2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

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Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Wolves 1 - 0 Suns
120 - 95
Pythagorean Wins .96 - .04 , eWins .73 - .27

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22  Anthony Edwards Min   36  .660   42.3   9.9   5.6   2.0   6.5   .0   2.87
.14   Karl-A Towns   Min   27  .731   33.4  10.1   4.9   1.3   2.8   .0   2.49
.13   Kevin Durant   Phx   39  .721   30.5   7.4    .7    .9   4.7   .9   1.57
.13   Rudy Gobert    Min   37  .737   17.9  17.2   1.8    .0   1.1   .0   1.65
.12   Nic A-Walker   Min   29  .750   27.6   5.1   2.2   4.7   1.3   .0   2.02

.07   Bradley Beal   Phx   37  .652   14.3   2.2   4.6   3.0   1.0   .0    .92
.06   Naz Reid       Min   19  .545   21.9   3.7   3.1   1.7    .0   .0   1.39
.05   Jusuf Nurkić   Phx   27  .600   11.1   5.9   1.0   2.6   2.7  4.0    .88
.05   Devin Booker   Phx   38  .474   14.0   2.2   3.7   1.0   1.0   .0    .59
.04   Royce O'Neale  Phx   26  .700   17.2   5.8    .0    .0    .0   .0    .73

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02  Jaden McDaniels Min   38  .529    9.2   6.3    .0    .0   2.1  1.9    .19
.01   Mike Conley    Min   27  .167    3.0   4.3   8.5    .0   1.4   .0    .25
-.01  Grayson Allen  Phx   25  .400    4.2   8.0   2.2    .0   2.8   .0   -.15
-.02  Eric Gordon    Phx   21  .000     .0   3.5   1.2   1.5   3.1  1.5   -.54
shooting: Min .606 - .543 Phx
rebounds: Min 52 - 28 Phx
turnovers: 15 - 15

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2024.html

Nuggets 1 - 0 Lakers
114 - 103
pyth wins .79 - .21 , eWins .65 - .35

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.26   Nikola Jokić   Den   39  .667   32.7  12.0   4.9   1.9    .0   .0   3.21
.19   Anthony Davis  LAL   45  .582   23.7  10.3   3.0    .0   1.6  3.2   2.08
.14   Jamal Murray   Den   39  .458   18.4   6.0   7.1    .0    .0   .9   1.73
.11  Michael Porter  Den   38  .633   18.9   8.2    .0   1.0    .0  1.9   1.42
.11   LeBron James   LAL   41  .730   25.1   4.9   5.3    .9   6.2   .9   1.30

.10   Aaron Gordon   Den   32  .500   12.9  13.4   6.0    .0   1.7   .0   1.43
.04  Taurean Prince  LAL   20  .688   18.0   6.1    .0    .0    .0  1.7   1.05
.04   Austin Reaves  LAL   37  .684   12.5   3.6   2.2    .0    .0  1.0    .56
.03  DeAndre Jordan  Den    9  1.00   18.9   7.5    .0   3.5    .0  3.5   1.70
.03  Kentavious C-P  Den   37  .545   11.0   2.1    .7   3.0    .0   .0    .40

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00   D'An Russell   LAL   41  .325    7.7   2.4   2.0   1.8    .9   .0    .04
-.01 Reggie Jackson  Den    9  .375    8.7   3.8   5.3    .0   5.3   .0   -.27
-.01 Christian Braun Den   18  .200    2.1   9.8    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.15
-.01  Peyton Watson  Den   14  .667   20.4   2.5    .0    .0   7.0   .0   -.22
-.01  Rui Hachimura  LAL   31  .700    8.2   3.2    .9    .0   1.2   .0   -.21

-.01  Sp Dinwiddie   LAL   13  ----     .0   4.6   1.9    .0    .0   .0   -.52
-.02  Gabe Vincent   LAL    8  ----     .0   3.6   2.9    .0   4.0   .0  -1.13
shooting : LA .582 - .543 Den
rebounds: Den 49 - 40 LA
turnovers: Den 6 - 12 LA
Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Clipps 1 - 0 Mavs
109 - 97
Pyth wins .83 - .17 , eWins .66 - .34

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.28   James Harden   LAC   39  .700   31.7   2.2   6.4    .0   1.1  1.9   3.39
.26   Kyrie Irving   Dal   39  .689   30.6   6.1   3.3   1.9   1.1   .0   3.24
.26   Luka Dončić    Dal   42  .550   27.7  10.5   4.6    .9   4.0   .0   2.95
.22   Ivica Zubac    LAC   33  .571   21.7  19.2    .9   1.1   1.3  1.1   3.16
.12   Paul George    LAC   38  .524   21.0   6.7   2.5   1.0   2.3   .0   1.56

