Referring again to the same list of player-careers since 1974 (3 posts up), we can see which players have made a habit of over- or under-achieving in playoffs.
On average, these 129 players' postseason PER is 1.05 lower than their regular seasons. WS/48 drops by an avg of .021
BPM, wonderfully, is adjusted to the level of the competition. And these above-average players tend to look better in playoffs, by an avg of about 0.3 on that metric.
For PER and WS/48, I've added these numbers (1.1 and .021) to their PO-RS difference -- thus the avg is zero for these. Left BPM diff. as is.
For this table, xyz = BPM + PER + 50*WS/48
... again referring to PO-RS difference.
Without regard to minutes played, playoff stepper-uppers on the left, disimprovers on the right:
Code: Select all
xyz PO-RS PER WS/48 BPM xyz PO-RS PER WS/48 BPM
13.2 Baron Davis 4.7 .091 4.0 -7.2 Adrian Dantley -3.6 -.059 -.7
9.7 Isiah Thomas 2.8 .055 4.2 -7.1 Artis Gilmore -3.0 -.042 -2.0
7.2 Rajon Rondo 2.8 .031 2.9 -7.0 Clifford Robinson -2.8 -.054 -1.5
7.0 Hakeem Olajuwon 3.2 .033 2.2 -5.9 Sidney Moncrief -2.2 -.048 -1.3
5.9 Shawn Kemp 2.5 .029 2.0 -5.8 Dominique Wilkins -1.9 -.048 -1.5
5.7 Robert Horry 2.1 .031 2.1 -5.8 Karl Malone -1.8 -.044 -1.8
5.4 Ben Wallace 1.8 .045 1.4 -5.5 Andrei Kirilenko -2.8 -.033 -1.1
5.1 Michael Jordan 1.8 .026 2.0 -5.5 Bob McAdoo -1.6 -.028 -2.5
4.9 Ron Harper .7 .050 1.7 -5.4 Sam Cassell -2.6 -.027 -1.5
4.7 Michael Cooper 1.5 .031 1.7 -5.1 Detlef Schrempf -1.5 -.039 -1.7
4.7 Alvin Robertson 3.7 .012 .4 -5.0 Gary Payton -2.5 -.029 -1.1
4.6 Chauncey Billups 1.4 .031 1.7 -4.8 David Robinson -2.2 -.030 -1.1
4.5 Hersey Hawkins 1.4 .029 1.7 -4.7 Dale Ellis -1.5 -.040 -1.2
4.4 Reggie Miller 2.2 .025 1.0 -4.5 Chris Mullin -2.1 -.030 -.9
4.3 Tayshaun Prince .6 .029 2.3 -4.4 Tim Hardaway -1.9 -.043 -.4
4.3 James Worthy 1.7 .026 1.3 -4.3 Jack Sikma -1.6 -.018 -1.8
4.2 Dwight Howard 2.2 .020 1.0 -4.2 Tony Parker -1.0 -.041 -1.2
3.8 Cedric Maxwell .8 .033 1.4 -4.1 Shane Battier -2.4 -.020 -.7
3.7 Horace Grant .7 .030 1.4 -3.5 Glen Rice -1.0 -.030 -1.0
3.6 Elton Brand .2 .043 1.2 -3.4 Peja Stojakovic -1.3 -.023 -1.0
3.6 Tracy McGrady 2.4 -.006 1.5 -3.4 Kevin Johnson -.5 -.040 -.8
Disclaimer: Some of those on the right are hurt by having played most of their playoff minutes outside of their prime years. Dantley, McAdoo, Mullin for sure. Others are known chronic underachievers.
Ron Harper somehow does not suffer from this effect.
Here's Baron Davis' RS and PO numbers:
Code: Select all
BD PER WS/48 BPM
RS 17.8 .106 2.7
PO 21.4 .176 6.7
Thats for 1850 minutes. In this top 20, only A Robertson had fewer PO min (490)