APBRmetrics

Hey all,
Was wondering how much truth there is to live turnovers affecting a player's defensive value. More specifically how many more points per 100 possessions would the average player give up on defense if they averaged one more live turnover per game. Also curious on how this looks at a team level.

More granular stats could be the transition frequency off turnovers. Differences in position and area of the court. Differences in pass vs non pass turnovers. PPS of shots off these turnovers. Also how much misses at the rim compare to these numbers

At a player level I'm also curious how various factors interact with each other. For example how can one go about converting rim frequency ,reb% on/off to points. Is a purely expected PPS method the way to go? Or do you do regression studies?

Considering BPM description, l'd say a live turnover would have a 0.2 to 0.4 pt defensive impact. But perhaps DMok1 will confirm or refine.

The team level value should just be the difference in expected points for a possession starting with a live ball turnover versus a standard possession.

Of course, the individual value (credit for the turnover) would be some factor less than the team value of a live ball turnover, since the player isn't fully responsible.