APBRmetrics

Posted: **Thu Jun 01, 2023 1:26 am**

Miami players thru 3 rounds:

Jimmy Butler                        Bam Adebayo            
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1   33.5   .295   10.2   3.26      1   16.2   .041   -2.2   1.53
2   23.2   .219    7.1   2.14      2   16.9   .134    0.2   1.49
3   22.6   .164    5.2   2.29      3   14.3   .078   -1.1   1.23
13  25.8   .217    7.2   2.51     13   15.7   .089   -0.9   1.39
                              
Caleb Martin                       Gabe Vincent            
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1   17.1   .192    2.8   1.01      1   10.0   .014   -2.7    .32
2   12.6   .121    0.3    .74      2    8.0   .025   -2.7    .55
3   20.8   .210    6.7   1.59      3   14.0   .133    0.6    .69
13  17.4   .178    3.8   1.19     13   10.9   .064   -1.4    .55
                              
Max Strus                          Kyle Lowry            
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1    7.2   .061   -3.4   -.32      1    9.7   .022   -3.1    .23
2   15.3   .157    3.4   1.15      2   19.4   .210    8.3   1.64
3    9.2   .084   -2.8    .22      3    8.9   .016   -2.8    .37
13  10.7   .102   -0.9    .38     13   13.1   .092    1.4    .82
                              
Duncan Robinson                    Kevin Love            
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1   16.4   .152    4.0    .95      1   18.4   .203    5.5   1.56
2    4.5  -.055   -5.6    .04      2    8.6   .055   -2.2    .85
3   20.7   .203    7.2   1.31      3   13.8   .084   -1.8   1.29
13  14.7   .113    2.5    .83     13   13.4   .117    0.8   1.21
                              
Cody Zeller                        Haywood Highsmith            
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1   13.6   .115   -0.2    .82      1   18.4   .207    5.3    .96
2    2.8  -.032   -9.6    .04      2   15.3   .196    1.4    .75
3   10.4   .049   -6.6    .29      3   14.8   .179    5.9    .21
13   8.4   .036   -6.1    .33     13   15.9   .192    4.3    .58
                              
Miami Heat                              
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484                  
1   16.6   .125   1.33   1.14                  
2   14.2   .119   1.28   1.13                  
3   15.7   .124   1.46   1.12                  
13  15.5   .122   1.36   1.13

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html
13 is shorthand for 'rounds 1 thru 3'. Same as T (total) for Nuggets:

Code: Select all

    Jamal Murray                       Nikola Jokić         
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
1   22.0   .188    5.3   2.28      1   28.1   .275   11.5   3.21
2   20.4   .151    3.1   1.69      2   37.3   .365   16.5   3.65
3   27.9   .257    9.1   2.27      3   27.6   .248   11.2   2.79
T   23.0   .193    5.5   2.04      T   31.6   .303   13.4   3.27
                              
    Aaron Gordon                       Michael Porter Jr.       
1   15.2   .184   -0.9    .96      1   16.6   .182    2.9   1.55
2   11.9   .101   -1.8    .54      2   14.6   .138    0.7   1.04
3   12.6   .082   -1.0    .42      3   13.9   .104    0.8   1.00
T   13.1   .121   -1.3    .63      T   15.1   .144    1.5   1.21
                              
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope           Bruce Brown         
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     rd    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
1    8.8   .070   -2.5    .16      1   14.7   .125    1.1    .73
2   14.6   .183    3.3    .62      2   18.1   .182    2.4   1.03
3   12.7   .095   -0.4    .39      3   15.4   .166    0.4    .64
T   12.2   .122    0.4    .41      T   16.2   .158    1.4    .82
                              
    Jeff Green                         Christian Braun         
1    3.1  -.002   -6.0   -.62      1   10.6   .129   -0.5   -.07
2    7.6   .098   -4.1   -.04      2    5.3   .021   -5.5   -.16
3    3.9   .028   -6.0   -.49      3   -7.3  -.163  -15.7   -.76
T    4.9   .041   -5.3   -.38      T    5.8   .040   -4.8   -.20
                              
    Denver Nuggets                           
rd   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480 
1   16.0   .151   2.08   1.24                  
2   17.8   .168   2.90   1.25                  
3   17.3   .147   2.69   1.17                  
T   17.1   .155   2.55   1.22

Lifted from '2023 playoff misc." thread. Numbers may have shifted slightly since then.
Also: e480 or 484 are not different here.

