2019 playoffs, East round 1

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Mike G
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2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Sun Apr 14, 2019 1:34 pm

Nets 1, Sixers 0
111-102
Pythagorean wins .75-.25, eWins .63-.37

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.24   Jimmy Butler    Phl   39  .610   33.6   7.0    .0   1.9   1.9  1.8   2.97
.19   Joel Embiid     Phl   24  .458   27.3  18.6   5.2    .0   4.5  7.1   3.78
.18   Caris LeVert    Brk   23  .575   36.4   6.2   3.3   1.5    .0  1.5   3.85
.18   Ed Davis        Brk   25  .750   21.1  22.9   3.0    .0    .0   .0   3.45
.13  D'Angelo Russell Brk   29  .473   31.1   4.0   6.1   1.2   5.5   .0   2.11

.11  Boban Marjanovic Phl   15  .722   31.4   5.3   7.5   2.1   2.1  2.0   3.40
.06 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   32  .545   20.5   3.5   1.2    .0   1.2   .0    .95
.06   DeMarre Carroll Brk   34  .458   10.9   6.8    .0   3.2   1.2   .0    .80
.05   Joe Harris      Brk   30  .929   23.5   3.8    .0    .0   2.6   .0    .87
.01   Jarrett Allen   Brk   10  .250    4.2  18.1   4.0    .0   3.7  3.6    .47

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   Ben Simmons     Phl   32  .391    7.5   6.6   3.2   1.1   3.4  3.2    .09
.00   Tobias Harris   Phl   41  .286    2.1   5.2   5.2    .9    .0   .0    .04
-.00 Jonathon Simmons Phl   11  .400    8.4   4.7    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.16
-.00  T.J. McConnell  Phl   16  .500    7.0    .0   5.6    .0    .0   .0   -.11
-.01  Treveon Graham  Brk   17  .500    3.8   4.0   2.1   3.8   2.1   .0   -.33

-.01  Jared Dudley    Brk   28  .500    4.8    .0   5.5   1.2    .0   .0   -.24
-.02  Rodions Kurucs  Brk   13   - -     .0   8.5    .0   2.7   2.9   .0   -.82
-.07  Mike Scott      Phl   32  .188    1.4   4.5    .0   1.1   1.1   .0  -1.00
-.10  J.J. Redick     Phl   23  .357    5.4   1.3    .0    .0   4.7   .0  -2.04
shooting: Brk .550 - .477 Phl
rebounds: Phl 50 - 45 Brk
turnovers: Brk 12 - 13 Phl


Magic 1, Raptors 0
104-101
Pyth wins .60 - .40, eWins .55 - .45

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   D.J. Augustin   Orl   30  .833   42.6   2.4   6.8   1.2   1.2   .0   3.44
.14   Pascal Siakam   Tor   42  .500   19.2   7.2   3.6    .9    .9  1.7   1.60
.11   Kawhi Leonard   Tor   33  .641   31.2   6.1   3.1    .0   4.8   .0   1.64
.09   Marc Gasol      Tor   32  .650   16.5   6.3   4.4    .0    .0   .0   1.32
.07   Aaron Gordon    Orl   34  .455    9.9  10.6   3.4   3.3   2.2   .0   1.00

.06   M C-Williams    Orl   18  .625   20.5   8.9   3.7    .0   1.8   .0   1.51
.05   Nikola Vucevic  Orl   33  .344    9.1   8.7   3.7    .0   1.1  1.1    .72
.05   Jonathan Isaac  Orl   40  .550   10.0   7.2    .0    .0    .0  2.7    .56
.04   Khem Birch      Orl   15  .545   13.6  14.8   2.2   2.2   4.3   .0   1.16
.03   Terrence Ross   Orl   25  .370   10.7   7.9   2.9   2.7   2.7   .0    .60

