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2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Mon May 04, 2026 8:07 am
by Mike G
Predict total number of games won by playoff teams.
Never mind those who are out already, just add 4 wins to whatever the remaining 8 teams might win.
Low (error) score wins.
Tiebreaker ?
My guesses:
SAS 4 - 2 Min
OKC 4 - 1 LAL
NYK 4 - 2 Phl
Det 4 - 2 Cle
OKC 4 - 3 SAS
NYK 4 - 3 Det
OKC 4 - 2 NYK
tm - W
OKC 16
NYK 14
SAS 11
Det 11
Phl 6
Min 6
Cle 6
LAL 5
Deadline 8 PM EST Mon. -- today!
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Thu May 07, 2026 8:06 pm
by Mike G
OK I've drafted 3 'dummy' entries to run against.
SRS supposes the higher regular-season SRS will prevail, by one win per 3.00 SRS advantage.
The other 2 predict the team higher/lower in the alphabet will win their series 4-2. Dummy and dummier.
Code: Select all
tm now MG err srs err a>z err z>a err
Cle 5 6 1 6 1 16 11 6 1
Det 5 11 6 14 9 6 1 10 5
LAL 4 5 1 4 0 14 10 6 2
Min 5 6 1 6 1 10 5 6 1
NYK 6 14 8 11 5 10 4 6 0
OKC 5 16 11 16 11 6 1 10 5
Phl 5 6 1 5 0 6 1 14 9
SAS 5 11 6 11 6 6 1 16 11
total err: 35 33 34 34
I'm in last place today. Separations will form as teams are eliminated.
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Tue May 12, 2026 3:23 pm
by Mike G
Note: In previous posting, I erroneously gave Phl a win they didn't have.
Meanwhile I've surged into 2nd place. SRS had the inside track on LA and Phl.
Code: Select all
tm now Mg er srs er a>z er z>a er
Cle 6 6 0 6 0 16 10 6 0
Det 6 11 5 14 8 6 0 10 4
LAL 4 5 1 4 0 14 10 6 2
Min 6 6 0 6 0 10 4 6 0
NYK 8 14 6 11 3 10 2 6 2
OKC 8 16 8 16 8 6 2 10 2
Phl 4 6 2 5 1 6 2 14 10
SAS 6 11 5 11 5 6 0 16 10
total err. 27 25 30 30
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Sat May 30, 2026 6:54 pm
by Mike G
Update going into the Finals.
Code: Select all
tm now Mgoo er srs er a>z er z>a er
Cle 8 6 2 6 2 16 8 6 2
Det 7 11 4 14 7 6 1 10 3
LAL 4 5 1 4 0 14 10 6 2
Min 6 6 0 6 0 10 4 6 0
NYK 12 14 2 11 1 10 2 6 6
OKC 11 16 5 16 5 6 5 10 1
Phl 4 6 2 5 1 6 2 14 10
SAS 12 11 1 11 1 6 6 16 4
total err. 17 17 38 28
SRS correctly called Lakers failing to take a game vs OKC and also a game closer on the Sixers sweep.
They are currently one win closer on the Knicks, though that seems likely to change.
I am closer by 3 on the Pistons.
If the Knicks win one game, I win the contest by 2. If they win 2 or more, I win it by 4.
If the Spurs sweep, that anti-alphabetical entry finishes a close 3rd.
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Sat Jun 20, 2026 2:41 am
by Mike G
Final results:
Code: Select all
tm now Mgoo er srs er a>z er z>a er
Cle 8 6 2 6 2 16 8 6 2
Det 7 11 4 14 7 6 1 10 3
LAL 4 5 1 4 0 14 10 6 2
Min 6 6 0 6 0 10 4 6 0
NYK 16 14 2 11 5 10 6 6 10
OKC 11 16 5 16 5 6 5 10 1
Phl 4 6 2 5 1 6 2 14 10
SAS 13 11 2 11 2 6 7 16 3
total err. 18 22 43 31
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Sat Jun 20, 2026 11:06 pm
by Crow
Mgoo over straight numbers. Or letters.
Re: 2026 playoff prediction contest
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2026 1:49 am
by Mike G
Well, I had the advantage of seeing the first round, and it looked like the Knicks were primed; the Pistons looked rather spent.
It might split more hairs to predict team Losses as well as Wins. Does a guess that the Knicks go 16-3 deserve to beat a guess of 16-7? Or do the wins by their opponents amount to the same difference?