Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sun Apr 21, 2024 12:10 pm
Wolves 1 - 0 Suns
120 - 95
Pythagorean Wins .96 - .04 , eWins .73 - .27
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.22 Anthony Edwards Min 36 .660 42.3 9.9 5.6 2.0 6.5 .0 2.87
.14 Karl-A Towns Min 27 .731 33.4 10.1 4.9 1.3 2.8 .0 2.49
.13 Kevin Durant Phx 39 .721 30.5 7.4 .7 .9 4.7 .9 1.57
.13 Rudy Gobert Min 37 .737 17.9 17.2 1.8 .0 1.1 .0 1.65
.12 Nic A-Walker Min 29 .750 27.6 5.1 2.2 4.7 1.3 .0 2.02
.07 Bradley Beal Phx 37 .652 14.3 2.2 4.6 3.0 1.0 .0 .92
.06 Naz Reid Min 19 .545 21.9 3.7 3.1 1.7 .0 .0 1.39
.05 Jusuf Nurkić Phx 27 .600 11.1 5.9 1.0 2.6 2.7 4.0 .88
.05 Devin Booker Phx 38 .474 14.0 2.2 3.7 1.0 1.0 .0 .59
.04 Royce O'Neale Phx 26 .700 17.2 5.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .73
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.02 Jaden McDaniels Min 38 .529 9.2 6.3 .0 .0 2.1 1.9 .19
.01 Mike Conley Min 27 .167 3.0 4.3 8.5 .0 1.4 .0 .25
-.01 Grayson Allen Phx 25 .400 4.2 8.0 2.2 .0 2.8 .0 -.15
-.02 Eric Gordon Phx 21 .000 .0 3.5 1.2 1.5 3.1 1.5 -.54
shooting: Min .606 - .543 Phx
rebounds:
Min 52 - 28 Phx
turnovers: 15 - 15
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2024.html
Nuggets 1 - 0 Lakers
114 - 103
pyth wins .79 - .21 , eWins .65 - .35
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.26 Nikola Jokić Den 39 .667 32.7 12.0 4.9 1.9 .0 .0 3.21
.19 Anthony Davis LAL 45 .582 23.7 10.3 3.0 .0 1.6 3.2 2.08
.14 Jamal Murray Den 39 .458 18.4 6.0 7.1 .0 .0 .9 1.73
.11 Michael Porter Den 38 .633 18.9 8.2 .0 1.0 .0 1.9 1.42
.11 LeBron James LAL 41 .730 25.1 4.9 5.3 .9 6.2 .9 1.30
.10 Aaron Gordon Den 32 .500 12.9 13.4 6.0 .0 1.7 .0 1.43
.04 Taurean Prince LAL 20 .688 18.0 6.1 .0 .0 .0 1.7 1.05
.04 Austin Reaves LAL 37 .684 12.5 3.6 2.2 .0 .0 1.0 .56
.03 DeAndre Jordan Den 9 1.00 18.9 7.5 .0 3.5 .0 3.5 1.70
.03 Kentavious C-P Den 37 .545 11.0 2.1 .7 3.0 .0 .0 .40
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.00 D'An Russell LAL 41 .325 7.7 2.4 2.0 1.8 .9 .0 .04
-.01 Reggie Jackson Den 9 .375 8.7 3.8 5.3 .0 5.3 .0 -.27
-.01 Christian Braun Den 18 .200 2.1 9.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.15
-.01 Peyton Watson Den 14 .667 20.4 2.5 .0 .0 7.0 .0 -.22
-.01 Rui Hachimura LAL 31 .700 8.2 3.2 .9 .0 1.2 .0 -.21
-.01 Sp Dinwiddie LAL 13 ---- .0 4.6 1.9 .0 .0 .0 -.52
-.02 Gabe Vincent LAL 8 ---- .0 3.6 2.9 .0 4.0 .0 -1.13
shooting : LA .582 - .543 Den
rebounds: Den 49 - 40 LA
turnovers:
Den 6 - 12 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Mon Apr 22, 2024 12:25 pm
Clipps 1 - 0 Mavs
109 - 97
Pyth wins .83 - .17 , eWins .66 - .34
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.28 James Harden LAC 39 .700 31.7 2.2 6.4 .0 1.1 1.9 3.39
.26 Kyrie Irving Dal 39 .689 30.6 6.1 3.3 1.9 1.1 .0 3.24
.26 Luka Dončić Dal 42 .550 27.7 10.5 4.6 .9 4.0 .0 2.95
.22 Ivica Zubac LAC 33 .571 21.7 19.2 .9 1.1 1.3 1.1 3.16
