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2025-26 eWins etc.
Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2025 12:59 am
by Mike G
Season at 5.5%, eWins projected to the full 82 games, if players continue at their current minutes per team's game.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
22.9 V Wembanyama SAS 129 .667 41.7 16.7 2.9 1.6 1.7 5.4 4.19
21.4 Giannis A Mil 131 .704 43.2 15.8 6.3 .8 3.7 1.4 3.85
17.3 Shai G-A OKC 193 .596 36.0 6.1 4.7 1.3 2.3 1.3 2.65
16.6 Nikola Jokić Den 137 .638 22.9 16.4 10.2 2.0 3.2 .5 2.87
16.2 Austin Reaves LAL 191 .668 32.8 5.7 7.8 2.0 3.6 .0 2.50
14.4 Tyrese Maxey Phl 172 .605 28.4 3.2 5.9 1.0 1.7 .6 1.98
13.7 Lauri Markkanen Uta 153 .651 31.3 6.8 2.2 .7 1.0 .7 2.11
12.9 Stephen Curry GSW 152 .678 33.8 4.9 5.4 1.9 2.7 1.0 2.51
12.9 Jalen Brunson NYK 139 .596 32.3 4.1 4.9 1.3 2.1 .0 2.19
12.3 Alperen Şengün Hou 152 .609 22.5 8.8 6.3 1.5 2.9 .7 1.90
e82 11-20 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
12.2 LaMelo Ball Cha 130 .593 25.1 9.4 8.5 2.0 4.6 .3 2.21
12.1 Nikola Vučević Chi 130 .689 22.7 14.4 4.8 .9 2.3 .3 2.20
11.7 Jamal Murray Den 134 .610 30.1 4.9 5.6 1.3 2.2 .0 2.06
11.7 Pascal Siakam Ind 143 .510 22.2 10.2 4.5 1.9 2.1 .3 1.92
11.5 Julius Randle Min 176 .662 26.6 7.0 4.5 1.4 2.3 .4 1.93
11.2 Jaylen Brown Bos 163 .629 32.6 6.4 3.8 .4 4.1 .5 2.04
10.5 Walker Kessler Uta 125 .810 22.6 11.8 3.5 1.7 3.9 2.7 1.99
10.5 Kevin Durant Hou 145 .636 27.9 6.7 1.8 .8 2.3 1.0 1.71
10.3 Anthony Davis Dal 149 .575 23.9 12.2 2.3 2.1 2.7 1.5 2.05
10.3 Chet Holmgren OKC 137 .708 30.0 11.5 1.7 1.3 3.2 1.3 2.21
e82 21-30 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.2 James Harden LAC 127 .659 26.9 5.5 7.9 1.2 4.7 .3 1.90
10.0 Aaron Gordon Den 119 .752 31.0 7.2 2.4 .9 1.9 .3 1.99
9.9 Luka Dončić LAL 76 .713 46.0 11.7 6.6 1.1 2.9 .5 3.83
9.8 Donovan Mitchell Cle 166 .651 31.0 2.9 4.3 1.3 4.2 .4 1.74
9.7 Jimmy Butler GSW 163 .686 25.6 5.6 4.8 1.0 1.8 .0 1.76
9.5 Evan Mobley Cle 169 .523 16.9 10.8 4.4 1.7 2.8 2.2 1.67
9.5 Mikal Bridges NYK 146 .667 18.6 6.5 4.2 1.5 .8 .8 1.54
9.4 Josh Giddey Chi 125 .542 21.7 9.6 7.7 .5 4.7 .6 1.78
9.3 Jrue Holiday Por 161 .624 20.6 6.4 7.4 1.6 3.7 .5 1.70
8.8 Kyshawn George Was 132 .659 20.0 9.2 4.1 1.3 3.1 1.7 1.57
e82 31-41 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.7 Norman Powell Mia 93 .649 28.9 8.1 2.9 2.3 2.4 .4 2.22
8.7 Jaime Jaquez Mia 112 .728 25.4 7.1 4.3 1.5 2.8 .0 1.83
8.6 Alex Sarr Was 110 .609 22.4 10.5 4.4 1.0 4.1 2.7 1.84
8.6 Kawhi Leonard LAC 128 .563 23.4 7.2 2.9 1.2 2.0 .6 1.58
8.3 Scottie Barnes Tor 164 .631 20.8 7.1 3.6 1.8 2.5 .9 1.49
8.2 Ja Morant Mem 140 .539 25.1 5.1 7.0 1.6 3.7 .0 1.73
8.2 Cade Cunningham Det 176 .493 19.5 5.5 7.2 .8 4.6 1.3 1.37
8.2 Zach LaVine Sac 183 .661 28.5 3.1 1.2 .3 2.2 .2 1.32
8.1 VJ Edgecombe Phl 161 .578 17.3 5.2 4.2 1.7 1.8 .5 1.19
8.1 Deni Avdija Por 162 .598 22.8 7.5 4.0 .7 4.3 1.1 1.48
8.0 Jalen Duren Det 113 .643 24.8 15.6 1.7 1.0 5.0 2.7 2.08
#42-50: Keyonte George, Tre Jones, Booker, Adebayo, Zubac, Je Grant, Clingan, Towns, Banchero
51-60: F Wagner, Ajay Mitchell, Kuminga, M Porter, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Johnson, J Allen, Pritchard, DeRozan, Castle
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2025 2:06 pm
by Crow
Vučević, Barnes, Keyonte George and Castle are among the bigger "surprises" to me based on last season impressions.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2025 7:09 pm
by Mike G
At 11% of the season.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
20.2 Nikola Jokić Den 274 .709 30.2 13.8 10.6 2.0 2.7 .9 3.48
17.8 Giannis A Mil 256 .658 38.5 15.4 6.0 1.2 3.2 1.3 3.69