.09   Ru Westbrook   LAC   23  .722   25.2   6.4   4.7   2.8   6.5   .0   1.79
.08   Terance Mann   LAC   39  .722   13.3   9.8   1.6    .0   1.1   .0    .96
.03   Josh Green     Dal    9  1.00   12.7   2.8   2.6   6.1    .0  3.0   1.74
.01   Mason Plumlee  LAC   13  .250    2.8  12.8   1.9   2.2    .0   .0    .50
.01  P.J. Washington Dal   37  .500    7.8   6.4    .0   2.0    .0  1.0    .16

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.01  Tim Hardaway   Dal   16  .500    8.0   5.1    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.20
-.01  Dereck Lively  Dal   19  .375    3.0   5.9    .0    .0    .0  4.9   -.33
-.03  Amir Coffey    LAC   25  .429    6.8   5.0   1.2    .0   1.7   .0   -.64
-.04  Dante Exum     Dal   16  .300    3.5   3.4    .0    .0   2.1   .0  -1.27
-.05  Maxi Kleber    Dal   27  .250    2.1   3.3   3.2    .0   1.4  1.2   -.85

-.05  Daniel Gafford Dal   14  .300    4.7    .0    .0    .0   2.8  2.4  -1.75
-.05  Derrick Jones  Dal   18  .000     .0   1.8    .0    .0    .0  3.9  -1.43
-.10  Norman Powell  LAC   30  .417    4.7   1.3    .9    .0   2.6   .0  -1.56
shooting : LAC .583 - .503 Dal
rebounds: LAC 45 - 41 Dal
turnovers: Dal 9 - 14 LAC


Thunder 1 - 0 Pelicans
94 - 92
Pyth wins .57 - .43 , eWins .54 - .46

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.16   Shai G-A       OKC   39  .509   30.9   5.2   3.3    .0   2.8   .0   1.92
.15   Chet Holmgren  OKC   32  .500   19.7  11.7   2.0   1.3   3.4  5.7   2.31
.15  Jo Valančiūnas   NO   29  .591   21.0  22.6   2.1   1.1   3.8   .0   2.46
.10   Trey Murphy     NO   44  .583   17.3   3.0   1.4    .7    .0  2.5   1.11
.10  Jalen Williams  OKC   40  .487   20.2   5.9   3.2   2.1   3.6   .0   1.19

.09   CJ McCollum     NO   39  .455   20.1   2.5   4.7    .8   2.8   .9   1.05
.07  Jaylin Williams OKC    7  .750   43.2   8.9   8.4   5.4    .0   .0   5.11
.06   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   16  1.20   21.9   6.0   3.8    .0    .0   .0   1.74
.06   Naji Marshall   NO   16  .357   10.3   7.7   7.3   1.9    .0  2.1   1.72
.05   Larry Nance     NO   19  .615   18.4  13.1    .0   1.6   3.6   .0   1.27

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02  Brandon Ingram   NO   37  .333   10.4   5.3   2.5    .0   2.0  1.0    .31
.02  Gordon Hayward  OKC    9  ----     .0   7.0   3.3   4.3    .0  3.7    .90
.02   Herbert Jones   NO   33  .364    8.5   6.9   3.7   1.0   3.3   .0    .24
.00   Isaiah Joe     OKC   15  .500   12.5   4.3   2.0    .0   2.3   .0    .16
.00   Cason Wallace  OKC   19  .833   11.2   1.7   1.6    .0    .0   .0    .09

-.00  Ke Williams    OKC    9  .333    5.7  10.5    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.06
-.01  Josh Giddey    OKC   20  .167    2.4   5.1   4.8    .0   3.6  1.8   -.17
-.01  Jose Alvarado   NO   19  .357    8.1    .0   1.5   1.6   1.8   .0   -.29
-.02  Luguentz Dort  OKC   35  .500    5.9   3.9    .9    .0    .0   .0   -.32
shooting : OKC .514 - .458 NO
rebounds: NO 52 - 44 OKC
turnovers: OKC 13 - 14 NO
Mike G
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Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Nuggets 2 - 0 Lakers
avg score 107.5 - 101.0
Pyth wins 1.39 - .61 , eWins 1.20 - .80

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.56   Nikola Jokić   Den   41  .678   31.0  15.2   6.0   1.8   1.6   .0   3.32
.42   Anthony Davis   LA   42  .660   29.8  10.8   2.4    .4   2.7  2.2   2.38
.35   LeBron James    LA   40  .646   26.7   6.4   7.2   1.4   4.3  1.4   2.14
.26  Michael Porter  Den   38  .732   20.7   8.6    .4   1.4    .0  1.0   1.63
.21   Jamal Murray   Den   39  .429   17.7   4.4   5.5    .0   1.1  1.4   1.31

