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Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2025 9:23 am
by Mike G
Wins added beyond last year's rates in this year's minutes.
This season on the left, last year on the right. Change of teams is noted.
Code: Select all
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.53 Wembanyama SAS .667 41.7 16.7 2.9 4.19 .586 23.5 11.5 3.2 2.18
.46 Austin Reaves LAL .668 32.8 5.7 7.8 2.50 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
.34 L Markkanen Uta .651 31.3 6.8 2.2 2.11 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
.32 Kyshawn George Was .659 20.0 9.2 4.1 1.57 .498 8.6 5.3 2.6 .42
.27 Jrue Holiday Por .624 20.6 6.4 7.4 1.70 Bos .561 12.9 5.3 4.2 .87
.27 Giannis Mil .704 43.2 15.8 6.3 3.85 .609 31.7 12.1 5.8 2.85
.27 Ajay Mitchell OKC .565 24.4 5.1 3.5 1.57 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.27 Jerami Grant Por .697 26.8 3.4 1.5 1.59 .515 13.2 4.0 2.0 .64
.26 Luka Dončić LAL .713 46.0 11.7 6.6 3.83 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
.23 Jamal Murray Den .610 30.1 4.9 5.6 2.06 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.23 Aaron Gordon Den .752 31.0 7.2 2.4 1.99 .638 18.3 6.4 3.3 1.07
.22 Mikal Bridges NYK .667 18.6 6.5 4.2 1.54 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
.22 Jaime Jaquez Mia .728 25.4 7.1 4.3 1.83 .535 12.8 7.2 3.6 .87
.22 Sam Merrill Cle .775 27.3 3.1 2.5 1.52 .580 11.2 3.7 2.2 .50
.21 Tyrese Maxey Phl .605 28.4 3.2 5.9 1.98 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
.21 Alex Sarr Was .609 22.4 10.5 4.4 1.84 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.18 S Fontecchio Mia .785 24.1 3.9 2.4 1.48 Det .537 10.0 6.0 1.4 .37
.18 Stephen Curry GSW .678 33.8 4.9 5.4 2.51 .610 27.4 5.3 6.0 1.92
.17 Julius Randle Min .662 26.6 7.0 4.5 1.93 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.17 Keyonte George Uta .586 21.7 2.9 8.4 1.34 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
.17 Jaylen Brown Bos .629 32.6 6.4 3.8 2.04 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
Last night's games are not included.
Getting minutes but not so good production:
Code: Select all
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.29 Desmond Bane Orl .524 15.7 5.2 2.6 .62 Mem .594 20.1 7.1 4.9 1.49
-.27 Paolo Banchero Orl .500 18.0 8.7 2.5 1.19 .540 25.4 8.8 4.6 1.91
-.26 Rudy Gobert Min .642 8.8 10.3 1.1 .60 .670 14.4 12.5 1.7 1.38
-.25 Karl-A Towns NYK .504 15.5 14.2 2.0 1.28 .620 24.9 14.5 2.7 2.19
-.25 Cameron Johnson Den .533 10.4 3.8 1.8 .14 Brk .622 20.9 5.3 3.4 1.32
-.25 Dyson Daniels Atl .346 4.0 6.7 2.9 .24 .540 12.1 6.5 3.7 1.05
-.25 Jakob Poeltl Tor .531 7.6 8.9 2.6 .29 .633 17.3 11.9 2.8 1.60
-.25 Aaron Nesmith Ind .394 8.0 4.9 1.0 .07 .646 17.2 5.7 1.4 .98
-.24 Domantas Sabonis Sac .515 11.0 15.5 2.7 1.11 .644 19.5 15.3 5.2 1.98
-.24 Luguentz Dort OKC .394 5.8 5.5 1.8 .05 .584 12.4 5.0 1.8 .68
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.23 Franz Wagner Orl .609 20.7 5.6 2.5 1.21 .550 24.6 6.8 4.6 1.83
-.20 I Hartenstein OKC .570 10.4 13.7 2.5 1.06 .591 14.8 13.7 4.4 1.65
-.19 CJ McCollum Was .424 9.7 3.7 4.1 .34 NOP .544 18.8 4.2 3.5 1.03
-.18 Jordan Poole NOP .511 15.2 2.0 3.0 .55 Was .582 21.8 3.5 4.4 1.21
-.17 Cade Cunningham Det .493 19.5 5.5 7.2 1.37 .557 24.2 6.7 7.8 1.85
-.16 Tyus Jones Orl .281 2.0 2.5 3.2 -.27 Phx .583 12.2 3.2 5.8 .76
-.16 Amen Thompson Hou .500 13.5 6.6 5.2 .86 .591 15.4 10.0 3.6 1.44
-.16 Bobby Portis Mil .410 9.5 10.3 .7 .42 .538 16.2 10.8 2.4 1.38
-.15 Myles Turner Mil .402 7.0 8.4 3.0 .61 Ind .602 17.4 7.8 1.5 1.23
-.15 Cam Thomas Brk .537 21.5 2.2 2.9 .86 .566 24.8 4.1 3.8 1.35
Orlando got a big win last night so should not be dominating this list quite as much.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Fri Oct 31, 2025 1:54 pm
by Crow
Has Fontecchio mainly just had a nice small sample or has the offensive system and role really fit?
