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Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 11:58 am
by J.E.
Bobbofitos wrote:Some reason I thought they won. Oh well!
I thought the same thing. Weird
This is blind to the fact all games have been played IN Lithuania, right? What if you added a basic home court modifier, how much does that affect Lithuania's power ranking? (I suppose we could argue it's a flat X points, so... simply take that away!)
All remaining games are still gonna be played in Lithuania, so I don't care about Lithuanias' "real strength". I'm fine with having an estimate how they perform at home. To get a good homecourt estimate you'd have to compare this year's Lithiuanias ratings to the one they had in WC, or Turkeys rating from the WC to the one they have now
It seems bizarre to slate Turkey ahead of France
One big reason for that is their performance against Spain. Turkey won and France lost by 25. The algorithm doesn't know that PGasol didn't play against Turkey and Parker/Noah didn't play against Spain.
I bet on Greece: 2$
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 12:08 pm
by Bobbofitos
J.E. wrote:
I bet on Greece: 2$
Accepted! To be paid out if you decide to come to another Sloan Conference. hah.
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Wed Sep 14, 2011 7:43 pm
by Bobbofitos
Hmm, interesting spammer.
Lithuania-Macedonia was the best game of the tournament. Hope you guys had a chance to watch it.
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Thu Sep 15, 2011 3:56 pm
by J.E.
Your money is almost mine, Bobbofittos! I used half of my betting money to bribe the refs. Go hellas!
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Thu Sep 15, 2011 5:06 pm
by Bobbofitos
J.E. wrote:Your money is almost mine, Bobbofittos! I used half of my betting money to bribe the refs. Go hellas!
Looks like half wasn't enough
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Fri Sep 16, 2011 8:53 am
by J.E.
Looks like half wasn't enough
things looked so pretty at the 5 minute mark :/
Code: Select all
Spain 10.86
Russia 7.26
Lithuania 6.76
France 5.68
Turkey 4.38
FYROM 2.78
Greece 2.64
Germany 2.48
Slovenia 1.4
Finland 0.92
Montenegro 0.9
Georgia 0.8
Ukraine 0.1
Croatia -1.04
Serbia -1.34
Poland -1.44
Italy -2.16
Bosnia -2.4
Latvia -2.46
GreatBritain -3.94
Bulgaria -4.16
Bosnia-Herzegov. -4.86
Israel -7.12
Belgium -7.24
Portugal -8.78
Spain over Macedonia and Russia over France. Mozgov had some good dunks last night and seems to be playing well. Kirilenko seems all over the place when he's playing, racking up lots of steals and blocks
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Fri Sep 16, 2011 2:23 pm
by Bobbofitos
J.E. wrote:Looks like half wasn't enough
things looked so pretty at the 5 minute mark :/
Code: Select all
Spain 10.86
Russia 7.26
Lithuania 6.76
France 5.68
Turkey 4.38
FYROM 2.78
Greece 2.64
Germany 2.48
Slovenia 1.4
Finland 0.92
Montenegro 0.9
Georgia 0.8
Ukraine 0.1
Croatia -1.04
Serbia -1.34
Poland -1.44
Italy -2.16
Bosnia -2.4
Latvia -2.46
GreatBritain -3.94
Bulgaria -4.16
Bosnia-Herzegov. -4.86
Israel -7.12
Belgium -7.24
Portugal -8.78
Spain over Macedonia and Russia over France. Mozgov had some good dunks last night and seems to be playing well. Kirilenko seems all over the place when he's playing, racking up lots of steals and blocks
Kirilenko has looked very very good. He controlled the game yesterday vs Serbia. That said I expect France to roll. Look for Spain v France to meet in the finals.
McCaleb has played outstandingly for Macedonia - who is he?
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Fri Sep 16, 2011 2:45 pm
by bchaikin
McCaleb has played outstandingly for Macedonia - who is he?
bo mccalebb was one of the top scorers in div I college basketball in 06-07 and 07-08, scoring 24.1 pts/g those 2 years for the university of new orleans...
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Sun Sep 18, 2011 5:22 am
by Statman
bchaikin wrote:McCaleb has played outstandingly for Macedonia - who is he?
bo mccalebb was one of the top scorers in div I college basketball in 06-07 and 07-08, scoring 24.1 pts/g those 2 years for the university of new orleans...
My ratings (looking at his stats, team strength/pace/SoS, & his PT) had him as the 21st best player in the entire nation in 2008 in college - which is quite impressive from a non-major. Only 2 players from small schools were definitely better (according to my ratings) than him that season - Stephen Curry (#3 in the nation) & Courtney Lee (#7 in the nation). Good player.
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Sun Sep 18, 2011 10:15 am
by J.E.
Code: Select all
Spain 10.38
Lithuania 6.96
Russia 6.74
France 6.16
Turkey 4.36
FYROM 3.32
..
Removing the Spain vs. France game because it was played without Parker, and Noah and removing Turkey vs Spain because PGasol didn't play leads to:
Code: Select all
France 8.38
Spain 8.16
Lithuania 6.9
Russia 6.9
Turkey 4.32
FYROM 3.18
..
Whoops! Still, for the last time in this tournament I would bet against France (I have been wrong about them about 3 times though!).
Bobbofitos: want to bet? 2$?
Russia should beat FYROM in the game for 3rd place
Re: Eurobasket 2011
Posted: Mon Sep 19, 2011 3:42 pm
by Bobbofitos
J.E. wrote:
Whoops! Still, for the last time in this tournament I would bet against France (I have been wrong about them about 3 times though!).
Bobbofitos: want to bet? 2$?
Russia should beat FYROM in the game for 3rd place
Looks like I saw this too late to give you a chance for your double-or-nothing
Did you do a final all-encompassing tournament SRS?