.12 Paul George LAC 38 .524 21.0 6.7 2.5 1.0 2.3 .0 1.56
.09 Ru Westbrook LAC 23 .722 25.2 6.4 4.7 2.8 6.5 .0 1.79
.08 Terance Mann LAC 39 .722 13.3 9.8 1.6 .0 1.1 .0 .96
.03 Josh Green Dal 9 1.00 12.7 2.8 2.6 6.1 .0 3.0 1.74
.01 Mason Plumlee LAC 13 .250 2.8 12.8 1.9 2.2 .0 .0 .50
.01 P.J. Washington Dal 37 .500 7.8 6.4 .0 2.0 .0 1.0 .16
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
-.01 Tim Hardaway Dal 16 .500 8.0 5.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.20
-.01 Dereck Lively Dal 19 .375 3.0 5.9 .0 .0 .0 4.9 -.33
-.03 Amir Coffey LAC 25 .429 6.8 5.0 1.2 .0 1.7 .0 -.64
-.04 Dante Exum Dal 16 .300 3.5 3.4 .0 .0 2.1 .0 -1.27
-.05 Maxi Kleber Dal 27 .250 2.1 3.3 3.2 .0 1.4 1.2 -.85
-.05 Daniel Gafford Dal 14 .300 4.7 .0 .0 .0 2.8 2.4 -1.75
-.05 Derrick Jones Dal 18 .000 .0 1.8 .0 .0 .0 3.9 -1.43
-.10 Norman Powell LAC 30 .417 4.7 1.3 .9 .0 2.6 .0 -1.56
shooting : LAC .583 - .503 Dal
rebounds: LAC 45 - 41 Dal
turnovers: Dal 9 - 14 LAC
Thunder 1 - 0 Pelicans
94 - 92
Pyth wins .57 - .43 , eWins .54 - .46
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.16 Shai G-A OKC 39 .509 30.9 5.2 3.3 .0 2.8 .0 1.92
.15 Chet Holmgren OKC 32 .500 19.7 11.7 2.0 1.3 3.4 5.7 2.31
.15 Jo Valančiūnas NO 29 .591 21.0 22.6 2.1 1.1 3.8 .0 2.46
.10 Trey Murphy NO 44 .583 17.3 3.0 1.4 .7 .0 2.5 1.11
.10 Jalen Williams OKC 40 .487 20.2 5.9 3.2 2.1 3.6 .0 1.19
.09 CJ McCollum NO 39 .455 20.1 2.5 4.7 .8 2.8 .9 1.05
.07 Jaylin Williams OKC 7 .750 43.2 8.9 8.4 5.4 .0 .0 5.11
.06 Aaron Wiggins OKC 16 1.20 21.9 6.0 3.8 .0 .0 .0 1.74
.06 Naji Marshall NO 16 .357 10.3 7.7 7.3 1.9 .0 2.1 1.72
.05 Larry Nance NO 19 .615 18.4 13.1 .0 1.6 3.6 .0 1.27
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.02 Brandon Ingram NO 37 .333 10.4 5.3 2.5 .0 2.0 1.0 .31
.02 Gordon Hayward OKC 9 ---- .0 7.0 3.3 4.3 .0 3.7 .90
.02 Herbert Jones NO 33 .364 8.5 6.9 3.7 1.0 3.3 .0 .24
.00 Isaiah Joe OKC 15 .500 12.5 4.3 2.0 .0 2.3 .0 .16
.00 Cason Wallace OKC 19 .833 11.2 1.7 1.6 .0 .0 .0 .09
-.00 Ke Williams OKC 9 .333 5.7 10.5 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.06
-.01 Josh Giddey OKC 20 .167 2.4 5.1 4.8 .0 3.6 1.8 -.17
-.01 Jose Alvarado NO 19 .357 8.1 .0 1.5 1.6 1.8 .0 -.29
-.02 Luguentz Dort OKC 35 .500 5.9 3.9 .9 .0 .0 .0 -.32
shooting :
OKC .514 - .458 NO
rebounds: NO 52 - 44 OKC
turnovers: OKC 13 - 14 NO
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Tue Apr 23, 2024 11:35 am
Nuggets 2 - 0 Lakers
avg score 107.5 - 101.0
Pyth wins 1.39 - .61 , eWins 1.20 - .80
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.56 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .678 31.0 15.2 6.0 1.8 1.6 .0 3.32
.42 Anthony Davis LA 42 .660 29.8 10.8 2.4 .4 2.7 2.2 2.38
.35 LeBron James LA 40 .646 26.7 6.4 7.2 1.4 4.3 1.4 2.14
.26 Michael Porter Den 38 .732 20.7 8.6 .4 1.4 .0 1.0 1.63
.21 Jamal Murray Den 39 .429 17.7 4.4 5.5 .0 1.1 1.4 1.31