Was aware of most of these changes. But not with Jrue, Mikal and a few others. Lots of moving pieces.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2025 8:52 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.50 Julius Randle Min .664 28.8 8.1 5.6 2.25 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.50 Tyrese Maxey Phl .618 28.3 4.8 6.3 2.12 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
.50 Austin Reaves LAL .637 29.8 5.5 7.4 2.26 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
.47 Ajay Mitchell OKC .560 21.2 4.8 4.7 1.42 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.45 Giannis A Mil .658 38.5 15.4 6.0 3.69 .609 31.7 12.1 5.8 2.85
.44 Alex Sarr Was .599 20.8 9.5 3.7 1.79 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.42 Luka Dončić LAL .619 36.0 11.5 7.1 3.24 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
.39 Lauri Markkanen Uta .580 25.9 6.2 1.8 1.61 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
.39 Stephon Castle SAS .586 21.2 7.1 6.6 1.55 .513 15.6 4.7 4.4 .85
.38 Jalen Duren Det .689 29.6 15.2 1.8 2.65 .688 17.6 15.6 3.1 1.89
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.38 Keyonte George Uta .575 21.7 3.8 6.7 1.34 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
.38 Jaylen Brown Bos .614 33.0 6.0 4.1 2.11 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
.36 Mikal Bridges NYK .660 16.8 4.9 4.7 1.40 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
.34 Jerami Grant Por .661 22.9 3.9 2.0 1.35 .515 13.2 4.0 2.0 .64
.34 Kyshawn George Was .641 17.3 7.4 3.4 1.08 .498 8.6 5.3 2.6 .42
.34 Jamal Murray Den .591 25.1 5.8 5.3 1.82 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21
.33 Jaime Jaquez Mia .638 20.1 7.0 4.4 1.48 .535 12.8 7.2 3.6 .87
.33 Nikola Jokić Den .709 30.2 13.8 10.6 3.48 .651 29.2 13.0 8.0 2.89
.33 Do. Mitchell Cle .690 36.8 3.5 4.8 2.45 .567 25.8 5.2 4.9 1.84
.33 V Wembanyama SAS .583 26.8 14.2 3.2 2.76 .586 23.5 11.5 3.2 2.18
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.32 Josh Giddey Chi .574 22.2 9.9 8.3 1.99 .562 15.1 9.3 6.9 1.42
.32 Aaron Gordon Den .691 28.0 6.7 1.7 1.71 .638 18.3 6.4 3.3 1.07
.31 Sam Merrill Cle .843 27.9 2.6 2.1 1.51 .580 11.2 3.7 2.2 .50
.30 Devin Booker Phx .625 29.2 4.2 5.7 1.79 .579 22.0 3.9 5.6 1.35
.30 Neemias Queta Bos .644 13.8 13.4 2.2 1.59 .664 13.3 9.3 1.6 .97
.28 Jrue Holiday Por .577 17.2 5.6 7.2 1.37 Bos .561 12.9 5.3 4.2 .87
.25 Scottie Barnes Tor .573 20.6 8.1 4.6 1.89 .516 17.5 8.6 5.2 1.48
.24 Si. Fontecchio Mia .686 19.7 3.8 1.9 1.01 Det .537 10.0 6.0 1.4 .37
.24 Ryan Rollins Mil .625 18.9 4.5 5.0 1.30 .595 14.0 4.3 3.7 .89
.23 Jalen Johnson Atl .630 23.5 9.2 4.6 1.80 .562 15.9 10.4 4.1 1.37
It's not just close at the top; there are many within striking distance, with at least half as much 'bonus production' as the leaders.
Here are the same 30, different stats, compared to their best previous year -- whether or not it was last year.
(Under
yrs are # of previous seasons.)
Code: Select all
vs best previous PER WS/48 BPM yrs PER WS/48 BPM
Julius Randle 25.8 .237 7.0 11 20.3 .145 3.8
Tyrese Maxey 24.7 .223 6.6 5 19.8 .147 3.1
Austin Reaves 26.4 .243 6.6 4 18.1 .144 1.9
Ajay Mitchell 19.2 .174 1.4 1 12.0 .122 -1.6
Giannis A 38.7 .358 14.3 12 32.1 .292 11.5
Alex Sarr 23.3 .084 4.0 1 12.9 -.007 -3.3
Luka Dončić 32.9 .281 12.6 7 28.7 .220 9.9
Lauri Markkanen 21.3 .150 4.0 8 22.1 .173 3.8
Stephon Castle 17.1 .110 0.3 1 13.7 .025 -3.2
Jalen Duren 28.6 .296 5.1 3 21.4 .218 3.1
vs best previous PER WS/48 BPM yrs PER WS/48 BPM
Keyonte George 17.9 .114 0.8 2 12.9 .024 -2.7
Jaylen Brown 22.9 .134 3.9 9 19.9 .124 2.5
Mikal Bridges 18.9 .207 5.6 7 16.8 .164 3.3
Jerami Grant 19.6 .198 3.7 11 16.9 .156 1.2
Kyshawn George 15.0 .028 -0.8 1 8.8 .003 -4.1
Jamal Murray 21.1 .182 3.2 8 20.7 .153 4.1
Jaime Jaquez 19.8 .183 3.1 2 14.3 .092 -0.9
Nikola Jokić 35.0 .414 18.0 10 32.8 .308 13.7
Donovan Mitchell 27.2 .232 8.8 8 22.9 .176 6.3
Vi. Wembanyama 26.0 .229 5.4 2 24.2 .118 6.5
vs best previous PER WS/48 BPM yrs PER WS/48 BPM
Josh Giddey 21.7 .157 4.4 4 18.1 .121 3.0
Aaron Gordon 20.9 .212 3.2 11 19.5 .158 2.1
Sam Merrill 19.7 .225 5.3 5 13.1 .125 0.5
Devin Booker 22.2 .159 3.1 10 22.0 .181 4.2
Neemias Queta 19.5 .197 1.1 4 16.3 .179 -0.7
Jrue Holiday 16.5 .120 1.9 16 20.0 .165 3.4
Scottie Barnes 21.0 .160 4.8 4 19.5 .098 3.7
Si. Fontecchio 16.2 .149 2.7 3 12.1 .063 -1.0
Ryan Rollins 18.0 .135 1.4 3 14.0 .101 -0.5
Jalen Johnson 21.0 .152 2.9 4 17.3 .099 1.8
In the top 10 are 3 2nd-year players.
Last year, all of Maxey's numbers declined from 2024; he won MIP by playing more minutes and taking more shots.
This could be the year Jokic has an All-Star sidekick -- or two.
Last year, AJ Mitchell was the Thunder's #12 man and got 3.5 mpg in playoffs. This year he's top 5.
