2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

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Mike G
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2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Wed May 15, 2019 12:11 pm

Warriors 1 , Blazers 0
116-94
Pythagorean wins .94 - .06 , eWins .72 - .28

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.26   Stephen Curry   GS   35  .735   52.9   5.9   8.4   1.1   1.1   .0   3.61
.12   Klay Thompson   GS   37  .510   26.8    .9   3.8   3.0   2.0  1.9   1.52
.09   Draymond Green  GS   34  .500   13.7  10.2   6.6   2.2   4.4  3.1   1.31
.08 Maurice Harkless Por   30  .654   23.3   5.2   1.0   1.2   2.5  3.8   1.33
.07   Enes Kanter    Por   30  .500   11.4  20.6   3.2   1.2   5.0   .0   1.13

.07   Rodney Hood    Por   26  .739   27.1   4.1   1.0   1.3   1.3   .0   1.24
.06   Jonas Jerebko   GS   14  .750   29.8  11.0   5.5    .0    .0   .0   2.22
.04   Andrew Bogut    GS    8  1.00   18.4  18.1   5.7   9.7   9.7  4.6   2.30
.03   Damian Lillard Por   36  .576   20.3   4.3   5.0    .0   7.2   .0    .46
.03   Andre Iguodala  GS   31  .667    6.2   3.4   7.1   2.4   2.4  1.1    .49

eWins  per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Kevon Looney    GS   24  .600    9.8   2.7   1.7   4.2    .0  1.3    .63
.03   Jordan Bell     GS   11  .500    9.3  11.1  10.5    .0    .0   .0   1.25
.03   Quinn Cook      GS   13  .667   24.7   4.7    .0    .0    .0   .0   1.05
.02   Zach Collins   Por   19  .444   11.5   7.3   1.5    .0   1.8  1.8    .47
.02   Seth Curry     Por   19  .214    2.4   5.5   3.2   3.5    .0  1.8    .44

.01 Alfonzo McKinnie  GS   14  .750    9.6   4.4   2.8    .0    .0   .0    .24
.01  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   19  .375    4.3  10.4   3.5    .0   2.0   .0    .16
.00 Shaun Livingston  GS   13  .667   13.1   2.4   3.0    .0   2.5   .0    .11
.00   Evan Turner    Por   17  .000     .0  10.2   6.8    .0   3.9   .0    .01
-.00  CJ McCollum    Por   38  .415   12.6   3.0    .9    .0   2.9   .0   -.05
shooting: GS .624 - .427 Por
rebounds: Por 47 - 42 GS
turnovers: GS 14 - 21 Por

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GS-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Thu May 16, 2019 11:12 am

Bucks 1 , Raptors 0
108 - 100
Pyth wins .74 - .26 , eWins .62 - .38

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.21   Brook Lopez    Mil   35  .659   35.9   9.6   2.0   .0   .0   4.2   2.91
.18   Kyle Lowry     Tor   40  .882   39.9   6.1   1.5   .9  3.7    .0   2.12
.17   Antetokounmpo  Mil   37  .545   26.2  11.5   5.7  2.0  5.4   3.0   2.25
.13   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   42  .500   25.7   6.5   1.5  2.6  2.6    .0   1.49
.07  Malcolm Brogdon Mil   26  .750   26.6   3.3   3.8   .0  1.4    .0   1.33

.04   Nikola Mirotic Mil   25  .542   20.4   7.4    .0   .0  3.2   1.5    .85
.04  Khris Middleton Mil   34  .423   10.7   9.9   4.3  1.1  4.7    .0    .50
.03   Marc Gasol     Tor   40  .273    3.2   9.1   4.2   .0   .9   1.8    .41
.03   Ersan Ilyasova Mil   14  .583   17.4   5.9    .0   .0   .0   2.4   1.00
.03   Pascal Siakam  Tor   43  .357    9.1   4.2   2.3   .8   .8    .8    .30

eWins  per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   30  .333    7.9   5.1   2.5  1.2   .0    .0    .36
.02   Serge Ibaka    Tor   17  .333    5.4   6.6   1.8  2.0   .0   2.0    .46
.02   George Hill    Mil   27  .000     .0   1.1   5.2  5.1   .0   1.3    .29
.01  Pat Connaughton Mil   10  .000     .0  16.5    .0   .0   .0   3.3    .61
.01   Norman Powell  Tor   10  .600   20.0    .0    .0   .0   .0    .0    .45