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Evan Fournier   Orl   37  .444   14.0   1.9   2.2   1.0   1.0   .0    .40
.03   Fred VanVleet   Tor   27  .700   20.5   2.3   1.2    .0   2.7   .0    .45
.03   Kyle Lowry      Tor   34  .000     .0   6.9   9.2   2.2   2.4   .0    .35
.02   Danny Green     Tor   34  .650   15.5   3.0   1.0   1.1   2.4  1.0    .34
.02   Serge Ibaka     Tor   19  .417    7.0  12.7   1.7    .0   1.9  1.7    .48
.00   Norman Powell   Tor   16  .400    6.3   7.4    .0    .0    .0   .0    .02
shooting : Tor .532 - .520 Orl
rebounds: Orl 48 - 45 Tor
turnovers: Orl 11 - 13 Tor

Mike G
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Mon Apr 15, 2019 12:12 pm

Celtics 1, Pacers 0
84 - 74
Pyth wins .84 - .16, eWins .67 - .33

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Kyrie Irving    Bos   34  .500   29.0   5.0  10.0   2.2   3.8   .0   3.15
.18   Marcus Morris   Bos   29  .606   34.6   7.6    .0    .0    .0   .0   2.96
.13   Al Horford      Bos   32  .476   14.9  11.6   7.7   1.2   4.1   .0   1.95
.11   Thaddeus Young  Ind   26  .412    9.4   5.2   8.5   7.2   2.9  1.4   2.06
.11   Jayson Tatum    Bos   34  .682   26.5   3.0    .0   2.2   3.8  1.1   1.56

.09   Gordon Hayward  Bos   30  .385   12.7   7.3   6.2   2.3   2.7   .0   1.36
.08   Cory Joseph     Ind   23  .700   26.4   2.6   1.4    .0    .0   .0   1.75
.04   Tyreke Evans    Ind   17  .308   11.6  10.5   1.9    .0   1.9  1.9   1.12
.03  Bojan Bogdanovic Ind   35  .462   12.4   1.9   1.0   2.1   1.1   .0    .38
.03   Myles Turner    Ind   30  .313    4.6   8.9   2.5    .0    .0  1.2    .43

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02  Domantas Sabonis Ind   28  .350    7.0   9.9   3.7    .0   2.4   .0    .41
.02   Doug McDermott  Ind   13  .125    2.0   9.0   5.1    .0    .0  2.5    .84
.02   Terry Rozier    Bos   18  .313    8.7   8.4   4.9    .0   2.2   .0    .59
.01   Aron Baynes     Bos   23  .500    4.2  13.4    .0    .0   1.9  1.6    .23
.00   T.J. Leaf       Ind   10  .250    4.0   8.6    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.07

-.01  Wesley Matthews Ind   29  .500   10.7   1.2   1.3   1.3   3.9  1.3   -.20
-.02  Darren Collison Ind   25  .273    6.3   1.3   7.6    .0   4.5   .0   -.39
-.07  Jaylen Brown    Bos   28  .200    1.8   6.1    .0   1.3   4.7   .0  -1.15
shooting: Bos .477 - .392 Ind
rebounds: Bos 55 - 42 Ind
turnovers: Ind 13 - 20 Bos


Bucks 1, Pistons 0
121 - 86
Pyth wins .99 - .01 , eWins .75 - .25

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.18   Giannis A       Mil   23  .522   38.3  24.1   6.9   1.6   1.6   .0   3.81
.13   Sterling Brown  Mil   25  .917   22.1   3.9  11.1   4.5    .0  1.5   2.43
.10   Eric Bledsoe    Mil   25  .682   25.1   3.9   7.9   1.5    .0   .0   1.88
.09   Brook Lopez     Mil   25  .778   24.7   3.9   3.2    .0    .0  6.0   1.81
.08   George Hill     Mil   23  .640   26.9   4.1   3.4   1.6    .0   .0   1.63

