2019 Draft

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Crow
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Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:13 pm

Presumably GMs want long term overall impact from draftees.

In Trae Young, Schlenk got immediate points and assists and weak RPM.
In Bagley, Divac got immediate pts and rebs and kinda weak RPM.
In Sexton, Altman got immediate points and lousy BPM and RPM.
In Knox, Mills / Perry got moderate points and super lousy BPM and RPM.

Will they get what they should want in the end? Probably not in at least half these cases. Up to all.

What worked best immediately in last draft besides Doncic? Centers. Wings who could defend. Will those be the guys who work the best in the long run. I dunno. Probably for this class.

2019 draft class lighter on top bigs. Plenty of wings. Some defend, some not really. Lots of guys who played more / better offense than defense but many won't be as prominent on offense n NBA.

Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Wed May 15, 2019 10:19 am

I am not buying a real high ceiling for Barrett. I don't know a lot but what I do see leads my gut to think that the optimistic ceiling projections are too high or way too high. Harden? Don't think that should be suggested.

RyanRiot
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Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2016 2:26 am

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by RyanRiot » Wed May 15, 2019 2:29 pm

Crow wrote:
Wed May 15, 2019 10:19 am
I am not buying a real high ceiling for Barrett. I don't know a lot but what I do see leads my gut to think that the optimistic ceiling projections are too high or way too high. Harden? Don't think that should be suggested.
I just don't like Barrett as a prospect at all. Pelton has him 31st by his stats-only projections.

Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Wed May 15, 2019 5:53 pm

Barrett comparison: Young Jimmy Butler on offense, but with just average defensive skill & effort (outside rebounding)?

Crow
Posts: 6051
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Sun May 19, 2019 12:42 am

Morant is #2? That seems likely. Will he prove to be the 2nd best pro over the first part of his career or the whole thing? It would not surprise if he is not and it may not be close by RPM and BPM. I am not sure who will be 2nd best. Might be a frontline player. GMs seem to get too excited about perimeter players.

So let's see... he is thinner than Cam Payne (15 pounds thinner by listed college size. Both 6-3.) , didn't shoot the 3 as well in his final year or the first one either and had a bit worse A/TO and steal rate. Way more FTs and rebounds. Others he could be compared against besides his fellow MSU Racer. But they did probably play similar level of competition. Different coaches though. Close to same regular season records in final year.

Crow
Posts: 6051
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Sun May 19, 2019 4:47 am

I am planning on looking closer at Hayes. Samanic, Bone, Edwards, Cam Johnson, Bazley.

I am not saying they are the best. Just worth knowing better.

Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 Draft

Post by Crow » Fri May 24, 2019 5:24 am

There isn't that much height is this draft but there are 14 players in the Stepien rankings who are listed at 220 plus pounds. Only 9 on their rankings last season. How many of these will play PF? For the 2018 it was 8 a lot and KBP maybe a little. In this class it is probably 11-13.

Average weight in league overall peaked at 223 from 2010-11 to 2013-4. It fell to 218 this season, the lowest since 2001-2. Will it go lower? Probably. 1991-2 was last time it was below 210. It probably won't go that low anytime soon. There probably is more incentive to list weight lower than actual than higher right now.

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