.00   Fred VanVleet  Tor   13  .250    2.9   2.1   4.6  2.6   .0    .0    .06
-.01  Danny Green    Tor   36  .429    5.2   5.1   1.8  2.0  3.1    .0   -.17
shooting: Mil .507 - .490 Tor
rebounds: Mil 60 - 46 Tor
turnovers: Tor 12 - 13 Mil

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Fri May 17, 2019 11:58 am

Warriors 2 , Blazers 0
avg score 115.0 - 102.5
Pyth wins 1.64 - .36 , eWins 1.32 - .68

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates    tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.47   Stephen Curry   GS   37  .702   45.0   7.0   7.8   .5   3.5   .0   3.05
.22   Draymond Green  GS   34  .549   15.9  11.1   7.5  1.1   5.0  4.3   1.59
.16   Klay Thompson   GS   40  .505   21.5   1.9   2.8  1.4   1.9   .9    .97
.16   Damian Lillard Por   40  .583   19.6   4.2   6.5   .5   4.2   .0    .95
.16 Maurice Harkless Por   27  .690   23.0   5.7   1.9  1.4   1.4  2.1   1.41

.13   Kevon Looney    GS   27  .800   17.0   5.8   2.1  2.6    .0  1.2   1.20
.10   Rodney Hood    Por   24  .707   23.5   3.6   1.3   .7    .7   .0   1.07
.09   Enes Kanter    Por   25  .538   10.2  16.1   2.1  1.5   4.6   .8    .86
.09   Jordan Bell     GS   13  .583   19.7   9.1   5.7  2.6   2.6  1.2   1.66
.08   Seth Curry     Por   24  .559   12.6   2.8   2.6  4.2    .7   .7    .81

eWins  per36 rates    tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.07   Jonas Jerebko   GS   15  .500    9.3  13.6   5.1   .0    .0  1.1   1.20
.05   Andre Iguodala  GS   31  .444    4.1   4.9   6.2  1.8   1.8  1.2    .41
.05   CJ McCollum    Por   39  .443   14.8   2.9   2.8   .5   3.3   .0    .29
.05   Andrew Bogut    GS    6  1.00   11.0  16.3   7.2  6.5   6.5  3.1   1.83
.04  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   20  .462    9.6  10.7   2.7   .0   2.0   .0    .51

.03   Meyers Leonard Por    9  .500   11.9  11.6   3.6   .0   1.9   .0    .81
.03 Shaun Livingston  GS   14  .700   10.0   4.7   5.1   .0   1.2   .0    .44
.02   Quinn Cook      GS   12  .625   14.8   5.7    .0   .0    .0   .0    .51
.01 Alfonzo McKinnie  GS   11  1.00   13.6   2.9   1.6   .0    .0   .0    .31
.00   Evan Turner    Por   20  .429    4.0   8.5   3.2   .0   1.7   .0    .06
-.01  Zach Collins   Por   14  .444    7.8   4.8   1.1   .0   3.6  1.2   -.25
shooting: GS .610 - .530 Por
rebounds: GS 46.0 - 42.0 Por
turnovers: GS 15.0 - 17.0 Por

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Fri May 17, 2019 4:18 pm

GS-Por in other stats. Ranked by PER*min. (PER correlates best with minutes played, so far.)

Code: Select all

.Dubs    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Curry     37   33.6   .362  11.7   .55   .25
Looney    27   24.1   .283  11.0   .31   .17
Green     34   17.4   .093   6.9   .13   .15
Thompson  40   14.3   .064  -3.4   .10  -.03
Bell      13   25.1   .245   6.6   .13   .05

Jerebko   15   19.7   .231   4.0   .14   .04
Iguodala  31   10.1   .085   2.5   .11   .07
Cook      12   14.6   .154  -1.9   .07   .00
Liv'ston  14   12.2   .163   0.2   .09   .02
Bogut      6   19.5   .240  13.9   .06   .05
McKinnie  11    8.7   .163   4.5   .07   .04

totals   238   18.9   .178   4.8  1.76   .80
Win Shares thinks all but Klay, Dray, and Iggy are above avg. BPM says it's just Klay and Quinn.
WS has just 3 Blazers better than avg, while BPM and PER have 4.

