Analysis of basketball through objective evidence
http://www.apbr.org/metrics/
Because everyone but Dort (and the rookies) has fallen off precipitously from last year.
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OKC Thunder age PER ws/48 BPM mpg
Jal. Williams 21 15.6 14.2 .119 .072 0.3 -3.0 28 33
Luguentz Dort 23 11.3 17.0 .062 .159 -3.0 1.2 28 30
Chet Holmgren 21 24.3 .239 6.3 29
Josh Giddey 20 17.1 10.6 .081 -.064 1.2 -6.1 29 29
Shai G-A 24 27.2 23.9 .226 .131 7.3 3.2 29 29
Cason Wallace 20 14.0 .153 -0.6 23
Isaiah Joe 23 14.5 11.9 .131 .047 0.9 -2.6 17 20
Ousmane Dieng 19 9.3 9.3 .038 .024 -3.6 -4.0 7 13
Aaron Wiggins 24 12.2 9.9 .097 .042 -2.1 -5.3 16 11
Olivier Sarr 23 11.5 11.7 .094 .134 -4.9 -2.2 1 7
OKC Thunder age PER ws/48 BPM mpg
A Pokusevski 21 13.4 -13.5 .066 -.428 0.0 -26.9 9 3
Jayl Williams 20 11.2 13.6 .099 .068 -1.7 -1.7 11 3
Dāvis Bertāns 30 11.9 15.4 .090 .227 -1.2 -0.4 6 2
Tre Mann 21 10.0 38.7 .021 .355 -3.9 17.5 14 2
Lindy Waters 25 11.8 -9.2 .101 -.296 0.1 -18.9 6 1
Kenr Williams 28 14.4 .133 0.5 15 0
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. avg err rmse r^2 . avg err rmse r^2
avgA 4.94 6.25 .35 DRKO 4.10 5.13 .48
ncs. 5.07 6.30 .32 LEBR 4.46 5.70 .34
eWin 5.14 6.45 .13 KPel 4.76 6.39 .24
dtka 5.17 6.62 .29 EBPI 4.92 6.32 .32
trzu 5.18 6.45 .31 4141 5.38 6.48
Crow 5.43 6.73 .29 vegas 6.01 7.03 .30
vzro 5.95 7.57 .28 EExp 6.43 7.52 .29
medi 6.08 7.50 .37 ChKl 6.50 8.12 .22
DQin 6.22 7.39 .28 NuFi 6.87 8.78 .21
emin 6.43 7.72 .37 IanL 7.20 8.34 .27Code: Select all
. avg err rmse r^2 . avg err rmse r^2
dtka 4.56 5.68 .46 DRKO 4.09 4.81 .56
trzu 4.85 5.72 .45 LEBR 4.52 5.46 .42
avgA 4.88 5.74 .45 KPel 4.57 5.73 .39
ncs. 4.99 5.79 .43 EBPI 5.26 5.90 .41
Crow 5.00 6.23 .39 vegas 5.57 6.55 .39
medi 5.39 6.68 .49 4141 5.58 6.91
eWin 5.39 6.65 .15 ChKl 5.74 7.40 .34
vzro 5.68 6.72 .42 EExp 5.96 7.12 .37
emin 6.16 7.47 .41 IanL 6.29 7.97 .33
DQin 6.36 7.59 .27 NuFi 6.34 8.42 .27
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diff tm proj DRKO avgA diff tm proj avgA DRKO
5.9 Mil 42.8 44.4 50.3 -3.8 OKC 42.8 40.3 36.5
