2025 Playoff Summaries

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Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Some stat leaders thru 2 games.
Western Conference:

Code: Select all

thru 2 Gms     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Nikola Jokić   Den   89   2.46   24.9   .211   12.9
Jamal Murray   Den   90   1.10   14.5   .092    2.5
Aaron Gordon   Den   84    .87   15.2   .131     .4
Ru. Westbrook  Den   58    .94   14.6   .076    1.9
Stephen Curry  GSW   77   2.27   21.1   .144    6.8

Jimmy Butler   GSW   50   2.38   25.7   .242   10.3
Alperen Şengün Hou   73   2.32   23.0   .192    7.3
Jalen Green    Hou   66   2.21   20.7   .208    7.0
Amen Thompson  Hou   56   1.09   14.9   .151    2.4
Dillon Brooks  Hou   59    .80   12.5   .149     .3

thru 2 Gms     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Kawhi Leonard  LAC   80   2.30   29.0   .257   12.0
James Harden   LAC   82   1.84   21.1   .161    7.4
Ivica Zubac    LAC   80   1.53   20.3   .189    2.6
Luka Dončić    LAL   83   2.95   28.0   .240   10.7
LeBron James   LAL   76   1.58   19.1   .075    4.9

Ja Morant      Mem   66    .88   11.5  -.137    2.1
Ant. Edwards   Min   76   1.88   17.5   .116    3.0
Naz Reid       Min   52   2.44   24.2   .247   11.5
Julius Randle  Min   74   1.64   18.4   .153    6.3
Ja. McDaniels  Min   72   1.59   18.9   .221    4.3

thru 2 Gms     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Jalen Williams OKC   61   2.11   25.7   .362   10.5
Chet Holmgren  OKC   54   2.37   28.7   .450   12.4
Shai G-A       OKC   61   1.84   15.7   .190    2.4
Hartenstein    OKC   48   1.60   23.2   .372    9.0
Luguentz Dort  OKC   54   1.05   14.0   .278    4.4

Aaron Wiggins  OKC   34   1.61   22.9   .292    7.0
Alex Caruso    OKC   34   1.52   22.5   .414   15.0
Caruso the BPM leader

Eastern Conference:

Code: Select all

per36 rates     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Jaylen Brown    Bos   72   2.59   28.2   .322    9.4
Derrick White   Bos   74   1.96   23.9   .277    9.4
Kr. Porziņģis   Bos   60   1.66   19.3   .145     .8
Jayson Tatum    Bos   40   1.83   12.0   .027   -5.0
Pa. Pritchard   Bos   57   1.21   20.5   .269    6.5

Jrue Holiday    Bos   69    .75   12.7   .141    2.0
Do. Mitchell    Cle   69   3.00   33.9   .339   11.2
Darius Garland  Cle   63   2.44   29.6   .330    7.4
Jarrett Allen   Cle   61   1.36   21.0   .188    1.2
Max Strus       Cle   48   1.44   22.6   .264   10.8

per36 rates     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Ty Jerome       Cle   49   1.35   24.3   .214    4.0
Evan Mobley     Cle   68    .80   16.3   .118   -1.3
Cade Cunningham Det   82   1.88   17.9   .079    1.8
Tobias Harris   Det   83   1.32   19.4   .214    6.5
Jalen Duren     Det   62   1.64   21.7   .260    7.4

Pascal Siakam   Ind   67   2.35   27.1   .279    7.6
Tyr. Haliburton Ind   69   1.64   15.1   .081   -3.0
Myles Turner    Ind   64   1.56   21.9   .229    7.3
Andrew Nembhard Ind   63   1.56   21.0   .230    5.0
T.J. McConnell  Ind   32   1.88   25.5   .259    6.2

per36 rates     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Bam Adebayo     Mia   81   1.47   20.0   .062    2.1
Tyler Herro     Mia   77   1.02   18.6   .002   -1.4
Davion Mitchell Mia   70   1.01   22.5   .130    5.1
Giannis A       Mil   78   2.61   32.7   .167    9.5
Bobby Portis    Mil   57   1.18   18.6   .060    1.4

Jalen Brunson   NY    84   2.11   22.0   .131    3.8
Karl-A Towns    NY    73   1.83   20.7   .226    5.5
Josh Hart       NY    70   1.12   14.8   .159    3.3
OG Anunoby      NY    87    .82   13.3   .083     .4
Mikal Bridges   NY    67    .76   11.8   .052     .3

per36 rates     tm   min   e480   PER   WS/48    BPM
Paolo Banchero  Orl   86   2.47   28.6   .167   12.0
Franz Wagner    Orl   77   1.28   16.8  -.030    1.8
Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

After 4 games for all 16 teams, converting PER and BPM to "wins" (along with WS and eWins), the 4 are averaged.