Code: Select all

Blazers  mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Harkless  27   23.8   .194   6.6   .21   .11
Hood      24   24.7   .232   5.1   .23   .08
Lillard   40   15.4   .053   1.0   .09   .06
Curry     24   19.2   .147   7.3   .15   .11
Kanter    25   12.7  -.036  -2.4  -.04   .00

Aminu     20    8.9  -.025  -4.6  -.02  -.03
Leonard    9   12.6   .030  -1.9   .01   .00
McCollum  39    6.8  -.150  -7.2  -.24  -.10
Turner    20    5.7  -.018  -5.0  -.01  -.03
Collins   14     .4  -.143  -8.0  -.08  -.04
                  
totals   237   12.9   .016  -1.2   .16   .10
Warriors have 92% of the WS, 89% of vorp, 66% of eWins, 53% of points scored.

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Sat May 18, 2019 2:24 pm

Bucks 2 , Raptors 0
avg score 116.5 - 101.5
Pyth wins 1.72 - .28 , eWins 1.36 - .64

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.42   Antetokounmpo  Mil   36  .563   30.1  14.0   5.8   1.5   4.8  2.6   2.83
.28   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   40  .574   27.6   6.9   1.4   1.4   2.4   .4   1.65
.23   Brook Lopez    Mil   31  .556   21.2   7.9   3.2    .0    .6  3.0   1.76
.16  Malcolm Brogdon Mil   26  .690   23.5   4.1   5.6    .7   1.4   .0   1.52
.16   Kyle Lowry     Tor   39  .662   22.8   5.0   2.2    .5   2.9   .0    .98

.14   Ersan Ilyasova Mil   18  .667   26.5   5.1   2.1   1.9    .0  1.0   1.87
.12   Nikola Mirotic Mil   24  .583   22.8   8.3    .0    .0   1.6   .8   1.20
.09   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   30  .347    7.7   5.6   6.4    .6    .0   .0    .70
.07  Khris Middleton Mil   32  .548   13.8   6.2   3.2    .6   2.5   .0    .55
.07   George Hill    Mil   26  .433    7.3   3.5   4.4   2.6    .0   .7    .60

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Norman Powell  Tor   18  .714   21.2   3.4   1.6    .0   1.0   .0    .83
.05  Pat Connaughton Mil   12  .250    2.4  14.0   3.1   1.4    .0  2.9   1.04
.03   Pascal Siakam  Tor   34  .383    8.7   3.4   2.4   1.1    .6   .5    .20
.02   Danny Green    Tor   29  .500    7.9   5.8   1.1   2.0   2.0   .6    .19
.02   Marc Gasol     Tor   30  .200    2.2   9.5   3.5    .0   2.0  1.8    .17

.02   Serge Ibaka    Tor   23  .375    6.5   9.4   2.6    .8   3.1   .7    .21
-.01  Fred VanVleet  Tor   19  .389    4.6    .8   3.1    .9    .9  1.7   -.15
shooting: Mil .539 - .504 Tor
rebounds: Mil 56.5 - 43.0 Tor
turnovers: Mil 10.0 - 13.0 Tor

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Sat May 18, 2019 4:55 pm

Other stats after 2 games

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Bucks    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Giannis   72   29.1   .267  13.2   .40   .27
Middleton 63    8.2   .092   1.4   .12   .05
Lopez     62   21.1   .244   8.3   .31   .16
Bledsoe   59    7.6   .071  -0.2   .09   .03
G Hill    52   12.1   .168   5.7   .18   .10

Brogdon   52   21.0   .279   6.0   .30   .10
Mirotic   48   17.0   .208   1.8   .21   .05
Ilyasova  35   26.9   .337  12.7   .25   .13
Conna'ton 23   13.6   .159   6.3   .08   .05

totals    480  17.4   .198   5.9  1.98   .95
                  
                  
Raptors  min   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Leonard   80   23.2   .130   1.6   .22   .07
Lowry     78   16.8   .102   3.8   .17   .11
Siakam    68    6.2  -.094  -4.7  -.13  -.05
Gasol     59   -1.5  -.222  -9.4  -.27  -.11
D Green   57    8.0  -.002  -0.9   .00   .02