.07   Khris Middleton Mil   25  .538   20.0   6.5   6.3    .0    .0   .0   1.42
.07   Luke Kennard    Det   28  .700   28.3   4.7   1.7    .0   2.6   .0   1.24
.06   Andre Drummond  Det   26  .500   15.1  15.6   1.9   1.4   4.3   .0   1.14
.05   Tim Frazier     Mil   12  .700   24.7   8.2   3.4   3.2    .0   .0   1.92
.05   Khyri Thomas    Det    9  .750   41.0   3.9    .0   4.3    .0   .0   2.55

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Pat Connaughton Mil   28  .769   15.2   8.9   1.4    .0   2.6  1.3    .77
.04   Reggie Jackson  Det   22  .429   16.4   1.6   5.8   1.7   1.7   .0    .89
.02   Zaza Pachulia   Det   18  .357    7.2  16.8    .0    .0   2.1   .0    .56
.02   D.J. Wilson     Mil   16  .600   14.7   6.0   4.9    .0   4.7   .0    .58
.02   Ish Smith       Det   23  .333    4.4   1.4   6.4   3.2   3.2  1.6    .37

.01   Glenn Robinson  Det   20  .333    5.0   5.0   2.5   3.7   1.8   .0    .32
.01 Langston Galloway Det   24  .375    6.4   9.6   1.0    .0   1.5   .0    .19
.01   Ersan Ilyasova  Mil   23  .000     .0   8.2   3.4    .0   1.6  3.2    .17
.00   Thon Maker      Det   22  .200    3.3   6.2    .0    .0    .0  1.7   -.05
-.02  Wayne Ellington Det   28  .250    3.7   4.8    .9    .0   1.3   .0   -.29

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.02  Bruce Brown     Det   12  .500    5.6    .0    .0    .0   3.3   .0   -.70
-.03  Nikola Mirotic  Mil   15  .250    6.4    .0   2.6    .0  10.0   .0   -.93
shooting: Mil .587 - .437 Det
rebounds: Mil 54 - 46 Det
turnovers: Mil 10 - 13 Det

Mike G
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:52 pm

Sixers 1, Nets 1
avg score 123.5 - 117
Pyth wins 1.34 - .64 , eWins 1.17 - .87

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.33   Joel Embiid     Phl   23  .563   36.2  20.0   3.4   .8   4.1  3.9   3.47
.21   Jimmy Butler    Phl   35  .531   20.4   6.7   3.1  1.6   1.1  1.0   1.49
.19  Boban Marjanovic Phl   17  .630   31.6  11.0   4.3  1.0   2.1  2.0   2.64
.19   Ben Simmons     Phl   31  .529   13.8   9.7   7.4  1.8   3.6  1.7   1.44
.17   Caris LeVert    Brk   22  .590   28.0   6.8   2.0   .8    .9   .9   1.88

.13   Ed Davis        Brk   16  .778   18.8  20.1   1.9   .0    .0   .0   2.04
.10   Tobias Harris   Phl   35  .511   10.2   6.0   3.5   .5    .0   .5    .66
.09  D'Angelo Russell Brk   27  .477   23.4   3.6   3.4   .7   5.7   .0    .83
.09 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   28  .561   21.2   2.6   2.1   .0   2.0   .0    .79
.08   Jarrett Allen   Brk   17  .550   11.5  13.1   4.7   .0   2.4  2.4   1.16

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   R H-Jefferson   Brk   10  .577   26.2   5.8   1.5   .0   1.9  2.0   1.50
.05   DeMarre Carroll Brk   27  .447    8.8   5.8   1.2  2.8    .7   .0    .48
.04   T.J. McConnell  Phl   13  .667   17.5    .0   3.4  1.4    .0   .0    .80
.03   Mike Scott      Phl   27  .563   10.6   5.1    .0  1.3    .7   .0    .25
.02   Rodions Kurucs  Brk   17  .500    7.2   9.2    .9  1.1   1.2   .0    .27