All the front-runners for MVP are also in this list, having career years so far -- other than Shai, who is simply repeating his mvp numbers.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Mon Nov 17, 2025 4:27 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.00 Nikola Jokić Den .754 38.2 14.0 10.1 4.07 .651 29.2 13.0 8.0 2.89
.83 Julius Randle Min .646 28.5 8.1 5.7 2.38 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.76 Jalen Johnson Atl .651 25.5 10.5 5.9 2.30 .562 15.9 10.4 4.1 1.37
.76 Lauri Markkanen Uta .610 27.4 6.1 1.8 1.81 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
.75 Tyrese Maxey Phl .586 27.2 4.8 6.0 2.14 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
.72 Ajay Mitchell OKC .555 21.3 5.0 4.4 1.47 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.69 Austin Reaves LAL .623 28.4 5.6 7.0 2.19 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
.66 Grayson Allen Phx .632 20.8 3.7 4.2 1.41 .623 13.9 4.2 2.5 .64
.62 Stephon Castle SAS .570 19.4 7.0 7.4 1.57 .513 15.6 4.7 4.4 .85
.58 Shai G-A OKC .639 41.7 5.7 6.7 3.48 .624 37.2 5.2 5.9 2.88
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.58 Devin Booker Phx .602 28.6 4.4 6.1 1.91 .579 22.0 3.9 5.6 1.35
.57 Jaylen Brown Bos .578 30.9 6.8 3.9 2.15 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
.56 Luka Dončić LAL .599 32.5 9.5 7.4 2.94 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
.55 Alex Sarr Was .572 18.6 9.4 3.4 1.65 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.49 Kyshawn George Was .623 17.1 6.6 4.0 1.06 .498 8.6 5.3 2.6 .42
.49 Keyonte George Uta .554 20.2 4.1 6.2 1.27 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
.48 Mikal Bridges NYK .607 15.2 4.6 4.4 1.36 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
.48 Vi. Wembanyama SAS .597 26.8 14.3 3.6 2.74 .586 23.5 11.5 3.2 2.18
.45 Scottie Barnes Tor .584 20.5 8.8 4.8 1.99 .516 17.5 8.6 5.2 1.48
.44 Michael Porter Brk .590 22.7 9.6 3.1 1.66 Den .610 18.3 7.8 1.8 1.11
.44 Aaron Gordon Den .676 26.5 7.2 1.6 1.71 .638 18.3 6.4 3.3 1.07
Team by team, players with plus or minus .20 eWins over last year's rates:
Code: Select all
eW+ Atlanta Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.76 Jalen Johnson .651 25.5 10.5 5.9 2.30 .562 15.9 10.4 4.1 1.37
.31 Nickeil A-Walker .563 19.6 3.3 3.5 1.03 Min .573 12.1 4.5 3.2 .61
-.22 Mouhamed Gueye .565 10.5 7.3 2.3 .58 .513 10.1 9.9 1.5 1.05
-.23 Luke Kennard .637 11.9 3.2 2.1 .30 Mem .627 12.8 4.4 4.0 .70
-.29 Dyson Daniels .494 8.3 6.3 5.5 .74 .540 12.1 6.5 3.7 1.05
eW+ Boston Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.57 Jaylen Brown .578 30.9 6.8 3.9 2.15 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
.40 Neemias Queta .610 13.5 12.9 2.2 1.53 .664 13.3 9.3 1.6 .97
.27 Jordan Walsh .561 7.6 8.8 1.6 .79 .461 5.2 5.6 1.4 .03
-.22 Anfernee Simons .543 16.3 2.9 2.7 .72 Por .552 18.6 3.1 4.5 1.03
-.32 Sam Hauser .464 7.5 5.2 1.7 .21 .631 14.3 5.2 1.3 .72
eW+ Brooklyn Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.44 Michael Porter .590 22.7 9.6 3.1 1.66 Den .610 18.3 7.8 1.8 1.11
.36 Nic Claxton .631 17.3 9.5 4.0 1.66 .561 12.3 10.6 2.6 1.20
-.27 Ziaire Williams .556 10.7 3.9 .5 .26 .543 12.5 7.1 1.7 .77
eW+ Charlotte Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.27 Moussa Diabaté .677 14.1 12.4 1.2 1.34 .596 9.9 11.9 1.3 .90
-.23 Tre Mann .455 10.8 5.2 3.9 .35 .534 16.1 4.0 3.4 .72
eW+ Chicago Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.35 Josh Giddey .548 20.0 9.9 8.2 1.90 .562 15.1 9.3 6.9 1.42
.22 Kevin Huerter .590 15.8 5.2 3.0 .92 .542 11.8 4.3 2.6 .59
-.22 Nikola Vučević .595 16.8 11.2 3.3 1.40 .606 19.6 11.2 3.2 1.68
eW+ Cleveland Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.40 Donovan Mitchell .634 32.3 5.2 5.0 2.32 .567 25.8 5.2 4.9 1.84
.21 Jaylon Tyson .632 13.8 5.8 2.1 .88 .519 10.2 6.8 2.7 .53
-.26 Evan Mobley .546 17.9 10.2 3.8 1.65 .622 22.3 11.0 3.2 1.94
-.34 Larry Nance .404 4.8 7.1 2.4 .06 Atl .628 13.2 7.7 2.2 .97
eW+ Dallas Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.26 Max Christie .634 14.9 4.3 2.7 .72 .562 11.1 4.3 2.0 .43
-.25 Klay Thompson .470 11.8 4.5 2.6 .38 .550 16.1 4.5 2.2 .81
eW+ Denver Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.00 Nikola Jokić .754 38.2 14.0 10.1 4.07 .651 29.2 13.0 8.0 2.89
.44 Aaron Gordon .676 26.5 7.2 1.6 1.71 .638 18.3 6.4 3.3 1.07
.40 Jamal Murray .566 23.2 5.5 5.8 1.72 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21
.21 Tim Hardaway .673 18.0 2.7 1.9 .79 Det .561 12.7 3.3 1.7 .43
-.66 Cameron Johnson .459 8.6 4.0 2.4 .13 Brk .622 20.9 5.3 3.4 1.32
eW+ Detroit Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.43 Daniss Jenkins .565 16.1 3.3 5.3 1.12 .318 5.1 2.9 3.3 -.20
