2019 playoffs, West round 2

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Mike G
Posts: 4374
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Mike G » Thu May 09, 2019 2:52 pm

Warriors 3 , Rockets 2
avg score 110.4 - 109.2
Pyth wins 2.68 - 2.32 , eWins 2.59 - 2.41

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eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
1.03  James Harden   Hou   41  .586   31.9   6.6   5.1   1.6   3.4   .5   2.48
.77   Kevin Durant    GS   42  .576   28.0   4.7   3.6    .7   2.9   .7   1.79
.63   Draymond Green  GS   41  .634   13.3  10.5   7.2   1.1   2.9   .7   1.51
.43   Stephen Curry   GS   40  .505   17.8   4.5   4.8   1.1   2.7   .2   1.05
.38   Chris Paul     Hou   39  .525   13.0   6.6   5.5   1.9   3.4   .4    .95

.37   Andre Iguodala  GS   34  .640   14.3   6.1   3.6    .4    .4  1.1   1.06
.30   Clint Capela   Hou   28  .538   10.7  14.3   2.2    .3   2.1   .8   1.03
.29   P.J. Tucker    Hou   40  .588    8.9   8.8   1.9   1.6   1.0   .7    .69
.28   Eric Gordon    Hou   39  .603   21.0   2.6    .8    .6   3.3   .9    .70
.28   Klay Thompson   GS   42  .521   13.6   5.3   1.6   2.1   1.7   .0    .66

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.13   Nene Hilario   Hou    7  .895   21.4   8.0   1.9   2.8   1.0   .9   1.84
.08   Kevon Looney    GS   18  .786    9.9   8.2   1.5    .8   1.9  1.1    .46
.04   Austin Rivers  Hou   22  .567   10.3   4.1   2.3    .9   1.8   .3    .19
.00 Shaun Livingston  GS   13  .417    5.7   2.7   3.0   1.5    .0   .0    .03
.00   Gerald Green   Hou    6  .545   11.8   3.5    .0    .0   1.2  1.1    .04

.00   Iman Shumpert  Hou   16  .558   11.0   4.4    .0    .4   1.4   .0    .01
-.02 Alfonzo McKinnie GS    9  .350    3.5   8.2    .7    .0    .8   .0   -.19
shooting: Hou .574 - .556 GS
rebounds: Hou 41.3 - 39.8 GS
turnovers: GS 13.2 - 16.2 Hou

Mike G
Posts: 4374
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Mike G » Fri May 10, 2019 12:32 pm

Nuggets 3 , Blazers 3
avg score 116.0 - 113.2
Pyth wins 3.49 - 2.51 , eWins 3.24 - 2.76

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e513
1.15  Nikola Jokic   Den   42  .631   24.9  11.5   7.4   1.0   3.4   .6   2.33
.73   Jamal Murray   Den   40  .546   21.7   5.2   5.1    .8   1.3   .2   1.55
.72   Damian Lillard Por   41  .545   24.5   3.6   5.2   1.4   2.9   .3   1.53
.59   CJ McCollum    Por   41  .507   20.3   4.7   3.1    .7   1.4   .4   1.22
.59   Paul Millsap   Den   37  .577   18.3   8.5   1.2   1.6   1.6  1.6   1.35

.41   Rodney Hood    Por   25  .719   25.8   4.2   1.3    .0   1.0   .7   1.41
.34   Enes Kanter    Por   34  .520   13.2  10.9    .9    .9   2.2   .7    .85
.25   Zach Collins   Por   21  .614   15.6   6.1   1.9   1.1   2.0  3.0   1.04
.25   Will Barton    Den   26  .463   12.3   7.1   2.9    .7   1.0   .9    .85
.19   Gary Harris    Den   40  .506   11.3   3.8   2.0   1.5   1.3   .6    .41

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e513
.18   Mason Plumlee  Den   16  .574    9.7  10.2   2.9   2.1   1.9  1.8   1.00
.17  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   30  .432    8.3   8.6   1.7   1.0   1.7  1.0    .47
.12   Malik Beasley  Den   20  .490   13.2   5.0   1.5    .6    .6   .3    .54
.12 Maurice Harkless Por   21  .471    8.8   6.6   3.0   2.1   2.1   .6    .46
.11   Evan Turner    Por   14  .250    1.0  10.9   7.8    .4    .8   .4    .68

