"Doncic Dinwiddie Powell works well..."
I now see it is only neutral over last 5 and 10 games. I'd try to fix that...
There is probably more to find and say. Maybe later.
'22-23 Commentary
Re: '22-23 Commentary
"The Cavaliers’ front office and coaching staff believed Mobley’s passing and ballhandling ability would mesh with Allen’s skills."
They did last season, less so this season. Player pair went from almost +5 to -1. Losing big on net shooting and net turnovers. Win on rebounding keeping them from being worse.
Mobley shooting better than last season but A/TO dropped from about 1.3 to 1.05. Allen shoot way lower and A/TO Also declined modestly. Team got better but not directly from performance with that pair playing together.
https://www.pbpstats.com/wowy-combos/nb ... 96,1628386
Mobley on court, with or without Allen, meh / neutral results. Allen alone, dynamite. Neither, very good. Not an endorsement of twin towers. Very opposite.
They did last season, less so this season. Player pair went from almost +5 to -1. Losing big on net shooting and net turnovers. Win on rebounding keeping them from being worse.
Mobley shooting better than last season but A/TO dropped from about 1.3 to 1.05. Allen shoot way lower and A/TO Also declined modestly. Team got better but not directly from performance with that pair playing together.
https://www.pbpstats.com/wowy-combos/nb ... 96,1628386
Mobley on court, with or without Allen, meh / neutral results. Allen alone, dynamite. Neither, very good. Not an endorsement of twin towers. Very opposite.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
LeBron passes Magic for 6th on regular season assists. Should be 4th by end of year. Pretty good chance he ends up 2nd all-time.
Westbrook currently 11th, should be 10th or 9th by season's end. Hard to say where he ends up. 4th?
James probably eventually catches Barkley for 20th on rebounds. I dunno how much higher he goes there. He might pass Shaq for 16th. Chamberlain and Russell still with more than double LBJ and almost 4k and 6k leads on Moses Malone in 3rd.
Steph Curry, currently 48th on scoring. Should pass Larry Bird for 41st by end of season.
Westbrook and Harden probably pass Jerry West (at 27th) early next season. Paul George probably cracks top 100 next season. Giannis and AD too by end of next season or the one after. Not certain Klay Thompson makes top 100 but he could. Some other will make top 100 by end of next season. A few will have to hang on to the fringes to reach that plateau.
Westbrook currently 11th, should be 10th or 9th by season's end. Hard to say where he ends up. 4th?
James probably eventually catches Barkley for 20th on rebounds. I dunno how much higher he goes there. He might pass Shaq for 16th. Chamberlain and Russell still with more than double LBJ and almost 4k and 6k leads on Moses Malone in 3rd.
Steph Curry, currently 48th on scoring. Should pass Larry Bird for 41st by end of season.
Westbrook and Harden probably pass Jerry West (at 27th) early next season. Paul George probably cracks top 100 next season. Giannis and AD too by end of next season or the one after. Not certain Klay Thompson makes top 100 but he could. Some other will make top 100 by end of next season. A few will have to hang on to the fringes to reach that plateau.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
BRef gives about 79% combined chance to win title to 4 teams. I think that is overstated to way overstated.
It still gives 23 teams at least 0.1% chance to win title. I also think that is way over-stated.
Some 2nd and 3rd tier teams by performance but more talent & playoff potential imo are getting too small percent chances.
I split title chances something like this at this time:
Celtics 22%
Cavs 8
Bucks 15
Sixers 4
Heat 2
Bulls 1
Raptors 2
Nets 2
Suns 12
Pelicans 6
Grizzlies 6
Nuggets 6
Warriors 6
Clippers 4
Mavs 2
Other 2
So I only give 57% chance to top 4 teams and Bucks vault over Cavs, Pelicans and Suns for 2nd place.
Top 8 with 81% chance, top 10 with 89%.
It still gives 23 teams at least 0.1% chance to win title. I also think that is way over-stated.
Some 2nd and 3rd tier teams by performance but more talent & playoff potential imo are getting too small percent chances.
I split title chances something like this at this time:
Celtics 22%
Cavs 8
Bucks 15
Sixers 4
Heat 2
Bulls 1
Raptors 2
Nets 2
Suns 12
Pelicans 6
Grizzlies 6
Nuggets 6
Warriors 6
Clippers 4
Mavs 2
Other 2
So I only give 57% chance to top 4 teams and Bucks vault over Cavs, Pelicans and Suns for 2nd place.
Top 8 with 81% chance, top 10 with 89%.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Wizards lose 9th in 10 games without Beal. Fall to 12th place in East.