Posted: **Fri Jun 02, 2023 11:23 am**

Nuggets 1 - 0 Heat
104 - 93
Pythagorean wins .82 - .18 , eWins .64 - .36

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.32   Nikola Jokić   Den   41  .750   33.5   9.8  12.8   .9   1.8   .9   3.78
.19   Jamal Murray   Den   44  .565   25.5   5.5   8.5   .8   2.5   .0   2.04
.15   Bam Adebayo    Mia   40  .520   22.3  11.2   3.8   .0    .9   .0   1.78
.09  Michael Porter  Den   43  .412    9.3  12.2    .9   .0    .0  1.7    .98
.08   Aaron Gordon   Den   36  .727   16.9   6.7   1.0   .0    .0  1.0   1.09

.08   Jimmy Butler   Mia   38  .464   11.4   6.3   5.6  1.0   1.0  1.0    .99
.08   Gabe Vincent   Mia   38  .679   19.1   1.8   4.0   .0   1.0  1.0    .98
.07   Ha. Highsmith  Mia   24  .818   26.3   2.5    .0  2.7   1.3  1.3   1.40
.05   Kyle Lowry     Mia   25  .688   16.5   6.0   5.3  1.3   2.6   .0   1.03
.04   Bruce Brown    Den   21  .714   20.0   8.0   3.0  1.5   4.4   .0    .99

eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.00  Max Strus      Mia   21  .000     .0   7.8   4.2   .0    .0   .0   -.01
-.00  Jeff Green     Den   11  .667    9.8   2.7    .0   .0    .0   .0   -.05
-.02  Cody Zeller    Mia    8  .000     .0   9.1    .0   .0   3.3   .0  -1.01
-.02  Caleb Martin   Mia   25  .214    2.1   5.4    .0  1.4    .0  1.4   -.42
-.02 Christian Braun Den    9  .000     .0   3.2   3.0   .0   3.0   .0  -1.29

-.04  Kentavious C-P Den   36  .389    5.4   3.3    .0  1.0   1.0   .0   -.53
-.05 Duncan Robinson Mia   22  .250    2.4   1.3   1.2   .0   1.4   .0  -1.04

shooting : Den .584 - .479 Mia
rebounds: Den 45 - 43 Mia
turnovers: Mia 8 - 10 Den

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. Heat     PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Nuggs    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Adebayo   20.8   .106    4.2   1.78      Murray   20.1   .164    4.1   2.04
Vincent   18.4   .213    7.6    .98      Porter   11.3   .067   -2.3    .98
Butler    16.5   .087    1.6    .99      Jokić    36.2   .486   21.0   3.78
Martin     1.2  -.076  -10.0   -.42      Gordon   19.4   .264    3.5   1.09
Lowry     16.9   .130    5.2   1.03      KCP       3.3  -.012  -10.0   -.53
Highsmith 30.3   .298   14.3   1.40      Brown    14.2   .079    1.4    .99
Robinson  -5.7  -.169  -14.8  -1.04      Green    12.8   .146   -2.7   -.05
Strus    -10.0  -.338  -19.0   -.01      Braun    -7.7  -.153  -14.5  -1.29
Zeller    -5.2  -.216  -19.7  -1.01                  
. totals  12.3   .048  -0.59    .68     . totals  16.8   .170   2.38   1.31

Posted: **Mon Jun 05, 2023 12:06 pm**

Nuggets 1 - 1 Heat
avg score 106.0 - 102.0
Pyth wins 1.25 - .75 , eWins 1.13 - .87

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.57   Nikola Jokić   Den   42  .680   35.7  10.7   7.8    .4   3.3   .4   3.29
.31   Jamal Murray   Den   42  .571   20.3   5.1   8.7    .9   1.9   .0   1.79
.29   Bam Adebayo    Mia   40  .566   21.0  11.2   3.8    .0   1.8   .9   1.74
.22   Jimmy Butler   Mia   39  .479   14.5   5.7   7.0    .5    .9   .5   1.34
.20   Gabe Vincent   Mia   35  .764   23.8   1.2   3.9   1.0   1.0   .5   1.36

.12   Aaron Gordon   Den   38  .737   12.8   7.3   1.4    .0    .0  1.0    .80
.07  Michael Porter  Den   35  .380    6.6  11.4    .5    .0    .5  1.0    .47
.06   Kevin Love     Mia   11  .333    5.9  17.7   1.5   3.2    .0   .0   1.41
.06   Bruce Brown    Den   24  .618   15.7   7.8   1.3   2.0   4.3   .0    .64
.06   Kyle Lowry     Mia   25  .741   15.8   3.7   4.9    .7   3.3   .0    .62

