2026 Playoffs, East rd 1

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Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2026 Playoffs, East rd 1

Post by Mike G »

Pistons 4 - 3 Magic
avg score 102.4 - 97.7
Pyth wins 4.56 - 2.44 , eWins 4.03 - 2.97

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.39 Cade Cunningham Det   40  .588   33.2   5.2   6.4    .8   5.5   .8   2.36
1.18  Paolo Banchero Orl   39  .511   24.3   8.3   5.8   1.3   3.5   .7   2.08
.98   Tobias Harris  Det   35  .539   23.3   8.6   1.3   1.8   1.2   .9   1.90
.64  Ausar Thompson  Det   33  .508   10.1  10.0   3.6   2.8   2.2  2.6   1.35
.50   Desmond Bane   Orl   36  .529   17.3   4.7   1.8   1.8   1.7   .3    .96

.46   Jalen Duren    Det   31  .569   13.4  11.3   2.5    .6   3.3  1.5   1.01
.46   Franz Wagner   Orl   17  .519   20.2   6.6   4.2   3.2   2.0   .3   1.81
.44  Wendell Carter  Orl   34  .606   12.1   7.5   3.0    .6   1.7  1.9    .90
.24  Duncan Robinson Det   30  .526   12.3   3.7   3.0   1.1   1.4   .4    .54
.19   Jalen Suggs    Orl   35  .415   10.1   4.1   4.2   1.8   3.4   .6    .37

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.15  Daniss Jenkins  Det   17  .435   11.9   3.2   4.7    .3   1.3   .8    .61
.12   Anthony Black  Orl   28  .465    8.6   3.4   1.5   2.2    .9   .8    .30
.07  Isaiah Stewart  Det   14  .580    8.7   6.5    .3    .3   1.9  4.0    .35
.07   Paul Reed      Det    3  .556   14.1  16.3    .0    .0   1.5  4.4   1.62
.06   Goga Bitadze   Orl   12  .459    5.2   8.7    .7    .7   1.6  3.7    .35

.04   Javonte Green  Det   15  .480    6.2   5.0    .9   1.9    .9  1.4    .18
.03   Jamal Cain     Orl   18  .464    7.5   6.6   1.1    .5   1.5   .8    .11
.01   Kevin Huerter  Det    6  .429    4.3   3.7   4.4   1.6   1.5   .0    .06
-.01  Ron Holland    Det    3  .333    2.5   8.2   1.6   1.8   3.3   .0   -.31
-.02  Caris LeVert   Det   11  .361    4.5   5.3   2.4    .0   1.7  1.2   -.13
-.05  Tr. Da Silva   Orl   15  .468    6.9   5.6    .3    .3   1.6   .0   -.22
shooting : Det .537 - .500 Orl
rebounds: Det 47.0 - 41.6 Orl
turnovers: Orl 14.3 - 16.4 Det

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. Det    min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Orl   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Cun'gham 283   22.3   .171    6.7   2.36     Banchero 273   20.4   .113    6.5   2.08
Harris   248   19.5   .189    4.3   1.90      Bane    253   13.8   .087    2.0    .96
Thompson 229   17.4   .164    7.1   1.35      Suggs   248    6.6  -.040   -3.8    .37
Duren    220   13.9   .127   -1.7   1.01      Carter  237   15.2   .155    2.6    .90
Robinson 212    9.4   .100    0.3    .54      Black   196   10.7   .071   -0.1    .30

Jenkins  118   10.4   .068   -0.9    .61      Cain    123    7.4   .026   -4.0    .11
Green    107    8.8   .108    0.6    .18     F Wagner 122   20.4   .147    7.2   1.81
Stewart  100   11.5   .129   -1.3    .35     Da Silva 107    5.7  -.007   -5.1   -.22
LeVert    76    3.5  -.009   -4.7   -.13      Bitadze  83   13.0   .098   -2.0    .35
Huerter   42    6.9   .070   -0.8    .06      Carter   17    7.7   .013   -2.4    .04

. Det    min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Orl   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Reed      21   22.2   .252    1.8   1.62     M Wagner  13    5.0   .016  -10.5   -.06
Holland   19     .2  -.049   -7.4   -.31      Howard    3  -25.5  -.702  -27.8  -1.12
Sasser     2   16.0   .236   10.3    .64      Penda     3    4.5   .077   -4.4   -.26
Lanier     1   78.9   1.31   30.5   6.07    Richardson  3   84.5   .442   70.1   6.03
Smith      1     .0   .032   -5.9  -1.12                     

totals   1680  14.7   .133   2.18   1.15      totals  1680  13.0   .073   0.92    .85
correl. w min   .85    .76    .71    .89                     .26    .12    .31    .38
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html


