allen   Brk   22  .655   19.4  10.9   3.0   1.0   2.8  1.0   1.53
.32  Boban Marjanovic Phl   15  .635   25.9  12.9   3.9    .9   5.0  1.3   2.02
.30  D'Angelo Russell Brk   30  .447   18.9   4.2   3.8   1.7   3.6   .3    .97
.27   R H-Jefferson   Brk   12  .582   27.7   6.2   2.7    .5   1.7  2.8   2.05
.22   Shabazz Napier  Brk    6  .800   35.5   7.9  10.6   1.2    .0   .0   3.70

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.14 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   26  .529   16.8   3.2   1.7    .5   2.2   .0    .50
.13   Greg Monroe     Phl    8  .442   12.6  14.4   1.5   3.4   1.8   .8   1.52
.12   Ed Davis        Brk    8  .727   14.3  14.7   1.3    .0    .0   .8   1.42
.11   Rodions Kurucs  Brk   14  .510   11.4  10.2   1.3   1.1   1.1   .0    .74
.10   T.J. McConnell  Phl   11  .526   11.2   2.4   6.2   1.3    .0   .6    .88

.06   James Ennis     Phl   15  .636   13.7   6.2   1.7    .9   2.9   .0    .40
.05  Jonathon Simmons Phl    7  .500   18.0   4.6   1.8    .0   2.0   .0    .67
.05   Furkan Korkmaz  Phl    5  .519   19.9   2.6   2.5    .0   1.4  1.4    .93
.04   Theo Pinson     Brk    4  .563   12.5   4.3   3.7   3.0   1.6   .0    .86
.03   J.J. Redick     Phl   29  .567   16.8    .7   1.4    .0   3.0   .3    .11

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00   DeMarre Carroll Brk   24  .393    6.9   5.7    .5   1.2   1.0   .0    .00
-.01  Mike Scott      Phl   24  .483    6.8   6.1    .5    .9    .9   .0   -.02
-.02  Dzanan Musa     Brk    3  .667    9.5    .0    .0   4.4   6.9   .0   -.71
-.03  Jonah Bolden    Phl    8  .455    7.3   7.2    .0    .0   3.5   .8   -.31
-.04  Joe Harris      Brk   30  .468    8.6   4.9    .6    .7   2.3   .0   -.14

-.05  Jared Dudley    Brk   16  .462    4.2    .8   4.0   1.3   1.8   .4   -.31
-.09  Treveon Graham  Brk   16  .269    1.6   4.4   1.1    .9   1.3   .4   -.54
shooting: Phl .572 - .526 Brk
rebounds: Phl 52.8 - 40.6

turnovers: Brk 14.2 - 16.2 Phl


Raptors 4 , Magic 1
avg score 106.4 - 92.0
Pyth wins 4.37 - .63 , eWins 3.43 - 1.57

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.96   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   34  .668   38.8   7.1   3.6   1.3   3.1   .4   2.72
.76   Pascal Siakam  Tor   38  .595   25.8   8.1   3.4    .2   1.0   .7   1.94
.48   Kyle Lowry     Tor   35  .533   13.2   5.0  10.3   2.1   3.2   .4   1.31
.42   Marc Gasol     Tor   26  .677   15.6   7.8   4.6   2.9    .6   .8   1.58
.37   Aaron Gordon   Orl   33  .531   17.1   8.2   3.7   1.4   3.0   .2   1.09

.32   Serge Ibaka    Tor   21  .580   18.0  11.8   2.3    .7   1.7  1.6   1.50
.27   D.J. Augustin  Orl   28  .653   19.2   2.1   4.5    .5   1.9   .3    .93
.26   Nikola Vucevic Orl   29  .431   12.3  10.2   3.6    .5   3.3  1.2    .85
.21   Norman Powell  Tor   19  .571   17.5   6.3   1.6   1.4    .4   .0   1.07
.17   Terrence Ross  Orl   29  .528   15.5   4.3   1.5   1.4   2.4   .5    .56

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.16   Danny Green    Tor   29  .526   11.2   4.4   3.0   1.6   1.3   .7    .54
.14   Khem Birch     Orl   18  .605   10.3  11.5   1.3    .4   2.2  1.8    .74
.14   Fred VanVleet  Tor   23  .486   11.2   2.4   7.6    .3   2.1   .3    .57
.10   M C-Williams   Orl   18  .471   11.3   7.4   4.1   1.1   3.0   .0    .54
.07   Wesley Iwundu  Orl   12  .533   13.2   3.9   2.0   1.7   1.1   .0    .53

.07   Jonathan Isaac Orl   27  .375    7.0   8.5    .5    .5   1.4  1.3    .23
.04   Evan Fournier  Orl   35  .425   11.2   3.4   2.0   1.5   2.6   .0    .12
.03   Jarell Martin  Orl    4  .500   16.9   3.7   1.7    .0    .0  1.8    .93
.02   Melvin Frazier Orl    3  .417    9.0   8.7    .0   2.2    .0   .0    .61
.02   Jerian Grant   Orl    3  .238    7.0   9.3   6.6    .0   2.4   .0    .60

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00   Jodie Meeks    Tor    6  .258    5.5   6.1   1.2   1.0   1.0  1.0    .00
-.00  Jeremy Lin     Tor    2  .600   20.4   5.4   3.1    .0  11.0   .0   -.13
shooting: Tor .576 - .489 Orl
rebounds: Tor 44.6 - 43.4 Orl
turnovers: Tor 12.2 - 15.6 Orl

Crow
Posts: 6148
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 24, 2019 11:07 pm

Nets, lose 4-1 with one close loss.

Two most used lineups were horrible and atrocious respectively.

5 of the next 8 most used lineups were positive but under-utilized.


The pair likely considered the core for the future Russell-Allen was -29 points per 100 possessions.

What worked best was LeVert with old vets. They may move on from those old vets.

Russell was -5 on BPM and very low on RPM too (as mentioned before). Team performance with his subs was 43 points better per 100 possessions. Weak shooter at the rim and weak from deep too.

Pay him huge to retain? Do that and you'll convince me that that you aren't going up much. Efg% this playoffs was far worse than any regular season so far in his career. A star? No.

Good coaching? No. Lost by way more than expected. By almost 4 times the regular season SRS difference.

Four lineups used for 68 minutes cost them 78 points. They weren't used every game but in half of them on average. One was good in regular season but only tested to level of 0.5 minutes per game. Not enough. Not near enough. Another was neutral and the biggest minute lineup. But only tested a bit over 2 minutes per game. Not enough. not near enough.
Another moderately bad in regular season in 1 minute per game. And finally another not used even half a minute per game. Not near enough testing. Virtually blind guesses and ruinous. Coaching failure. Probably analytic failure. At least failure to manage responsibly.

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