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Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2014 12:06 am
by Mike G
bbstats wrote:
In case anyone was curious, Patty Mills leads the league in "2014 xRAPM minus 2013 xRAPM" at +5.6
That's quite a jump. He's rebounding 35% more, increased steals and blocks by 20% and turns it over at 62% of last season. Last season, his +/- was +2 and his On-Off was -6. This season he's got a +/- of +11 and an On-Off of +3.7
Cool. He's also doubled his minutes from last year.
In 1364 minutes, he's been on the floor for some (1364*94.9/48.3=) 2696 possessions?
So his net change in point differential this year is (5.6*2696/100=) +151 points?
Is that still tops in the league? Someone with more minutes may be higher, of course, in total "extra" points added.
And there is likely someone with low minutes who is higher, per-possession.
Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2014 10:20 pm
by Mike G
Among players with at least 1000 minutes, the most improved productions per minute:
Code: Select all
e484+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.80 Love,Kevin Min .582 29.0 13.1 4.6 2.65 .447 19.2 15.5 2.3 1.85
.78 Cousins,Demarcus Sac .544 27.4 14.6 3.4 2.45 .513 19.5 12.3 3.0 1.66
.74 Marshall,Kendall LAL .493 9.6 3.4 10.3 .77 Phx .453 6.6 2.1 6.0 .04
.73 Augustin,D.J. Chi .564 21.1 2.5 5.8 1.27 Ind .518 11.3 2.6 5.1 .55
.59 Belinelli,Marco SAS .611 19.9 4.2 3.4 1.13 Chi .506 14.5 2.8 2.7 .54
.58 Derozan,Demar Tor .520 24.2 4.6 3.9 1.53 .514 18.7 4.2 2.4 .94
.57 Mills,Patty SAS .585 21.7 3.7 3.4 1.32 .587 16.5 2.7 3.3 .75
.56 Curry,Stephen GSW .595 28.1 4.4 8.5 2.17 .582 23.1 3.9 6.2 1.61
.54 Dragic,Goran Phx .599 24.4 3.5 6.7 1.68 .530 16.2 3.5 6.8 1.14
.54 Green,Gerald Phx .570 21.3 4.4 2.1 1.08 Ind .461 14.6 4.6 1.7 .54
e484+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.53 Stephenson,Lance Ind .557 18.1 7.9 5.2 1.33 .523 12.4 5.0 3.9 .80
.50 Morris,Markieff Phx .557 19.3 8.1 2.4 1.26 .468 12.4 7.8 1.8 .77
.49 Thomas,Isaiah Sac .565 23.5 3.4 6.4 1.54 .564 18.5 2.8 5.0 1.05
.49 Lillard,Damian Por .559 23.6 3.7 5.9 1.57 .540 18.6 3.1 5.7 1.08
.48 Knight,Brandon Mil .511 20.2 4.0 4.8 1.15 Det .504 15.7 4.0 4.2 .67
.47 Durant,Kevin Okl .630 37.5 7.6 5.5 2.92 .631 30.2 7.8 4.9 2.45
.47 Aldridge,Lamarcu Por .502 24.0 11.5 3.0 2.05 .522 20.7 9.3 2.5 1.58
.43 Bradley,Avery Bos .495 17.5 4.8 1.5 .77 .459 12.0 3.0 2.5 .34
.43 Rivers,Austin NOP .472 13.1 3.1 3.5 .46 .425 9.2 3.0 2.8 .03
.43 Nowitzki,Dirk Dal .588 27.2 7.3 3.1 1.97 .556 20.6 7.8 2.8 1.54
e484+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.42 Plumlee,Miles Phx .518 12.6 12.3 .9 .98 Ind .283 7.0 13.0 1.3 .56
.42 Davis,Anthony NOP .572 23.9 11.3 1.5 1.98 .549 17.8 11.2 1.1 1.56
.41 Mozgov,Timofey Den .561 15.3 10.4 1.1 1.00 .540 9.8 9.8 .8 .59