243 lineups used before tonight. 4 over the equivalent of 2 minutes per game is typical and typically illogical imo, but none over 5. Beal with starters was at a fairly normal 10 before his absence. In most cases, a successful starting lineup at 10 min / gm should be pushed closer to 20 min / gm.
Beal - Porzingis, the design core, is -1 pts / 100p and is the worst raw +/- in the 10 most used. The other 9 are non-negative, with about half strong, half mild. But then 32 of 50 most used pairs are negative, so it appears by NBA.com that 31 of the next 40 are negative. Another huge reason for far greater lineup concentration.
Only 3 of 17 players are projected as positives on DARKO.
243 lineups used before tonight. 4 over the equivalent of 2 minutes per game is typical and typically illogical imo, but none over 5. Beal with starters was at a fairly normal 10 before his absence. In most cases, a successful starting lineup at 10 min / gm should be pushed closer to 20 min / gm.
Beal - Porzingis, the design core, is -1 pts / 100p and is the worst raw +/- in the 10 most used. The other 9 are non-negative, with about half strong, half mild. But then 32 of 50 most used pairs are negative, so it appears by NBA.com that 31 of the next 40 are negative. Another huge reason for far greater lineup concentration.
Only 3 of 17 players are projected as positives on DARKO.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Wizards below league average on offensive and defensive efficiency, SRS, "morey ball" and all 3 components, 3pt% and pace, among other things. Just average on efg%.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Scottie Barnes, clearly below league average on 3pt fg%, efg%, ts%, ft rate and ft%. All worse than last season except modest improvement in 3pt fg%.
Modestly less offensive rebounding, modestly more defensive rebounding. Modestly higher assist rate and A/TO.
Modestly less offensive rebounding, modestly more defensive rebounding. Modestly higher assist rate and A/TO.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Nobody else picked up O Robinson, so the Heat were able to reclaim.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Morant - Jackson, no Bane is +22pts / 100p in 160 minutes.
The trio, according to pbpstats.com has ZERO minutes together this season.
Last season the trio got 851 minutes and was almost +7 compared to +3 for just Morant & Jackson in 205 minutes. Was the dramatic shift in with vs. without Bane intentional or unnoticed? Certainly was not a basis for it in the '21-22 data and giving the trio zero minutes prevents a current comparison. It is possible the trio is being hidden that sone point in playoffs. Will try to follow.
The trio, according to pbpstats.com has ZERO minutes together this season.
Last season the trio got 851 minutes and was almost +7 compared to +3 for just Morant & Jackson in 205 minutes. Was the dramatic shift in with vs. without Bane intentional or unnoticed? Certainly was not a basis for it in the '21-22 data and giving the trio zero minutes prevents a current comparison. It is possible the trio is being hidden that sone point in playoffs. Will try to follow.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Porter Green Smith at -15pts / 100p.
Pistons' Bogdanovic down to +2 on BPM.
Raptors slip below .500 W-L. Less than +1 with VanVleet or Barnes. Strongest with Siakam, Koloko and Birch. Terrible results when the end of rotation plays.
Pistons' Bogdanovic down to +2 on BPM.
Raptors slip below .500 W-L. Less than +1 with VanVleet or Barnes. Strongest with Siakam, Koloko and Birch. Terrible results when the end of rotation plays.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Raptors have 5 top factors and 3 bottom 4 factors. Unfortunately the by far 2 biggest factors (own efg% and opponent efg%) are bottom 4 factors along with fouling. Additionally, the 3pt rate and 3pt fg% are both bottom 6.
Design, coaching and play issues in some combination.
Design, coaching and play issues in some combination.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Mobley Allen recovers from -1 to +1 / 100p (or +2, depending on which stat service you check) for season because of +14 / 48 min performance in 4 games so far this month.
39 of 50 most used Cavs pairs are positive for season. That is some combo blend of good design, good coaching, good execution.
39 of 50 most used Cavs pairs are positive for season. That is some combo blend of good design, good coaching, good execution.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
Adebayo with worst BPM estimate since his rookie year. Lowry, lowest in 14 years. Duncan Robinson, by far worst of career.
Herro, clear best of career. Butlee, 3rd best and just 10% from peak season.
Herro, clear best of career. Butlee, 3rd best and just 10% from peak season.
Re: '22-23 Commentary
3ptas are down 1 per game on average from last season. If that lasts, it will break an 11 year up streak.
Efg% is tied for all-time. Offensive rating also at all-time high and up for 5 straight years.
Efg% is tied for all-time. Offensive rating also at all-time high and up for 5 straight years.