.16   Aaron Gordon   Den   36  .542   13.3   9.6   4.0    .0   1.2   .0   1.04
.08 D'Angelo Russell  LA   40  .500   14.9   2.7   3.2    .9   2.4   .0    .50
.05  Taurean Prince   LA   21  .773   13.7   5.5    .0    .0    .0   .8    .57
.04   Austin Reaves   LA   35  .537   10.2   5.2   2.0    .0   1.1   .5    .30
.03  Christian Braun Den   16  .429   10.0   7.7    .0    .0    .0  1.1    .43

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.00  Justin Holiday Den   10  .000     .0   5.2   1.3   3.3    .0   .0   -.11
-.01  Peyton Watson  Den   13  .500   11.9   2.6   1.9    .0   2.8   .0   -.09
-.01  Kentavious C-P Den   36  .474    8.0   1.6   1.6   1.5   1.2   .5   -.06
-.02  Sp Dinwiddie    LA   12  .000     .0   2.7   2.1   2.8   1.4   .0   -.50
-.03  Reggie Jackson Den    9  .167    3.0   1.8   4.1    .0   4.0   .0   -.82

-.04  Gabe Vincent    LA   12  .000     .0   2.7   2.1   1.4   2.9   .0   -.88
-.07  Rui Hachimura   LA   35  .385    3.7   4.2    .4    .0    .5   .0   -.46
shooting : LA .584 - .533 Den
rebounds: Den 47.0 - 39.0 LA
turnovers: Den 7.5 - 13.5 LA
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Crow »

About 6 players "really mattering" per series, by this criteria and in my opinion on the break point. Lots of guys a bit or more less. Would be good to see share of total for best 3, best 6 in series and by team. Maybe I'll check that, soon or later. Or if you want to, good.
Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Wolves 2 - 0 Suns
avg score 112.5 - 94.0
Pyth wins 1.83 - .17 , eWins 1.41 - .59

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.34  Anthony Edwards Min   37  .585   27.9   7.6   6.6   2.5   4.8   .5   2.22
.30   Rudy Gobert    Min   39  .762   20.5  13.1   1.8   1.4   1.0   .5   1.86
.22   Karl-A Towns   Min   25  .689   28.7  11.8   3.4   1.4   4.6   .0   2.11
.20   Kevin Durant   Phx   40  .613   22.6   6.6   1.1    .9   3.3   .9   1.20
.19  Jaden McDaniels Min   40  .618   18.8   7.1   1.3    .5   1.5   .9   1.12

.17 Nickeil A-Walker Min   30  .622   19.4   3.8   3.9   2.9   1.2   .0   1.40
.13   Jusuf Nurkić   Phx   29  .487   10.5  12.3   2.4   1.2   3.2  1.9   1.04
.12   Mike Conley    Min   30  .431   13.3   4.7   6.5   1.2   2.0   .0    .99
.11   Devin Booker   Phx   40  .528   16.3   2.6   3.6   1.4   3.3   .0    .65
.09   Bradley Beal   Phx   40  .509   12.0   3.0   4.3   1.4   2.4   .0    .52

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Naz Reid       Min   18  .472   15.7   4.0   1.7    .9   1.0   .0    .71
.03   Eric Gordon    Phx   22  .500   10.1   4.2   1.2   1.5   1.6   .8    .35
.03   Royce O'Neale  Phx   22  .700   11.4   6.8    .6    .0   1.6   .0    .31
.01   Monte Morris   Min   10  .286    4.7   5.0   4.4    .0    .0   .0    .23
.01   Drew Eubanks   Phx   13  .444    8.1   4.0    .0   2.4   2.5  1.2    .15
-.00  Grayson Allen  Phx   22  .500    5.2   7.3   1.3    .8   2.6   .0   -.05
shooting : Min .586 - .537 Phx
rebounds: Min 45.5 - 34.5 Phx
turnovers: Min 14.5 - 17.5 Phx


Clipps 1 - 1 Dal
avg score 101.0 - 96.5
Pyth wins 1.29 - .71 , eWins 1.15 - .85

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.52   Luka Dončić    Dal   44  .551   27.5   7.3   6.0    .8   3.2   .4   2.83
.48   James Harden   LAC   41  .649   25.7   3.7   6.8    .5   1.0  1.4   2.82
.41   Kyrie Irving   Dal   41  .635   26.5   5.5   3.1   2.2   2.0   .0   2.45
.27   Ivica Zubac    LAC   34  .516   17.7  15.0    .5   1.1   1.9   .6   1.96
.26   Paul George    LAC   37  .579   23.7   4.0   3.3   1.0   2.3   .5   1.72