.38 Jalen Duren .685 27.1 14.7 1.8 2.46 .688 17.6 15.6 3.1 1.89
eW+ Golden State Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.34 Jimmy Butler .646 24.0 6.5 5.1 2.04 .608 20.2 6.3 5.4 1.65
.22 Stephen Curry .622 32.2 4.5 3.9 2.22 .610 27.4 5.3 6.0 1.92
.21 Moses Moody .631 17.9 4.0 1.9 1.02 .571 14.2 4.2 1.8 .69
-.21 Buddy Hield .556 11.5 3.1 2.7 .38 .557 15.1 5.1 2.2 .78
-.28 Al Horford .458 5.7 5.9 2.4 .23 Bos .560 11.2 8.2 2.5 .84
-.29 Draymond Green .484 8.1 7.7 6.7 .62 .526 9.8 8.0 6.2 .98
eW+ Houston Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.41 Reed Sheppard .637 18.3 4.1 3.8 1.20 .464 9.1 4.3 3.2 .49
-.22 Amen Thompson .525 16.3 6.8 4.6 1.19 .591 15.4 10.0 3.6 1.44
-.23 Tari Eason .640 16.3 8.1 2.0 .99 .561 15.6 9.8 1.7 1.42
eW+ Indiana Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.20 Aaron Nesmith .511 14.0 5.2 1.5 .70 .646 17.2 5.7 1.4 .98
-.27 RayJ Dennis .430 8.3 3.5 3.9 .12 .441 9.6 5.3 5.1 .94
-.28 Jay Huff .477 7.9 6.4 1.4 .50 Mem .659 18.6 5.8 1.3 1.19
-.33 Jarace Walker .402 7.9 6.4 3.1 .24 .584 11.6 6.3 2.5 .66
-.34 Tony Bradley .641 11.7 7.3 1.4 .59 .635 16.5 11.6 1.4 1.47
eW+ LA Clippers Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.27 James Harden .630 26.3 6.7 7.7 2.07 .569 22.6 6.1 7.8 1.77
-.20 Nicolas Batum .471 4.8 5.2 1.2 -.01 .630 7.8 5.5 1.8 .41
-.24 Bradley Beal .471 11.5 1.6 2.6 -.05 Phx .591 17.1 3.7 3.4 .91
-.26 Brook Lopez .558 10.9 4.9 1.1 .32 Mil .617 14.5 5.5 1.7 .94
-.30 Ivica Zubac .644 18.5 13.0 2.2 1.56 .632 19.4 14.4 2.6 1.92
-.35 Kris Dunn .560 8.8 3.7 2.6 .20 .529 8.6 5.2 3.7 .71
-.57 John Collins .582 14.5 6.6 .8 .56 Uta .618 19.9 10.0 1.9 1.40
eW+ LA Lakers Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.69 Austin Reaves .623 28.4 5.6 7.0 2.19 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
.56 Luka Dončić .599 32.5 9.5 7.4 2.94 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
eW+ Memphis Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.21 Jaylen Wells .460 9.6 5.1 1.8 .24 .553 12.6 5.0 1.9 .54
-.36 Ja Morant .468 17.5 4.4 8.2 1.14 .553 24.2 5.1 7.1 1.66
-.53 Jaren Jackson .581 19.5 6.5 1.5 1.09 .581 24.4 7.1 2.0 1.73
eW+ Miami Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.40 Jaime Jaquez .579 17.6 7.6 4.6 1.37 .535 12.8 7.2 3.6 .87
.31 Norman Powell .651 30.1 4.5 2.2 1.84 LAC .606 24.5 3.6 2.0 1.36
.30 Davion Mitchell .568 10.9 3.2 7.2 .80 .568 9.5 2.9 5.3 .44
.24 Pelle Larsson .662 16.5 3.7 3.5 .82 .537 9.5 3.9 2.4 .41
.22 Si. Fontecchio .690 18.3 4.0 1.3 .81 Det .537 10.0 6.0 1.4 .37
-.22 Andrew Wiggins .586 17.3 5.1 2.5 .97 .557 19.5 5.5 2.7 1.22
eW+ Milwaukee Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.40 Giannis A .646 35.7 12.9 6.1 3.34 .609 31.7 12.1 5.8 2.85
.39 Ryan Rollins .630 19.2 4.6 5.0 1.33 .595 14.0 4.3 3.7 .89
-.21 Gary Trent .534 10.8 2.2 2.2 .30 .586 13.8 2.9 1.3 .57
-.22 Amir Coffey .512 3.8 3.4 1.3 -.35 LAC .606 13.7 3.2 1.3 .50
-.44 Bobby Portis .558 12.5 9.0 1.5 .64 .538 16.2 10.8 2.4 1.38
eW+ Minnesota Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.83 Julius Randle .646 28.5 8.1 5.7 2.38 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.29 Jaden McDaniels .637 20.0 5.3 2.2 1.26 .557 13.0 6.9 2.0 .92
.28 Anthony Edwards .610 31.9 5.6 3.7 2.29 .585 26.9 5.9 4.0 1.79
-.20 Naz Reid .538 12.7 7.6 2.3 .91 .572 16.9 7.9 2.5 1.22
-.31 Rudy Gobert .707 11.9 11.3 1.3 1.02 .670 14.4 12.5 1.7 1.38
eW+ New Orleans Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.31 Jordan Poole .526 15.9 2.1 3.2 .50 Was .582 21.8 3.5 4.4 1.21
eW+ New York Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.48 Mikal Bridges .607 15.2 4.6 4.4 1.36 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
.22 Landry Shamet .678 15.8 3.1 1.3 .68 .598 11.5 2.8 1.0 .25
.20 Jalen Brunson .580 27.6 3.7 6.0 1.93 .593 25.5 3.2 6.3 1.67
eW+ Oklahoma City Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.72 Ajay Mitchell .555 21.3 5.0 4.4 1.47 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.58 Shai G-A .639 41.7 5.7 6.7 3.48 .624 37.2 5.2 5.9 2.88
.25 Chet Holmgren .682 28.2 10.5 2.1 2.13 .587 20.1 10.5 2.3 1.73
.24 Is. Hartenstein .687 19.6 14.8 3.6 1.94 .591 14.8 13.7 4.4 1.65
-.21 Ousmane Dieng .392 5.0 5.1 1.3 -.22 .534 10.4 6.3 2.1 .56
-.34 Luguentz Dort .421 6.0 6.0 1.7 .01 .584 12.4 5.0 1.8 .68
-.35 Jaylin Williams .470 7.4 8.3 3.8 .60 .589 11.9 11.0 4.5 1.29
eW+ Orlando Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.28 Tr. Da Silva .622 16.1 5.7 1.3 .91 .518 10.3 5.9 2.2 .49
.23 Jalen Suggs .687 22.9 6.7 6.5 1.78 .529 18.9 5.7 4.3 1.29
-.20 Goga Bitadze .722 11.6 9.7 1.9 1.12 .619 13.0 12.8 3.1 1.54
-.24 Franz Wagner .573 22.4 6.6 3.5 1.60 .550 24.6 6.8 4.6 1.83
-.36 Tyus Jones .286 1.9 2.3 3.1 -.22 Phx .583 12.2 3.2 5.8 .76