17.5 Shai G-A OKC 348 .629 38.7 5.4 5.8 1.0 1.9 1.3 2.97
16.0 V Wembanyama SAS 273 .583 26.8 14.2 3.2 1.3 3.3 4.2 2.76
14.8 Tyrese Maxey Phl 330 .618 28.3 4.8 6.3 1.1 2.6 .9 2.12
13.0 Julius Randle Min 306 .664 28.8 8.1 5.6 1.3 3.3 .4 2.25
12.5 Alperen Şengün Hou 293 .557 22.0 10.5 6.6 1.3 3.5 .9 2.01
12.1 Donovan Mitchell Cle 262 .690 36.8 3.5 4.8 1.8 3.7 .6 2.45
12.0 Jalen Duren Det 241 .689 29.6 15.2 1.8 1.2 2.9 1.7 2.65
11.9 Luka Dončić LAL 195 .619 36.0 11.5 7.1 1.9 3.8 .6 3.24
e82 11-20 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.8 Cade Cunningham Det 322 .554 25.1 4.7 8.4 1.0 3.8 .8 1.95
11.5 Josh Giddey Chi 274 .574 22.2 9.9 8.3 .8 3.9 .3 1.99
11.3 Jaylen Brown Bos 317 .614 33.0 6.0 4.1 .9 4.2 .4 2.11
11.3 Jalen Brunson NYK 272 .568 27.6 4.0 5.7 1.3 2.5 .0 1.96
11.3 Austin Reaves LAL 265 .637 29.8 5.5 7.4 1.4 3.3 .0 2.26
11.1 Devin Booker Phx 331 .625 29.2 4.2 5.7 .7 4.1 .3 1.79
10.4 Scottie Barnes Tor 293 .573 20.6 8.1 4.6 1.9 2.2 1.8 1.89
10.4 Pascal Siakam Ind 285 .509 21.9 7.7 5.1 1.9 3.0 .4 1.72
10.2 Jamal Murray Den 265 .591 25.1 5.8 5.3 1.3 2.4 .4 1.82
10.0 Nikola Vučević Chi 255 .677 22.3 12.5 3.1 .7 2.2 .4 1.86
e82 21-30 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.9 Paolo Banchero Orl 312 .542 20.5 9.8 4.0 .9 2.7 1.2 1.69
9.9 Karl-A Towns NYK 265 .558 19.4 13.7 3.1 .7 3.4 1.3 1.76
9.7 Evan Mobley Cle 301 .537 18.7 10.0 3.9 1.9 3.0 1.8 1.71
9.7 Lauri Markkanen Uta 318 .580 25.9 6.2 1.8 1.0 1.4 .5 1.61
9.6 Is. Hartenstein OKC 300 .683 18.5 14.6 3.8 1.8 2.5 .7 1.89
9.4 Deni Avdija Por 267 .600 24.6 7.4 4.2 .8 4.3 1.0 1.66
9.2 James Harden LAC 235 .655 25.9 6.0 7.8 1.2 4.6 .2 1.85
8.7 Stephon Castle SAS 266 .586 21.2 7.1 6.6 2.1 5.6 .6 1.55
8.7 Jalen Johnson Atl 256 .630 23.5 9.2 4.6 1.6 3.3 .3 1.80
8.6 Aaron Gordon Den 236 .691 28.0 6.7 1.7 1.0 2.0 .2 1.71
e82 31-40 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.5 Alex Sarr Was 253 .599 20.8 9.5 3.7 .9 3.5 3.2 1.79
8.5 Kevin Durant Hou 284 .589 24.8 5.3 2.4 1.0 3.1 .9 1.41
8.4 Stephen Curry GSW 249 .617 30.0 4.4 4.3 1.7 3.4 .7 1.99
8.4 Mikal Bridges NYK 281 .660 16.8 4.9 4.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.40
8.3 RJ Barrett Tor 292 .634 22.8 5.5 3.3 1.4 2.2 .5 1.52
8.3 Franz Wagner Orl 311 .594 22.3 5.8 3.2 1.2 2.4 .4 1.42
8.1 Brandon Ingram Tor 295 .602 22.3 6.8 3.6 1.1 3.3 .8 1.46
8.0 Kawhi Leonard LAC 201 .616 25.5 6.5 3.2 2.2 2.0 .7 1.89
8.0 OG Anunoby NYK 271 .607 18.3 6.3 2.2 2.8 1.9 .8 1.39
7.7 Jrue Holiday Por 264 .577 17.2 5.6 7.2 1.5 3.4 .3 1.37
41-50: Keyonte George, Claxton, LaMelo, Butler, Adebayo, Jaquez, Miles Bridges, Zubac, Amen Thompson, Jarrett Allen
51-60: M Porter, Ausar Thompson, Rollins, McDaniels, Oubre, Jerami Grant, Ajay Mitchell, Ayton, Andrew Wiggins, Pritchard
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2025 7:33 pm
by Crow
Andrew Wiggins 59th here.
+1.2 BPM. 67th among qualifiers. 122nd overall. 6th best on team.
7th and 8th best on team +/- on court and on / off. On is barely positive. On / off is -16.5.
257 on Darko. Lowest in 4 years, mostly down for 3 years. Rate of change getting worse entire career apart from 2.5 season uptick. O-DPM worst since rookie season. D -DPM slightly below neutral and a clear tier lower than his peak period a few years ago. Some recent improvement in 3pta rate and fta rate but at the rim fga rate is near career low.
109th on actual EPM. 211 on expected EPM.
Recent past RAPM was bad.
LeBron not yet available to my knowledge. Same for craftedPM.
Wiggins estimated worse everywhere else than here.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2025 1:12 am
by Mike G
Andrew Wiggins is at 1.20 eWins/484 min, about the same as 1.2 BPM.