.16 Aaron Gordon Den 36 .542 13.3 9.6 4.0 .0 1.2 .0 1.04
.08 D'Angelo Russell LA 40 .500 14.9 2.7 3.2 .9 2.4 .0 .50
.05 Taurean Prince LA 21 .773 13.7 5.5 .0 .0 .0 .8 .57
.04 Austin Reaves LA 35 .537 10.2 5.2 2.0 .0 1.1 .5 .30
.03 Christian Braun Den 16 .429 10.0 7.7 .0 .0 .0 1.1 .43
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
-.00 Justin Holiday Den 10 .000 .0 5.2 1.3 3.3 .0 .0 -.11
-.01 Peyton Watson Den 13 .500 11.9 2.6 1.9 .0 2.8 .0 -.09
-.01 Kentavious C-P Den 36 .474 8.0 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.2 .5 -.06
-.02 Sp Dinwiddie LA 12 .000 .0 2.7 2.1 2.8 1.4 .0 -.50
-.03 Reggie Jackson Den 9 .167 3.0 1.8 4.1 .0 4.0 .0 -.82
-.04 Gabe Vincent LA 12 .000 .0 2.7 2.1 1.4 2.9 .0 -.88
-.07 Rui Hachimura LA 35 .385 3.7 4.2 .4 .0 .5 .0 -.46
shooting : LA .584 - .533 Den
rebounds: Den 47.0 - 39.0 LA
turnovers: Den 7.5 - 13.5 LA
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Tue Apr 23, 2024 3:23 pm
About 6 players "really mattering" per series, by this criteria and in my opinion on the break point. Lots of guys a bit or more less. Would be good to see share of total for best 3, best 6 in series and by team. Maybe I'll check that, soon or later. Or if you want to, good.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Wed Apr 24, 2024 12:34 pm
Wolves 2 - 0 Suns
avg score 112.5 - 94.0
Pyth wins 1.83 - .17 , eWins 1.41 - .59
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.34 Anthony Edwards Min 37 .585 27.9 7.6 6.6 2.5 4.8 .5 2.22
.30 Rudy Gobert Min 39 .762 20.5 13.1 1.8 1.4 1.0 .5 1.86
.22 Karl-A Towns Min 25 .689 28.7 11.8 3.4 1.4 4.6 .0 2.11
.20 Kevin Durant Phx 40 .613 22.6 6.6 1.1 .9 3.3 .9 1.20
.19 Jaden McDaniels Min 40 .618 18.8 7.1 1.3 .5 1.5 .9 1.12
.17 Nickeil A-Walker Min 30 .622 19.4 3.8 3.9 2.9 1.2 .0 1.40
.13 Jusuf Nurkić Phx 29 .487 10.5 12.3 2.4 1.2 3.2 1.9 1.04
.12 Mike Conley Min 30 .431 13.3 4.7 6.5 1.2 2.0 .0 .99
.11 Devin Booker Phx 40 .528 16.3 2.6 3.6 1.4 3.3 .0 .65
.09 Bradley Beal Phx 40 .509 12.0 3.0 4.3 1.4 2.4 .0 .52
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.05 Naz Reid Min 18 .472 15.7 4.0 1.7 .9 1.0 .0 .71
.03 Eric Gordon Phx 22 .500 10.1 4.2 1.2 1.5 1.6 .8 .35
.03 Royce O'Neale Phx 22 .700 11.4 6.8 .6 .0 1.6 .0 .31
.01 Monte Morris Min 10 .286 4.7 5.0 4.4 .0 .0 .0 .23
.01 Drew Eubanks Phx 13 .444 8.1 4.0 .0 2.4 2.5 1.2 .15
-.00 Grayson Allen Phx 22 .500 5.2 7.3 1.3 .8 2.6 .0 -.05
shooting : Min .586 - .537 Phx
rebounds: Min 45.5 - 34.5 Phx
turnovers: Min 14.5 - 17.5 Phx
Clipps 1 -
1 Dal
avg score 101.0 - 96.5
Pyth wins 1.29 - .71 , eWins 1.15 - .85
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.52 Luka Dončić Dal 44 .551 27.5 7.3 6.0 .8 3.2 .4 2.83
.48 James Harden LAC 41 .649 25.7 3.7 6.8 .5 1.0 1.4 2.82
.41 Kyrie Irving Dal 41 .635 26.5 5.5 3.1 2.2 2.0 .0 2.45
.27 Ivica Zubac LAC 34 .516 17.7 15.0 .5 1.1 1.9 .6 1.96
.26 Paul George LAC 37 .579 23.7 4.0 3.3 1.0 2.3 .5 1.72