-.01  Joe Harris      Brk   28  .708   12.4   2.7   1.1   .0   2.7   .0   -.07
-.01 Jonathon Simmons Phl   11  .389    7.5   4.7   2.7   .0   3.2   .0   -.19
-.01  Jared Dudley    Brk   14  .500    4.1    .0   4.1  1.3    .0   .0   -.17
-.02  J.J. Redick     Phl   24  .564   16.5    .8   1.3   .0   4.8   .0   -.16
-.02  Jonah Bolden    Phl   10  .300    2.8   6.8    .0   .0   1.8   .0   -.50
-.03  Treveon Graham  Brk   22  .438    4.2   3.4    .7  1.6   1.7   .0   -.38
shooting: Brk .569 - .559 Phl
rebounds: Phl 49.5 - 38.5 Brk
turnovers: Phl 12.5 - 13.0 Brk

Mike G
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Wed Apr 17, 2019 12:16 pm

Raptors 1 , Magic 1
avg score 106 - 93
Pyth wins 1.70 - .30, eWins 1.35 - .65

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.47   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   33  .721   46.2   5.4   4.2   1.1   2.9   .0   3.42
.28   Pascal Siakam  Tor   40  .518   20.9   8.5   2.8    .5    .5   .9   1.73
.25   Marc Gasol     Tor   27  .733   20.0   5.9   7.0   2.7    .0   .0   2.19
.23   D.J. Augustin  Orl   27  .694   27.9   2.1   5.8   1.4   1.4   .7   2.08
.19   Kyle Lowry     Tor   36  .468   11.6   5.5   9.3   2.1   2.2   .5   1.30

.17   Aaron Gordon   Orl   33  .588   17.6   8.3   2.4   1.7   2.2   .6   1.25
.10   Serge Ibaka    Tor   22  .563   15.4  11.7    .9    .0   2.4  2.2   1.08
.07   M C-Williams   Orl   22  .514   13.2  10.6   2.8    .0   2.3   .0    .79
.07   Terrence Ross  Orl   26  .481   14.8   5.8   1.2   1.3   1.9   .6    .65
.04   Nikola Vucevic Orl   29  .354    8.2   8.9   3.6    .0   3.2  1.3    .36

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Evan Fournier  Orl   34  .433   12.0   3.8   2.6   1.1   2.2   .0    .28
.03   Fred VanVleet  Tor   24  .533   12.0   1.3   4.1    .0   1.5   .7    .26
.02   Khem Birch     Orl   19  .400    6.9  11.9    .8    .9   2.6   .0    .26
.02   Jonathan Isaac Orl   32  .400    7.3   7.0    .0    .0    .6  1.7    .13
.02   Danny Green    Tor   28  .464    8.4   5.7   2.4    .7   2.1  1.3    .14

.00   Norman Powell  Tor   21  .300    5.0   6.0   1.0   1.6    .0   .0    .06
-.01  Wesley Iwundu  Orl   11  .500    7.0   4.4   2.7   1.5   2.9   .0   -.19
shooting: Tor .556 - .482 Orl
rebounds: Orl 46.5 - 43.5 Tor
turnovers: Tor 10.0 - 14.0 Orl

Crow
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 17, 2019 2:07 pm

What are the median and mean ewins / gm for starters and subs? EWins / min?

Crow
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 17, 2019 2:59 pm

Bucks 3rd on ORtg, 2nd on DRtg un playoffs so far. No other eastern team in top 5 for both. Sixers tops on ORtg. Celtics tops on DRtg. Nets, Pacers and Raptors also have 1 top 5.

Pistons worst combo of rankings in east. Pacers with the worst overall offense. Celtics, 14th. Nets, worst defense.

Crow
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 17, 2019 4:17 pm

Nets with 9 players with 10 plus minutes played and a TS% over 55% in playoffs. Warriors, Rockets, Sixers and Bucks have 7. Pistons, Pacers 1. Celtics, Thunder and Magic 2.

Thunder, Magic and Pistons were in bottom third on efg% in regular season and playoffs. Celtics, Pacers and Jazz were better than that in regular season but have stumbled so far. If you can't shoot or score even to average efficiency, you probably aren't going far in playoffs.