At b-r.com there are 199 'qualifiers' for rate stats. When I sort my list by minutes, among the top 199, his e484 ranks 74th.
His 1.2 BPM ranks 67th. WS/48 of .103 ranks #108, and 15.6 PER is #92.
With 0.6 Win Shares he is #82, and his 0.2 VORP is 57th. eWins 64th.
He plays the same position (SF) as Jacquez and Fontecchio, both of whom are playing great off the bench. That may have something to do with his on-off?
Career high TS%, Stl and Blk%, above avg Reb% yields career high BPM and ~WS/48.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2025 1:34 am
by Crow
His story benefits from depth and there are 2 sides of his current case.
His +1.2 BPM is surprisingly career best and that highlights how overpaid he has been relative to impact.
Offensive rebounding is pretty good for position. Defensive rebounding is slightly above career average but has been higher in 8 seasons and for 10 team stints.
I believe it would rank below league average for SFs and way below for part-time PFs.
Yes team average 20 pts better results with Jaquez and 12 pts better with Fontecchio.
It is good he is playing better in some areas. He is just not top 60 to me. Is he top 2 on Heat? No. Has he ever been top 2 on a team? I don't think so. There aren't many teams he'd be top 2 on.
Just a case I felt like re-familarizing myself with.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2025 1:52 am
by Crow
I won't do a whole song & dance on Jaylen Brown at the moment. I check him periodically. Among BPM qualifiers he is 23rd. On Darko, 39th, with 3 seasons of mostly down.
Alternate takes. The more takes seen and considered, the better.
Hartenstein 25th and Avdija 26th are worth noting and probably reviewing in depth.
Castle 28th? I'll probably get to him in more detail later. For now I'll say 232nd on Darko. Improving on offense, sliding low on defense.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Mon Nov 10, 2025 2:01 am
by Mike G
You probably know that BPM and eW/484 are per-minute rates, while eWins and VORP are rates*minutes. Wiggins leads his team in minutes, and most or all boxscore stats don't capture much defense. For whatever reason, the coach plays him the most minutes on the team. His D-WS and DBPM are both well higher than his O-rates.
I would guess the SAS coach is pretty pleased with Castle stepping up to basically fill the PG role, and not so badly. Fox is back now, and both can play with or without the ball. Wemby may see more daylight.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Mon Nov 10, 2025 2:29 am
by Crow
Wiggins on vs. off: offensive rating almost 7.5 pts lower on, defense almost 10 pts worse. Heat shoot and rebound worse with, opponents improve on both, especially on shooting.
Wiggins defensive estimates across 11 metrics are pretty evenly split between positive, neutral and negative.
Castle has improved considerably over his over-rated rookie season in a number of ways but he is 12th on team for +/- on court and on / off (close to -6).
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Mon Nov 10, 2025 2:59 am
by Mike G
I think it's typical of teams with a so-so starting 5 and a supercharged bench unit, that it will appear as if "opponents improve" vs the starters. The bench guys aren't going against 4 opponent starters on avg, but more like 2 or 3.
So if a coach wants to have 2 or 3 of his top 5 scorers on the floor all the time, they can't all start. It's smart coaching; not everyone can shoot, and you have some defending, rebounding and distributing guys out there.
Or maybe the coach is an idiot.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Mon Nov 10, 2025 3:12 am
by Crow
Coaches can be very good or off or a mix of good and not with their lineup decisions.
Spo's 20 most used lineups are 10 positive, 1 neutral, 9 negative. The 2 biggest minute lineups are bad and terrible with Wiggins in the latter. Wiggins 10 most used lineups are 5 positive, 5 not. 10 most used pairs are 4 positive, 6 negative. All the positives with bench players.
Against mostly starters is tougher and raw +/- is not completely satisfactory for comparisons because of the difference. But it is a quick draw and reality in its simplest form.
RAPM is the more equitable approach. Wiggins has been rated negative on 4 versions, from time decayed, xrapm and 2 and 3 year RAPM. Mildly to moderately negative. The most recent 2 year RAPM estimate (probably from before this season) reached a career worst -3.4.
Will probably check Heat lineups and Wiggins performance later in season.
There are lots of things to check and checking everything is not that common. Even if one checks everything, different perspectives and summation are possible.
More information is better but may not end up with everyone taking the same view. Detail presented for consideration.
Last playoffs was the worst version of Wiggins. Bad shooting, weak rebounding and a poor A/TO lead to a -5.5 BPM. By far his worst playoffs but 3 of 4 have had a negative BPM. The title playoffs was positive but only +0.8.
Playoffs after this season? Time will eventually tell of opportunity, utilization and individual and team results.
Last playoffs Spo used Wiggins in 22 lineups. Outside 3 lineups used for 1-2 minutes, they were all non-positive and more than 50% of time horrible. Despite most things not working then, 4 of 6 biggest lineups without Wiggins were non-negative. 3 positive, 1 neutral. Small samples. Maybe too small. Hard to imagine being worse than with Wiggins starting and most playing big minutes. Final game his time was cut by a third but not before he had a team +/- of -27. Others were very bad that game but only one was clearly worse per minute. For series, he was 9th best on court, 10th best on / off and horrendous and bad respectively.
But their call to rely on him now or later.