.13 Kawhi Leonard LAC 18 .417 13.5 7.5 2.0 4.4 .0 1.1 1.82
.13 Ru Westbrook LAC 24 .526 15.3 8.9 4.5 2.1 3.9 .7 1.31
.10 P.J. Washington Dal 36 .592 13.2 6.2 .0 1.5 1.1 1.5 .64
.05 Josh Green Dal 12 .500 4.8 9.7 2.5 3.8 .0 2.6 .99
.04 Terance Mann LAC 30 .563 10.7 6.9 1.7 .0 1.4 .0 .31
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Dereck Lively Dal 20 .417 6.7 9.6 .8 .8 .9 2.4 .43
.01 Mason Plumlee LAC 12 .188 2.2 12.7 1.2 1.3 .0 .0 .29
.00 Tim Hardaway Dal 11 .429 6.3 5.0 1.3 1.3 .0 .0 .05
-.04 Maxi Kleber Dal 27 .450 4.7 5.1 2.4 .0 1.4 1.2 -.39
-.07 Daniel Gafford Dal 12 .188 2.7 1.4 1.5 .0 1.7 1.5 -1.35
-.07 Derrick Jones Dal 25 .417 5.8 5.5 .0 .0 1.6 2.2 -.65
-.07 Dante Exum Dal 11 .250 2.8 3.8 .0 .0 3.0 1.4 -1.48
-.07 Amir Coffey LAC 19 .500 6.8 2.8 .9 .0 2.2 .0 -.93
-.11 Norman Powell LAC 28 .344 4.7 3.0 .6 .6 1.4 .0 -.95
shooting : LAC .522 - .519 Dal
rebounds: LAC 46.0 - 45.5 Dal
turnovers: 11.5 - 11.5
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Wed Apr 24, 2024 1:15 pm
Timberwolves top 3 over 60% of team total. Top 6 at about 83%.
Suns top 3 at about 73%. Top 6 at 100%.
Top 6 overall at 71%.
General distribution expected, difference fwiw.
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:28 pm
Lakers 2 biggest lineups, +13.
16 other lineups,-26.
Nuggets 3 biggest lineups, +16
17 other lineups, -3.
Timberwolves 5 biggest lineups, +44
20 other lineups, -7.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Thu Apr 25, 2024 2:10 pm
Thunder 2 - 0 Pelicans
avg score 109 - 92
Pyth wins 1.81 - .19 , eWins 1.41 - .59
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.43 Shai G-A OKC 37 .629 37.9 4.6 4.0 1.2 2.6 .0 2.77
.37 Chet Holmgren OKC 31 .661 30.4 11.3 1.6 .7 2.5 4.2 2.93
.27 Jalen Williams OKC 38 .548 22.9 6.1 4.9 1.8 3.1 .0 1.73
.26 Jo Valančiūnas NOP 26 .604 23.6 19.8 2.1 .5 3.6 .0 2.41
.12 Aaron Wiggins OKC 14 1.09 22.7 9.9 4.3 .0 .0 .0 2.13
.11 CJ McCollum NOP 38 .473 15.4 4.0 3.7 1.5 3.5 .5 .68
.09 Brandon Ingram NOP 35 .469 14.2 5.5 2.4 .4 2.7 1.0 .61
.07 Josh Giddey OKC 23 .441 12.9 7.6 4.4 .0 3.4 .8 .77
.07 Trey Murphy NOP 41 .558 10.9 4.2 1.4 .3 .9 1.8 .41
.06 Naji Marshall NOP 21 .500 10.9 5.2 2.5 1.3 .0 .8 .74
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 Isaiah Joe OKC 16 .722 16.6 4.4 1.9 1.3 1.1 .0 .87
.05 Herbert Jones NOP 35 .619 13.8 5.0 2.0 .4 2.7 .0 .34
.04 Luguentz Dort OKC 33 .656 12.5 2.9 1.5 .7 .6 .0 .32
.03 Jaylin Williams OKC 12 .600 9.1 4.3 3.7 1.7 .0 .0 .60
.03 Larry Nance NOP 17 .667 11.4 14.9 .8 .0 5.2 .0 .41
.01 Cason Wallace OKC 19 .700 7.3 3.7 3.2 .0 .0 .0 .12
.01 Gordon Hayward OKC 10 .000 .0 7.1 1.5 2.1 .0 1.7 .16
-.06 Jose Alvarado NOP 18 .208 2.7 1.0 2.1 .7 1.9 .0 -.76
shooting :
OKC .607 - .500 NO
rebounds: NO 43.5 - 40.5 OKC
turnovers:
OKC 11.0 - 16.0 NO
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Thu Apr 25, 2024 6:10 pm
How is C Wallace a +.01? Will have to check into it.
