Statistical Trivia

[Crow]

Of the 13 teams "led" by these heliocentric individual stat performances, I count just 2 doing "well" or well relative to expectations.

What I would want to know next is how many teams were elite on the stats where the player dominance occurred. Was it team results leadership or just on team dominance?

Cavs with Mitchell. 10th on pts / gm, 13th on assists and 28th on steals.

Individual stats are a lot about role and minutes. Quality of play and role fulfillment too, but role related.

Celtics with Tatum, 1st on points, 23rd on rebounds. 11th on blocks.

Tatum gets more credit for leading Celtics to the top on points than in the other cases. The other marks by the two, maybe get moderate credit on the low elite team marks, not as much on the low ranking team stats.

I'd want to see the RAPM factor leaders by team and across the league. Not available yet.

[Crow]

APBRmetrics posting in 11.5 years at this site:

39 over 100 posts
24 between 50 and 100
30 between 25 and 50
60 between 10 and 25.
That's 153.

Crow 7744.
Mike G 5084.
4 others over or near 1000. (RLee, DSMok1, Evan Zamir and J.E.)

Average of about 100 topics per year for this phase. About 50 this year. Future? Probably less but to be determined.



(I eventually went on Twitter and put much of my content there for a period in hopes on more visibility and more conversation. Not really a raging success on either of those points. Almost 41k posts though. Strong, I'd say. Other places too. But back here full-time at the moment.)

[Crow]

LeBron James will enter top 10 for regular season games played later this season.

Chris Paul probably enters top 50.

Rudy Gay past Barkely last month. Jeff Green will shortly.

Deandre Jordan has joined the group of 150 with 1000 plus games played. DeRozan, Conley, Durant, Horford and maybe Harden get there by end of season.

[Crow]

Ryan Davis's RAPM has yet to appear this season.

[Crow]

LBJ is the all-time leader in turnovers by several hundred already and will be first to reach 5,000.

Westbrook is 3rd and could also reach 5,000.

Harden 12th and might reach 10th by season's end.


Only 6 players with 5,000 plus playoff points. Durant probably gets there in next 2-3 years.

Jokic pulled ahead of L James for 2nd on career BPM average at a bit over +9 and could pass Jordan for 1st place all-time soon.

Durant could possibly catch Larry Bird for 7th best BPM but probably won't last even if he does pass him temporarily. C Paul in 6th and has a pretty good chance to stay ahead of both.

K Leonard currently tied with Durant but he is fading and Curry and Harden are likely to end up ahead. Curry might pass Durant.

AD slightly ahead if Giannis. Currently 14th and 16th. Make top 10 in the end? Could happen but may not. (Fwiw, Kareem is 17th.)

J Butler 29th and rising. Westbrook 36th and falling.


Deandre Jordan with all-time highest career efg% among qualifiers, the only one over 66%. Followed by Gobert, Capela, Harrell. John Collins 6th. Steven Adams 8th. One good game and Steph Curry could (temporally at least) pass Shaq for 11th.

[Mike G]

Deandre Jordan with all-time highest career efg% among qualifiers, the only one over 66%. Followed by Gobert, Capela, Harrell. John Collins 6th. Steven Adams 8th. One good game and Steph Curry could (temporally at least) pass Shaq for 11th.

What has happened to Grizzly Adams' FT shooting? He's at .292 FT% (19/65). His previous worst year was .444, all other years >.500
His eFG% -minus- TS% is running in Wilt Chamberlain territory at -.045 . Closest competition is Jordan at -.043
DeAndre set the all-time mark at -.073 back in 2015 (heavily chronicled in this thread).
http://www.apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.p ... dre#p23619

Justin Holiday (Atl) has gone 382 minutes without a trip to the FT line.

[Crow]

Adams 5 for 7 on FT%s in last 2 games. Short sample but best sample of the season. Might pull it up to .500 or fairly close by end of season.

[Crow]

The best performing young players on G League Ignite are Abogidi,
& L Johnson, and Southerland in extremely short minutes.

[Crow]

BRefs says there have been 298 lead executives of teams in NBA history. 72.5% ran one team (for whatever length of time). 27.5% got to lead 2 or more teams. (I didn't run a snapshot of most recent 10 or 20 years for comparison.)

[Crow]

Lots of people expect the Blazers to be sold within a few years.

Bucks might have a partial sale.

I'd wonder at least a little about Spurs, Thunder, Magic, Pacers and Hornets.

A couple other possibilities.

[Mike G]

Weighted by this season's minutes, the average number of years players have been with current team; by team.

Code: Select all

Tm      yrs        Tm      yrs        Tm      yrs
GSW    5.31        Cle    2.58        Brk    2.07
Bos    3.99        Phl    2.57        Sac    2.04
Mil    3.42        Den    2.56        OKC    2.03
Tor    3.35        Min    2.53        Hou    1.95
Dal    3.34        Was    2.31        SAS    1.94
Phx    3.10        Atl    2.23        Ind    1.92
Por    3.01        Chi    2.21        NOP    1.70
Mia    2.82        NYK    2.21        LAL    1.57
LAC    2.75        Cha    2.11        Det    1.38
Mem    2.74        Orl    2.09        Uta    1.13

This season counts as 0.4 years in the calculation.

[DarkStar48]

I hadn’t realized how “new” the Pelicans are.

I would be curious about the historical vs. current season relationship between minute-weighted team years and team performance like winning percentage, adjusted MOV (i.e., SRS) and adjusted net rating.

[Mike G]

Teams often get broken up/rebuilt after a disappointing postseason (or none).
Teams with higher retention -- leftmost columns -- have most of the recent Finals appearances.

For the Pels, Brandon Ingram (481 min.) and Jaxson Hayes (113) are their old-timers in year 4; and they haven't played much.
Zion is in his 3rd year of any playing time.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/te ... ayers.html

[Mike G]

On the b-r.com 'play-by-play' pages we can see how many charges a player has taken.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... -play.html
If we add these to their Steals, we get a new ranking. Per 36 minutes (>100 minutes)

Code: Select all

St/36   steals         Tm      St/36  + charges taken  Tm
4.39   Delon Wright    WAS      4.68   Delon Wright   WAS
2.83   Paul Reed       PHI      3.60   Alex Caruso    CHI
2.71   Otto Porter     TOR      3.60   M Dellavedova  SAC
2.42 De'Anthony Melton PHI      3.56  Eugene Omoruyi  OKC
2.42  Matisse Thybulle PHI      3.45   Otto Porter    TOR
2.32   Dennis Smith    CHO      3.25 Garrison Mathews HOU
2.31   Alex Caruso     CHI      3.11   Josh Okogie    PHO
2.25   Jose Alvarado   NOP      3.11  T.J. McConnell  IND
2.25   Eugene Omoruyi  OKC      3.11 Donte DiVincenzo GSW
2.21   Victor Oladipo  MIA      2.99   Miles McBride  NYK

[Crow]

At halfway point of this season, Ryan Davis's RAPM is up now.

As usual top 20 has a lot of expected names and some surprises.

http://nbashotcharts.com/rapm?id=548833052

Using luck adjusted, Giannis is 29th, Durant 36th. Without the luck adjustment Giannis is 116th.

I guess the luck adjustment is helpful here and on average but maybe not accurately in all cases.

O Robinson 19th for a rookie. I was higher on him than anyone I saw and usually by miles.

Still pretty compressed, I think. 80 at +1 or better and almost 80 at -1 or worse. But 2/3rds in the middle of those marks could be pretty accurate.