.13   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   18  .417   13.5   7.5   2.0   4.4    .0  1.1   1.82
.13   Ru Westbrook   LAC   24  .526   15.3   8.9   4.5   2.1   3.9   .7   1.31
.10  P.J. Washington Dal   36  .592   13.2   6.2    .0   1.5   1.1  1.5    .64
.05   Josh Green     Dal   12  .500    4.8   9.7   2.5   3.8    .0  2.6    .99
.04   Terance Mann   LAC   30  .563   10.7   6.9   1.7    .0   1.4   .0    .31

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Dereck Lively  Dal   20  .417    6.7   9.6    .8    .8    .9  2.4    .43
.01   Mason Plumlee  LAC   12  .188    2.2  12.7   1.2   1.3    .0   .0    .29
.00   Tim Hardaway   Dal   11  .429    6.3   5.0   1.3   1.3    .0   .0    .05
-.04  Maxi Kleber    Dal   27  .450    4.7   5.1   2.4    .0   1.4  1.2   -.39
-.07  Daniel Gafford Dal   12  .188    2.7   1.4   1.5    .0   1.7  1.5  -1.35

-.07  Derrick Jones  Dal   25  .417    5.8   5.5    .0    .0   1.6  2.2   -.65
-.07  Dante Exum     Dal   11  .250    2.8   3.8    .0    .0   3.0  1.4  -1.48
-.07  Amir Coffey    LAC   19  .500    6.8   2.8    .9    .0   2.2   .0   -.93
-.11  Norman Powell  LAC   28  .344    4.7   3.0    .6    .6   1.4   .0   -.95
shooting : LAC .522 - .519 Dal
rebounds: LAC 46.0 - 45.5 Dal
turnovers: 11.5 - 11.5
Crow
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Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Crow »

Timberwolves top 3 over 60% of team total. Top 6 at about 83%.

Suns top 3 at about 73%. Top 6 at 100%.

Top 6 overall at 71%.

General distribution expected, difference fwiw.
Crow
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Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Crow »

Lakers 2 biggest lineups, +13.
16 other lineups,-26.

Nuggets 3 biggest lineups, +16
17 other lineups, -3.

Timberwolves 5 biggest lineups, +44
20 other lineups, -7.
Mike G
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Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Thunder 2 - 0 Pelicans
avg score 109 - 92
Pyth wins 1.81 - .19 , eWins 1.41 - .59

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.43   Shai G-A       OKC   37  .629   37.9   4.6   4.0   1.2   2.6   .0   2.77
.37   Chet Holmgren  OKC   31  .661   30.4  11.3   1.6    .7   2.5  4.2   2.93
.27  Jalen Williams  OKC   38  .548   22.9   6.1   4.9   1.8   3.1   .0   1.73
.26  Jo Valančiūnas  NOP   26  .604   23.6  19.8   2.1    .5   3.6   .0   2.41
.12   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   14  1.09   22.7   9.9   4.3    .0    .0   .0   2.13

.11   CJ McCollum    NOP   38  .473   15.4   4.0   3.7   1.5   3.5   .5    .68
.09  Brandon Ingram  NOP   35  .469   14.2   5.5   2.4    .4   2.7  1.0    .61
.07   Josh Giddey    OKC   23  .441   12.9   7.6   4.4    .0   3.4   .8    .77
.07   Trey Murphy    NOP   41  .558   10.9   4.2   1.4    .3    .9  1.8    .41
.06   Naji Marshall  NOP   21  .500   10.9   5.2   2.5   1.3    .0   .8    .74

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Isaiah Joe     OKC   16  .722   16.6   4.4   1.9   1.3   1.1   .0    .87
.05   Herbert Jones  NOP   35  .619   13.8   5.0   2.0    .4   2.7   .0    .34
.04   Luguentz Dort  OKC   33  .656   12.5   2.9   1.5    .7    .6   .0    .32
.03  Jaylin Williams OKC   12  .600    9.1   4.3   3.7   1.7    .0   .0    .60
.03   Larry Nance    NOP   17  .667   11.4  14.9    .8    .0   5.2   .0    .41

.01   Cason Wallace  OKC   19  .700    7.3   3.7   3.2    .0    .0   .0    .12
.01  Gordon Hayward  OKC   10  .000     .0   7.1   1.5   2.1    .0  1.7    .16
-.06  Jose Alvarado  NOP   18  .208    2.7   1.0   2.1    .7   1.9   .0   -.76
shooting : OKC .607 - .500 NO
rebounds: NO 43.5 - 40.5 OKC
turnovers: OKC 11.0 - 16.0 NO
Crow
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Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Crow »

How is C Wallace a +.01? Will have to check into it.