Aaron Williams 5th best in series, in a limited role? Other teams should take notice... and action in 2.25 months.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Thu Apr 25, 2024 7:34 pm
Aaron Wiggins has not missed a shot. Some garbage time but not all. Zero turnovers.
He's well below the top 4, and everyone else is really struggling. High% shooters aren't getting many shots, while designated gunners are largely missing them.
Cason Wallace doesn't do much. 70% shooting isn't productive at one TSA every 8 minutes.
[eW/480] .12 * 38/480 = .009 eWins.
His Usg% is 6.3, less than half his RS low rate.
Western playoff teams average .635 W%. During the season all your opponents avg ~.500
500/635 = .79, so a team's WS, PER, eW rates are going to be ~80% of what they were in the RS
For a player, it may be closer to a linear reduction, in which a .060 WS/48 player can expect to become .040 in PO.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Fri Apr 26, 2024 12:57 pm
Nuggets 3 - 0 Lakers
avg score 109.0 - 102.3
Pyth wins 2.10 - .90 , eWins 1.80 - 1.20
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.79 Nikola Jokić Den 40 .692 29.1 14.8 6.2 1.6 2.0 .0 3.15
.62 Anthony Davis LA 42 .647 28.8 11.4 2.1 .5 2.4 1.4 2.37
.51 LeBron James LA 40 .637 24.8 5.9 6.5 1.4 3.7 1.2 2.00
.37 Aaron Gordon Den 38 .611 18.6 11.1 3.3 .3 1.4 .0 1.58
.36 Michael Porter Den 37 .678 20.2 9.2 1.0 1.0 .7 .7 1.57
.31 Jamal Murray Den 40 .438 17.6 4.5 5.7 .0 2.0 1.2 1.26
.16 Austin Reaves LA 37 .557 12.9 4.8 1.9 1.2 .7 .3 .68
.05 Taurean Prince LA 21 .667 12.1 4.3 .8 .0 .0 .5 .40
.04 D'Angelo Russell LA 35 .419 10.1 3.1 2.9 1.0 2.2 .4 .20
.03 Christian Braun Den 16 .436 9.2 6.4 .5 .0 .0 .7 .28
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
-.01 Sp Dinwiddie LA 15 .400 4.6 2.9 2.7 1.4 .8 .0 -.13
-.01 Peyton Watson Den 14 .462 8.1 2.4 1.2 .0 1.7 1.6 -.15
-.01 Reggie Jackson Den 8 .333 7.9 1.3 3.9 .0 2.7 .0 -.29
-.02 Justin Holiday Den 9 .000 .0 4.9 .9 2.5 .0 .0 -.29
-.05 Kentavious C-P Den 36 .442 6.6 1.8 1.3 1.8 1.5 .3 -.22
-.05 Gabe Vincent LA 14 .333 2.1 4.5 1.1 .7 1.6 .0 -.60
-.10 Rui Hachimura LA 32 .417 4.1 3.7 .6 .0 .8 .0 -.51
shooting : LA .565 - .540 Den
rebounds:
Den 48.3 - 38.7 LA
turnovers: Den 9.3 - 11.3 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sat Apr 27, 2024 1:01 pm
Mavs 2 - 1 Clipps
avg score 98.0 - 97.3
Pyth wins 1.57 - 1.43 , eWins 1.53 - 1.47
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.64 Luka Dončić Dal 43 .497 26.8 8.3 6.5 1.1 3.8 .3 2.39
.53 Kyrie Irving Dal 39 .620 27.7 5.4 3.9 2.1 2.1 .0 2.19
.51 James Harden LAC 42 .670 25.4 3.0 5.7 .9 2.2 1.2 1.95
.39 Ivica Zubac LAC 33 .584 20.7 13.5 .7 1.2 2.0 .7 1.88
.26 Paul George LAC 35 .520 18.7 4.7 3.9 .7 1.9 .4 1.19
.17 P.J. Washington Dal 35 .565 12.4 6.3 .3 2.0 .8 1.4 .77
