Re: 2025-26 team win projection contest
Posted: Tue Apr 14, 2026 8:03 pm
CraftedNBA projection from mid-November (6.1 avg error),
was moderately less good than BRef's. Couchside's moderately better (5.2) than the BRef averaged mid-point.
Blend of all 3 at time of my assembly, 4.8 avg error, better than any 1.
A blended target / measuring stick for projection performance to date might be better in future than BRef alone.
But comparison to final actuals is of course the ultimate answer.
was moderately less good than BRef's. Couchside's moderately better (5.2) than the BRef averaged mid-point.
Blend of all 3 at time of my assembly, 4.8 avg error, better than any 1.
A blended target / measuring stick for projection performance to date might be better in future than BRef alone.
But comparison to final actuals is of course the ultimate answer.