Aaron Williams 5th best in series, in a limited role? Other teams should take notice... and action in 2.25 months.
Mike G
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Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Aaron Wiggins has not missed a shot. Some garbage time but not all. Zero turnovers.
He's well below the top 4, and everyone else is really struggling. High% shooters aren't getting many shots, while designated gunners are largely missing them.

Cason Wallace doesn't do much. 70% shooting isn't productive at one TSA every 8 minutes.
[eW/480] .12 * 38/480 = .009 eWins.
His Usg% is 6.3, less than half his RS low rate.

Western playoff teams average .635 W%. During the season all your opponents avg ~.500
500/635 = .79, so a team's WS, PER, eW rates are going to be ~80% of what they were in the RS
For a player, it may be closer to a linear reduction, in which a .060 WS/48 player can expect to become .040 in PO.
Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Nuggets 3 - 0 Lakers
avg score 109.0 - 102.3
Pyth wins 2.10 - .90 , eWins 1.80 - 1.20

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.79   Nikola Jokić   Den   40  .692   29.1  14.8   6.2   1.6   2.0   .0   3.15
.62   Anthony Davis   LA   42  .647   28.8  11.4   2.1    .5   2.4  1.4   2.37
.51   LeBron James    LA   40  .637   24.8   5.9   6.5   1.4   3.7  1.2   2.00
.37   Aaron Gordon   Den   38  .611   18.6  11.1   3.3    .3   1.4   .0   1.58
.36  Michael Porter  Den   37  .678   20.2   9.2   1.0   1.0    .7   .7   1.57

.31   Jamal Murray   Den   40  .438   17.6   4.5   5.7    .0   2.0  1.2   1.26
.16   Austin Reaves   LA   37  .557   12.9   4.8   1.9   1.2    .7   .3    .68
.05   Taurean Prince  LA   21  .667   12.1   4.3    .8    .0    .0   .5    .40
.04 D'Angelo Russell  LA   35  .419   10.1   3.1   2.9   1.0   2.2   .4    .20
.03  Christian Braun Den   16  .436    9.2   6.4    .5    .0    .0   .7    .28

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.01  Sp Dinwiddie    LA   15  .400    4.6   2.9   2.7   1.4    .8   .0   -.13
-.01  Peyton Watson  Den   14  .462    8.1   2.4   1.2    .0   1.7  1.6   -.15
-.01  Reggie Jackson Den    8  .333    7.9   1.3   3.9    .0   2.7   .0   -.29
-.02  Justin Holiday Den    9  .000     .0   4.9    .9   2.5    .0   .0   -.29
-.05  Kentavious C-P Den   36  .442    6.6   1.8   1.3   1.8   1.5   .3   -.22

-.05  Gabe Vincent    LA   14  .333    2.1   4.5   1.1    .7   1.6   .0   -.60
-.10  Rui Hachimura   LA   32  .417    4.1   3.7    .6    .0    .8   .0   -.51
shooting : LA .565 - .540 Den
rebounds: Den 48.3 - 38.7 LA
turnovers: Den 9.3 - 11.3 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Mavs 2 - 1 Clipps
avg score 98.0 - 97.3
Pyth wins 1.57 - 1.43 , eWins 1.53 - 1.47

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.64   Luka Dončić    Dal   43  .497   26.8   8.3   6.5   1.1   3.8   .3   2.39
.53   Kyrie Irving   Dal   39  .620   27.7   5.4   3.9   2.1   2.1   .0   2.19
.51   James Harden   LAC   42  .670   25.4   3.0   5.7    .9   2.2  1.2   1.95
.39   Ivica Zubac    LAC   33  .584   20.7  13.5    .7   1.2   2.0   .7   1.88
.26   Paul George    LAC   35  .520   18.7   4.7   3.9    .7   1.9   .4   1.19

.17  P.J. Washington Dal   35  .565   12.4   6.3    .3   2.0    .8  1.4    .77
.17   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   20  .471   15.3  10.3   2.3   2.6   2.7   .6   1.38
.12   Dereck Lively  Dal   18  .548   13.8   8.6    .5    .6   1.3  2.9   1.03
.10   Ru Westbrook   LAC   22  .389   10.0   8.0   3.6   2.0   3.7  1.5    .71
.08   Josh Green     Dal   16  .600    7.6   8.3   1.2   2.5    .0  1.3    .77