.17 Kawhi Leonard LAC 20 .471 15.3 10.3 2.3 2.6 2.7 .6 1.38
.12 Dereck Lively Dal 18 .548 13.8 8.6 .5 .6 1.3 2.9 1.03
.10 Ru Westbrook LAC 22 .389 10.0 8.0 3.6 2.0 3.7 1.5 .71
.08 Josh Green Dal 16 .600 7.6 8.3 1.2 2.5 .0 1.3 .77
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Mason Plumlee LAC 11 .417 8.1 10.0 .8 1.8 1.0 .0 .59
.04 Terance Mann LAC 27 .500 8.2 6.5 2.1 .0 1.0 .0 .23
.03 Norman Powell LAC 29 .561 12.6 4.5 .7 .4 2.1 .0 .16
.01 Daniel Gafford Dal 16 .423 6.8 3.7 .7 1.4 .8 3.0 .13
.01 Tim Hardaway Dal 7 .429 6.6 5.4 1.3 1.3 .0 .0 .20
.01 Maxi Kleber Dal 23 .545 5.6 4.7 3.1 .0 1.0 .9 .04
.01 Derrick Jones Dal 26 .500 8.3 5.2 .0 .0 1.1 1.9 .03
-.05 Dante Exum Dal 11 .150 1.4 3.5 .8 .9 1.9 .9 -.74
-.08 Amir Coffey LAC 18 .400 4.1 2.6 1.1 .0 2.0 .0 -.74
shooting : LAC .534 - .522 Dal
rebounds: LAC 44.3 - 42.3 Dal
turnovers:
Dal 10.7 - 14.0 LAC
Wolves 3 - 0 Suns
avg score 117 - 99
Pyth wins 2.71 - .29 , eWins 2.10 - .90
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.57 Anthony Edwards Min 39 .604 29.5 7.9 5.4 2.2 4.7 .3 2.33
.46 Rudy Gobert Min 38 .773 20.5 13.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 .3 1.91
.36 Karl-A Towns Min 25 .620 27.0 14.9 3.1 1.0 3.7 .0 2.33
.28 Kevin Durant Phx 41 .592 20.7 5.8 1.9 .6 2.8 .6 1.11
.24 Ni A-Walker Min 31 .638 18.5 3.2 4.1 1.9 1.2 .0 1.21
.20 Devin Booker Phx 40 .565 16.8 2.8 4.3 1.5 2.9 .0 .80
.20 Mike Conley Min 31 .507 14.6 4.7 6.4 1.2 2.5 .0 1.01
.19 Bradley Beal Phx 41 .588 15.7 3.4 3.7 .9 2.2 .0 .72
.17 Jaden McDaniels Min 36 .582 13.9 6.6 1.2 .7 1.1 .7 .75
.15 Jusuf Nurkić Phx 28 .449 7.6 12.3 2.0 1.7 2.7 2.2 .88
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.10 Naz Reid Min 18 .517 17.8 3.2 2.2 .6 .6 .0 .87
.05 Eric Gordon Phx 26 .520 9.6 3.4 1.7 2.2 1.8 .9 .32
.03 Drew Eubanks Phx 12 .630 13.4 3.8 .0 1.7 1.7 .8 .37
.03 Josh Okogie Phx 5 .625 17.8 2.1 1.5 1.9 .0 .0 .89
.01 Kyle Anderson Min 4 .667 10.5 7.2 4.0 .0 2.4 .0 .44
.00 Bol Bol Phx 4 .333 2.7 9.7 .0 2.1 .0 .0 .16
.00 Monte Morris Min 10 .273 4.3 3.4 3.8 .0 .0 1.0 .06
-.01 Royce O'Neale Phx 23 .467 5.5 7.4 1.2 .0 1.1 .0 -.08
-.02 Grayson Allen Phx 14 .500 4.9 7.6 1.3 .8 2.6 .0 -.18
shooting : Min .596 - .566 Phx
rebounds:
Min 47.0 - 32.3 Phx
turnovers: Min 14.3 - 15.0 Phx
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sun Apr 28, 2024 12:13 pm
Thunder 3 - 0 Pels
avg score 108.0 - 89.7
Pyth wins 2.77 - .23 , eWins 2.13 - .87
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.62 Shai G-A OKC 37 .582 35.6 4.6 5.2 2.3 2.7 .3 2.66
.44 Jalen Williams OKC 37 .581 25.5 7.0 5.0 1.9 3.1 .0 1.91
.38 Chet Holmgren OKC 31 .588 22.0 10.1 1.5 .5 2.4 4.3 1.92
.28 Jo Valančiūnas NO 21 .619 24.6 18.2 1.8 .5 4.1 .0 2.07
.26 Josh Giddey OKC 25 .581 22.1 8.2 5.4 .6 3.5 .5 1.62