Code: Select all

xyzW   per36 rates   tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480       pW    WS    bW    eW
1.00  Nikola Jokić   Den   42   30.7   .279  17.2   2.79      .95   .95  1.11   .96
.84   LeBron James   LAL   41   28.5   .249  11.1   2.69      .83   .82   .78   .91
.80   Giannis A      Mil   36   34.7   .232  11.3   2.99      .94   .68   .70   .90
.77  Anthony Edwards Min   41   25.5   .239   8.9   2.67      .72   .78   .68   .90
.71   Jalen Brunson   NY   40   25.3   .205   7.2   2.51      .71   .67   .60   .84

.67   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   39   24.1   .220   8.2   2.31      .64   .69   .62   .73
.67   Derrick White  Bos   38   22.5   .271   9.5   1.92      .58   .84   .67   .61
.60   James Harden   LAC   40   20.9   .211   7.5   1.90      .54   .67   .60   .61
.60   Stephen Curry   GS   39   21.6   .167   7.2   2.16      .56   .53   .58   .71
.60   Jarrett Allen  Cle   28   30.9   .425   8.9   2.04      .63   .96   .47   .48

xyzW   per36 rates   tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480       pW    WS    bW    eW
.59   Ivica Zubac    LAC   39   22.8   .251   4.6   1.87      .59   .78   .46   .58
.57  Jalen Williams  OKC   34   22.7   .249   7.6   2.02      .52   .69   .52   .57
.56   Shai G-A       OKC   35   21.7   .214   6.4   2.18      .50   .61   .49   .64
.53   Karl-A Towns    NY   39   20.5   .193   4.8   1.78      .51   .60   .46   .57
.53   Luka Dončić    LAL   42   21.3   .114   4.1   1.86      .59   .39   .47   .65

.53   Jayson Tatum   Bos   31   24.3   .207   5.8   2.70      .51   .51   .40   .69
.52  Paolo Banchero  Orl   42   20.7   .052   5.7   1.97      .56   .18   .55   .69
.52   Pascal Siakam  Ind   32   24.0   .222   5.9   2.10      .52   .58   .43   .56
.51   Chet Holmgren  OKC   29   23.0   .287   7.7   2.11      .45   .67   .45   .51
.51 Donovan Mitchell Cle   31   25.3   .279   4.9   1.98      .54   .69   .37   .51

xyzW   per36 rates   tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480       pW    WS    bW    eW
.51   Ty Jerome      Cle   23   30.5   .423  10.5   2.07      .51   .79   .43   .40
.49  Alperen Şengün  Hou   37   20.6   .135   4.2   1.98      .49   .40   .42   .61
.48  Jaden McDaniels Min   37   20.3   .201   3.9   1.54      .48   .60   .41   .48
.48   Jimmy Butler    GS   23   27.3   .330  10.8   2.57      .44   .60   .43   .48
.46   Julius Randle  Min   39   18.2   .160   3.9   1.48      .44   .51   .43   .48

.46  Cade Cunningham Det   42   18.0   .059   3.4   1.96      .46   .20   .43   .68
.46   Jaylen Brown   Bos   37   19.3   .163   2.1   1.89      .45   .49   .33   .58
.45   Franz Wagner   Orl   39   19.3   .058   5.4   1.78      .47   .18   .49   .57
.43   Jalen Duren    Det   33   19.3   .214   4.5   1.50      .40   .57   .39   .41
.43   Josh Hart       NY   38   16.0   .166   5.0   1.21      .35   .51   .47   .38
.43   Evan Mobley    Cle   31   22.1   .263   3.7   1.45      .45   .65   .33   .37
Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

209 who have appeared in the playoffs, improved (or not) from regular season to postseason, according to BPM change, after 5 games (or 4 in sweeps).
Arranged by team from most to least improved, where pts+ is points beyond RS BPM, in PO minutes.
Pts+ = (bpmPO - bpmRS)*min/48
(assumes 100 poss/48 minutes)