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Mason Plumlee  LAC   11  .417    8.1  10.0    .8   1.8   1.0   .0    .59
.04   Terance Mann   LAC   27  .500    8.2   6.5   2.1    .0   1.0   .0    .23
.03   Norman Powell  LAC   29  .561   12.6   4.5    .7    .4   2.1   .0    .16
.01  Daniel Gafford  Dal   16  .423    6.8   3.7    .7   1.4    .8  3.0    .13
.01   Tim Hardaway   Dal    7  .429    6.6   5.4   1.3   1.3    .0   .0    .20

.01   Maxi Kleber    Dal   23  .545    5.6   4.7   3.1    .0   1.0   .9    .04
.01  Derrick Jones   Dal   26  .500    8.3   5.2    .0    .0   1.1  1.9    .03
-.05  Dante Exum     Dal   11  .150    1.4   3.5    .8    .9   1.9   .9   -.74
-.08  Amir Coffey    LAC   18  .400    4.1   2.6   1.1    .0   2.0   .0   -.74
shooting : LAC .534 - .522 Dal
rebounds: LAC 44.3 - 42.3 Dal
turnovers: Dal 10.7 - 14.0 LAC


Wolves 3 - 0 Suns
avg score 117 - 99
Pyth wins 2.71 - .29 , eWins 2.10 - .90

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.57  Anthony Edwards Min   39  .604   29.5   7.9   5.4   2.2   4.7   .3   2.33
.46   Rudy Gobert    Min   38  .773   20.5  13.5   1.5   1.3   1.4   .3   1.91
.36   Karl-A Towns   Min   25  .620   27.0  14.9   3.1   1.0   3.7   .0   2.33
.28   Kevin Durant   Phx   41  .592   20.7   5.8   1.9    .6   2.8   .6   1.11
.24   Ni A-Walker    Min   31  .638   18.5   3.2   4.1   1.9   1.2   .0   1.21

.20   Devin Booker   Phx   40  .565   16.8   2.8   4.3   1.5   2.9   .0    .80
.20   Mike Conley    Min   31  .507   14.6   4.7   6.4   1.2   2.5   .0   1.01
.19   Bradley Beal   Phx   41  .588   15.7   3.4   3.7    .9   2.2   .0    .72
.17  Jaden McDaniels Min   36  .582   13.9   6.6   1.2    .7   1.1   .7    .75
.15   Jusuf Nurkić   Phx   28  .449    7.6  12.3   2.0   1.7   2.7  2.2    .88

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.10   Naz Reid       Min   18  .517   17.8   3.2   2.2    .6    .6   .0    .87
.05   Eric Gordon    Phx   26  .520    9.6   3.4   1.7   2.2   1.8   .9    .32
.03   Drew Eubanks   Phx   12  .630   13.4   3.8    .0   1.7   1.7   .8    .37
.03   Josh Okogie    Phx    5  .625   17.8   2.1   1.5   1.9    .0   .0    .89
.01  Kyle Anderson   Min    4  .667   10.5   7.2   4.0    .0   2.4   .0    .44

.00   Bol Bol        Phx    4  .333    2.7   9.7    .0   2.1    .0   .0    .16
.00   Monte Morris   Min   10  .273    4.3   3.4   3.8    .0    .0  1.0    .06
-.01  Royce O'Neale  Phx   23  .467    5.5   7.4   1.2    .0   1.1   .0   -.08
-.02  Grayson Allen  Phx   14  .500    4.9   7.6   1.3    .8   2.6   .0   -.18
shooting : Min .596 - .566 Phx
rebounds: Min 47.0 - 32.3 Phx
turnovers: Min 14.3 - 15.0 Phx
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Thunder 3 - 0 Pels
avg score 108.0 - 89.7
Pyth wins 2.77 - .23 , eWins 2.13 - .87

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.62   Shai G-A       OKC   37  .582   35.6   4.6   5.2   2.3   2.7   .3   2.66
.44  Jalen Williams  OKC   37  .581   25.5   7.0   5.0   1.9   3.1   .0   1.91
.38   Chet Holmgren  OKC   31  .588   22.0  10.1   1.5    .5   2.4  4.3   1.92
.28  Jo Valančiūnas   NO   21  .619   24.6  18.2   1.8    .5   4.1   .0   2.07
.26   Josh Giddey    OKC   25  .581   22.1   8.2   5.4    .6   3.5   .5   1.62