.16 CJ McCollum NO 37 .432 15.3 4.4 4.4 1.7 4.5 .7 .69
.16 Brandon Ingram NO 36 .516 16.1 4.9 1.9 .6 2.5 1.0 .70
.13 Aaron Wiggins OKC 15 .857 21.5 8.3 3.5 .9 3.1 .0 1.42
.12 Larry Nance NO 21 .633 11.5 15.0 2.5 .9 3.9 .0 .92
.10 Herbert Jones NO 36 .586 14.3 5.6 1.6 .9 2.8 .0 .43
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.10 Isaiah Joe OKC 13 .679 19.2 5.0 1.6 1.9 .8 .0 1.14
.09 Luguentz Dort OKC 35 .660 13.5 3.1 2.0 .4 .7 .0 .41
.09 Trey Murphy NO 42 .513 10.0 4.5 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.2 .34
.07 Jaylin Williams OKC 11 .786 14.3 4.8 3.6 1.1 .0 .0 .96
.06 Cason Wallace OKC 19 .667 8.9 3.6 2.8 2.1 .0 .0 .48
.04 Naji Marshall NO 21 .476 9.3 4.4 1.7 .9 .6 .5 .30
.02 Gordon Hayward OKC 9 .000 .0 9.6 2.3 1.4 .0 1.2 .27
.00 Ke Williams OKC 5 .200 2.7 9.0 .0 2.6 .0 .0 .15
-.01 Dyson Daniels NO 6 .333 5.4 3.8 .0 3.1 1.9 .0 -.16
-.05 Jose Alvarado NO 16 .156 1.7 1.5 2.8 1.2 1.5 .0 -.56
shooting :
OKC .602 - .489 NO
rebounds: NO 44.0 - 42.7 OKC
turnovers: OKC 12.7 - 17.7 NO
Nuggets 3 -
1 Lakers
avg score 108.8 - 106.5
Pyth wins 2.28 - 1.72 , eWins 2.14 - 1.86
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.02 Nikola Jokić Den 40 .678 29.9 13.6 6.9 1.4 2.2 .2 3.05
.89 Anthony Davis LAL 42 .649 27.7 14.6 2.6 .4 2.1 1.3 2.55
.68 LeBron James LAL 40 .634 26.9 6.1 5.5 1.9 4.3 1.1 2.03
.45 Michael Porter Den 38 .652 20.1 9.0 .9 1.0 1.0 .5 1.42
.37 Jamal Murray Den 40 .437 17.6 4.5 5.1 .0 2.4 1.2 1.11
.31 Aaron Gordon Den 39 .585 14.6 8.3 3.0 .5 1.5 .0 .97
.26 Austin Reaves LAL 35 .565 15.7 4.4 2.7 1.1 .8 .3 .90
.14 D'Angelo Russell LAL 36 .483 12.4 3.5 2.8 1.0 1.9 .3 .46
.05 Taurean Prince LAL 23 .635 10.3 4.2 .8 .4 .4 .4 .24
.01 Kentavious C-P Den 37 .544 8.3 1.7 1.5 2.2 1.6 .2 .03
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.01 Christian Braun Den 15 .395 6.2 5.7 .8 .0 .0 .5 .05
-.01 Justin Holiday Den 8 .150 1.1 3.6 .7 3.6 .0 .0 -.14
-.02 Reggie Jackson Den 9 .308 5.2 2.5 3.9 .0 1.8 .0 -.23
-.03 Sp Dinwiddie LAL 15 .375 3.6 3.4 1.9 1.1 .6 .0 -.22
-.03 Peyton Watson Den 14 .412 6.2 1.7 .9 .0 1.8 2.3 -.25
-.06 Rui Hachimura LAL 30 .462 5.4 4.6 .7 .0 .6 .0 -.25
-.07 Gabe Vincent LAL 15 .350 2.5 3.8 .8 1.1 1.6 .0 -.52
shooting : LA .572 - .541
rebounds:
Den 46.3 - 40.5 LA
turnovers: Den 10.5 - 11.5 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Mon Apr 29, 2024 5:45 pm
Clippers 2 - 2 Mavs
avg score 102.0 - 101.3
Pyth wins 2.10 - 1.90 , eWins 2.05 - 1.95
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.75 Luka Dončić Dal 43 .498 24.3 8.4 7.7 .9 3.5 .4 2.09
.72 James Harden LAC 41 .717 27.7 4.0 6.5 .9 2.2 1.1 2.11
.69 Kyrie Irving Dal 41 .650 29.9 5.5 4.3 1.6 3.2 .0 2.04
.52 Paul George LAC 37 .587 22.8 5.4 5.2 1.5 2.4 .5 1.68
.41 Ivica Zubac LAC 32 .575 18.7 12.6 .9 1.1 1.9 .9 1.53