.06   Torrey Craig   Den   24  .493    8.1   6.5    .6    .8    .6   .5    .20
-.01  Seth Curry     Por   21  .507    9.4   2.6   1.1    .0    .6   .3   -.03
-.04  Monte Morris   Den   12  .259    4.2    .9   4.4    .5   1.0   .0   -.26
shooting: Den .535 - .532 Por
rebounds: Den 48.2 - 43.5 Por
turnovers: Den 10.3 - 11.7 Por

Mike G
Posts: 4374
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Mike G » Sat May 11, 2019 11:07 am

Warriors 4 , Rockets 2
avg score 111.7 - 109.8
Pyth wins 3.33 - 2.67 , eWins 3.16 - 2.84

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
1.19  James Harden   Hou   40  .582   32.2   7.0   5.2   2.0   3.9   .5   2.39
.76   Kevin Durant    GS   35  .576   28.1   4.7   3.9    .7   2.9   .7   1.76
.69   Draymond Green  GS   40  .598   12.2  10.7   7.8   1.1   3.0   .8   1.40
.60   Stephen Curry   GS   39  .532   20.6   4.8   5.0    .9   2.8   .2   1.23
.56   Chris Paul     Hou   39  .559   15.6   7.5   5.7   1.6   3.2   .3   1.18

.46   Andre Iguodala  GS   35  .653   15.1   5.5   3.7   1.2    .9   .9   1.08
.38   Klay Thompson   GS   42  .550   15.7   4.8   1.8   1.9   2.1   .3    .74
.35   P.J. Tucker    Hou   41  .631   10.0   8.0   1.9   1.8    .8   .6    .70
.32   Clint Capela   Hou   29  .520   10.6  14.2   2.1    .2   2.4   .6    .89
.25   Eric Gordon    Hou   39  .588   18.9   2.4   1.3    .5   3.2   .8    .53

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
.17   Kevon Looney    GS   18  .783   13.1   8.3   1.6    .9   1.8  1.2    .78
.14   Nene Hilario   Hou    7  .905   19.2   8.0   2.3   2.2   1.7  1.5   1.54
.07   Austin Rivers  Hou   21  .589   11.4   3.8   2.3    .8   1.5   .3    .25
.05 Shaun Livingston  GS   13  .500    9.3   3.2   3.0   1.2    .0   .0    .33
.02   Andrew Bogut    GS    4  .250    1.7  15.4   1.7    .0   1.6  1.6    .39

.01   Gerald Green   Hou    7  .450   11.2   4.2    .0   1.5   1.7   .8    .17
.01   Jonas Jerebko   GS    5  .409    7.0   8.0   2.2    .0   1.0   .0    .20
.01   Quinn Cook      GS    3  .200    1.9   4.4   6.4   2.0    .0   .0    .37
-.01  Iman Shumpert  Hou   15  .558    9.8   4.3    .4    .4   1.2   .0   -.05
-.03 Alfonzo McKinnie GS    8  .350    3.0   7.8    .7    .0    .6   .0   -.25
-.04  Danuel House   Hou    4  .250    2.0   4.2    .0    .0   1.4   .0   -.79
shooting: Hou .575 - .565 GS
rebounds/48: Hou 41.1 - 39.0 GS
turnovers: GS 13.8 - 16.3 Hou

Mike G
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Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Mike G » Sat May 11, 2019 12:08 pm

Here they are in other stats, having removed their 1st-round numbers from current ones. Ranked by VORP in the series.