Code: Select all

pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM  RS:  PER   WS/48   BPM
12  Max Strus       Cle  100   4   19.3   .279    7.1      12.6   .130    1.3
12  Ty Jerome       Cle   92   4   30.2   .420   10.5      21.0   .204    4.3
11  Jarrett Allen   Cle  112   4   30.6   .423    8.9      22.1   .243    4.2
9   Jaylon Tyson    Cle   19   3   35.4   .518   19.2      11.1   .083   -2.7
6   Javonte Green   Cle   19   3   33.8   .437   12.3      10.2   .063   -3.1
6   Darius Garland  Cle   63   2   28.2   .381    7.4      19.9   .169    3.1
3  Donovan Mitchell Cle  123   4   25.1   .276    4.9      20.9   .163    3.7
2  Tristan Thompson Cle   17   2   17.2   .177    0.9       9.1   .057   -4.6
1   De'Andre Hunter Cle   89   4   20.1   .259    2.2      16.2   .157    1.6
1   Sam Merrill     Cle   82   4   10.5   .160    0.9      11.1   .113    0.3
0   Craig Porter    Cle   19   3   13.2   .137    1.4      13.1   .102    1.1
-1   Isaac Okoro    Cle   44   4   12.6   .174   -1.5      10.7   .115   -0.5
-2   Dean Wade      Cle   52   4    6.5   .113   -1.6      10.1   .113    0.3
-2   Chuma Okeke    Cle    8   2   -8.2  -.274  -17.4       6.8   .028   -4.1
-2   Evan Mobley    Cle  122   4   21.9   .262    3.7      22.3   .200    4.6
55      total       Cle  960   4   21.9   .286    5.0      17.1   .160    2.3
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
17  Andrew Nembhard Ind  161   5   17.4   .155    2.8      11.7   .071   -2.3
11  Aaron Nesmith   Ind  151   5   17.7   .182    3.1      14.6   .126   -0.5
7   Myles Turner    Ind  161   5   18.3   .161    2.5      16.1   .104    0.4
4   T.J. McConnell  Ind   88   5   22.7   .193    3.2      18.4   .109    1.2
1   Tony Bradley    Ind    5   2   30.1   .505   14.8      23.2   .187    1.2
1   Obi Toppin      Ind   77   5   16.8   .134    2.5      17.4   .135    1.7
1   Jarace Walker   Ind   66   5   10.5   .086   -0.1      11.9   .065   -0.9
0   Johnny Furphy   Ind    6   3    2.2   .032   -4.9       9.8   .070   -2.5
-1   Be. Mathurin   Ind   72   4   13.6   .049   -3.5      13.6   .068   -2.9
-1   Pascal Siakam  Ind  169   5   18.1   .141    1.3      19.2   .142    1.7
-3   Ben Sheppard   Ind   43   3    5.6   .035   -5.2       9.2   .081   -2.0
-3   Thomas Bryant  Ind   49   5    9.2   .082   -2.3      17.4   .150    0.7
-8  Tyr. Haliburton Ind  177   5   20.4   .164    3.7      21.8   .204    5.8
27     total        Ind 1225   5   17.1   .144    1.7      16.3   .121    0.7
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
15  Alex Caruso     OKC   83   4   21.0   .290   12.5      15.9   .180    4.0
13  Chet Holmgren   OKC  116   4   22.8   .286    7.7      19.2   .173    2.4
10  Jalen Williams  OKC  136   4   22.5   .247    7.6      20.3   .168    4.0
9   Isaiah Joe      OKC   65   4   18.4   .232    7.9      14.0   .153    1.3
6   Is. Hartenstein OKC   94   4   20.6   .261    6.3      18.9   .205    3.2
0   Aaron Wiggins   OKC   55   4   17.2   .141    1.5      16.1   .148    1.1
-1   Ajay Mitchell  OKC   17   2    7.1   .099   -4.1      12.0   .122   -1.6
-1   Cason Wallace  OKC   82   4    8.8   .150    0.4      12.3   .133    1.0
-2  Jaylin Williams OKC   29   4   10.8   .139    1.7      16.4   .199    4.3
-2   Dillon Jones   OKC    8   1   -5.9  -.255  -14.8       8.1   .067   -4.0
-2 Kenrich Williams OKC   17   2   11.0  -.001   -5.4      13.7   .151    0.6