.16   CJ McCollum     NO   37  .432   15.3   4.4   4.4   1.7   4.5   .7    .69
.16  Brandon Ingram   NO   36  .516   16.1   4.9   1.9    .6   2.5  1.0    .70
.13   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   15  .857   21.5   8.3   3.5    .9   3.1   .0   1.42
.12   Larry Nance     NO   21  .633   11.5  15.0   2.5    .9   3.9   .0    .92
.10   Herbert Jones   NO   36  .586   14.3   5.6   1.6    .9   2.8   .0    .43

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.10   Isaiah Joe     OKC   13  .679   19.2   5.0   1.6   1.9    .8   .0   1.14
.09   Luguentz Dort  OKC   35  .660   13.5   3.1   2.0    .4    .7   .0    .41
.09   Trey Murphy     NO   42  .513   10.0   4.5   1.4   1.0   1.2  1.2    .34
.07  Jaylin Williams OKC   11  .786   14.3   4.8   3.6   1.1    .0   .0    .96
.06   Cason Wallace  OKC   19  .667    8.9   3.6   2.8   2.1    .0   .0    .48

.04   Naji Marshall   NO   21  .476    9.3   4.4   1.7    .9    .6   .5    .30
.02  Gordon Hayward  OKC    9  .000     .0   9.6   2.3   1.4    .0  1.2    .27
.00   Ke Williams    OKC    5  .200    2.7   9.0    .0   2.6    .0   .0    .15
-.01  Dyson Daniels   NO    6  .333    5.4   3.8    .0   3.1   1.9   .0   -.16
-.05  Jose Alvarado   NO   16  .156    1.7   1.5   2.8   1.2   1.5   .0   -.56
shooting : OKC .602 - .489 NO
rebounds: NO 44.0 - 42.7 OKC
turnovers: OKC 12.7 - 17.7 NO


Nuggets 3 - 1 Lakers
avg score 108.8 - 106.5
Pyth wins 2.28 - 1.72 , eWins 2.14 - 1.86

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.02  Nikola Jokić   Den   40  .678   29.9  13.6   6.9   1.4   2.2   .2   3.05
.89   Anthony Davis  LAL   42  .649   27.7  14.6   2.6    .4   2.1  1.3   2.55
.68   LeBron James   LAL   40  .634   26.9   6.1   5.5   1.9   4.3  1.1   2.03
.45  Michael Porter  Den   38  .652   20.1   9.0    .9   1.0   1.0   .5   1.42
.37   Jamal Murray   Den   40  .437   17.6   4.5   5.1    .0   2.4  1.2   1.11

.31   Aaron Gordon   Den   39  .585   14.6   8.3   3.0    .5   1.5   .0    .97
.26   Austin Reaves  LAL   35  .565   15.7   4.4   2.7   1.1    .8   .3    .90
.14 D'Angelo Russell LAL   36  .483   12.4   3.5   2.8   1.0   1.9   .3    .46
.05  Taurean Prince  LAL   23  .635   10.3   4.2    .8    .4    .4   .4    .24
.01  Kentavious C-P  Den   37  .544    8.3   1.7   1.5   2.2   1.6   .2    .03

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01  Christian Braun Den   15  .395    6.2   5.7    .8    .0    .0   .5    .05
-.01  Justin Holiday Den    8  .150    1.1   3.6    .7   3.6    .0   .0   -.14
-.02  Reggie Jackson Den    9  .308    5.2   2.5   3.9    .0   1.8   .0   -.23
-.03  Sp Dinwiddie   LAL   15  .375    3.6   3.4   1.9   1.1    .6   .0   -.22
-.03  Peyton Watson  Den   14  .412    6.2   1.7    .9    .0   1.8  2.3   -.25

-.06  Rui Hachimura  LAL   30  .462    5.4   4.6    .7    .0    .6   .0   -.25
-.07  Gabe Vincent   LAL   15  .350    2.5   3.8    .8   1.1   1.6   .0   -.52
shooting : LA .572 - .541
rebounds: Den 46.3 - 40.5 LA
turnovers: Den 10.5 - 11.5 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Mike G »

Clippers 2 - 2 Mavs
avg score 102.0 - 101.3
Pyth wins 2.10 - 1.90 , eWins 2.05 - 1.95

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.75   Luka Dončić    Dal   43  .498   24.3   8.4   7.7    .9   3.5   .4   2.09
.72   James Harden   LAC   41  .717   27.7   4.0   6.5    .9   2.2  1.1   2.11
.69   Kyrie Irving   Dal   41  .650   29.9   5.5   4.3   1.6   3.2   .0   2.04
.52   Paul George    LAC   37  .587   22.8   5.4   5.2   1.5   2.4   .5   1.68
.41   Ivica Zubac    LAC   32  .575   18.7  12.6    .9   1.1   1.9   .9   1.53