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Tue Nov 11, 2025 7:00 pm
by Mike G
With internet out all morning, I went to a 3-day-old spreadsheet to cook up 2-way leaders. Players with at least 100 minutes this year, the square root of per36 Sco*Reb , Sco*Ast , etc. In very random order:
Code: Select all
sqrt per36+ tm Eff% Sco sqrt per36+ tm Sco Reb
5.0 Mitchell Cle .690 36.8 24.3 Giannis Mil 38.5 15.4
5.0 Giannis Mil .658 38.5 21.2 Duren Det 29.6 15.2
4.9 Shai OKC .629 38.7 20.4 Jokić Den 30.2 13.8
4.8 Merrill Cle .843 27.9 20.3 Dončić LAL 36.0 11.5
4.8 Edwards Min .648 36.1 19.5 Wemby SAS 26.8 14.2
4.7 Dončić LAL .619 36.0 17.4 Davis Dal 24.3 12.4
4.6 Jokić Den .709 30.2 16.8 Valanc'as Den 23.7 11.9
4.5 Duren Det .689 29.6 16.6 Vučević Chi 22.3 12.5
4.5 Brown Bos .614 33.0 16.4 Hartenstein OKC 18.5 14.6
4.4 Gordon Den .691 28.0 16.3 Towns NYK 19.4 13.7
sqrt per36+ tm Reb Ast sqrt per36+ tm Reb Stl
12.1 Jokić Den 13.8 10.6 6.2 Nurkić Uta 14.0 2.7
9.6 Giannis Mil 15.4 6.0 5.3 Jokić Den 13.8 2.0
9.1 Giddey Chi 9.9 8.3 5.3 Allen Cle 12.2 2.3
9.0 Dončić LAL 11.5 7.1 5.2 Hartenstein OKC 14.6 1.8
8.9 Ball Cha 8.9 8.8 5.2 Drummond Phl 15.3 1.7
8.3 Şengün Hou 10.5 6.6 5.1 Minott Bos 11.2 2.3
7.7 Nurkić Uta 14.0 4.2 5.0 Davis Dal 12.4 2.0
7.5 Hartenstein OKC 14.6 3.8 4.9 Williams Phx 14.6 1.6
7.2 Green GSW 7.8 6.6 4.8 Kessler Uta 12.6 1.8
7.1 Sabonis Sac 15.4 3.2 4.7 Dončić LAL 11.5 1.9
sqrt per36+ tm Stl Blk sqrt per36+ tm Sco Ast
2.4 Kalkbrenner Cha 1.6 3.5 17.8 Jokić Den 30.2 10.6
2.3 Wemby SAS 1.3 4.2 16.0 Dončić LAL 36.0 7.1
2.1 Embiid Phl 1.7 2.6 15.2 Giannis Mil 38.5 6.0
2.0 Kessler Uta 1.8 2.2 15.0 Shai OKC 38.7 5.8
1.9 Turner Mil 1.5 2.6 14.8 Reaves LAL 29.8 7.4
1.9 Bona Phl 1.1 3.3 14.5 Cunningham Det 25.1 8.4
1.9 Mobley Cle 1.9 1.8 14.2 Harden LAC 25.9 7.8
1.8 Barnes Tor 1.9 1.8 13.8 Ball Cha 21.5 8.8
1.8 Eubanks Sac 1.3 2.6 13.6 Giddey Chi 22.2 8.3
1.8 Drummond Phl 1.7 1.9 13.4 Mitchell Cle 36.8 4.8
sqrt per36+ tm Sco Blk sqrt per36+ tm Ast Blk
10.6 Wemby SAS 26.8 4.2 3.6 Wemby SAS 3.2 4.2
8.2 Sarr Was 20.8 3.2 3.4 Sarr Was 3.7 3.2
8.0 Embiid Phl 24.4 2.6 3.4 Embiid Phl 4.3 2.6
7.1 Duren Det 29.6 1.7 3.2 Jokić Den 10.6 .9
7.1 Giannis Mil 38.5 1.3 2.9 Barnes Tor 4.6 1.8
7.0 Shai OKC 38.7 1.3 2.8 Giannis Mil 6.0 1.3
6.9 Stewart Det 14.7 3.2 2.7 Shai OKC 5.8 1.3
6.7 Kalkbrenner Cha 13.0 3.5 2.7 Mobley Cle 3.9 1.8
6.7 Holmgren OKC 25.0 1.8 2.6 Porziņģis Atl 3.8 1.8
6.4 Porziņģis Atl 22.2 1.8 2.6 White Bos 4.9 1.4
sqrt per36+ tm Reb Blk sqrt per36+ tm Ast Stl
7.7 Wemby SAS 14.2 4.2 5.1 Suggs Orl 7.1 3.7
5.8 Kalkbrenner Cha 9.6 3.5 4.6 Jokić Den 10.6 2.0
5.6 Stewart Det 9.7 3.2 4.2 Ball Cha 8.8 2.0
5.5 Sarr Was 9.5 3.2 4.1 Wesley Por 5.3 3.2
5.4 Queta Bos 13.4 2.2 4.0 Paul LAC 7.3 2.2
5.4 Drummond Phl 15.3 1.9 3.9 Smith Mia 5.4 2.8
5.4 Clingan Por 14.0 2.1 3.7 Castle SAS 6.6 2.1
5.2 Kessler Uta 12.6 2.2 3.7 Dončić LAL 7.1 1.9
5.1 Diabaté Cha 12.2 2.2 3.7 Morant Mem 8.0 1.7
5.1 Duren Det 15.2 1.7 3.5 Quickley Tor 6.1 2.0
sqrt per36+ tm Sco Stl
9.1 Suggs Orl 22.2 3.7
8.3 Dončić LAL 36.0 1.9
8.1 Mitchell Cle 36.8 1.8
7.8 Jokić Den 30.2 2.0
7.6 Leonard LAC 25.5 2.2
7.2 Williamson NOP 22.4 2.3
7.2 Curry GSW 30.0 1.7
7.1 Anunoby NYK 18.3 2.8
7.0 Davis Dal 24.3 2.0
6.9 Allen Cle 20.9 2.3
The + in per36 refers to one or more extra factors in creating eWins.