-8   Luguentz Dort  OKC  118   4    6.4   .108   -2.9      11.3   .129    0.2
-15   Shai G-A      OKC  140   4   21.6   .211    6.4      30.7   .309   11.5
23     total        OKC  960   4   17.3   .205    4.7      18.2   .183    3.5
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
15  Anthony Edwards Min  205   5   22.6   .213    7.9      20.1   .140    4.3
13  Julius Randle   Min  189   5   18.6   .171    4.5      17.5   .134    1.3
12  Jaden McDaniels Min  166   5   19.6   .215    3.6      13.3   .115    0.0
10  Naz Reid        Min  120   5   17.8   .185    5.6      15.8   .125    1.6
2   Jaylen Clark    Min    3   1   41.6   .757   24.3      12.0   .147   -0.2
1   Luka Garza      Min    3   1   39.7   .392   12.7      18.8   .144   -2.3
0   Leonard Miller  Min    2   1    6.8   .108   -2.3      19.9   .145   -3.7
0  Terrence Shannon Min   13   3    8.6   .077   -3.6      11.9   .091   -2.1
-2   Josh Minott    Min    3   1  -13.1  -.325  -24.7      15.5   .153    2.2
-4   Mike Conley    Min  120   5   10.6   .097   -0.4      13.3   .142    1.2
-5   Rudy Gobert    Min  143   5   15.7   .160    0.2      18.3   .204    1.9
-10  Do. DiVincenzo Min  132   5    9.0   .024   -1.8      14.1   .115    1.9
-11   Nickeil A-W   Min  100   5    3.9  -.051   -5.8      11.6   .099   -0.4
20     total        Min 1200   5   15.8   .142    2.4      15.9   .135    1.6
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
21  Kawhi Leonard   LAC  192   5   24.5   .201    8.3      20.5   .141    3.1
9   Nicolas Batum   LAC  109   5   12.9   .112    4.6      10.3   .124    0.8
6   Kris Dunn       LAC  127   5   14.1   .147    2.9      11.3   .108    0.6
4   Ivica Zubac     LAC  191   5   23.5   .224    4.1      22.3   .215    3.1
3   Kobe Brown      LAC    6   2   28.9   .366   19.7      10.8   .085   -2.1
0   Cam Christie    LAC    6   2    2.3  -.113   -2.5       9.1  -.005   -2.5
0   James Harden    LAC  194   5   18.2   .135    4.2      20.0   .143    4.3
-1   Drew Eubanks   LAC    6   2   11.5   .146   -7.4      14.8   .129   -2.7
-1   Patty Mills    LAC    4   1    4.7  -.210   -7.5      17.5   .259    2.1
-1   Jordan Miller  LAC    6   2    8.4  -.180  -10.5      10.5   .049   -2.8
-3   Derrick Jones  LAC   95   5    9.9   .020   -1.8      13.5   .120   -0.3
-3   Ben Simmons    LAC   42   5    5.7   .032   -2.9      11.9   .116    0.9
-4   Norman Powell  LAC  167   5   13.3   .074    0.3      17.5   .129    1.5
-14   Bogdanović    LAC   80   5    4.9  -.043   -8.4      14.0   .128    0.2
15      total       LAC 1225   5   16.4   .123    2.5      17.0   .142    2.0
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM RS:   PER   WS/48   BPM
15  Jayson Tatum    Bos  156   4   28.8   .310    9.8      21.7   .174    5.2
15  Derrick White   Bos  184   5   19.5   .241    7.4      16.6   .158    3.5
7   Al Horford      Bos  161   5   12.4   .164    3.4      12.9   .129    1.2
4   Jaylen Brown    Bos  179   5   18.8   .160    1.1      17.8   .115    0.0
2   Neemias Queta   Bos    4   1   48.7   .604   28.8      16.3   .179   -0.7
2   Torrey Craig    Bos    6   2   21.6   .110   16.0      10.5   .094   -2.7
2   Jrue Holiday    Bos   69   2   12.3   .144    2.0      13.5   .130    0.7
1   Jordan Walsh    Bos    5   2    6.5   .142    5.8       6.9   .044   -3.9
1   Ba. Scheierman  Bos    4   1   22.1   .283    5.0      10.3   .089   -1.7
-1   Luke Kornet    Bos   82   5   14.6   .215    2.8      19.6   .246    3.3