-.55 Desmond Bane .532 16.5 5.0 4.4 .90 Mem .594 20.1 7.1 4.9 1.49
eW+ Philadelphia Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.75 Tyrese Maxey .586 27.2 4.8 6.0 2.14 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
-.24 Jabari Walker .481 6.0 8.5 .9 .15 Por .592 12.3 9.4 1.3 .91
-.25 Adem Bona .464 3.4 8.0 .5 .27 .696 12.5 9.4 .8 .94
eW+ Phoenix Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.66 Grayson Allen .632 20.8 3.7 4.2 1.41 .623 13.9 4.2 2.5 .64
.58 Devin Booker .602 28.6 4.4 6.1 1.91 .579 22.0 3.9 5.6 1.35
.41 Dillon Brooks .581 24.8 4.2 2.0 1.54 Hou .551 14.7 4.7 1.7 .71
.22 Ryan Dunn .558 11.0 8.0 2.3 .86 .515 9.9 6.7 1.2 .54
-.26 Mark Williams .643 15.8 12.6 1.1 1.58 Cha .635 20.5 14.1 2.8 1.99
eW+ Portland Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.41 Jrue Holiday .560 15.5 5.9 7.3 1.36 Bos .561 12.9 5.3 4.2 .87
.32 Jerami Grant .617 20.0 3.7 2.3 1.07 .515 13.2 4.0 2.0 .64
.31 Deni Avdija .620 25.5 7.2 4.1 1.74 .592 18.8 8.9 3.9 1.40
.31 Shaedon Sharpe .527 22.5 6.9 2.1 1.40 .545 18.3 5.3 2.6 1.00
-.31 Toumani Camara .518 9.8 5.7 2.5 .42 .566 11.1 6.6 2.1 .75
eW+ Sacramento Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.20 Dennis Schröder .491 10.7 4.4 5.3 .62 Det .524 14.2 3.5 5.8 .84
-.21 Zach LaVine .648 21.4 3.8 1.8 .97 .631 22.8 4.3 3.5 1.22
-.23 Keon Ellis .619 9.7 2.7 .8 .26 .657 11.6 4.0 1.7 .69
-.27 DeMar DeRozan .575 16.8 3.6 2.8 .91 .559 19.4 4.1 3.6 1.19
-.28 Malik Monk .581 14.4 2.1 2.1 .53 .543 16.4 4.5 5.1 1.03
-.45 Do. Sabonis .554 14.9 13.8 3.1 1.39 .644 19.5 15.3 5.2 1.98
eW+ San Antonio Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.62 Stephon Castle .570 19.4 7.0 7.4 1.57 .513 15.6 4.7 4.4 .85
.48 Vi. Wembanyama .597 26.8 14.3 3.6 2.74 .586 23.5 11.5 3.2 2.18
-.29 Devin Vassell .525 13.1 4.1 2.3 .58 .548 15.9 4.4 2.7 .91
eW+ Toronto Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.45 Scottie Barnes .584 20.5 8.8 4.8 1.99 .516 17.5 8.6 5.2 1.48
.23 Brandon Ingram .574 20.6 6.6 3.5 1.38 NOP .555 20.0 6.1 4.5 1.12
-.20 Ochai Agbaji .414 3.9 4.8 1.2 -.15 .598 12.6 5.0 1.6 .62
eW+ Utah Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.76 Lauri Markkanen .610 27.4 6.1 1.8 1.81 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
.49 Keyonte George .554 20.2 4.1 6.2 1.27 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
eW+ Washingoton Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.55 Alex Sarr .572 18.6 9.4 3.4 1.65 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.49 Kyshawn George .623 17.1 6.6 4.0 1.06 .498 8.6 5.3 2.6 .42
-.23 CJ McCollum .525 15.2 3.7 3.0 .74 NOP .544 18.8 4.2 3.5 1.03
-.29 Bub Carrington .451 5.6 4.7 4.2 -.02 .510 9.0 4.7 4.2 .39
-.30 Cam Whitmore .532 12.4 3.9 .8 .39 Hou .543 17.3 6.7 1.7 1.04
-.39 Khris Middleton .553 11.4 5.3 2.6 .48 .580 16.9 5.5 5.2 1.25
This largely explains the over- and under-achieving teams thus far.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Mon Nov 17, 2025 5:35 pm
by Crow
7 teams with 2 big improvers, 6 with 1, 17 with none.
Clippers and Kings with 6 moderate or more declines. 8 have 3-5 declines, including Thunder. So 20 have 2 or less.
Nobody slipped more than Cam Johnson. Shift in context probably has a significant role. Individual numbers on a bad team might change on new team. Could be down if usage falls without increased efficiency.
J Jackson slipped more here than Morant.
Other notable slips here include D Daniels, Mobley, D Green, Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, Amen Thompson, Portis, Brunson, Gobert, Dort, F Wagner, Bane, M Williams, Sabonis, Camara and Carrington (worst Darko in league last season, only 6th worst now).
Different metrics and usages can offer different perspectives. Gobert falling here but still proected 19th on Darko projection because of #1 rank on defense. Mobley still expected to be 13th best despite the slip. Steven Adams not a notable improver here but improved a lot late last season on Darko and appears to have maintained it. 33rd best there. Not near as high on BPM.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Mon Nov 17, 2025 7:17 pm
by Mike G
Brunson is up in eWins rate; down ever so slightly in PER (21.6 - 21.4), WS/48 (.172 - .164), and BPM (3.3 - 3.2).
I feel all 3 of these undervalue him. He takes and makes tough/needed shots; last year won "clutch player of the year" -- playoffs concur.
His Pts/36 are up from 26.4 to career high 29.7; Reb from 2.9 to NY-high 3.8
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Sat Nov 22, 2025 1:42 am
by Mike G
Here is an alternative
most improved list, using different available stats; and it's this season vs their career averages.
PER and BPM (* minutes) are converted to Wins, this year minus career*min, and the 3 are averaged.