In these 11 categories, players who appear more than once:
Code: Select all
8 Nikola Jokić
7 Luka Dončić
6 Giannis Antetokounmpo
5 Victor Wembanyama
4 Jalen Duren
4 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Alex Sarr
3 Andre Drummond
3 Anthony Davis
3 Donovan Mitchell
3 Isaiah Hartenstein
3 Joel Embiid
3 LaMelo Ball
3 Ryan Kalkbrenner
3 Walker Kessler
2 Evan Mobley
2 Isaiah Stewart
2 Jalen Suggs
2 Jarrett Allen
2 Josh Giddey
2 Jusuf Nurkić
2 Kristaps Porziņģis
2 Scottie Barnes
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Mon Nov 17, 2025 3:10 pm
by Mike G
Joker breaks all stats.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
23.6 Nikola Jokić Den .754 38.2 14.0 10.1 1.8 3.5 .8 4.07
19.8 Shai G-A OKC .639 41.7 5.7 6.7 1.4 1.8 1.0 3.48
16.2 Giannis A Mil .646 35.7 12.9 6.1 1.1 3.9 1.4 3.34
14.9 V. Wembanyama SAS .597 26.8 14.3 3.6 1.1 3.8 3.8 2.74
14.6 Tyrese Maxey Phl .586 27.2 4.8 6.0 1.5 2.3 .8 2.14
13.5 Julius Randle Min .646 28.5 8.1 5.7 1.5 2.9 .3 2.38
13.2 Luka Dončić LAL .599 32.5 9.5 7.4 1.6 3.7 .6 2.94
13.2 Alperen Şengün Hou .561 22.1 11.2 6.4 1.1 3.3 1.0 2.11
11.7 James Harden LAC .630 26.3 6.7 7.7 .8 3.9 .4 2.07
11.7 Jaylen Brown Bos .578 30.9 6.8 3.9 .9 3.7 .4 2.15
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.6 Devin Booker Phx .602 28.6 4.4 6.1 .7 4.1 .3 1.91
11.4 Karl-A Towns NYK .571 21.1 13.5 3.1 1.1 2.8 1.0 2.04
11.4 Do. Mitchell Cle .634 32.3 5.2 5.0 1.7 3.6 .5 2.32
11.1 Lauri Markkanen Uta .610 27.4 6.1 1.8 1.0 1.4 .6 1.81
11.0 Cade Cunningham Det .528 24.9 5.1 8.3 1.3 3.6 .8 2.07
11.0 Jalen Johnson Atl .651 25.5 10.5 5.9 1.9 3.4 .3 2.30
10.9 Scottie Barnes Tor .584 20.5 8.8 4.8 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.99
10.6 Austin Reaves LAL .623 28.4 5.6 7.0 1.3 3.4 .1 2.19
10.2 Jalen Duren Det .685 27.1 14.7 1.8 1.3 3.2 1.5 2.46
10.2 Kevin Durant Hou .621 27.4 5.2 3.0 .9 3.1 .7 1.67
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.2 Jalen Brunson NYK .580 27.6 3.7 6.0 .9 3.0 .0 1.93
10.1 Deni Avdija Por .620 25.5 7.2 4.1 .6 3.9 .9 1.74
9.9 Jimmy Butler GSW .646 24.0 6.5 5.1 1.9 1.9 .3 2.04
9.7 Franz Wagner Orl .573 22.4 6.6 3.5 1.2 2.1 .4 1.60
9.4 Is. Hartenstein OKC .687 19.6 14.8 3.6 1.5 2.8 .7 1.94
9.4 Josh Giddey Chi .548 20.0 9.9 8.2 1.0 3.9 .5 1.90
9.2 Stephen Curry GSW .622 32.2 4.5 3.9 1.6 3.2 .5 2.22
9.1 Jamal Murray Den .566 23.2 5.5 5.8 1.4 2.6 .3 1.72
8.9 Evan Mobley Cle .546 17.9 10.2 3.8 1.4 2.7 1.8 1.65
8.8 Paolo Banchero Orl .557 22.6 10.0 4.1 .9 3.0 1.0 1.86
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.5 Stephon Castle SAS .570 19.4 7.0 7.4 1.9 4.6 .4 1.57
8.4 Michael Porter Brk .590 22.7 9.6 3.1 .9 2.7 .2 1.66
8.4 Pascal Siakam Ind .527 20.7 7.2 4.3 1.5 2.6 .4 1.54
8.3 Ivica Zubac LAC .644 18.5 13.0 2.2 .6 2.6 1.3 1.56
8.3 Nic Claxton Brk .631 17.3 9.5 4.0 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.66
8.2 Anthony Edwards Min .610 31.9 5.6 3.7 1.4 3.0 .8 2.29
8.1 Miles Bridges Cha .565 19.2 7.8 3.4 .6 1.5 .4 1.37
8.1 Alex Sarr Was .572 18.6 9.4 3.4 1.0 3.1 2.8 1.65
8.0 Aaron Gordon Den .676 26.5 7.2 1.6 1.0 1.9 .3 1.71
8.0 Mikal Bridges NYK .607 15.2 4.6 4.4 2.2 1.0 1.0 1.36
41-50: Ingram, Holmgren, Barrett, D White, Powell, Vucevic, Keyonte George, J Allen, Amen Thompson, G Allen
51-60: Jrue, A Mitchell, Rollins, Murphy3, Jaquez, Quickley, Pritchard, Okongwu, McDaniels, Sharpe
61-70 : Anunoby, Ayton, Queta, Sabonis, LaMelo, Mark Williams, Ware, Porzingis, Gobert, Andrew Wiggins
Re: 2025-26 eWins
Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2025 9:21 pm
by Mike G
At 22% of the season.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