-2   JD Davison     Bos    5   2   -5.4  -.462  -25.7       6.5  -.081   -6.2
-3   Sam Hauser     Bos   74   5    6.7   .100   -1.3      12.8   .136    0.8
-13  Pa. Pritchard  Bos  134   5   10.0   .127   -1.3      17.6   .183    3.5
-19  Kr. Porziņģis  Bos  137   5   14.2   .108   -2.0      22.3   .212    4.7
11     total        Bos 1200   5   16.4   .181    3.0      17.4   .160    2.6
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
20  Dennis Schröder Det  134   5   17.1   .180    5.0      12.9   .100   -2.1
10  Tobias Harris   Det  193   5   14.5   .147    2.5      13.9   .108    0.1
5   Jalen Duren     Det  164   5   19.3   .215    4.6      21.4   .218    3.1
0   Paul Reed       Det   46   4   16.1   .093    3.1      18.6   .173    2.9
-1  Cade Cunningham Det  204   5   17.9   .069    3.7      20.6   .115    3.9
-1  Isaiah Stewart  Det   19   1    8.5   .136   -2.8      14.6   .144    0.6
-3   Tim Hardaway   Det  155   5    7.7   .038   -2.9       9.8   .077   -2.1
-6   Malik Beasley  Det  139   5    9.8   .059   -1.3      14.4   .100    0.8
-7   Ron Holland    Det   34   5    -.5  -.135  -12.7      11.1   .067   -3.0
-11  Ausar Thompson Det  112   5   11.3   .044   -3.2      17.2   .138    1.7
6      total        Det 1200   5   13.8   .103    1.1      15.9   .123    0.9
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
11  Moses Moody     GSW  113   5   17.4   .148    3.8      12.4   .102   -0.9
6   Pat Spencer     GSW   26   2   31.5   .233    9.8      12.6   .055   -1.6
6   Jimmy Butler    GSW  115   4   23.6   .246    7.4      22.2   .242    5.0
5   Buddy Hield     GSW  108   5   13.4   .083    1.4      12.3   .073   -1.0
5   Gary Payton     GSW   76   5   17.3   .162    4.6      16.2   .155    1.4
3   Br. Podziemski  GSW  143   5   13.3   .077    1.7      14.4   .117    0.7
2   Kevin Knox      GSW   22   2   22.7   .107    3.7      17.1   .121   -1.3
-1   Stephen Curry  GSW  181   5   20.1   .130    6.1      21.5   .168    6.3
-1   Braxton Key    GSW   16   2   -4.4  -.401  -17.5       1.1  -.259  -13.6
-1   Gui Santos     GSW   37   4    8.8   .062   -3.5      11.7   .110   -1.7
-4  Trayce J-Davis  GSW   21   3   11.0   .096   -8.3      18.5   .167    1.2
-5 Jonathan Kuminga GSW   43   2    7.0  -.053   -6.0      15.7   .080   -0.6
-6   Quinten Post   GSW   98   5    9.1   .027   -2.6      14.2   .116    0.1
-7   Kevon Looney   GSW   52   5    7.3   .088   -6.5      17.0   .182    0.3
-14  Draymond Green GSW  150   5    6.2  -.039   -4.1      12.4   .088    0.5
-1      total       GSW 1200   5   14.4   .088    1.2      15.7   .126    1.2
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
7   Dillon Brooks   Hou  151   5   15.5   .165    0.9      11.0   .103   -1.4
5   Alperen Şengün  Hou  179   5   22.0   .175    5.7      21.4   .166    4.4
5   Jabari Smith    Hou  112   5   12.8   .095    1.3      12.6   .117   -0.7
3   Fred VanVleet   Hou  196   5   13.4   .123    1.6      12.8   .119    0.9
2   Reed Sheppard   Hou    9   2    9.2  -.018    7.3       9.7   .055   -1.7
1   Steven Adams    Hou   98   5   15.8   .140    1.0      16.6   .137    0.3
0   Jeff Green      Hou    4   2   22.2   .146    2.0      13.6   .159    0.4
-1   Jock Landale   Hou    5   1    8.2   .010   -9.5      16.0   .159    0.4
-1   Cam Whitmore   Hou    4   2   -6.4  -.191  -16.1      15.5   .106    0.3
