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Re: Shortcut Method for Measuring Reads on a Series
Posted: Wed May 18, 2011 11:21 pm
by ilardi
Jeff Fogle wrote:
Mostly predicted too long:
Boston over NY (influenced by NY injuries--nobody had a sweep)
At the risk of sounding ridiculously petty, I actually did predict this series as a Boston sweep. Admittedly, a bit lucky on my part, but still . . .
Re: Shortcut Method for Measuring Reads on a Series
Posted: Wed May 18, 2011 11:46 pm
by Jeff Fogle
I should have labelled this "shortcut method for summarizing picks after Jeff skimmed too quickly," lol. My bad. A quick glance showed mostly 5's and 6's...and I think I subconsciously look for a median even when not purposedly trying to...and that's what sticks in my head. Mr. Ilardi nailed that one exactly right, as well as Chicago in 5 over Indiana, Miami in 5 over Boston, and OKC in 7 over Memphis. The full line of picks for Boston-NY was 4-5-5-5-5-5-6-6-6-7 on my chart because I had included KP and Rick Reilly in the first rounders because they had also published predictions.
My apologies. The composite anticipated too many games. I should have said that rather than "nobody." Continued success to you in the remaining rounds...JF
Re: Shortcut Method for Measuring Reads on a Series
Posted: Sat May 21, 2011 4:38 am
by ilardi
No apologies necessary, Jeff. And thanks for the well wishes on the Smackdown. My Dallas-in-5 pick isn't looking so hot right now, though Miami-in-6 doesn't seem like too much of a stretch.
Re: Shortcut Method for Measuring Reads on a Series
Posted: Fri May 27, 2011 5:06 am
by Jeff Fogle
Yup, Dallas in 5...what a bonehead pick (lol). Turned out to be the only exact match in the conference final round. Just one away for the two games combined Mr. Ilardi...well done indeed.
Updated totals with only the championship series left with this particular method of measuring reads (understanding we now have some "game theory" pollution in the mix because of predictors considering contest strategy rather than making pure predictions in some cases).
Ilardi 19
Morris 19
Stahlhut 24
Paine 26
Voulgaris 26
Hollinger 27
Berri 29
Didn't see KP's final Dallas/OKC pick. It might have been behind the paywall. I show KP at 23.5 counting Chicago/Miami (one off) and pending Dallas/OKC.
The prior leaders were best again in the championship round (Morris missed by 2 spots, Ilardi 1, to forge a tie). They expanded their lead on a field that was expecting lengthier battles.