22.7 Nikola Jokić Den 592 .714 36.0 13.7 9.5 1.6 3.7 .8 3.85
20.8 Shai G-A OKC 632 .660 43.4 5.7 6.6 1.7 1.9 .9 3.68
14.6 Luka Dončić LAL 484 .601 32.9 9.5 7.6 1.9 4.1 .5 3.02
14.2 Tyrese Maxey Phl 679 .603 27.7 4.2 5.6 1.5 2.5 .8 2.10
12.5 Giannis A Mil 414 .645 35.6 13.1 6.2 1.1 4.1 1.3 3.38
12.4 Alperen Şengün Hou 585 .553 21.4 10.3 6.2 1.0 3.4 .9 2.00
12.2 James Harden LAC 605 .625 27.7 6.2 7.1 1.0 4.0 .4 2.14
12.1 Donovan Mitchell Cle 578 .632 32.3 5.4 5.0 1.6 3.5 .4 2.35
12.0 Jaylen Brown Bos 585 .571 30.7 6.8 4.1 1.1 3.9 .4 2.18
11.9 Julius Randle Min 602 .603 25.4 8.2 5.3 1.3 3.0 .2 2.11
e82 11-20 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.7 Karl-A Towns NYK 567 .576 22.2 13.5 3.1 1.0 3.0 .9 2.07
11.6 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 416 .597 27.0 14.1 3.6 1.1 3.8 3.8 2.79
11.4 Cade Cunningham Det 545 .542 26.0 6.2 7.9 1.3 3.7 .7 2.22
11.0 Austin Reaves LAL 508 .635 28.2 6.3 6.0 1.4 3.3 .1 2.18
11.0 Jalen Johnson Atl 576 .620 22.9 10.4 6.2 1.8 3.4 .5 2.14
10.9 Scottie Barnes Tor 630 .585 20.5 8.9 4.6 1.6 2.5 1.8 1.95
10.9 Jalen Duren Det 464 .680 27.1 15.2 2.1 1.1 3.1 1.1 2.50
10.5 Devin Booker Phx 679 .568 25.4 4.6 6.1 .9 4.1 .4 1.73
10.2 Franz Wagner Orl 656 .583 23.0 7.1 3.7 1.1 2.0 .4 1.75
10.2 Jimmy Butler GSW 564 .646 24.7 6.6 5.0 1.9 1.7 .3 2.14
e82 21-30 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.2 Jalen Brunson NYK 512 .585 28.6 3.6 5.6 .8 2.6 .1 2.00
10.1 Deni Avdija Por 644 .605 25.0 7.0 4.8 .6 4.0 .8 1.76
10.0 Lauri Markkanen Uta 605 .602 24.9 6.4 1.8 1.0 1.4 .5 1.66
9.7 Jamal Murray Den 562 .589 23.5 4.9 5.7 1.2 2.4 .3 1.73
9.5 Anthony Edwards Min 460 .599 30.3 5.3 3.5 1.7 2.9 .7 2.19
9.5 Is. Hartenstein OKC 528 .667 19.0 14.7 4.1 1.6 2.8 1.1 2.01
9.3 Stephen Curry GSW 497 .632 32.6 4.4 4.2 1.5 3.7 .7 2.21
9.2 Josh Giddey Chi 511 .559 19.0 9.9 8.0 1.0 3.9 .5 1.81
8.9 Ivica Zubac LAC 572 .622 17.7 14.0 2.3 .5 2.2 1.1 1.66
8.9 Michael Porter Brk 521 .599 23.4 8.9 2.8 .9 2.4 .2 1.72
e82 31-40 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.8 Pascal Siakam Ind 593 .550 21.3 7.1 4.0 1.5 2.7 .5 1.58
8.6 Brandon Ingram Tor 640 .571 22.3 6.6 3.4 1.2 3.2 .8 1.51
8.6 Mikal Bridges NYK 599 .630 16.5 4.8 3.9 2.3 1.2 1.3 1.44
8.5 Evan Mobley Cle 615 .559 18.0 9.7 3.6 1.2 2.9 1.8 1.56
8.4 Kevin Durant Hou 505 .595 25.5 5.3 2.9 .9 3.1 .7 1.57
8.0 Amen Thompson Hou 585 .532 16.3 7.5 4.5 1.3 2.3 .4 1.29
7.9 Keyonte George Uta 589 .578 21.0 4.4 6.0 1.1 3.5 .3 1.35
7.8 Norman Powell Mia 456 .636 30.0 4.3 2.3 1.5 2.3 .2 1.92
7.8 Nic Claxton Brk 504 .590 15.4 10.0 4.3 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.55
7.5 Miles Bridges Cha 628 .550 18.3 7.3 3.1 .8 1.7 .6 1.28
e82 41-50 tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.5 Derrick White Bos 594 .489 14.9 4.8 4.8 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.34
7.4 Chet Holmgren OKC 441 .640 24.9 10.3 2.1 .9 2.9 1.9 1.89
7.4 Alex Sarr Was 442 .570 18.7 9.9 3.1 .9 2.8 2.5 1.68
7.4 Immanuel Quickley Tor 605 .563 16.5 5.7 5.8 1.6 1.8 .1 1.37
7.3 RJ Barrett Tor 526 .594 22.1 5.9 3.7 1.0 1.8 .3 1.55
7.3 Ryan Rollins Mil 610 .586 19.1 5.0 5.4 1.8 3.1 .3 1.33
7.2 Kel'el Ware Mia 475 .610 15.8 14.3 .7 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.70
7.1 Payton Pritchard Bos 585 .571 17.8 5.1 4.7 .8 1.5 .1 1.28
7.1 Mark Williams Phx 410 .671 18.9 13.2 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.93
6.8 Trey Murphy NOP 675 .603 17.3 6.6 2.6 1.7 2.3 .2 1.13
51-60: Vucevic, Banchero, Clingan, Castle, A Mitchell, Okongwu, Ayton, A Gordon, Jaquez, Fox
61-70: Queta, Bane, Porzingis, J Allen, R Sheppard, Adebayo, Gobert, McDaniels, Jabari Smith, Knueppel
Re: 2025-26 eWins etc.