Crow
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 17, 2019 4:49 pm

D Russell with lousy overall efficiency and 2nd worst raw on / off per game on team.

Mike G
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:12 pm

Crow wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 2:07 pm
What are the median and mean ewins / gm for starters and subs? EWins / min?
Avg eWin rate is 1.00 per 484 minutes. An extra 4 minutes per 10 games is about the normal bit added for overtimes.
Of 250-ish players with 1000 minutes this year, the median was .93 and the mean was 1.02, everyone weighed equally.

Top 150 in minutes would be roughly equivalent to "starters" but would also include "finishers" like Lou Williams.
These guys played >1600 min. and had avg e484 of 1.22 and median of 1.15

110 players went 1600+ minutes and actually started >2/3 of their games. Mean eW/484 was 1.36 and median 1.34
All players regardless of minutes who started 2/3 of their games avg 1.17 eW/484. This includes players traded midseason, could be multiple entries.

140 players starting 15 to 66% of games (any minutes) avg .70 eW/484. Includes Tyler Zeller, who was in 4 games, started one.
112 players with >300 minutes who started <15% of games avg .72 e484

In playoffs, avg competition is about 1.2 eW/484 per position. So a 1.00 RS player might be .83 in PO.

Crow
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:38 pm

Thanks for the information. I'll pay more attention to the e480 info at the far right, comparing players to the means & medians for their level.

Without these averages, you could look at eWins and see big & small values. But when the value wasn't big you couldn't immediately tell (by eWins alone) who was above or below average on performance rate.

Mike G
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:52 pm

These aren't adjusted for competition, but rather show who is above or below average in the series. As the playoffs progress, player e480 tend to go down, because "average" approaches all-star level with the Bucks or Dubs.

In Tor-Orl, we see 7 guys above avg, and 10 below. At the bottom is a guy in the negative, and Iwundu why he plays.

Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
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Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Thu Apr 18, 2019 12:41 pm

Celtics 2 , Pacers 0
avg score 91.5 - 82.5
Pyth wins 1.60 - .40, eWins 1.30 - .70

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.58   Kyrie Irving   Bos   37  .606   41.1   5.5   7.9   1.5   2.8  1.0   3.81
.28   Jayson Tatum   Bos   37  .651   30.6   3.5   1.2   1.5   2.8   .5   1.84
.22   Thaddeus Young Ind   30  .489   14.2   6.0   5.4   5.1   1.3  1.3   1.83
.20 Bojan Bogdanovic Ind   35  .500   18.9   5.0   2.0   3.2   1.7   .0   1.36
.13   Al Horford     Bos   35  .424    8.2  11.1   5.7    .5   3.5  1.1    .90

.13   Gordon Hayward Bos   29  .523   17.4   7.1   2.7   1.2   2.6   .0   1.07
.10   Tyreke Evans   Ind   18  .457   18.5  11.3    .9    .9   2.9   .9   1.37
.08   Aron Baynes    Bos   19  .875   12.6  10.9   2.3    .0   2.2  2.0    .99
.07   Terry Rozier   Bos   20  .346    7.4   9.3   8.1    .0   2.8   .0    .83
.06   Cory Joseph    Ind   22  .625   17.6   2.2    .7    .8    .0   .0    .70

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Marcus Morris  Bos   26  .408   13.8   7.3    .0    .0    .7   .0    .57
.06 Domantas Sabonis Ind   25  .333    4.2   9.0   5.2   1.4   1.4   .0    .54
.03   Doug McDermott Ind   12  .250    5.1   6.3   5.2    .0    .0  1.3    .62
.03   Myles Turner   Ind   32  .433    7.0   6.2   2.2    .0   1.2  1.8    .23
.01   Daniel Theis   Bos    9  .333    6.3   8.7    .0   1.8    .0   .0    .39