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Dubs     min    PER   WS/48  BPM    WS   VORP
Green    241   17.5   .134   5.8    .67   .47
Iguodala 208   18.0   .158   6.5    .68   .44
Looney   110   17.6   .177   5.0    .41   .19
Durant   212   22.4   .139   1.6    .61   .19
Thompson 249   12.8   .042   0.9    .22   .18
Curry    236   15.5   .075   0.6    .37   .15

Bell      11   24.0   .294  11.3    .07   .04
Liv'ston  80   11.7   .099  -1.9    .17   .00
Cook      16    7.1  -.024  -4.1   -.01  -.01
Bogut     22    8.9   .015  -3.7    .01  -.01
Jerebko   31    7.9   .013  -3.7    .01  -.01
McKinnie  50    3.0  -.019  -5.1   -.02  -.04

totals  1465   15.9   .103   2.4   3.13  1.60
                  

Rockets  min    PER   WS/48  BPM    WS   VORP
Harden   242   27.8   .222   7.9   1.12   .60
Tucker   247   14.1   .142   5.0    .73   .43
Paul     232   16.7   .124   2.9    .60   .29
Nene      44   29.0   .353  13.4    .32   .17
Rivers   128    9.1   .065  -1.1    .17   .03

Capela   173   14.0   .072  -1.4    .26   .03
Gordon   234   12.7   .032  -2.1    .16   .00
Faried     5   11.7  -.328  -9.0   -.03  -.01
Shumpert  92    6.5   .039  -3.6    .07  -.04
Green     42    6.2  -.067  -9.7   -.06  -.08
House     26   -3.9  -.274 -19.6   -.15  -.11

totals  1465   15.5   .103   1.6   3.15  1.30

Win Shares total more than 6, perhaps because I didn't properly adjust to 48.8 mpg. Interesting that Hou > GSW in this measure.

Crow
Posts: 6051
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Crow » Mon May 13, 2019 12:18 am

The Nuggets should make major changes, including considering trading anyone not named Jokic.

The Blazers will fight on. But if the run ends before a title, they should consider, probably make, some changes.

Mike G
Posts: 4374
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 2

Post by Mike G » Mon May 13, 2019 11:13 am

Blazers 4 , Nuggets 3
avg score : Den 113.1 - 111.3 Por
Pyth wins 3.88 - 3.12 , eWins 3.69 - 3.31

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e509
1.33  Nikola Jokic   Den   42  .605   23.8  11.2   6.6   .9   3.2  1.0   2.29
.81   Damian Lillard Por   41  .519   20.9   4.1   5.4  1.5   2.6   .3   1.43
.79   Jamal Murray   Den   40  .522   19.8   5.2   5.1   .7   1.3   .1   1.44
.78   CJ McCollum    Por   42  .526   21.4   4.9   2.7   .7   1.1   .5   1.36
.63   Paul Millsap   Den   36  .540   16.2   8.2   1.2  1.4   1.4  1.9   1.26

.43   Rodney Hood    Por   24  .691   23.6   4.2   1.2   .0    .8   .6   1.28
.39   Enes Kanter    Por   35  .511   12.3  10.7    .9   .7   2.0   .6    .81
.32   Zach Collins   Por   21  .598   14.7   6.2   1.9   .9   1.9  3.5   1.11
.28   Will Barton    Den   25  .461   11.9   6.8   2.8   .6    .9   .8    .82
.25   Gary Harris    Den   40  .522   11.4   4.0   2.0  1.3   1.3   .5    .45

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e509
.22   Mason Plumlee  Den   16  .534    8.8  10.3   2.5  1.8   1.6  2.1   1.00
.21   Evan Turner    Por   15  .462    5.4  11.2   7.1   .3    .7   .7   1.05
.19 Maurice Harkless Por   20  .481    9.2   6.9   3.5  2.1   1.9   .8    .68
.18  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   27  .421    8.1   8.7   1.6  1.0   1.8  1.0    .48
.11   Malik Beasley  Den   18  .481   12.1   4.7   1.4   .6    .6   .3    .46

.08   Torrey Craig   Den   25  .500    7.9   6.8    .9   .6    .7   .4    .24
.06   Meyers Leonard Por    5  .438   11.3   9.3   3.0   .0    .0   .0    .85
-.01  Monte Morris   Den   12  .290    5.2   1.6   4.4   .8    .9   .0   -.07
-.05  Seth Curry     Por   20  .481    7.9   2.3   1.0   .0    .5   .2   -.18
shooting: Por .524 - .522 Den
rebounds: Den 48.5 - 45.0 Por
turnovers: Den 10.3 - 10.9 Por

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