Ibaka     45    5.5  -.117  -4.2  -.11  -.02
VanVleet  37    5.0  -.056  -4.5  -.04  -.02
Powell    35   16.6   .131   0.6   .10   .02
                  
totals   474   10.9  -.009  -1.9  -.08   .01
Raps also got 5 points in 2 minutes from Chris Boucher, giving them +.02 Win Shares maybe.

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Sun May 19, 2019 11:25 am

Warriors 3 , Blazers 0
avg score 113.3 - 101.3
Pyth wins 2.45 - .55 , eWins 1.97 - 1.03

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.65   Stephen Curry   GS   37  .661   42.8   6.6   6.2    .3   4.1   .0   2.79
.45   Draymond Green  GS   35  .571   17.9  11.5   9.0   2.1   3.9  2.9   2.06
.24   Klay Thompson   GS   40  .486   19.6   2.8   3.5   1.5   2.5  1.1    .98
.21   Damian Lillard Por   39  .526   17.7   4.6   6.1    .9   4.5   .0    .86
.19 Maurice Harkless Por   26  .625   17.2   5.2   2.1   1.9   1.0  2.4   1.17

.16   Kevon Looney    GS   27  .800   15.6   5.1   1.8   1.7    .4  1.2    .94
.13   CJ McCollum    Por   38  .443   16.0   2.9   3.3   1.0   2.6   .0    .54
.13   Enes Kanter    Por   19  .500   12.3  16.9   1.8   1.3   4.0   .7   1.09
.12   Jordan Bell     GS   13  .588   17.6   7.3   5.2   1.6   1.7  1.5   1.41
.10   Meyers Leonard Por   16  .590   17.0   6.7   4.1    .0    .8   .0   1.02

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Jonas Jerebko   GS   13  .500    8.7  12.8   4.6    .0    .0   .8   1.10
.09   Rodney Hood    Por   21  .653   17.6   2.6    .9   1.0    .5   .0    .65
.08  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   17  .467    8.8  13.4   3.4    .0   2.3   .0    .71
.07   Andre Iguodala  GS   26  .357    3.5   6.2   5.8   1.9   1.5   .9    .41
.06 Alfonzo McKinnie  GS   14  1.10   13.6   8.3    .8    .8    .8   .0    .67

.06   Evan Turner    Por   19  .643   11.4   7.6   2.7    .6   2.4   .0    .48
.05   Seth Curry     Por   26  .522    9.2   3.0   1.6   3.0    .9   .4    .32
.05   Andrew Bogut    GS    5  1.00    8.8  18.4   5.7   5.3   5.4  2.5   1.60
.04   Quinn Cook      GS   11  .667   17.3   4.9    .0    .0    .0   .0    .64
.04 Shaun Livingston  GS   15  .722   11.7   2.9   3.9    .7    .7   .0    .45
.01   Zach Collins   Por   16  .438    7.9   8.3   1.9    .0   2.9  1.4    .13
shooting: GS .599 - .515 Por
rebounds: GS 47.0 - 41.7 Por
turnovers: GS 14.7 - 15.0 Por

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Mon May 20, 2019 12:17 am

Virtually everyone the Warriors have put on the floor has looked super in the stats>

Code: Select all

dubs     mpg   PER  WS/48   BPM    WS   vorp
Thompson 40   12.9   .042  -2.5    .10  -.01
Curry    37   29.7   .278   8.3    .64   .29
Green    35   22.4   .209  10.4    .46   .33
Looney   27   20.5   .234   8.5    .39   .21
Iguodala 26    8.9   .079   1.5    .13   .07

Liv'ston 15   13.6   .190   0.5    .18   .03
McKinnie 14   14.0   .193   3.4    .17   .06
Bell     13   21.6   .220   4.8    .18   .07
Jerebko  13   17.4   .207   2.5    .16   .04
Cook     11   15.6   .167  -1.5    .11   .00
Bogut     5   20.3   .288  15.3    .08   .06

totals  238   18.4   .176   4.4   2.60  1.14
Meanwhile, Portland misery continued thru game 3.