-.00 Darren Collison Ind   29  .452   11.8   1.8   4.9    .0   4.0   .0   -.01
-.01 Wesley Matthews Ind   29  .438    8.6   2.5   3.8    .7   3.4   .7   -.09
-.02  Jaylen Brown   Bos   28  .364    5.3   9.5    .8    .7   3.0   .0   -.17
shooting: Bos .518 - .457 Ind
rebounds; Bos 51.5 - 39.0 Ind
turnovers: Ind 12.5 - 17.0 Bos


Bucks 2 , Pistons 0
avg score 120.5 - 92.5
Pyth wins 1.94 - .06 , eWins 1.47 - .53

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.34   Giannis A       Mil   27  .575   35.0  18.1   6.2   .7   4.4  1.4   3.08
.29   Eric Bledsoe    Mil   27  .667   32.0   4.4   8.6  2.8    .7   .7   2.67
.23   Khris Middleton Mil   29  .594   24.3   5.7   8.6   .6   1.3   .0   1.90
.19   Pat Connaughton Mil   30  .848   20.9   9.0   2.6   .0   1.2  3.0   1.58
.15   Andre Drummond  Det   32  .517   14.8  14.4   1.6   .6   3.0  1.1   1.14

.15   Luke Kennard    Det   32  .678   23.3   4.1   1.5   .6   1.2   .0   1.11
.14   Sterling Brown  Mil   26  .760   16.4   3.9   6.5  2.2   1.5  1.5   1.34
.12   Reggie Jackson  Det   24  .469   19.2   2.8   7.2   .8   1.7   .0   1.22
.10   Brook Lopez     Mil   29  .611   13.9   5.1   2.1   .6    .7  2.5    .86
.09   George Hill     Mil   25  .513   12.7   3.2   5.7   .7    .7  1.4    .87

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Ersan Ilyasova  Mil   21  .214    1.2  12.0   4.8   .0    .9  2.5    .65
.04   Tim Frazier     Mil    7  .700   18.3   6.4   2.7  2.4    .0   .0   1.31
.04   Khyri Thomas    Det    6  .563   24.1   2.7    .0  6.1    .0   .0   1.65
.03   Ish Smith       Det   22  .275    4.9   4.9   6.3  1.6   2.5   .8    .38
.03   Glenn Robinson  Det   17  .382    9.2   6.5   1.5  2.1   1.1   .0    .46

.02   Zaza Pachulia   Det    9  .357    6.2  15.3    .0   .0   2.0   .0    .41
.01   D.J. Wilson     Mil    9  .600   12.1   5.3   4.5   .0   4.1   .0    .36
.01   Thon Maker      Det   22  .250    4.4   4.6   1.9   .0    .9  2.6    .07
.00   Bruce Brown     Det   15  .583    8.0   2.2    .9  2.5   2.6  1.2    .08
.00 Langston Galloway Det   28  .500    7.6   5.0    .4   .0   1.3  1.2    .03

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.03  Wayne Ellington Det   32  .325    4.5   4.1   1.2   .6   1.2   .0   -.19
-.03  Nikola Mirotic  Mil   13  .231    4.1   3.5   3.0   .0   5.5   .0   -.56
shooting: Mil .592 - .449 Det
rebounds: Mil 54.0 - 44.5 Det
turnovers: Det 11.0 - 11.5 Mil

Mike G
Posts: 4303
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Fri Apr 19, 2019 10:51 am

Sixers 2 , Nets 1
avg score 126.0 - 116.3
Pyth wins 2.23 - .77 , eWins 1.86 - 1.14

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.42   Ben Simmons     Phl   33  .659   22.0   7.2   7.7   1.8   3.3  2.1   2.00
.33   Caris LeVert    Brk   24  .633   31.6   7.4   2.0   1.5   1.6  1.0   2.21
.33   Joel Embiid     Phl   15  .563   36.1  19.4   3.6    .8   4.1  3.9   3.49
.30   Tobias Harris   Phl   35  .619   18.0   9.1   3.4    .7   1.0   .3   1.37
.29   Jimmy Butler    Phl   35  .532   18.1   4.9   4.3   1.7   1.0   .7   1.31