Code: Select all
Win+ 2025-26 tm min PER WS/48 BPM C: PER WS/48 BPM
1.37 Shai G-A OKC 470 32.5 .364 12.9 23.8 .195 5.8
1.19 Nikola Jokić Den 410 37.0 .417 18.5 28.7 .263 10.4
.98 Julius Randle Min 437 25.1 .240 6.4 18.2 .108 1.1
.98 Tyrese Maxey Phl 484 24.9 .219 7.7 18.2 .130 1.7
.78 Deni Avdija Por 443 20.6 .150 3.9 13.5 .077 -0.7
.76 Giannis A Mil 401 34.7 .279 11.3 26.0 .206 6.8
.74 Austin Reaves LAL 399 24.1 .212 4.7 15.9 .129 0.7
.72 Jalen Johnson Atl 395 23.4 .195 5.7 16.7 .103 1.4
.69 Jalen Duren Det 319 28.4 .293 5.3 19.9 .171 1.2
.67 Lauri Markkanen Uta 470 23.3 .172 5.0 17.5 .116 1.2
Win+ 2025-26 tm min PER WS/48 BPM C: PER WS/48 BPM
.65 Mikal Bridges NYK 417 18.6 .188 5.6 14.5 .111 0.8
.63 Keyonte George Uta 447 17.4 .094 0.1 12.3 .018 -3.1
.62 Alex Sarr Was 377 21.2 .069 2.1 14.4 .006 -2.4
.54 Stephon Castle SAS 416 17.4 .123 0.8 14.3 .041 -2.5
.52 Reed Sheppard Hou 275 18.7 .197 5.6 12.5 .100 0.6
.52 Donovan Mitchell Cle 407 24.5 .193 7.3 20.1 .138 3.6
.50 Grayson Allen Phx 417 17.8 .163 2.9 13.0 .108 0.1
.47 Aaron Gordon Den 333 20.7 .206 2.7 16.0 .109 0.4
.45 Norman Powell Mia 313 20.6 .162 4.3 15.3 .105 0.1
.44 Scottie Barnes Tor 422 20.6 .157 4.4 17.3 .101 1.8
Win+ 2025-26 tm min PER WS/48 BPM C: PER WS/48 BPM
.43 Jerami Grant Por 362 18.2 .161 2.0 14.0 .089 -0.4
.39 Devin Booker Phx 501 21.5 .169 2.0 18.9 .108 1.1
.39 Kyshawn George Was 372 15.1 .036 -0.5 10.0 .009 -3.4
.37 Jaylen Brown Bos 449 21.5 .117 3.0 17.0 .106 0.4
.37 Luka Dončić LAL 371 29.2 .236 9.6 25.6 .176 7.7
.37 Dillon Brooks Phx 239 17.8 .115 0.1 10.8 .050 -3.3
.36 V. Wembanyama SAS 416 25.7 .198 6.3 23.7 .109 5.8
.35 Jaime Jaquez Mia 392 16.9 .129 1.6 13.8 .092 -1.1
.33 Jimmy Butler GSW 431 24.3 .261 6.2 21.8 .207 5.0
.32 Nickeil A-Walker Atl 365 16.6 .093 0.5 11.4 .064 -1.1
Win+ 2025-26 tm min PER WS/48 BPM C: PER WS/48 BPM
.31 Josh Giddey Chi 349 20.4 .122 3.5 16.6 .084 1.4
.29 Ryan Rollins Mil 436 18.3 .121 1.5 15.2 .097 -0.1
.24 Jamal Murray Den 374 19.3 .154 1.9 17.1 .110 0.9
.21 Ajay Mitchell OKC 396 17.0 .149 0.7 14.2 .134 -0.6
.17 Shaedon Sharpe Por 370 16.9 .039 -1.2 13.1 .044 -2.3
.12 Michael Porter Brk 390 20.4 .088 2.9 17.2 .125 0.8
.11 Neemias Queta Bos 344 18.8 .194 1.2 17.9 .188 -0.2
.10 Nic Claxton Brk 382 20.7 .148 2.4 18.6 .156 1.4
.09 Daniss Jenkins Det 156 17.8 .145 1.2 16.1 .117 -0.4
.05 Jrue Holiday Por 401 17.0 .111 2.3 17.0 .105 1.6
This year on the left, career averages on the right.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/
For 2nd-year players, this season has a disproportionate effect on their career avg, thus blunting their measured improvement.
Through 40 players at least, the
eWins-over-last-year improved list has zero examples of players having below-avg seasons. Most are having
career years.
Among 40*3 stats, just 3 show declines: WS/48 for Claxton, Porter, and Sharpe.
OKC has played 16 games to Denver's 14; without that advantage, Shai and Joker could be even.
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2025 10:12 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.17 Nikola Jokić Den .714 36.0 13.7 9.5 3.85 .651 29.2 13.0 8.0 2.89
1.04 Shai G-A OKC .660 43.4 5.7 6.6 3.68 .624 37.2 5.2 5.9 2.88
.99 Tyrese Maxey Phl .603 27.7 4.2 5.6 2.10 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
.92 Jalen Johnson Atl .620 22.9 10.4 6.2 2.14 .562 15.9 10.4 4.1 1.37
.87 Austin Reaves LAL .635 28.2 6.3 6.0 2.18 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
.86 Ajay Mitchell OKC .556 20.6 4.6 4.3 1.39 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.81 Luka Dončić LAL .601 32.9 9.5 7.6 3.02 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
.81 Julius Randle Min .603 25.4 8.2 5.3 2.11 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.80 Mikal Bridges NYK .630 16.5 4.8 3.9 1.44 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
.79 Lauri Markkanen Uta .602 24.9 6.4 1.8 1.66 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.78 Jaylen Brown Bos .571 30.7 6.8 4.1 2.18 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
.75 Reed Sheppard Hou .625 19.7 4.0 3.9 1.39 .464 9.1 4.3 3.2 .49
.74 Keyonte George Uta .578 21.0 4.4 6.0 1.35 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
.71 Grayson Allen Phx .632 21.1 3.7 4.3 1.47 .623 13.9 4.2 2.5 .64
.68 Alex Sarr Was .570 18.7 9.9 3.1 1.68 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.65 Michael Porter Brk .599 23.4 8.9 2.8 1.72 Den .610 18.3 7.8 1.8 1.11
.63 Stephon Castle SAS .570 19.6 6.9 7.3 1.59 .513 15.6 4.7 4.4 .85
.61 Scottie Barnes Tor .585 20.5 8.9 4.6 1.95 .516 17.5 8.6 5.2 1.48
.61 Donovan Mitchell Cle .632 32.3 5.4 5.0 2.35 .567 25.8 5.2 4.9 1.84
.60 Jamal Murray Den .589 23.5 4.9 5.7 1.73 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.58 Jalen Duren Det .680 27.1 15.2 2.1 2.50 .688 17.6 15.6 3.1 1.89
.58 Kyshawn George Was .600 16.1 6.8 4.2 1.01 .498 8.6 5.3 2.6 .42
.57 Jimmy Butler GSW .646 24.7 6.6 5.0 2.14 .608 20.2 6.3 5.4 1.65
.56 Ryan Rollins Mil .586 19.1 5.0 5.4 1.33 .595 14.0 4.3 3.7 .89
.55 Davion Mitchell Mia .577 11.7 3.3 7.4 .90 .568 9.5 2.9 5.3 .44
.54 Devin Booker Phx .568 25.4 4.6 6.1 1.73 .579 22.0 3.9 5.6 1.35
.53 Norman Powell Mia .636 30.0 4.3 2.3 1.92 LAC .606 24.5 3.6 2.0 1.36