Code: Select all

Blazers  mpg   PER  WS/48   BPM    WS   vorp
Lillard  39   12.8  -.001   0.4    .00   .07
McCollum 38    9.4  -.095  -4.1   -.23  -.06
Harkless 26   20.7   .163   5.5    .27   .15
Curry    26   12.2   .070   3.0    .11   .10
Hood     21   18.2   .157   1.4    .21   .06

Kanter   19   14.8  -.026  -6.0   -.03  -.06
Turner   19   13.0   .072  -1.8    .08   .00
Aminu    17    8.8  -.020  -4.9   -.02  -.04
Leonard  16   16.5   .136   2.4    .13   .05
Collins  16    6.2  -.044  -4.7   -.04  -.03

totals  240   12.7   .023  -1.0    .35   .18

Mike G
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Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Mon May 20, 2019 10:37 am

Bucks 2 , Raptors 1
avg score 115.0 - 107.0
Pyth wins 2.17 - .83 , eWins 1.83 - 1.17

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e513
.54   Antetokounmpo  Mil   39  .489   19.0  15.1   6.0   1.3   5.5  2.8   2.36
.45   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   44  .573   25.5   6.4   2.2   1.4   2.8   .5   1.77
.31   Brook Lopez    Mil   34  .593   18.4   6.8   2.3    .7    .4  1.8   1.57
.23  Malcolm Brogdon Mil   29  .628   20.5   4.2   3.7   1.2   1.6   .0   1.36
.23   Kyle Lowry     Tor   37  .683   20.0   4.8   3.3    .7   2.4   .0   1.08

.23   George Hill    Mil   30  .661   15.8   4.5   3.2   2.3    .4   .8   1.34
.15   Marc Gasol     Tor   35  .387    5.9   9.2   4.5    .4   2.2  2.6    .73
.14   Norman Powell  Tor   22  .696   21.8   3.7   2.4    .5   1.6   .0   1.11
.14   Nikola Mirotic Mil   26  .521   16.7   7.4    .0   1.5   1.5   .5    .94
.12   Pascal Siakam  Tor   40  .457   11.4   4.9   1.8   1.5   1.2   .6    .50

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e513
.11   Ersan Ilyasova Mil   16  .591   17.8   4.3   2.2   1.4    .0   .7   1.23
.11  Pat Connaughton Mil   12  .611   10.6  11.7   4.0    .9    .0  1.9   1.66
.10   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   31  .322    7.3   5.0   6.4   1.6   2.0   .0    .55
.05   Serge Ibaka    Tor   20  .340    6.1  10.2   2.2   1.1   2.3  1.1    .42
.04  Khris Middleton Mil   36  .410    8.5   6.4   3.1    .7   2.5   .0    .17

.01   Danny Green    Tor   31  .370    4.5   5.8   1.2   2.0   1.2   .7    .04
-.05  Fred VanVleet  Tor   23  .250    2.5   1.8   4.9    .5   2.0  1.4   -.36
shooting: Mil .516 - .507 Tor
rebounds/48: Mil 54.9 - 43.9 Tor
turnovers: Mil 13.3 - 14.3 Tor

Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Crow » Tue May 21, 2019 8:28 am

Raptors in series against Bucks have 9 bad to very awful performing player pairs in their 20 most used. The other 11 are basically just meh - neutral. No real strengths. That could change after game 4. It better.

Bucks 20 most used pair is 2/3rds positive, 1/3 negative. The 5 that are bad to worse all have Middleton or Mirotic. More have Mirotic. The pair of Middleton and Mirotic is quite bad.

Pair data is not clear cut but it is a starting point. In a short series 5 man lineup data is even tougher to get much out of beyond 1-5 lineups at most.