4.4 NOP 38.7 40.8 45.2 -3.2 Tor * 41.8 40.4 46.4
4.0 Hou 38.7 35.9 31.9 -2.6 GSW 45.5 45.8 48.4
3.1 Sac 33.9 39.4 42.5 -1.8 Den 53.6 50.7 48.9
2.9 Cle 40.3 46.4 49.3 -1.3 Cha 35.6 32.3 31.0
2.7 LAL 38.5 40.5 43.2 -1.1 Ind 42.3 35.0 33.9
2.7 Min 53.1 48.7 46.0 -0.9 Chi 35.1 37.7 38.6
2.5 Mem 30.1 42.2 44.7 -0.8 Bos 56.1 56.5 57.3
2.1 Was 32.6 31.9 29.8 -0.5 Dal 47.7 41.0 40.5
1.9 Det 32.7 28.0 26.1 -0.2 LAC 45.0 42.6 42.4
1.9 Phl 51.9 49.8 47.9 -0.0 NYK 45.4 47.2 47.2
1.3 Brk * 41.3 41.4 39.9
1.2 Por 34.9 31.3 30.1
1.1 Atl 47.0 43.1 42.0
1.0 Uta 31.4 36.4 37.4
0.7 Mia 38.9 41.7 42.4
0.4 Orl 42.4 36.7 36.3
0.1 SAS * 31.0 33.2 28.7
0.0 Phx 39.1 46.9 46.9
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. avg err rmse r^2 . avg err rmse r^2
dtka 4.99 6.34 .40 DRKO 4.41 5.29 .54
ncs. 5.26 6.44 .38 LEBR 5.06 6.03 .40
trzu 5.27 6.45 .38 KPel 5.24 6.39 .35
avgA 5.36 6.47 .38 EBPI 5.83 6.67 .34
Crow 5.44 6.75 .36 ChKl 6.07 7.93 .29
medi 5.89 6.98 .46 vegas 6.13 7.37 .31
vzro 6.13 7.11 .39 4141 6.24 7.60
eWin 6.35 7.59 .09 EExp 6.45 7.88 .29
emin 6.83 8.05 .35 IanL 6.67 8.50 .28
DQin 6.86 8.57 .18 NuFi 7.22 9.24 .19
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Atl Bos Brk Cha Chi Cle Det Ind
b-r 47 me 60 nc 45 em 36 DQ 42 me 53 eW 35 b-r 44
DQ 46 vz 59 b-r 42 eW 36 nc 40 DQ 51 b-r 32 eW 39
Cr 44 nc 57 Cr 42 vz 33 vz 39 dt 50 nc 28 dt 38
vz 43 em 57 vz 41 nc 33 Cr 39 tz 49 tz 28 tz 37
dt 43 Cr 57 dt 40 dt 33 eW 39 vz 49 Cr 27 Cr 35
nc 42 b-r 56 me 40 b-r 33 tz 37 em 49 dt 26 vz 34
tz 42 DQ 56 tz 40 tz 31 dt 36 Cr 49 DQ 25 nc 34
em 40 dt 56 em 39 Cr 31 me 36 nc 48 me 24 em 33
me 39 tz 55 DQ 38 DQ 30 b-r 34 eW 44 vz 22 me 33
eW 39 eW 52 eW 36 me 27 em 32 b-r 40 em 21 DQ 32
Mia Mil NYK Orl Phl Tor Was
DQ 45 em 56 vz 56 me 41 b-r 55 b-r 44 b-r 35
tz 44 eW 53 me 51 b-r 41 DQ 54 dt 42 nc 34
nc 43 vz 52 nc 48 eW 40 vz 52 Cr 42 DQ 34
vz 43 DQ 51 tz 47 DQ 40 nc 51 DQ 42 eW 33
dt 42 dt 50 dt 47 em 37 me 50 vz 41 vz 33
Cr 42 me 49 Cr 46 tz 37 tz 48 nc 41 Cr 31
eW 42 tz 48 b-r 46 dt 34 em 48 eW 40 tz 28
em 41 nc 47 DQ 45 Cr 33 dt 46 tz 40 dt 28
