Observations on lineup usage & results
Posted: Wed Jan 18, 2012 3:50 am
Houston's 8 most used lineups (used 1-6 minutes per game) +70 for the season. The remaining 98 lineups used are a net -93. Right now about half the total time is going to the most used. Not bad but that isn't particularly high and it probably should go higher, at least unless & until the trend changes. Have they really learned much or benefited much from the other 98 lineups? Not in the bottomline of the boxscores.
7 of Dallas' 8 most used lineups last season were positive on raw +/-, and for a cumulative +312 for the season or a bit less than 4 pts per game. This season the top 7 are all positive, and for a cumulative +111 for the season or a bit less than +8 pts per game. Last season all other Dallas' lineups were +35 for the season or less than +0.5 per game. This season all other lineups are -51 or over -3.5 per game. That is a mixed bag of very encouraging news and a problem but maybe a fixable problem. Look at the standings alone and you don't see it; think /say that lineups aren't in themselves important and you miss it. For what it is worth.
Denver's top 3 lineups are -47, the rest of lineups are +120. Change or stick with the plan?
Indiana's top 2 are +89. The rest are -38.
Lakers top 4 +40, rest +15. Not bad, but not really great in either part.
Knicks top 11 are -28. A couple of good performing lineups. Might be nice to play the biggest lineups more, health permitting.
Utah's top 6 are about -60 but the rest are almost +50.
Philly's top 5 are about +100, but the rest of the lineups are also about +100.
Nearly all of Chicago's point differential comes from its top 4 lineups, the rest combined are barely above neutral.
Thunder get almost all their edge from the top 7 lineups, which currently are all positive.
Only 17 lineups in the league have been used 100+ minutes or more than 7-8 minutes per game. 70% of those are positive. The 3 big minute lineups performing very poorly belong to Utah, Detriot and Minnesota.
Chicago and Miami are currently the only top tier contenders with super performing lineups.
7 of Dallas' 8 most used lineups last season were positive on raw +/-, and for a cumulative +312 for the season or a bit less than 4 pts per game. This season the top 7 are all positive, and for a cumulative +111 for the season or a bit less than +8 pts per game. Last season all other Dallas' lineups were +35 for the season or less than +0.5 per game. This season all other lineups are -51 or over -3.5 per game. That is a mixed bag of very encouraging news and a problem but maybe a fixable problem. Look at the standings alone and you don't see it; think /say that lineups aren't in themselves important and you miss it. For what it is worth.
Denver's top 3 lineups are -47, the rest of lineups are +120. Change or stick with the plan?
Indiana's top 2 are +89. The rest are -38.
Lakers top 4 +40, rest +15. Not bad, but not really great in either part.
Knicks top 11 are -28. A couple of good performing lineups. Might be nice to play the biggest lineups more, health permitting.
Utah's top 6 are about -60 but the rest are almost +50.
Philly's top 5 are about +100, but the rest of the lineups are also about +100.
Nearly all of Chicago's point differential comes from its top 4 lineups, the rest combined are barely above neutral.
Thunder get almost all their edge from the top 7 lineups, which currently are all positive.
Only 17 lineups in the league have been used 100+ minutes or more than 7-8 minutes per game. 70% of those are positive. The 3 big minute lineups performing very poorly belong to Utah, Detriot and Minnesota.
Chicago and Miami are currently the only top tier contenders with super performing lineups.