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Tue May 21, 2019 11:18 am

Warriors 4 , Blazers 0
avg score 114.8 - 105.3
pyth wins 3.04 - .96 , eWins 2.52 - 1.48

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.89   Stephen Curry   GS   40  .652   38.4   7.7   6.8    .5   3.3   .0   2.76
.62   Draymond Green  GS   37  .579   17.1  11.7   9.1   2.2   4.3  2.5   2.03
.34   Damian Lillard Por   41  .536   18.7   4.3   7.1    .7   4.1   .0   1.02
.31   Meyers Leonard Por   22  .726   24.8   8.8   3.3    .4   1.3   .4   1.74
.25   Kevon Looney    GS   28  .784   15.3   8.1   1.3   1.5    .3  1.1   1.11

.25   Klay Thompson   GS   41  .467   16.5   3.3   3.0   1.6   2.7  1.0    .74
.24   CJ McCollum    Por   40  .476   16.9   2.6   4.0    .9   2.1   .5    .76
.22 Maurice Harkless Por   24  .615   16.0   6.0   2.6   1.6   1.2  2.0   1.13
.16   Jordan Bell     GS   14  .587   17.9   5.7   5.4   1.9   1.3  1.2   1.42
.15   Enes Kanter    Por   17  .540   12.9  14.7   1.5   1.6   3.2   .5   1.07

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.08 Shaun Livingston  GS   17  .808   13.2   2.5   3.1   1.0    .5   .5    .57
.07   Jonas Jerebko   GS   12  .367    5.3  11.4   4.3    .7    .7   .6    .73
.07   Andre Iguodala  GS   20  .357    3.4   6.2   5.7   1.9   1.5   .9    .43
.07   Andrew Bogut    GS    6  .750   11.3  15.0   4.7   3.0   3.1  1.4   1.39
.06  Al-Farouq Aminu Por   16  .412    6.5  11.9   2.9    .0   1.9   .6    .50

.06 Alfonzo McKinnie  GS   18  .639   11.9   6.4    .5    .5    .5   .0    .39
.05   Rodney Hood    Por   26  .549   11.4   2.3   1.2   1.3    .3   .0    .25
.05   Zach Collins   Por   15  .511   11.6   7.7   1.5    .0   2.8  1.7    .39
.04   Evan Turner    Por   22  .500    7.3   7.7   2.9    .4   2.3   .4    .23
.04   Seth Curry     Por   23  .510    7.8   3.3   2.0   2.5   1.1   .4    .20
.02   Quinn Cook      GS   12  .588   13.6   4.1    .7    .0   1.4   .0    .25
shooting: GS .585 - .529 Por
rebounds/48: GS 48.0 - 39.7 Por
turnovers: Por 14.5 - 14.8 GS

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Tue May 21, 2019 8:09 pm

And in other stats. Converted PER and BPM to a wins-like substance; averaged the 4.

Code: Select all

wins   Warriors      mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e493
.86   Stephen Curry   40   31.1   .306  10.6   2.76
.58   Draymond Green  37   22.3   .185   9.1   2.03
.40   Kevon Looney    28   22.3   .255   7.8   1.11
.18   Jordan Bell     14   21.7   .213   3.6   1.42
.16 Shaun Livingston  17   15.9   .205   2.2    .57

.12   Klay Thompson   41   10.6   .000  -3.4    .74
.10 Alfonzo McKinnie  18   12.0   .121  -1.2    .39
.10   Andre Iguodala  20    9.5   .073   1.0    .43
.09   Andrew Bogut     6   18.5   .249   9.2   1.39
.08   Jonas Jerebko   12   12.8   .098   0.1    .73
.03   Quinn Cook      12   10.6   .052  -5.1    .25

2.69   totals        243   18.2   .158   3.7   1.2
I thought Klay was okay. The rest think he was pretty terrible.
Lillard turned out not terrible, except in WS

Code: Select all

wins   Blazers       mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e493
.34   Meyers Leonard  22   24.2   .231   5.8   1.74
.26 Maurice Harkless  24   20.1   .144   4.3   1.13
.25   Damian Lillard  41   15.0   .021   1.2   1.02
.14   CJ McCollum     40   12.9  -.032  -1.5    .76
.13   Rodney Hood     26   12.4   .077   0.4    .25

.10   Seth Curry      23   10.7   .046   1.6    .20
.08   Enes Kanter     17   16.5   .012  -4.8   1.07
.03   Evan Turner     22    8.9  -.001  -3.5    .23
.03   Zach Collins    15   10.1  -.013  -3.3    .39
-.01 Al-Farouq Aminu  16    6.7  -.058  -6.5    .50

1.36   totals        245   13.6   .035  -0.5    .74

Crow
Posts: 6251
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Crow » Wed May 22, 2019 3:27 am

Lousy raw plus minus for Middleton and Mirotic again (and 4 others). Big boxscore stats for Middleton, for a change in this series.

