Player Box Score Projections

Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Post Reply
RyanRiot
Posts: 15
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 2:26 am

Player Box Score Projections

Post by RyanRiot » Mon Oct 08, 2018 5:23 pm

Hey everyone, I know we have the team win projection contest, and a lot of what goes into that is player value projections, but I was wondering what sources of player box score stats are publicly available. So far, I've found four:
Does anyone know of any others?

Crow
Posts: 5566
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by Crow » Mon Oct 08, 2018 11:34 pm

Jacob Goldstein released PIPM projections earlier in summer, if I recall correctly. Might have an update later. See his twitter / check his archive site.

Andrew Johnson has a PIPM / RPM blend at his twitter CountingBaskets and Nylon Calculus.

Another set at SteadyLosing twitter, I think.

RyanRiot
Posts: 15
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 2:26 am

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by RyanRiot » Tue Oct 09, 2018 1:29 am

Crow wrote:
Mon Oct 08, 2018 11:34 pm
Jacob Goldstein released PIPM projections earlier in summer, if I recall correctly. Might have an update later. See his twitter / check his archive site.

Andrew Johnson has a PIPM / RPM blend at his twitter CountingBaskets and Nylon Calculus.

Another set at SteadyLosing twitter, I think.
Thanks for the response, but I was referring to projections for box score stats like points, assists, rebounds, etc.

walker_harris3
Posts: 9
Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:07 pm

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by walker_harris3 » Tue Oct 09, 2018 3:03 am

Basketball Reference just put out 2018-19 per-36 minute box score projections. Don't think there's a bank for them though.

nbacouchside
Posts: 110
Joined: Sun Jul 14, 2013 4:58 am
Contact:

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by nbacouchside » Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:53 pm

walker_harris3 wrote:
Tue Oct 09, 2018 3:03 am
Basketball Reference just put out 2018-19 per-36 minute box score projections. Don't think there's a bank for them though.
Basketball-Reference does per-36 numbers for ever year, going back a ways, using a modified version of the old Marcel the Monkey baseball statline projections. It's described here: https://www.basketball-reference.com/ab ... tions.html

You can find projections from every season going back to 1980-1981 here: https://www.basketball-reference.com/fr ... ctions.cgi

They haven't been posted yet for the 2018-19 season yet, (at least that I could find) but if you're impatient the instructions in the first link can be followed to produce the results on your own.


RyanRiot
Posts: 15
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 2:26 am

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by RyanRiot » Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:32 pm

They finally released their 2018-2019 projections, so I put them together with Pelton's minutes projections:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... eg/pubhtml

danoff
Posts: 1
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:01 am

Re: Player Box Score Projections

Post by danoff » Wed Oct 17, 2018 1:16 pm

I wish I had seen this thread earlier! Could've used more of these for article I wrote evaluating Kyle Anderson as a player and his new contract as well as doing my own forecast of his 2018-19 +/-.

Would love your thoughts =]

Tweet
https://twitter.com/Danoff/status/1052178878377193478

Direct Link
http://danoff.org/Charlie-Danoff-Kyle-A ... recast.pdf

Post Reply