Posted: Fri Nov 28, 2025 6:10 pm
by Mike G
Here is an alternative ranking, based on 4 readily available summary stats.
First column is the avg of the 4 'wins', multiplied by 82/(team games). Teams have played (Hou) 16 to 20 (GS) games now.
Code: Select all
xW82 wxyz Wins Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
23.4 Nikola Jokić Den 592 4.1 5.0 5.6 4.7 36.7 .413 18.2 3.85
20.3 Shai G-A OKC 632 4.0 5.1 4.9 4.8 34.0 .396 14.0 3.68
14.1 Tyrese Maxey Phl 679 2.8 2.7 3.3 2.9 23.9 .194 6.7 2.10
13.1 Luka Dončić LAL 484 2.5 2.3 2.9 3.0 29.2 .237 9.9 3.02
11.7 James Harden LAC 605 2.6 2.2 2.8 2.7 24.9 .177 6.3 2.14
11.6 Alperen Şengün Hou 585 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.4 20.8 .180 5.5 2.00
11.4 Giannis A Mil 414 2.7 2.3 2.8 2.9 34.6 .270 11.3 3.38
11.2 Do. Mitchell Cle 578 2.4 2.2 2.9 2.8 24.4 .190 7.1 2.35
11.0 Jimmy Butler GSW 564 2.4 3.1 2.7 2.5 24.7 .270 6.6 2.14
10.9 Julius Randle Min 602 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.6 22.2 .196 4.5 2.11
xW82 11-20 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
10.5 Austin Reaves LAL 508 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.3 24.1 .217 5.0 2.18
10.3 Mikal Bridges NYK 599 1.8 2.4 2.6 1.8 19.0 .192 5.7 1.44
10.1 Scottie Barnes Tor 630 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 20.7 .175 4.6 1.95
10.0 La. Markkanen Uta 605 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.1 21.8 .152 3.8 1.66
9.9 Karl-A Towns NYK 567 2.0 2.1 1.7 2.4 21.4 .178 2.2 2.07
9.8 Jalen Duren Det 464 2.1 2.4 1.6 2.4 26.2 .257 3.4 2.50
9.8 Jalen Johnson Atl 576 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5 22.2 .174 4.8 2.14
9.7 Cade Cunningham Det 545 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.5 22.1 .167 4.8 2.22
9.6 Franz Wagner Orl 656 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.4 19.9 .174 2.8 1.75
9.6 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 416 1.9 1.7 2.0 2.4 25.8 .201 6.6 2.79
xW82 21-30 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
9.4 Is. Hartenstein OKC 528 1.8 2.7 2.0 2.2 21.3 .253 4.1 2.01
9.3 Deni Avdija Por 644 2.1 1.8 2.4 2.3 20.1 .137 3.9 1.76
9.1 Jalen Brunson NYK 512 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.1 22.0 .172 3.4 2.00
9.1 Jamal Murray Den 562 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 20.0 .164 2.8 1.73
9.1 Jaylen Brown Bos 585 2.1 1.4 1.8 2.6 22.0 .114 2.5 2.18
8.5 Anthony Edwards Min 460 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.1 23.3 .169 5.7 2.19
8.5 Devin Booker Phx 679 2.0 1.8 1.6 2.4 18.8 .131 .7 1.73
8.0 Stephen Curry GSW 497 1.9 1.5 2.2 2.3 22.8 .144 5.7 2.21
8.0 Josh Giddey Chi 511 1.7 1.3 1.8 1.9 20.2 .120 3.4 1.81
7.9 Amen Thompson Hou 585 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.6 16.4 .139 1.2 1.29
xW82 31-40 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
7.8 Reed Sheppard Hou 399 1.2 1.7 2.0 1.1 19.6 .208 7.3 1.39
7.8 Ivica Zubac LAC 572 2.0 1.6 1.3 2.0 21.0 .136 .4 1.66
7.7 Kevin Durant Hou 505 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.6 18.1 .156 1.3 1.57
7.6 Nic Claxton Brk 504 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 20.2 .145 2.5 1.55
7.5 Michael Porter Brk 521 1.7 1.0 1.7 1.8 20.5 .090 2.9 1.72
7.3 Evan Mobley Cle 615 1.6 1.4 1.7 2.0 17.6 .115 1.8 1.56
7.3 Pascal Siakam Ind 593 1.7 1.0 1.7 1.9 18.5 .086 2.0 1.58
7.2 Kel'el Ware Mia 475 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.7 20.4 .203 2.4 1.70
7.2 Norman Powell Mia 456 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 20.5 .171 4.2 1.92
7.0 Keyonte George Uta 589 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.6 17.9 .098 .7 1.35
xW82 41-50 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
7.0 Mark Williams Phx 410 1.6 2.0 1.3 1.6 22.8 .242 2.4 1.93
7.0 Derrick White Bos 594 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.6 16.0 .106 2.5 1.34
7.0 Pa. Pritchard Bos 585 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.6 16.5 .139 1.1 1.28
7.0 Im. Quickley Tor 605 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 15.8 .135 1.8 1.37
6.7 Trey Murphy NOP 675 1.7 1.3 1.7 1.6 17.2 .093 .9 1.13
6.7 Chet Holmgren OKC 441 1.3 1.7 1.4 1.7 19.4 .192 2.7 1.89
6.7 Miles Bridges Cha 628 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.7 16.9 .097 .3 1.28
6.6 Do. Clingan Por 483 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.5 19.9 .178 1.4 1.53
6.6 Brandon Ingram Tor 640 1.6 1.2 1.4 2.0 16.6 .088 .1 1.51
6.5 Ajay Mitchell OKC 522 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.5 17.7 .163 1.5 1.39