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Wed May 22, 2019 11:02 am

Bucks 2, Raptors 2
avg score 111.8 - 110.3
Pyth wins 2.18 - 1.82 , eWins 2.09 - 1.91

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e505
.63   Antetokounmpo  Mil   38  .508   21.3  14.0   5.4   1.2   5.3  2.9   2.12
.58   Kawhi Leonard  Tor   42  .571   26.3   7.0   2.0   2.0   2.7   .9   1.75
.43   Kyle Lowry     Tor   36  .711   25.5   5.2   4.0    .5   2.1   .0   1.52
.33   Brook Lopez    Mil   32  .615   18.4   6.0   2.5    .9    .6  1.8   1.32
.30   Marc Gasol     Tor   34  .477    9.7   8.9   5.3    .5   1.7  2.7   1.14

.25  Khris Middleton Mil   36  .549   15.7   6.2   3.7    .5   1.9   .0    .86
.24   George Hill    Mil   29  .677   14.4   4.7   3.1   2.3    .3   .6   1.05
.18   Norman Powell  Tor   24  .600   20.4   4.3   2.6    .7   2.1   .0    .95
.18   Pascal Siakam  Tor   36  .466   11.9   5.4   3.0   1.3   1.6   .5    .63
.17  Malcolm Brogdon Mil   29  .525   14.6   4.4   3.4    .9   1.2   .0    .74

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e505
.16   Serge Ibaka    Tor   21  .442   10.7  12.4   2.3   1.2   2.0   .8    .97
.13   Nikola Mirotic Mil   26  .516   16.5   5.8    .7   1.5   2.6   .4    .67
.13   Ersan Ilyasova Mil   17  .589   16.4   3.9   1.9   2.4    .5   .5    .96
.09  Pat Connaughton Mil   12  .538    8.6   9.1   3.7    .6    .7  1.9    .96
.08   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   28  .320    6.7   5.0   5.2   1.3   1.7   .0    .37

.03   Fred VanVleet  Tor   23  .442    6.6   1.7   5.4    .7   1.8  1.1    .18
.01   Danny Green    Tor   29  .375    4.5   5.2   1.2   1.9   1.3  1.0    .05
shooting: Tor .529 - .523 Mil
rebounds: Mil 51.3 - 44.0 Tor
turnovers: Mil 13.3 - 13.5 Tor

Mike G
Posts: 4429
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 conference finals: GSW-Por & Mil-Tor

Post by Mike G » Thu May 23, 2019 12:43 pm

Other stats after 4 games:

Code: Select all

Bucks    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Giannis   38   21.3   .110   7.3   .33   .35
G Hill    29   19.1   .244   7.9   .56   .29
B Lopez   32   18.1   .205   6.4   .52   .27
Ilyasova  17   18.5   .188   5.9   .25   .13
Middleton 36   12.1   .096   1.6   .28   .13

Brogdon   29   13.2   .116   0.7   .27   .08
Conna'ton 12   18.7   .153   4.0   .15   .07
Mirotic   26   11.1   .057  -1.8   .11   .00
Bledsoe   28    5.0  -.057  -4.4  -.13  -.07

totals   253   15.0   .111   2.8  2.33  1.21
                  

Raptors  mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Lowry     36   20.0   .224   7.8   .64   .35
Leonard   42   22.0   .155   3.6   .51   .23
M Gasol   34   12.7   .075   4.4   .20   .22
Siakam    36    9.7   .016   0.2   .04   .08
Powell    24   14.9   .095   0.7   .18   .06

D Green   29    5.0  -.014  -0.4  -.03   .05
Ibaka     21   13.7   .037  -0.3   .06   .04
VanVleet  23    7.1   .010  -3.4   .02  -.03

totals   251   13.5   .075   1.8  1.58   .95

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