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Max Strus      Mia   25  .326    7.0   5.5   6.0    .0    .0   .7    .60
.05   Ha. Highsmith  Mia   15  .818   18.5   3.3    .0   2.0   1.0  1.0    .77
.03   Jeff Green     Den   14  .929   17.7   2.5   1.1    .0   1.1   .0    .48
.02  Christian Braun Den   12  .750    9.3   2.8   4.7   3.6   2.5   .0    .32

-.02  Caleb Martin   Mia   23  .300    2.8   7.3    .7   1.5   1.5  1.5   -.16
-.02  Cody Zeller    Mia    8  .667    7.3   5.6    .0    .0   3.4   .0   -.75
-.03 Duncan Robinson Mia   20  .565    8.6    .9   1.5    .0    .8   .0   -.38
-.05  Kentavious C-P Den   37  .448    5.2   3.5   1.5   1.0   1.1   .5   -.35

shooting : Den .606 - .551 Mia
rebounds: Den 41.5 - 37.0
turnovers: Mia 9.5 - 12.0 Den

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. Heat     PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Nuggs   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Adebayo   19.3   .107    2.7   1.74      Murray  20.6   .169    4.7   1.79
Butler    17.2   .102    1.5   1.34      Jokić   33.2   .319   12.6   3.29
Vincent   22.0   .227    8.9   1.36      Gordon  17.2   .186    2.8    .80
Strus      6.1  -.036   -3.2    .60      KCP      4.4   .020   -6.7   -.35
Lowry     13.1   .082    1.4    .62      Porter   6.9  -.013   -6.7    .47
Martin     4.4  -.056   -6.6   -.16      Brown   12.5   .001   -2.3    .64
Robinson   5.4  -.008   -4.9   -.38      Green   18.5   .256    3.7    .48
Highsmith 24.7   .254    9.5    .77      Braun   15.3   .142    7.0    .32
Love      14.8   .032   -0.6   1.41                  
Zeller      .3  -.096  -15.3   -.75                  
. totals  14.3   .080   0.82    .87    . totals  16.6   .135   1.74   1.12

correl :   .45    .40    .48    .61   min. corr:  .17    .01   -.06    .48

Added correlation between stats and minutes, bottom line.

Posted: **Thu Jun 08, 2023 12:07 pm**

Nuggets 2 - 1 Heat
avg score 107.0 - 99.3
Pyth wins 2.19 - .81 , eWins 1.84 - 1.16

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.90   Nikola Jokić   Den   42  .667   36.4  13.0   8.1    .3   3.1   .9   3.39
.54   Jamal Murray   Den   43  .605   25.7   6.1   8.6    .8   3.4   .0   2.02
.42   Bam Adebayo    Mia   40  .511   19.1  12.7   3.4    .0   1.2   .9   1.68
.30   Jimmy Butler   Mia   39  .496   17.5   4.3   5.8    .3   1.2   .6   1.23
.23   Aaron Gordon   Den   36  .629   13.6   8.3   2.7    .3    .0   .7   1.02

.16   Gabe Vincent   Mia   34  .628   17.9    .8   2.7   1.5    .7   .4    .75
.13  Christian Braun Den   14  .840   22.7   4.5   3.5   2.7   2.3   .0   1.41
.12   Kyle Lowry     Mia   26  .674   15.1   3.6   5.2   1.3   2.6   .0    .72
.08   Max Strus      Mia   25  .298    4.7   5.7   6.3    .5    .0  1.0    .55
.06   Kevin Love     Mia   13  .429    7.3  11.8    .9   1.9    .0   .0    .73

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Ha. Highsmith  Mia   11  .818   20.0   2.9    .0   1.9    .9   .9    .83
.04  Michael Porter  Den   30  .328    4.5  11.1    .4    .0    .4   .8    .24
.04   Bruce Brown    Den   25  .565   11.7   5.6    .9   1.3   3.2  1.3    .26
.04   Jeff Green     Den   15  .944   17.3   1.5   1.4    .0    .7   .0    .43
.01   Caleb Martin   Mia   26  .421    5.2   5.7   1.7   1.8   1.3   .9    .04