.40 George,Paul Ind .546 26.8 7.2 3.7 1.91 .524 19.3 7.6 4.4 1.51
.39 Green,Draymond GSW .475 9.8 8.0 3.0 .73 .399 6.7 8.3 1.6 .34
And then some players between 500 and 999 minutes:
Code: Select all
e484+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.81 Leuer,Jon Mem .567 18.9 9.2 1.0 1.23 .531 10.2 6.7 1.3 .42
.76 Johnson,James Mem .539 16.1 6.6 3.8 1.15 Sac .436 9.9 5.9 2.2 .39
.62 Sacre,Robert LAL .505 10.3 7.2 1.4 .48 .402 6.3 5.4 1.0 -.14
.50 Bazemore,Kent LAL .539 17.3 3.9 3.7 .86 GSW .446 13.3 2.5 2.4 .36
.49 Brooks,Aaron Den .537 16.1 3.2 6.2 .97 Hou .552 13.0 2.9 3.8 .48
.49 Beasley,Michael Mia .546 19.9 7.6 1.7 1.18 Phx .458 16.5 6.6 2.2 .68
.48 Redick,J.J. LAC .591 22.9 2.7 3.2 1.25 Mil .566 17.1 2.6 3.7 .77
.41 Douglas-Roberts Cha .589 13.6 4.3 1.7 .52 Dal .447 8.4 2.5 2.0 .11
Special mention to Henry Sims (Phl) who played 5 minutes last year, and now is an above-avg player starting for the Sixers. By WS/48 and PER, he's their best player.
In Mar-Apr (last 18 games), he's averaging 12/7.4/2 , in 27 mpg
Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Fri Apr 18, 2014 7:08 pm
by Mike G
Most eWins above last year's rates in this year's minutes:
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
4.22 Love,Kevin Min .578 28.8 12.9 4.6 2.58 .447 19.2 15.5 2.3 1.85
3.77 Curry,Stephen GSW .601 28.8 4.4 8.7 2.25 .582 23.1 3.9 6.2 1.61
3.60 Cousins,DeMarcus Sac .542 27.5 14.4 3.3 2.42 .513 19.5 12.3 3.0 1.66
3.45 DeRozan,DeMar Tor .520 23.9 4.5 4.0 1.50 .514 18.7 4.2 2.4 .94
2.94 Augustin,D.J. Chi .565 21.8 2.6 5.7 1.31 Ind .518 11.3 2.6 5.1 .55
2.80 Green,Gerald Phx .578 22.0 4.4 2.0 1.13 Ind .461 14.6 4.6 1.7 .54
2.71 Stephenson,Lance Ind .558 17.7 7.8 5.1 1.27 .523 12.4 5.0 3.9 .80
2.70 Lillard,Damian Por .559 23.1 3.7 5.9 1.52 .540 18.6 3.1 5.7 1.08
2.68 Dragic,Goran Phx .593 23.9 3.5 6.5 1.63 .530 16.2 3.5 6.8 1.14
2.40 Knight,Brandon Mil .515 20.3 4.0 4.7 1.16 Det .504 15.7 4.0 4.2 .67
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
2.36 Marshall,Kendall LAL .492 9.5 3.2 10.4 .77 Phx .453 6.6 2.1 6.0 .04
2.36 Thomas,Isaiah Sac .564 23.3 3.3 6.4 1.51 .564 18.5 2.8 5.0 1.05
2.33 Nowitzki,Dirk Dal .593 27.3 7.2 3.1 1.97 .556 20.6 7.8 2.8 1.54
2.30 Durant,Kevin Okl .620 36.6 7.4 5.4 2.80 .631 30.2 7.8 4.9 2.45
2.18 Aldridge,LaMarcu Por .500 23.7 11.4 2.9 2.00 .522 20.7 9.3 2.5 1.58
2.16 George,Paul Ind .545 26.5 7.2 3.7 1.87 .524 19.3 7.6 4.4 1.51
2.13 Morris,Markieff Phx .553 19.2 8.1 2.4 1.25 .468 12.4 7.8 1.8 .77
2.07 Belinelli,Marco SAS .599 19.1 4.1 3.3 1.04 Chi .506 14.5 2.8 2.7 .54
1.96 Afflalo,Arron Orl .564 21.2 3.8 3.2 1.08 .520 16.8 3.9 2.7 .71
1.91 Davis,Anthony NOP .569 23.6 11.2 1.5 1.96 .549 17.8 11.2 1.1 1.56
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.87 Mozgov,Timofey Den .570 16.0 10.8 1.2 1.10 .540 9.8 9.8 .8 .59