Cavs 4 - 3 Raptors
avg score 111.9 - 110.1
Pyth wins 3.86 - 3.14 , eWins 3.68 - 3.32

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
1.11 Scottie Barnes  Tor   39  .591   21.4   5.9   6.7   1.1   3.4  1.6   1.97
.94   Evan Mobley    Cle   33  .638   20.6  10.3   3.3    .8   2.2  1.1   1.95
.75   RJ Barrett     Tor   39  .554   20.6   6.7   3.1   1.2   3.6   .3   1.35
.75   James Harden   Cle   37  .605   20.2   5.7   5.3   2.1   5.5   .6   1.41
.70   Jarrett Allen  Cle   28  .606   14.9  11.9   1.0   1.7   1.4  3.0   1.72

.67 Donovan Mitchell Cle   35  .526   21.9   5.6   2.7    .8   3.1   .3   1.33
.52  Collin M-Boyles Tor   27  .673   16.9   7.4   2.3   1.5   2.2  1.3   1.33
.42   Jakob Poeltl   Tor   19  .645   13.9  12.1   2.3   1.7   1.8  1.7   1.54
.31   Max Strus      Cle   25  .632   14.0   7.5   2.6    .8   2.1   .2    .86
.21  Ja'Kobe Walter  Tor   32  .534   10.9   3.6   1.3   2.2    .7   .3    .46

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
.17   Sandro Mamu.   Tor   15  .455    8.1  10.6   1.7   1.5   1.2   .9    .78
.16   Jaylon Tyson   Cle   16  .511   11.6   7.0   3.7    .6   1.5   .0    .69
.09   Dean Wade      Cle   24  .525    7.9   6.9    .7   1.7   1.1   .0    .25
.09  Brandon Ingram  Tor   21  .432   11.4   4.1   2.3    .8   2.6  1.0    .28
.07  Jamison Battle  Tor   10  .763   14.2   4.9    .4    .0    .5   .0    .47

.06   Sam Merrill    Cle   20  .616   11.6   3.1   1.5    .7    .9   .0    .21
.06  Dennis Schröder Cle   14  .495   12.7   3.2   2.8   1.0   2.8   .3    .30
.04   Jamal Shead    Tor   32  .463    7.8   2.2   4.5   1.6   2.3   .2    .08
-.03   Keon Ellis    Cle    6  .231    1.1   7.0    .6   2.2   1.6   .7   -.35
-.06   A.J. Lawson   Tor    7  .353    4.7   1.8   2.0    .0   1.3  1.2   -.58
shooting : Cle .572 - .552 Tor
rebounds: Cle 44.7 - 40.3 Tor
turnovers: Tor 15.6 - 17.3 Cle

Code: Select all

. Cle    min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e487      . Tor   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e487
Harden   259   18.1   .121    3.2   1.41      Barnes  273   23.3   .178    8.1   1.97
Mitchell 245   15.7   .069   -0.8   1.33      Barrett 271   16.9   .060    0.8   1.35
Mobley   234   22.0   .216    5.7   1.95      Walter  224   11.1   .078    0.2    .46
Allen    199   20.7   .187    4.0   1.72      Shead   224    7.8  -.004   -3.8    .08
Strus    175   15.2   .155    2.4    .86     M-Boyles 191   23.5   .192    5.6   1.33

Wade     171    9.5   .072   -0.7    .25      Ingram  148    7.2  -.060   -4.5    .28
Merrill  142   12.1   .132    0.3    .21      Poeltl  134   18.6   .174    2.5   1.54
Tyson    110   13.5   .124    0.8    .69      Mamu.   104   13.9   .073   -0.8    .78
Schröder  96   10.5   .031   -4.5    .30      Battle   71   13.7   .122    0.4    .47
Ellis     43    3.0  -.024   -5.0   -.35      Lawson   51     .9  -.093   -9.0   -.58

. Cle    min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e487      . Tor   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e487
Bryant    15   10.0   .053   -2.1    .14      Dick      4    3.3   .029   -3.9   -.51
Nance      5  -10.2  -.288  -15.5  -2.22      J-Davis   4     .7  -.113  -26.7   -.95
Porter     5   -7.5  -.194  -16.1  -1.26      Mogbo     4   34.2   .298    7.5   2.49
Tomlin     5    5.9  -.054  -12.7   -.29      Temple    2   -3.1  -.320  -13.5    .36
Proctor    3   28.6   .501    9.3   1.51                     

totals   1705  15.6   .123   1.36   1.05      totals  1705  15.2   .085   1.01    .95
correl. w min   .69    .27    .53    .78                     .49    .31    .54    .56
Correlations are thru the top 10 (at most) in minutes.
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