-.01 Duncan Robinson Mia   18  .629   11.9   1.3   1.1    .0    .6   .0   -.08
-.04  Cody Zeller    Mia    7  .667    5.7   4.1    .0    .0   2.6   .0   -.79
-.08  Kentavious C-P Den   34  .463    5.3   3.5   1.1    .7   1.1   .4   -.37

shooting : Den .598 - .520 Mia
rebounds: Den 47.0 - 35.7 Mia
turnovers: Mia 7.7 - 12.7 Den

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. Heat     PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Nuggs   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Adebayo   19.5   .095    2.2   1.68      Murray  22.4   .199    5.5   2.02
Butler    17.1   .064    1.9   1.23      Jokić   32.7   .348   13.4   3.39
Vincent   15.2   .107    3.6    .75      Gordon  16.7   .192    2.9   1.02
Lowry     13.1   .078    1.4    .72      KCP      3.9   .039   -6.7   -.37
Martin     6.8  -.018   -3.6    .04      Porter   5.2  -.014   -8.4    .24
Strus      7.5  -.027   -1.7    .55      Brown    9.4   .021   -2.9    .26
Robinson   9.0   .021   -1.8   -.08      Green   14.9   .228    2.6    .43
Love      12.5   .023   -0.9    .73      Braun   24.2   .267   10.7   1.41
Highsmith 22.8   .227    7.3    .83                  
Zeller      .0  -.087  -14.6   -.79                  
. totals  13.4   .052   0.27    .77    . totals  16.8   .162   2.23   1.23

Posted: **Sat Jun 10, 2023 2:37 pm**

Nuggets 3 - 1 Heat
avg score 107.3 - 98.3
Pyth wins 3.05 - .95, eWins 2.52 - 1.48

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.09  Nikola Jokić   Den   41  .641   33.8  13.3   7.3    .9   3.2  1.4   3.20
.63   Jamal Murray   Den   43  .560   21.6   5.5   9.2    .8   2.6   .0   1.79
.50   Bam Adebayo    Mia   41  .503   18.4  12.5   3.2    .2   2.5   .9   1.47
.45   Jimmy Butler   Mia   41  .518   18.2   5.0   5.7    .2   1.2   .7   1.32
.44   Aaron Gordon   Den   38  .695   19.0   8.1   3.5    .5    .5   .5   1.42

.18   Bruce Brown    Den   27  .662   17.2   5.5   1.3   1.2   2.4  1.3    .83
.18   Kyle Lowry     Mia   28  .667   15.3   3.7   5.7   1.0   2.5   .0    .78
.11   Kevin Love     Mia   14  .585   12.6  11.0    .6   1.3    .0   .0    .96
.10  Christian Braun Den   15  .759   15.9   4.1   2.7   2.5   1.7   .5    .86
.09   Gabe Vincent   Mia   30  .567   14.6    .7   2.5   1.3   1.2   .3    .36

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Max Strus      Mia   23  .262    3.2   6.8   5.0    .4    .0   .8    .33
.06  Michael Porter  Den   29  .364    6.0  10.1    .3    .0    .3   .6    .24
.05   Ha. Highsmith  Mia    8  .818   19.2   3.0    .0   1.9    .9   .9    .78
.04  Duncan Robinson Mia   20  .694   14.7   1.4   1.9    .4    .8   .0    .25
.04   Jeff Green     Den   15  1.00   16.1   1.1   1.0    .5   1.1   .0    .29

.01   Caleb Martin   Mia   28  .435    6.2   5.9   1.5   1.3   1.3   .6    .04
-.03  Cody Zeller    Mia    7  .667    4.8   4.7   1.0    .0   2.2  1.1   -.51
-.03  Kentavious C-P Den   34  .491    5.6   3.8   1.4   1.3    .9   .8   -.11

shooting : Den .599 - .525 Mia
rebounds: Den 43.8 - 36.0 Mia
turnovers: Mia 9.5 - 11.5 Den

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. Heat     PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Nuggs    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Adebayo   16.7   .025    0.6   1.47      Murray   20.3   .184    4.2   1.79
Butler    18.7   .090    3.6   1.32      Jokić    31.1   .317   11.6   3.20
Vincent   10.9   .032   -0.9    .36      Gordon   19.5   .230    4.6   1.42
Lowry     14.1   .102    2.4    .78      KCP       7.1   .076   -3.8   -.11
Martin     7.2  -.027   -4.0    .04      Porter    5.8  -.009   -9.4    .24
Strus      4.7  -.057   -4.9    .33      Brown    15.3   .120    1.4    .83
Robinson  12.1   .072    1.5    .25      Green    13.4   .199    1.5    .29
Love      15.8   .111    3.2    .96      Braun    19.3   .213    6.7    .86
Highsmith 22.8   .222    7.3    .78                  
Zeller     2.4  -.044  -10.1   -.51                  
. totals  13.0   .043   0.07    .74     . totals  17.3   .171   2.41   1.26