1.87 Lowry,Kyle Tor .557 21.1 5.2 7.8 1.72 .533 14.9 6.2 7.3 1.40
1.86 Mills,Patty SAS .584 21.8 3.9 3.5 1.34 .587 16.5 2.7 3.3 .75
1.81 Bradley,Avery Bos .506 18.1 4.7 1.6 .81 .459 12.0 3.0 2.5 .34
1.75 Jefferson,Al Cha .526 25.4 11.8 2.3 2.10 Uta .517 20.4 10.9 2.4 1.76
1.71 Noah,Joakim Chi .520 15.8 12.6 5.7 1.75 .524 13.1 11.6 3.8 1.45
1.69 Matthews,Wesley Por .579 19.5 3.9 2.8 1.03 .567 16.1 3.1 2.5 .74
1.65 Jones,Terrence Hou .568 17.5 9.9 1.8 1.38 .507 12.5 8.3 2.1 .99
1.63 Plumlee,Miles Phx .522 12.5 12.3 .9 .96 Ind .283 7.0 13.0 1.3 .56
1.62 Thompson,Klay GSW .550 21.0 3.2 2.4 1.04 .529 17.2 3.8 2.2 .77
And the bottom of the list:
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-2.93 Smith,Josh Det .457 15.8 7.4 3.1 1.03 Atl .494 18.7 9.0 4.3 1.55
-2.59 Marion,Shawn Dal .534 12.6 7.8 2.0 .78 .548 15.0 9.3 2.9 1.30
-2.45 Varejao,Anderson Cle .519 11.4 13.3 2.6 1.18 .519 14.3 15.4 3.0 1.84
-2.31 Jack,Jarrett Cle .492 12.4 3.8 4.8 .57 GSW .535 15.9 3.7 6.4 1.07
-2.24 Hill,George Ind .555 14.4 4.5 4.2 .85 .551 17.3 4.1 5.4 1.29
-2.22 Hibbert,Roy Ind .490 15.0 8.7 1.5 .92 .482 16.5 10.7 2.0 1.37
-2.22 Smith,J.R. NYK .523 17.1 4.7 3.2 .93 .515 20.5 6.1 3.2 1.38
-1.87 Williams,Derrick Sac .520 12.2 6.8 1.1 .51 Min .506 17.7 8.4 .9 1.06
-1.82 Anderson,James Phl .526 12.3 4.6 2.0 .43 Hou .534 12.4 6.1 3.8 .81
-1.72 Brewer,Corey Min .541 14.5 3.0 2.0 .57 Den .499 17.2 4.2 2.2 .89
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2013 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-1.71 Dudley,Jared LAC .537 11.3 3.4 2.4 .30 Phx .574 14.7 4.2 2.9 .78
-1.69 Webster,Martell Was .584 14.1 3.9 1.5 .49 .591 15.8 4.9 2.2 .87
-1.67 Chandler,Wilson Den .520 15.7 5.7 2.1 .80 .548 18.7 7.3 1.9 1.22
-1.65 Calderon,Jose Dal .593 15.7 2.9 5.8 .97 Det .614 15.2 3.1 8.3 1.29
-1.63 Pierce,Paul Brk .582 20.5 6.3 3.1 1.26 Bos .549 22.1 7.3 4.7 1.64
Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:15 pm
by Mike G
Well, the award has been given to Goran Dragic (#9 on this list); 2nd place went to Stephenson (7), and 3rd was Anthony Davis (20).
Steph Curry was never an all-star before this year, and now he's likely 1st-team all-NBA.
Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Wed Apr 23, 2014 10:10 pm
by AcrossTheCourt
All-star selections are first half awards, and Curry was much better during the second half of 2013.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... lits/2013/
Plus, it was a snub -- he should have been taken over David Lee.
Re: Most Improved 2014
Posted: Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:24 pm
by Mike G
That, and in the playoffs he had some superstar moments. So this year, he was expected to continue his ascent.
But (year2 - year1) however you measure it, I don't see why anyone else should have gotten it.