.28  Boban Marjanovic Phl   17  .672   32.9  12.1   3.6   1.3   4.0  1.9   2.59
.19  D'Angelo Russell Brk   28  .486   24.7   3.9   3.3   1.3   5.0   .0   1.10
.17   Jarrett Allen   Brk   18  .667   19.9  11.6   3.9    .7   3.6  1.4   1.55
.14   R H-Jefferson   Brk   12  .547   26.8   7.0   3.2   1.0   1.1  1.0   1.97
.13   Ed Davis        Brk   14  .727   15.4  16.1   1.4    .0    .0   .9   1.52

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   Greg Monroe     Phl   11  .412   10.7  15.6   2.0   3.3    .0  1.1   1.66
.11 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   27  .542   19.9   3.4   1.4    .0   2.3   .0    .65
.07   J.J. Redick     Phl   27  .585   21.1    .4   1.6    .0   3.2   .0    .42
.04   T.J. McConnell  Phl    9  .600   14.2    .0   4.5   1.2    .0   .0    .66
.02   James Ennis     Phl   10  .625   11.2   9.6   1.0   1.1   4.5   .0    .32

.02   DeMarre Carroll Brk   27  .426    7.3   5.0    .8   1.8   1.0   .0    .12
.01   Rodions Kurucs  Brk   18  .393    5.0   8.9   1.1    .7   1.4   .0    .06
.00  Jonathon Simmons Phl    8  .450   11.1   4.3   2.7    .0   3.0   .0    .10
-.01  Mike Scott      Phl   26  .450    5.9   4.3    .8   1.4    .5   .0   -.05
-.01  Jonah Bolden    Phl    7  .300    2.8   9.0    .0    .0   1.6   .0   -.29

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.02  Joe Harris      Brk   28  .595   10.3   3.4   1.1    .0   2.3   .0   -.11
-.04  Treveon Graham  Brk   18  .389    2.9   4.5    .5   1.3   1.4   .0   -.39
-.06  Jared Dudley    Brk   15  .333    1.8    .8   2.6    .8   1.6   .0   -.64
shooting: Phl .570 - .549 Brk
rebounds: Phl 51.0 - 40.0 Brk
turnovers: Phl 13.7 - 14.0 Brk

Crow
Posts: 5955
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Crow » Fri Apr 19, 2019 8:13 pm

D Russell has been really bad by BPM. Coach and GM going out of their way to talk about and praise him in last few weeks. Might have increased cost to re-sign. His playoffs performance to date should reduce competition. I don't know if it will. Not over yet but getting there.

Assists down from 7 per game in regular season to 3 in playoffs. Passes made down over 20%. Potential assists down 40%.

BPM down from plus 3.4 to -6.9. From essentially best on team to worst.

Horrendous top minute playoff pars.


D. Carroll | S. Dinwiddie | J. Dudley | C. LeVert is +23.9pts /100 possessions but on only 24 minutes. Probably should be more. It wasn't good in regular season but only 53 minutes of test. Too busy slinging out 907 other quads to find out. They'll have to keep guessing.

Mike G
Posts: 4303
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 1

Post by Mike G » Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:15 pm

D-Lo actually leads the Nets in assists with 9. Their other PG, Dinwiddie, has 3 in equal minutes.
With nobody to pass him the ball, 5 of his 7 treys have been unassisted, as are 24 of 28 two's.

eWins gives credit for shot creation, or unassisted FG. In such an environment, it's indispensable.
With the team getting 25% O-Reb (4th highest in postseason), a .470 eFG% is not so terrible. In the last seconds of 24, it's decent.

Centers Jarrett Allen and Ed Davis total just 32 mpg, thanks to fouling so much. RHJ and Jared Dudley, both 6-7, have been playing C !
Rebound differential is killing the Nets in this series.

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