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Re: Improved from last season 2025-26

Posted: Sun Feb 01, 2026 12:05 am
by Mike G
Season 59% complete.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.36   Jamal Murray   Den  .614   25.2   4.6   6.4   1.94     .577   19.3   4.0   4.8   1.21
2.19  Michael Porter  Brk  .610   26.1   8.7   3.1   1.95 Den .610   18.3   7.8   1.8   1.11
2.10   Tyrese Maxey   Phl  .591   25.3   3.9   5.4   1.97     .554   21.1   3.3   4.8   1.39
2.00   Jaylen Brown   Bos  .564   29.4   7.6   4.4   2.18     .547   22.6   6.4   4.4   1.53
1.85   Jalen Johnson  Atl  .583   20.7  10.6   6.5   1.93     .562   15.9  10.4   4.1   1.37

1.81   Nikola Jokić   Den  .701   33.4  13.3   9.6   3.67     .651   29.2  13.0   8.0   2.89
1.78  Keyonte George  Uta  .600   21.0   4.2   5.4   1.27     .530   14.8   4.4   5.0    .73
1.62   Kawhi Leonard  LAC  .618   29.6   7.2   3.4   2.45     .582   24.0   7.0   3.1   1.76
1.59   Alex Sarr      Was  .552   18.3   9.4   2.8   1.65     .477   12.6   8.4   2.6    .94
1.56   Ajay Mitchell  OKC  .581   18.5   4.4   4.2   1.27     .581   12.9   3.6   3.1    .60

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.51   Dillon Brooks  Phx  .554   22.6   4.4   1.9   1.26 Hou .551   14.7   4.7   1.7    .71
1.49   Neemias Queta  Bos  .637   15.2  12.7   1.8   1.62     .664   13.3   9.3   1.6    .97
1.49  Vi. Wembanyama  SAS  .608   29.6  14.2   2.9   2.94     .586   23.5  11.5   3.2   2.18
1.46   Jaylon Tyson   Cle  .626   16.7   7.3   2.5   1.09     .519   10.2   6.8   2.7    .53
1.45   Deni Avdija    Por  .593   24.3   7.8   5.9   1.86     .592   18.8   8.9   3.9   1.40

1.43   Peyton Watson  Den  .592   16.1   6.1   1.9    .95     .555    9.9   5.0   1.6    .45
1.43 Nickeil A-Walker Atl  .578   19.4   3.8   3.0   1.04 Min .573   12.1   4.5   3.2    .61
1.41   Mikal Bridges  NYK  .599   15.7   4.8   3.7   1.21     .581   16.0   3.4   3.0    .80
1.37   Luka Dončić    LAL  .602   30.5   8.5   7.4   2.68     .576   26.5   8.4   6.6   2.21
1.35  Lauri Markkanen Uta  .602   22.7   7.2   1.7   1.55     .563   18.0   7.1   1.4   1.03

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.33  Kyshawn George  Was  .557   15.0   6.5   4.6    .96     .498    8.6   5.3   2.6    .42
1.31   Jordan Walsh   Bos  .636   10.9   8.7   1.3    .83     .461    5.2   5.6   1.4    .03
1.23   Reed Sheppard  Hou  .553   16.2   3.9   3.6   1.01     .464    9.1   4.3   3.2    .49
1.18  Andrew Nembhard Ind  .553   16.8   3.3   7.0   1.13     .538   10.8   4.2   5.2    .66
1.17   Julius Randle  Min  .586   22.9   7.8   5.0   1.81     .582   20.6   8.3   4.7   1.46

1.17   Grayson Allen  Phx  .571   18.4   3.9   4.0   1.24     .623   13.9   4.2   2.5    .64
1.12  Keldon Johnson  SAS  .640   18.7   8.3   1.6   1.32     .565   15.3   6.4   1.8    .85
1.11  Stephon Castle  SAS  .539   17.6   6.0   7.0   1.31     .513   15.6   4.7   4.4    .85
1.11   Devin Booker   Phx  .567   25.3   4.5   5.7   1.73     .579   22.0   3.9   5.6   1.35
1.09   Cam Spencer    Mem  .654   16.7   3.8   6.7   1.18     .579   12.1   4.0   3.5    .69
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... otals.html

Re: Improved from last season 2025-26

Posted: Sun Feb 01, 2026 10:25 pm
by Mike G
Alternative improved list, based on other stats, this season vs career rates.
*eWins are this year / last year only -- I don't maintain career rates.