Posted: **Tue Jun 13, 2023 12:37 pm**

Nuggets 4 - 1 Heat
avg score 104.6 - 96.4
Pyth wins 3.74 - 1.26 , eWins 3.12 - 1.88

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.38  Nikola Jokić   Den   41  .659   34.6  13.0   6.5    .7   3.3  1.3   3.21
.72   Jamal Murray   Den   42  .546   20.3   5.6   8.8    .9   3.2   .0   1.63
.61   Bam Adebayo    Mia   42  .498   17.9  11.5   2.7    .4   2.2   .7   1.39
.57   Jimmy Butler   Mia   41  .502   18.3   4.4   5.5    .7   1.1   .5   1.33
.45   Aaron Gordon   Den   36  .631   15.9   7.9   3.1    .8    .7   .6   1.20

.27   Kyle Lowry     Mia   29  .607   14.3   5.0   5.4   1.2   2.2   .2    .88
.19   Bruce Brown    Den   27  .553   14.7   5.8   1.3   1.2   2.2  1.0    .68
.15  Michael Porter  Den   29  .387    7.8  10.8   1.0    .0    .5   .5    .50
.13   Kevin Love     Mia   14  .551   11.1   9.4    .5   1.5    .0  1.0    .88
.12  Christian Braun Den   16  .674   13.8   4.0   2.3   1.9   1.3   .8    .73

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.10   Max Strus      Mia   25  .322    5.1   7.3   4.1    .3    .3   .9    .40
.09   Gabe Vincent   Mia   28  .491   12.7    .5   2.9   1.3   1.0   .3    .29
.08  Duncan Robinson Mia   19  .639   14.2   2.1   2.6    .3   1.4   .7    .39
.06   Jeff Green     Den   13  1.00   18.0   1.0   1.4    .5   1.0   .0    .48
.05   Ha. Highsmith  Mia    7  .818   17.5   3.4    .0   1.7    .8   .8    .69

.04  Kentavious C-P  Den   34  .493    6.8   3.8   1.5   1.5    .9  1.3    .10
.02   Caleb Martin   Mia   28  .451    7.2   5.6   1.4   1.2   1.5   .7    .08
-.03  Cody Zeller    Mia    5  .500    3.8   5.4   1.0    .0   2.1  1.0   -.51

shooting : Den .577 - .504 Mia
rebounds: Den 46.4 - 37.6 Mia
turnovers: Mia 9.2 - 12.2 Den

Code: Select all

. Heat     PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Nuggs   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Adebayo   16.1   .044    0.3   1.39      Murray  17.7   .148    2.9   1.63
Butler    18.1   .098    4.2   1.33      Jokić   30.1   .311   11.1   3.21
Lowry     14.3   .117    3.1    .88      Gordon  17.1   .205    3.1   1.20
Martin     7.1  -.008   -3.5    .08      KCP      8.7   .102   -1.6    .10
Vincent    9.0   .002   -1.9    .29      Porter   7.5   .024   -6.5    .50
Strus      6.0  -.028   -3.5    .40      Brown   13.4   .091    0.2    .68
Robinson  11.6   .060    1.6    .39      Braun   16.9   .194    5.4    .73
Love      14.9   .107    3.3    .88      Green   14.9   .236    2.6    .48
Highsmith 21.0   .220    6.1    .69      Jordan  10.1   .137    3.2   -.24
Zeller     2.6  -.041  -10.6   -.51                  
. totals  12.6   .049   0.28    .75    . totals  16.5   .164   2.38   1.25

Posted: **Tue Jun 13, 2023 6:26 pm**

Calvin Booth leads champion in first year as #1 executive. Very fortunate situation but got it done.

Presti and Morey remain without a title after 16 seasons.

What is the longest any top executive has gone before winning a title? Unless I missed somebody, in last 40 years, it is 12 years by Pat Williams (on different teams). I didn't look past 40 years.

Any current #1 serving longer than Presti & Morey without a title? Nope. And nobody close.

All-time? There at least a few others 16 years and over without a title. I did not do a comprehensive review.

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2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat

2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat

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Re: 2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat

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Re: 2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat

Re: 2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat

Re: 2023 Finals: Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat