The Paradox of Depth
Posted: Mon Apr 23, 2018 2:03 am
The Paradox of Depth is that in the NBA playoffs, the more depth a team has, the more likely the team is to materially suffer from an injury.
For a team dependant on superstars and lacking depth, the likelihood of being materially effected by an injury is a product of how likely it is for their 2-3 superstars to get hurt.
In contrast, a team that is dependant on 10 different players, is 3-5X more likely to be materially impacted by an injury.
Sure, losing Fred Van Vleet isn't the same thing as losing a Lebron James, but the loss of FVV's direct impact, plus the impact of the rest of the roster needing to adjust to different lineups/players is sufficient to materially effect the Raptor's playoff chances.
For a team dependant on superstars and lacking depth, the likelihood of being materially effected by an injury is a product of how likely it is for their 2-3 superstars to get hurt.
In contrast, a team that is dependant on 10 different players, is 3-5X more likely to be materially impacted by an injury.
Sure, losing Fred Van Vleet isn't the same thing as losing a Lebron James, but the loss of FVV's direct impact, plus the impact of the rest of the roster needing to adjust to different lineups/players is sufficient to materially effect the Raptor's playoff chances.