.16 Dereck Lively Dal 18 .608 14.2 9.4 .9 .9 1.4 2.2 1.06
.16 Kawhi Leonard LAC 15 .471 14.5 11.3 2.6 2.5 2.7 .6 1.30
.15 P.J. Washington Dal 37 .557 10.9 5.6 .5 1.8 1.4 1.5 .50
.11 Mason Plumlee LAC 12 .533 10.3 10.9 2.7 1.3 .7 1.3 1.12
.10 Ru Westbrook LAC 22 .361 8.3 7.9 3.5 2.2 3.6 1.1 .54
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.09 Derrick Jones Dal 28 .574 9.8 6.2 .4 .3 .7 1.7 .38
.08 Josh Green Dal 16 .500 6.1 7.3 1.6 2.6 .0 1.0 .58
.06 Terance Mann LAC 29 .517 8.7 6.1 2.3 .0 1.0 .0 .26
.04 Daniel Gafford Dal 17 .421 7.6 5.6 1.8 1.1 1.8 2.2 .30
.02 Norman Powell LAC 30 .589 11.6 3.5 .6 .6 1.9 .0 .08
.02 Maxi Kleber Dal 23 .625 5.3 4.4 3.0 .4 .8 1.1 .09
.01 Tim Hardaway Dal 6 .429 6.3 5.7 1.5 1.4 .0 .0 .23
-.05 Dante Exum Dal 9 .125 1.1 3.4 .9 .9 1.8 .8 -.63
-.07 Amir Coffey LAC 19 .400 4.2 3.6 1.0 .5 2.0 .5 -.46
shooting : LAC .563 - .540 Dal
rebounds: Dal 42.3 - 40.5 LAC
turnovers: Dal 12.3 - 13.8 LAC
T-Wolves 4 - 0 Suns
avg score 118.3 - 103.3
Pyth wins 3.43 - .57 , eWins 2.72 - 1.28
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.88 Anthony Edwards Min 40 .636 31.8 8.6 5.4 1.9 4.2 .7 2.66
.56 Karl-A Towns Min 28 .664 27.3 14.1 3.0 .7 2.5 .0 2.37
.50 Kevin Durant Phx 42 .637 21.8 6.1 2.4 .4 2.3 1.3 1.42
.49 Devin Booker Phx 42 .643 23.2 3.1 4.4 1.5 2.6 .2 1.42
.46 Rudy Gobert Min 35 .690 17.5 13.3 1.5 1.3 2.3 .8 1.56
.26 Jusuf Nurkić Phx 26 .492 8.9 12.4 3.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.18
.23 Mike Conley Min 32 .480 12.6 5.0 6.7 1.2 2.6 .0 .89
.22 Ni A-Walker Min 31 .557 13.4 3.6 4.2 2.0 .9 .0 .86
.21 Jaden McDaniels Min 36 .594 14.2 6.2 1.0 .8 1.1 .8 .69
.11 Naz Reid Min 18 .543 15.8 4.2 1.7 .5 .5 .4 .73
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.09 Bradley Beal Phx 39 .537 13.4 2.8 3.6 .7 3.3 .2 .30
.05 Kyle Anderson Min 8 .500 7.8 12.0 3.9 .0 1.2 .0 .73
.02 Josh Okogie Phx 7 .583 13.3 4.5 1.7 2.1 2.2 .0 .40
.02 Drew Eubanks Phx 9 .630 13.1 3.7 .0 1.7 1.8 .9 .28
.00 Monte Morris Min 7 .273 4.2 3.7 4.0 .0 .0 1.1 .08
-.02 Grayson Allen Phx 11 .500 4.7 7.2 1.4 .8 2.7 .0 -.25
-.02 Eric Gordon Phx 30 .500 7.3 2.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 .6 -.09
-.03 Royce O'Neale Phx 26 .455 4.7 6.9 1.1 .3 .7 .0 -.13
shooting : Min .593 - .575 Phx
rebounds:
Min 46.3 - 32.5 Phx
turnovers: Min 13.8 - 14.3 Phx
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Mon Apr 29, 2024 10:54 pm
Average of 1.3 guys much above .5 per team that has such. 2 teams without. Suns almost, Pelicans nowhere close.
If you are a 3+ star team and have 2 over .5, maybe you are fairly satisfied but probably not totally. Insurance? Just 1, probably miffed. None, angry.
3 star vs 2 star design playoff results should probably be compared more. Now, later and in recent past. Of course the star definition matters a lot.