me 41 Cr 47 em 44 nc 33 Cr 44 em 38 me 28
b-r 39 b-r 43 eW 42 vz 33 eW 38 me 38 em 20
Dal Den GSW Hou LAC LAL Mem Min
b-r 46 em 60 em 52 b-r 43 DQ 45 DQ 52 dt 47 b-r 55
dt 44 me 54 nc 50 me 39 eW 44 eW 45 tz 46 em 53
nc 43 b-r 54 dt 48 eW 36 me 44 tz 44 Cr 45 me 48
DQ 42 Cr 53 vz 47 dt 34 Cr 43 me 43 eW 45 Cr 48
tz 41 tz 51 b-r 47 Cr 32 vz 43 em 43 DQ 45 dt 47
me 41 vz 49 tz 46 tz 31 b-r 43 nc 42 em 44 nc 47
eW 40 DQ 48 Cr 46 vz 31 dt 42 dt 41 me 44 vz 46
vz 40 dt 48 me 45 nc 31 tz 41 Cr 40 nc 43 tz 46
em 39 nc 48 eW 41 em 29 nc 41 vz 39 vz 43 DQ 41
Cr 39 eW 45 DQ 37 DQ 25 em 40 b-r 34 b-r 29 eW 39
NOP OKC Phx Por Sac SAS Uta
DQ 48 me 48 dt 49 eW 39 em 49 em 36 DQ 41
em 48 b-r 44 DQ 48 b-r 34 Cr 47 eW 35 Cr 40
Cr 46 tz 44 tz 48 nc 33 me 45 b-r 30 eW 39
eW 45 eW 44 me 48 dt 32 vz 43 nc 30 vz 39
vz 45 dt 41 vz 47 tz 31 nc 41 dt 28 nc 38
tz 45 em 41 Cr 46 Cr 29 eW 41 tz 28 dt 37
dt 44 Cr 40 eW 46 DQ 29 tz 41 DQ 27 tz 37
me 43 vz 37 nc 45 vz 28 DQ 39 Cr 27 me 34
nc 43 DQ 35 em 45 em 28 dt 37 me 24 em 32
b-r 38 nc 33 b-r 39 me 21 b-r 35 vz 24 b-r 30
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tm DKO dtk trz ncs Cro med vzr eW emi DQ
Atl 4 4 6 5 3 8 4 8 7 2
Bos 1 0 2 1 1 4 2 5 1 0
Brk 1 2 3 3 0 2 1 7 3 5
Cha 2 0 2 0 2 6 1 3 3 3
Chi 4 2 3 6 5 2 5 5 2 7
Cle 7 10 10 9 9 14 10 5 9 12
Det 4 6 5 4 5 8 11 3 11 7
Ind 10 6 7 10 9 11 10 5 11 12
tm DKO dtk trz ncs Cro med vzr eW emi DQ
Mia 3 3 5 4 3 2 4 3 2 6
Mil 2 7 5 5 4 6 10 10 13 8
NYK 1 1 2 2 0 5 10 4 2 1
Orl 4 7 4 8 8 0 8 1 4 2
Phl 5 9 7 4 11 5 3 17 7 1
Tor 2 2 4 4 2 6 3 4 6 3
Was 3 7 7 1 4 8 2 2 15 2
tm DKO dtk trz ncs Cro med vzr eW emi DQ
Dal 5 2 4 3 7 4 6 5 7 4
Den 5 6 3 6 1 1 5 8 6 6
GSW 2 1 1 3 1 2 0 6 5 10
Hou 7 9 12 13 11 4 13 7 14 18
LAC 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 1 3 3
LAL 7 8 10 9 7 10 6 11 10 18
Mem 13 18 17 14 16 15 14 16 15 16
Min 6 8 9 8 7 7 9 16 2 14
tm DKO dtk trz ncs Cro med vzr eW emi DQ
NOP 3 6 7 5 8 6 7 7 10 10
OKC 8 3 1 11 4 3 7 1 3 10
Phx 8 10 9 6 7 9 8 7 6 9
Por 3 2 2 1 5 13 6 6 6 5
Sac 4 2 5 6 12 10 8 6 14 4
SAS 4 2 2 0 3 6 6 5 6 2
Uta 7 8 7 9 11 4 10 10 3 12