.52 Vi. Wembanyama SAS .597 27.0 14.1 3.6 2.79 .586 23.5 11.5 3.2 2.18
.52 Neemias Queta Bos .625 14.0 12.8 2.2 1.60 .664 13.3 9.3 1.6 .97
.52 Jerami Grant Por .607 20.8 4.2 2.4 1.13 .515 13.2 4.0 2.0 .64
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.85 John Collins LAC .577 13.3 6.8 .6 .53 Uta .618 19.9 10.0 1.9 1.40
-.82 Cameron Johnson Den .568 12.0 4.4 2.3 .42 Brk .622 20.9 5.3 3.4 1.32
-.64 Jaren Jackson Mem .562 19.4 6.6 1.7 1.11 .581 24.4 7.1 2.0 1.73
-.57 Zach LaVine Sac .613 19.1 3.6 1.8 .73 .631 22.8 4.3 3.5 1.22
-.50 Desmond Bane Orl .540 17.3 5.1 4.6 1.10 Mem .594 20.1 7.1 4.9 1.49
-.49 Khris Middleton Was .539 10.7 5.6 3.5 .52 .580 16.9 5.5 5.2 1.25
-.49 Evan Mobley Cle .559 18.0 9.7 3.6 1.56 .622 22.3 11.0 3.2 1.94
-.48 Toumani Camara Por .509 9.6 5.7 2.4 .39 .566 11.1 6.6 2.1 .75
-.44 Luguentz Dort OKC .502 8.5 5.0 1.3 .12 .584 12.4 5.0 1.8 .68
-.44 Bobby Portis Mil .578 14.4 9.0 1.4 .87 .538 16.2 10.8 2.4 1.38
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.44 Jaylin Williams OKC .508 8.8 8.2 4.0 .64 .589 11.9 11.0 4.5 1.29
-.43 Tyus Jones Orl .402 3.5 2.2 3.8 -.06 Phx .583 12.2 3.2 5.8 .76
-.43 Ziaire Williams Brk .538 9.6 3.9 .7 .14 .543 12.5 7.1 1.7 .77
-.42 Gary Trent Mil .551 10.9 1.9 1.9 .19 .586 13.8 2.9 1.3 .57
-.42 Domantas Sabonis Sac .554 15.2 13.9 3.1 1.43 .644 19.5 15.3 5.2 1.98
-.41 Jay Huff Ind .508 7.9 6.1 1.5 .52 Mem .659 18.6 5.8 1.3 1.19
-.41 Larry Nance Cle .435 5.3 6.1 2.2 .10 Atl .628 13.2 7.7 2.2 .97
-.39 Kris Dunn LAC .589 9.6 3.6 3.0 .30 .529 8.6 5.2 3.7 .71
-.39 Bub Carrington Was .483 6.3 4.3 4.2 -.06 .510 9.0 4.7 4.2 .39
-.39 Sam Hauser Bos .492 7.8 5.1 1.7 .23 .631 14.3 5.2 1.3 .72
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Thu Dec 11, 2025 9:02 am
by Mike G
Season at 29%
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.43 Jalen Johnson Atl .621 23.3 10.9 6.6 2.26 .562 15.9 10.4 4.1 1.37
1.35 Tyrese Maxey Phl .592 27.0 4.4 5.6 2.10 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39
1.16 Mikal Bridges NYK .629 17.0 5.1 3.8 1.47 .581 16.0 3.4 3.0 .80
1.13 Michael Porter Brk .615 25.6 9.2 3.0 1.99 Den .610 18.3 7.8 1.8 1.11
1.11 Jaylen Brown Bos .579 30.1 7.1 4.5 2.23 .547 22.6 6.4 4.4 1.53
1.08 Austin Reaves LAL .655 27.6 5.9 5.6 2.06 .605 20.4 4.8 5.1 1.35
1.07 Jamal Murray Den .628 25.1 4.9 5.8 1.88 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21
1.05 Nikola Jokić Den .704 32.3 13.4 9.4 3.52 .651 29.2 13.0 8.0 2.89
.99 Shai G-A OKC .669 41.5 5.4 6.4 3.51 .624 37.2 5.2 5.9 2.88
.95 Luka Dončić LAL .604 31.7 9.9 7.5 2.94 .576 26.5 8.4 6.6 2.21
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.92 Lauri Markkanen Uta .602 23.8 6.9 1.7 1.61 .563 18.0 7.1 1.4 1.03
.91 Nickeil A-Walker Atl .599 21.0 3.9 3.1 1.19 Min .573 12.1 4.5 3.2 .61
.85 Reed Sheppard Hou .608 17.6 4.6 3.9 1.27 .464 9.1 4.3 3.2 .49
.85 Jordan Walsh Bos .681 11.8 8.5 1.6 1.01 .461 5.2 5.6 1.4 .03
.84 Neemias Queta Bos .654 15.3 13.0 2.2 1.73 .664 13.3 9.3 1.6 .97
.83 Deni Avdija Por .613 24.8 7.7 5.5 1.89 .592 18.8 8.9 3.9 1.40
.83 Ajay Mitchell OKC .563 18.8 4.4 4.2 1.22 .581 12.9 3.6 3.1 .60
.82 Julius Randle Min .605 23.9 8.0 5.5 1.95 .582 20.6 8.3 4.7 1.46
.74 Alex Sarr Was .562 18.3 9.9 3.0 1.69 .477 12.6 8.4 2.6 .94
.70 Jerami Grant Por .596 20.2 4.6 2.6 1.14 .515 13.2 4.0 2.0 .64
.69 Keyonte George Uta .573 20.0 4.3 5.9 1.17 .530 14.8 4.4 5.0 .73
.68 Jaylon Tyson Cle .647 15.8 7.1 2.1 1.12 .519 10.2 6.8 2.7 .53
Decliners (who have still gotten minutes) :
Code: Select all
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-1.20 Cameron Johnson Den .582 12.1 4.3 2.3 .43 Brk .622 20.9 5.3 3.4 1.32
-1.05 John Collins LAC .572 13.7 6.7 .7 .62 Uta .618 19.9 10.0 1.9 1.40
-.90 Jaren Jackson Mem .555 18.3 6.3 2.0 1.06 .581 24.4 7.1 2.0 1.73
-.71 Gary Trent Mil .539 10.0 1.8 1.8 .08 .586 13.8 2.9 1.3 .57
-.64 Ivica Zubac LAC .610 16.1 13.7 2.4 1.52 .632 19.4 14.4 2.6 1.92
-.64 Zach LaVine Sac .610 19.3 3.4 1.9 .80 .631 22.8 4.3 3.5 1.22
-.57 Bobby Portis Mil .556 14.2 8.9 1.7 .88 .538 16.2 10.8 2.4 1.38
-.57 Khris Middleton Was .560 11.6 5.6 3.7 .58 .580 16.9 5.5 5.2 1.25
-.56 Tyus Jones Orl .428 4.0 1.9 4.0 -.02 Phx .583 12.2 3.2 5.8 .76
-.54 Jaylin Williams OKC .496 8.6 8.7 3.8 .67 .589 11.9 11.0 4.5 1.29
eWin+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.54 Nikola Vučević Chi .565 15.6 10.9 3.2 1.29 .606 19.6 11.2 3.2 1.68
-.53 Mouhamed Gueye Atl .549 9.0 7.2 1.5 .46 .513 10.1 9.9 1.5 1.05
-.52 Dyson Daniels Atl .494 9.4 6.7 5.0 .75 .540 12.1 6.5 3.7 1.05
-.50 Ziaire Williams Brk .541 10.9 4.2 .9 .25 .543 12.5 7.1 1.7 .77
-.50 Mike Conley Min .545 8.2 3.3 4.8 .37 .567 11.6 4.0 5.9 .89
-.49 Bub Carrington Was .480 6.5 4.3 4.2 -.03 .510 9.0 4.7 4.2 .39
-.49 Daniel Gafford Dal .647 14.0 9.9 1.7 1.19 .700 21.5 10.9 1.9 1.88
-.48 Toumani Camara Por .535 10.5 5.8 2.5 .46 .566 11.1 6.6 2.1 .75
-.48 Keon Ellis Sac .550 7.8 2.5 .8 .07 .657 11.6 4.0 1.7 .69
-.47 Evan Mobley Cle .566 18.0 10.0 3.6 1.66 .622 22.3 11.0 3.2 1.94
-.46 Malik Monk Sac .545 13.9 2.8 2.5 .58 .543 16.4 4.5 5.1 1.03
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Thu Dec 11, 2025 4:25 pm
by Crow
Could look at media that tried to predict breakout players or most improved award winners (somewhat different tasks). Who looks more predictive? Anybody using a model to predict?