.16   Dereck Lively  Dal   18  .608   14.2   9.4    .9    .9   1.4  2.2   1.06
.16   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   15  .471   14.5  11.3   2.6   2.5   2.7   .6   1.30
.15  P.J. Washington Dal   37  .557   10.9   5.6    .5   1.8   1.4  1.5    .50
.11   Mason Plumlee  LAC   12  .533   10.3  10.9   2.7   1.3    .7  1.3   1.12
.10   Ru Westbrook   LAC   22  .361    8.3   7.9   3.5   2.2   3.6  1.1    .54

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09  Derrick Jones   Dal   28  .574    9.8   6.2    .4    .3    .7  1.7    .38
.08   Josh Green     Dal   16  .500    6.1   7.3   1.6   2.6    .0  1.0    .58
.06   Terance Mann   LAC   29  .517    8.7   6.1   2.3    .0   1.0   .0    .26
.04  Daniel Gafford  Dal   17  .421    7.6   5.6   1.8   1.1   1.8  2.2    .30
.02   Norman Powell  LAC   30  .589   11.6   3.5    .6    .6   1.9   .0    .08

.02   Maxi Kleber    Dal   23  .625    5.3   4.4   3.0    .4    .8  1.1    .09
.01   Tim Hardaway   Dal    6  .429    6.3   5.7   1.5   1.4    .0   .0    .23
-.05  Dante Exum     Dal    9  .125    1.1   3.4    .9    .9   1.8   .8   -.63
-.07  Amir Coffey    LAC   19  .400    4.2   3.6   1.0    .5   2.0   .5   -.46
shooting : LAC .563 - .540 Dal
rebounds: Dal 42.3 - 40.5 LAC
turnovers: Dal 12.3 - 13.8 LAC


T-Wolves 4 - 0 Suns
avg score 118.3 - 103.3
Pyth wins 3.43 - .57 , eWins 2.72 - 1.28

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.88  Anthony Edwards Min   40  .636   31.8   8.6   5.4   1.9   4.2   .7   2.66
.56   Karl-A Towns   Min   28  .664   27.3  14.1   3.0    .7   2.5   .0   2.37
.50   Kevin Durant   Phx   42  .637   21.8   6.1   2.4    .4   2.3  1.3   1.42
.49   Devin Booker   Phx   42  .643   23.2   3.1   4.4   1.5   2.6   .2   1.42
.46   Rudy Gobert    Min   35  .690   17.5  13.3   1.5   1.3   2.3   .8   1.56

.26   Jusuf Nurkić   Phx   26  .492    8.9  12.4   3.2   2.1   2.2  2.1   1.18
.23   Mike Conley    Min   32  .480   12.6   5.0   6.7   1.2   2.6   .0    .89
.22   Ni A-Walker    Min   31  .557   13.4   3.6   4.2   2.0    .9   .0    .86
.21  Jaden McDaniels Min   36  .594   14.2   6.2   1.0    .8   1.1   .8    .69
.11   Naz Reid       Min   18  .543   15.8   4.2   1.7    .5    .5   .4    .73

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Bradley Beal   Phx   39  .537   13.4   2.8   3.6    .7   3.3   .2    .30
.05   Kyle Anderson  Min    8  .500    7.8  12.0   3.9    .0   1.2   .0    .73
.02   Josh Okogie    Phx    7  .583   13.3   4.5   1.7   2.1   2.2   .0    .40
.02   Drew Eubanks   Phx    9  .630   13.1   3.7    .0   1.7   1.8   .9    .28
.00   Monte Morris   Min    7  .273    4.2   3.7   4.0    .0    .0  1.1    .08

-.02  Grayson Allen  Phx   11  .500    4.7   7.2   1.4    .8   2.7   .0   -.25
-.02  Eric Gordon    Phx   30  .500    7.3   2.2   1.2   1.4   1.2   .6   -.09
-.03  Royce O'Neale  Phx   26  .455    4.7   6.9   1.1    .3    .7   .0   -.13
shooting : Min .593 - .575 Phx
rebounds: Min 46.3 - 32.5 Phx
turnovers: Min 13.8 - 14.3 Phx
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Post by Crow »

Average of 1.3 guys much above .5 per team that has such. 2 teams without. Suns almost, Pelicans nowhere close.

If you are a 3+ star team and have 2 over .5, maybe you are fairly satisfied but probably not totally. Insurance? Just 1, probably miffed. None, angry.

3 star vs 2 star design playoff results should probably be compared more. Now, later and in recent past. Of course the star definition matters a lot.
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