APBRmetrics

dtkavana wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 3:45 pm Team
Boston | 56-26
Milwaukee | 50-32
Toronto | 42-40
Phoenix | 49-33
Philadelphia | 46-36
Golden State | 48-34
Miami | 42-40
LA Clippers | 42-40
Memphis | 47-35
Minnesota | 47-35
Denver | 48-34
Orlando | 34-48
Dallas | 44-38
Cleveland | 50-32
New York | 47-35
Utah | 37-45
New Orleans | 44-38
Oklahoma | 41-41
Atlanta | 43-39
San Antonio | 28-55
LA Lakers | 41-41
Chicago | 36-46
Brooklyn | 40-42
Charlotte | 33-49
Detroit | 26-56
Washington | 28-53
Portland | 32-50
Sacramento | 37-45
Indiana | 38-44
Houston | 34-48

How are these sorted lol

Also sent ESPN expert lists to Mike.

To reiterate past opinion:

Only individuals actively wanting to post here are considered (at least by me) as in "contest".

Media or other posts passively added here without author intention are background information.

Someone pick a major Vegas line or provide a composite.

East:
Celtics 57-25
Bucks 56-26
Cavs 49-33
Sixers 48-34
Knicks 44-38
Heat 41-41
Hawks 40-42
Nets 39-43
Raptors 38-44
Magic 37-45
Hornets 36-46
Pacers 33-49
Bulls 32-50
Pistons 21-61
Wizards 20-62

West:
Nuggets 60-22
Wolves 53-29
Warriors 52-30
Kings 49-33
Pelicans 48-34
Suns 45-37
Grizzlies 44-38
Lakers 43-39
Thunder 41-41
Clippers 40-42
Mavs 39-43
Spurs 36-46
Jazz 32-50
Rockets 29-53
Blazers 28-54

And for funsies:
Celtics 4-0 Nets
Bucks 4-1 Hawks
Heat 4-2 Cavs
Sixers 4-3 Knicks
Nuggets 4-1 Clippers (get the #8 in play-ins)
Wolves 4-1 Lakers (move up to #7 in play-ins)
Warriors 4-1 Suns
Pelicans 4-2 Kings

Celtics 4-1 Sixers
Bucks 4-1 Heat
Nuggets 4-1 Pelicans
Warriors 4-2 Wolves

Celtics 4-3 Bucks
Warriors 4-2 Nuggets

Warriors 4-2 Celtics

Mike G wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 2:18 am

DQuinn1575 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 23, 2023 2:13 pm .. here goes:
BOS 56.8
...

Looks like your wins total 1231.4
Lose 1.4 wins to avg 41.

Thanks, darn rounding. Working on updates to my numbers, plan to post before the first game starts.

BBIPM (unreleased), “LazyLEBRON” and LEBRON win estimates from BBall Index.

They have a projection for various Harden scenarios, but I think the Harden plays for PHI case should be the one used in the contest.

Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... 1472379190

ATL 44
BRK 42
BOS 57
CHA 31
CHI 39
CLE 49
DET 27
IND 35
MIA 42
MIL 47
NYK 46
ORL 33
PHI 44
TOR 42
WAS 31


DAL 39
DEN 53
GSW 46
HOU 32
LAC 43
LAL 40
MEM 45
MIN 48
NOP 46
OKC 40
PHX 46
POR 29
SAC 47
SAS 27
UTA 40

Crow wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 9:12 pm ATL 44
...

Seems you are 3 wins short in the total.

DARKO model forecast by Kostya Medvedovsky.

Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =134023779

Mike G wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 9:25 pm

Crow wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 9:12 pm ATL 44
...

Seems you are 3 wins short in the total.

UTAH should be 40. I changed in my above post from 37 to 40.

Mike G wrote: ↑Tue Oct 24, 2023 9:25 pm ...

Since you're rounding up the entrants now I thought I would just double check that my changes since originally posting my numbers have found their way to your spreadsheet.

For Sportsbook comparison, here are the FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, BetRivers and UniBet predictions as of Tue, Oct. 24 at 7:00 p.m. ET.

Link: https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/win-totals/

Mike, take Fan Duel or Draft Kings as you wish or flip a coin.

The results from the ESPN NBA BPI model are out!

Link: https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/B ... ayoff-odds