Code: Select all

wins+   2026:    PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484    yrs   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484
3.05   Shai     31.6  .338  11.8   3.20     7   24.0  .200   6.0   2.88
2.45   Jokić    36.7  .387  16.8   3.67    10   28.8  .264  10.5   2.89
2.38   Avdija   20.8  .153   4.5   1.86     5   13.8  .080  -0.5   1.40
2.30   Maxey    22.8  .178   6.2   1.97     5   18.2  .130   1.8   1.39
2.14  J Murray  22.8  .175   4.3   1.94     9   17.3  .113   1.1   1.21

2.11  Ke George 18.6  .085   0.6   1.27     2   12.8  .023  -2.8    .73
2.04 Cunningham 21.6  .174   5.6   2.15     4   17.5  .061   1.5   1.85
1.68   Sarr     20.7  .089   1.7   1.65     1   14.7  .009  -2.1    .94
1.61   Edwards  22.5  .166   5.2   2.07     5   17.9  .094   1.9   1.79
1.56   J Brown  22.5  .129   2.9   2.18     9   17.2  .107   0.5   1.53

wins+   2026:    PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484    yrs   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484
1.54  K Johnson 18.8  .184   2.3   1.32     6   15.2  .082  -1.1    .85
1.49  J Johnson 21.0  .136   4.1   1.93     4   17.2  .108   1.8   1.37
1.43 Mk Bridges 16.8  .158   3.7   1.21     7   14.6  .113   0.9    .80
1.38   Randle   20.3  .173   2.9   1.81    11   18.2  .108   1.1   1.46
1.37 Wembanyama 27.4  .211   8.4   2.94     2   23.8  .109   5.9   2.18

1.28  M Porter  21.6  .115   4.6   1.95     6   17.4  .127   0.9   1.11
1.25  D Brooks  15.1  .084  -1.3   1.26     8   10.9  .049  -3.3    .71
1.17   Duren    23.9  .231   3.3   2.30     3   19.7  .168   1.0   1.89
1.14  B Miller  17.3  .093   1.0   1.48     2   13.4  .018  -1.9   1.05
1.12   Giannis  33.3  .261  10.3   3.20    12   26.0  .207   6.8   2.85
PER and BPM, with minutes, are converted to Wins at the same scale as WS and eWin, summing to league games played this season. Equivalent wins that would have accrued with career rates (in current minutes) are subtracted to arrive at improvement in each stat. Column 1 is the average of the 4.
Next 10 : Dosunmu, KyGeorge, ANembhard, Reaves, MChristie, Barnes, ABlack, Marshall, DMitchell, JulChampagnie

Those having a relatively bad year, near the end of the line, or just not what they used to be -- but still getting major minutes:

Code: Select all

wins+   Player   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484     yrs   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484
-1.77 Westbrook 15.4  .017  -0.1   1.12     17   21.5  .129   3.6    .94
-1.57   LeBron  20.8  .120   2.9   1.74     22   26.8  .220   8.5   1.98
-1.31   Trent    7.7  .011  -5.0    .05      7   12.8  .074  -1.3    .57
-1.28 Middleton 11.4  .019  -4.0    .62     13   16.7  .115   0.7   1.25
-1.22  Draymond 10.1  .043  -1.3    .78     13   14.3  .120   2.2    .98

-1.21   Bane    15.3  .093  -0.3   1.08      5   17.0  .129   2.2   1.49
-1.16   Lopez   10.1  .023  -2.4    .45     17   18.4  .130   1.2    .94
-1.16   Conley   9.2  .094  -1.4    .24     18   17.0  .138   2.4    .89
-1.14 J Jackson 15.0  .067  -0.7   1.26      7   17.9  .116   0.9   1.73
-1.00 C Johnson 11.4  .081  -2.2    .54      6   14.8  .119   1.3   1.32

wins+   Player   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484     yrs   PER  WS/48  BPM  *e484
-.99   Batum     8.3  .056  -1.3    .07     17   13.9  .107   1.4    .41
-.99   K Ellis   9.2  .025  -2.1    .08      3   12.6  .109   1.3    .69
-.97   Gobert   17.5  .184   1.0   1.36     12   21.1  .218   3.2   1.38
-.95   Harden   21.9  .150   3.7   1.89     16   23.7  .208   6.3   1.77
-.93   Okongwu  15.9  .104  -0.2   1.20      5   18.3  .165   0.4   1.38

-.90   Ty Jones  8.7  .061  -1.8    .12     10   14.9  .112   0.5    .76
-.89   Smart     9.8  .042  -3.2    .37     11   12.4  .087  -0.4    .66
-.89  Clarkson  10.1  .039  -4.6    .34     11   15.2  .055  -1.0    .84
-.88   LaVine   14.6  .050  -1.7    .81     11   17.2  .082   0.6   1.22
-.86   Klay     11.4  .029  -1.1    .66     14   15.7  .097   0.4    .81
Note the preponderance of guys in their 2nd (or 3rd) decade. At the top is a guy who this year is better than he was last year.
The next 10 : Towns, McCollum, Paul, Davis, Gafford, Durant, KLove, Jovic, Adebayo, CAnthony