xW82 51-60 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
6.4 RJ Barrett Tor 526 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.7 17.6 .143 .8 1.55
6.3 Ryan Rollins Mil 610 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.7 17.4 .091 .6 1.33
6.3 Keldon Johnson SAS 411 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.1 19.3 .196 2.3 1.27
6.3 Jaime Jaquez Mia 565 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 16.6 .132 1.4 1.22
6.3 Co. Gillespie Phx 493 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.2 17.0 .157 3.6 1.20
6.1 Aaron Gordon Den 368 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.3 20.5 .194 2.4 1.70
6.1 Neemias Queta Bos 402 1.3 1.7 1.1 1.3 19.7 .201 1.5 1.60
6.1 Rudy Gobert Min 582 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 15.3 .145 -.7 1.07
6.0 Jabari Smith Hou 499 .9 1.5 1.2 1.1 14.0 .145 .6 1.06
6.0 Onyeka Okongwu Atl 524 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.4 17.6 .139 .5 1.34
xW82 61-70 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
6.0 Alex Sarr Was 442 1.5 .7 1.2 1.5 21.1 .072 1.7 1.68
5.9 Moussa Diabaté Cha 409 1.4 1.7 1.0 1.1 21.4 .202 .9 1.25
5.9 Nikola Vučević Chi 490 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 17.4 .105 .7 1.38
5.7 Harrison Barnes SAS 523 1.0 1.5 1.4 .9 13.9 .143 1.2 .85
5.7 Jerami Grant Por 517 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 17.2 .137 .9 1.13
5.6 Grayson Allen Phx 417 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.3 17.8 .169 3.1 1.47
5.6 Kr. Porziņģis Atl 316 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 22.8 .211 4.9 2.10
5.6 Jaden McDaniels Min 544 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 15.2 .120 .0 1.14
5.6 Santi Aldama Mem 504 1.3 1.0 1.6 1.2 17.2 .101 2.6 1.19
5.6 DeMar DeRozan Sac 625 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 16.6 .096 -.7 .99
xW82 71-80 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
5.6 Do. DiVincenzo Min 561 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.1 13.6 .124 .9 .94
5.6 De'Aaron Fox SAS 301 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 22.0 .185 3.9 2.03
5.5 Stephon Castle SAS 416 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 17.5 .124 .8 1.59
5.4 Wendell Carter Orl 529 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.2 14.8 .148 .3 1.09
5.4 Cedric Coward Mem 510 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 16.2 .123 1.5 1.09
5.4 Paolo Banchero Orl 393 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.5 18.9 .129 2.7 1.89
5.4 Jarrett Allen Cle 364 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.4 20.8 .177 1.9 1.82
5.3 Josh Hart NYK 436 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.0 15.5 .134 2.0 1.08
5.3 Kon Knueppel Cha 600 1.2 .9 1.2 1.2 15.0 .076 -.1 .98
5.1 Myles Turner Mil 572 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 14.9 .091 .2 1.07
xW82 81-90 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
5.1 Da. Mitchell Mia 570 .9 1.5 1.2 1.1 13.0 .131 .0 .90
5.1 Jalen Suggs Orl 326 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 19.7 .163 4.7 1.90
5.0 Goga Bitadze Orl 304 1.0 1.5 1.3 .8 20.6 .241 5.1 1.34
5.0 Deandre Ayton LAL 438 1.2 1.1 .6 1.3 18.1 .118 -2.1 1.43
4.9 Bam Adebayo Mia 392 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.4 17.6 .123 2.2 1.68
4.9 Desmond Bane Orl 615 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 13.8 .088 -1.4 1.10
4.8 Ayo Dosunmu Chi 397 1.1 1.1 1.0 .9 18.0 .134 .8 1.05
4.8 Royce O'Neale Phx 574 .8 1.3 1.4 .9 12.1 .112 .7 .80
4.8 Ryan Kalkbrenner Cha 410 1.2 1.2 .9 1.0 18.3 .140 .3 1.13
4.7 OG Anunoby NYK 373 .9 .9 1.1 1.0 16.3 .123 2.4 1.23
xW82 91-100 Tm min perW WS bpmW eWin PER WS/48 BPM e484
4.7 Jakob Poeltl Tor 364 1.0 1.4 .9 1.1 17.6 .194 .8 1.43
4.7 Dyson Daniels Atl 626 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 13.1 .084 -.6 .82
4.6 Andre Drummond Phl 387 1.0 1.2 .7 1.0 17.0 .147 -.5 1.22
4.6 Jrue Holiday Por 401 1.0 .9 1.2 1.1 17.1 .111 2.4 1.36
4.6 Mamukelashvili Tor 333 1.0 1.3 1.1 .9 19.0 .193 3.0 1.27
4.6 Duncan Robinson Det 574 .7 1.5 1.1 .7 11.4 .124 -.3 .57
4.6 De'Andre Hunter Cle 434 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 15.8 .115 .6 1.34
4.5 Tr. Da Silva Orl 453 .9 1.1 1.3 .9 14.9 .124 1.8 .91
4.5 Max Christie Dal 568 .8 1.3 1.2 .9 12.3 .109 .1 .75
4.5 Ni. A-Walker Atl 542 1.1 .9 1.0 1.2 15.2 .081 -.8 1.05
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... anced.html
perW = (PER-5.75)*min/4466
WS = (WS/48)*min/48.9
bpmW = (BPM+5.25)*min/2486
eWins = e484*min/484
These all yield the same 272 NBA wins to date.