Any teams doing this prior to free agency and trade activity? Should be? Generic model, by position or role? Individual? Only pay attention to top and bottom or do it and consider it for everyone in detail? Look at teammate / lineup interactions, implications? How does the "see the future" work & discussion go? How extensive, significant?
If media / internet efforts in this area are not that good or robust, does anyone here want to offer more robust lists / projections in future? Would teams watch / care? Do they watch / use much or any public analysis? Stray reading / influence or serious tracking of the best public analysis?
Re: Improved from last season 2025-26
Posted: Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:47 am
by Mike G
Off the latest list I've found that a majority have improved their eW/484 since the Nov. 17 installment.
Here are their 2024-25 b-r.com Advanced rates; and this season, divided roughly into thirds. Team Wins-Losses show how many games are included in each 1/3.
Code: Select all
Jaylon Tyson
Cle TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .523 11.5 12.4 1.4 .6 14.0 17.4 111 114 -2.7
3-3 .650 6.2 10.3 2.0 3.2 18.3 15.8 107 114 -1.2
6-1 .663 11.1 9.8 2.0 1.8 1.5 13.8 147 114 3.0
2-5 .644 12.2 10.3 1.5 2.3 8.1 18.7 132 117 2.4
Michael Porter Jr.
Brk TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .617 11.4 8.7 .9 1.3 8.4 20.2 122 118 -0.1
0-6 .554 14.4 16.1 1.0 .4 9.6 26.9 109 127 0.5
2-4 .636 13.2 21.5 1.0 .4 11.0 31.8 118 116 4.3
4-3 .665 19.7 17.1 2.1 1.1 7.9 30.8 126 110 8.1
Jordan Walsh
Bos TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .464 9.3 6.0 1.5 2.5 16.1 11.5 99 112 -3.9
3-3 .559 14.7 4.1 2.2 1.6 10.5 12.2 117 118 -2.2
5-2 .600 11.9 7.3 2.5 3.4 7.4 10.6 132 112 0.7
6-1 .807 12.9 7.1 3.2 2.9 11.2 12.4 155 114 3.7
Neemias Queta
Bos TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .674 14.9 7.4 1.0 4.5 14.8 13.7 132 110 -0.7
3-4 .657 18.3 8.1 1.6 6.9 15.3 14.2 131 109 1.6
4-3 .593 17.4 10.7 1.6 4.2 7.6 14.8 132 111 1.1
6-2 .738 20.8 9.7 1.1 6.4 7.3 15.7 155 114 4.2
Jamal Murray
Den TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .584 5.9 23.2 1.8 1.2 10.1 24.0 120 118 0.8
5-2 .571 9.0 22.7 1.7 .8 9.1 27.6 119 113 1.5
6-1 .612 6.5 32.1 1.8 .7 13.8 26.0 122 118 2.6
5-3 .708 6.3 30.3 1.2 1.0 9.4 27.9 139 127 7.0
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Atl TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .579 7.1 15.0 1.2 1.5 12.9 16.0 116 114 -0.4
3-4 .540 4.8 16.0 2.0 2.6 10.6 23.7 106 117 -0.3
5-3 .648 5.9 17.6 0.9 3.0 13.9 25.1 119 118 -0.1
4-4 .623 7.1 13.5 1.5 1.1 9.5 25.1 117 118 0.6
Deni Avdija
Por TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .605 13.1 19.9 1.6 1.5 16.3 23.2 116 113 2.1
5-3 .615 10.9 21.6 1.0 2.2 16.4 28.0 116 115 2.4
2-6 .634 10.0 29.7 .5 1.6 13.0 27.5 130 125 5.8
2-6 .640 12.4 38.5 1.2 .9 15.8 28.6 124 115 7.1
Mikal Bridges
NYK TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .585 4.9 14.4 1.2 1.3 9.7 19.6 117 118 -0.5
5-3 .666 7.7 21.4 1.9 3.6 8.6 15.4 143 115 6.1
5-3 .597 6.7 15.9 3.7 3.3 6.7 17.3 127 112 5.7
7-1 .643 8.3 15.1 2.9 3.3 5.4 18.2 137 109 5.9
Jaylen Brown
Bos TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .555 9.3 21.4 1.7 .8 11.4 28.9 112 112 0.0
3-4 .641 8.2 25.5 .9 1.7 16.8 32.5 114 116 4.4
5-3 .555 10.1 21.5 1.5 .8 10.6 38.4 111 114 2.3
6-2 .589 11.8 28.5 2.4 1.3 11.8 37.3 121 120 4.4
Reed Sheppard
Hou TS% TRb% Ast% Stl% Blk% TO% Usg% ORt DRt BPM
'25 .465 6.4 15.2 2.6 2.3 13.1 17.8 101 110 -1.7
5-2 .551 7.9 21.4 2.4 1.6 12.6 21.3 116 112 2.5
5-2 .738 4.1 17.0 3.9 1.5 7.9 18.7 151 115 10.8
5-2 .528 9.1 20.0 3.1 3.0 13.2 20.0 112 104 3.1