-2   Je. Williams   Hou    4   2  -13.5  -.241  -25.1       8.6  -.007   -5.7
-3   Amen Thompson  Hou  159   5   18.6   .137    3.1      18.7   .172    4.1
-4   Aaron Holiday  Hou   22   2    7.6   .006   -9.0      12.2   .122   -0.2
-4   Jalen Green    Hou  157   5   12.4   .057   -0.8      15.1   .092    0.5
-9   Tari Eason     Hou  100   5   12.4   .054   -0.6      18.5   .169    3.6
-2      total       Hou 1200   5   15.3   .116    1.4      15.7   .132    1.5
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
11  Josh Hart       NYK  189   5   16.3   .162    5.6      16.5   .153    2.8
5   Jalen Brunson   NYK  198   5   21.1   .150    4.6      21.6   .172    3.3
4   Mikal Bridges   NYK  187   5   12.0   .065    0.6      14.0   .090   -0.5
3   Karl-A Towns    NYK  189   5   19.3   .192    4.4      23.4   .193    3.6
-3   Cameron Payne  NYK   47   5   10.3   .078   -3.7      13.8   .099   -0.2
-4   Landry Shamet  NYK   19   4   -3.2  -.138  -11.9       9.7   .065   -2.4
-5   OG Anunoby     NYK  207   5   12.1   .074   -0.5      15.4   .116    0.7
-10  Mi. Robinson   NYK   86   5   15.6   .132   -2.1      20.4   .221    3.3
-13  Miles McBride  NYK   79   5    1.7  -.078   -7.6      12.6   .098    0.0
-11     total       NYK 1200   5   14.6   .109    1.4      17.7   .144    1.8
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
7   Paolo Banchero  Orl  197   5   20.1   .039    5.3      20.0   .106    3.5
6   Franz Wagner    Orl  195   5   18.9   .058    4.6      20.1   .133    3.1
4   Jett Howard     Orl    4   1   61.5   .320   47.5       7.1   .010   -5.3
3   Cory Joseph     Orl  124   5    9.9   .066    0.3      10.9   .114   -0.8
3   Anthony Black   Orl   89   5   15.3   .052   -0.5      11.6   .061   -1.9
0   Wendell Carter  Orl  162   5   14.2   .073   -1.1      13.7   .125   -1.2
-1   Gary Harris    Orl   83   5    4.6   .028   -3.1       6.9   .067   -2.7
-1   Jonathan Isaac Orl   69   5   12.2   .081    0.1      16.6   .148    0.7
-2   Goga Bitadze   Orl   11   3    9.4   .192   -4.4      19.2   .195    2.5
-2 Tristan Da Silva Orl    5   2  -11.9  -.629  -22.6       9.9   .073   -2.6
-5  Kentavious C-P  Orl  163   5    5.7   .002   -3.0       9.9   .096   -1.4
-10  Caleb Houstan  Orl   47   5   -4.0  -.214  -12.6       9.4   .109   -2.2
-18   Cole Anthony  Orl   51   5   -4.2  -.275  -16.4      14.2   .078    0.1
-15      total      Orl 1200   5   12.1   .023   -0.3      14.4   .108    0.3
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
17  Jamal Murray    Den  209   5   19.2   .127    4.6      17.8   .123    0.8
7   Nikola Jokić    Den  206   5   28.4   .250   15.0      32.0   .307   13.3
-1   Vlatko Čančar  Den    4   2  -13.4  -.393  -18.1       4.6  -.034   -7.1
-1 Julian Strawther Den   13   2    -.5  -.028   -8.8       9.5   .043   -4.5
-1   Zeke Nnaji     Den    7   2    8.5  -.142   -9.8      12.0   .097   -1.3
-2   Hunter Tyson   Den    7   2   -2.1  -.235  -15.5       9.0   .047   -4.8
-2  DeAndre Jordan  Den   24   4    2.9  -.045   -5.2      15.4   .127   -1.2
-2   Peyton Watson  Den   67   5    7.6  -.001   -3.3      11.4   .073   -1.8
-3   Ru. Westbrook  Den   92   4   12.5  -.016   -2.6      14.3   .045   -1.1
-3   Aaron Gordon   Den  195   5   15.8   .119    0.4      17.0   .143    1.2
-7  Christian Braun Den  197   5   10.4   .045   -1.5      16.0   .144    0.3
-8  Michael Porter  Den  174   5    9.5   .031   -2.4      16.2   .118   -0.1
-9   Jalen Pickett  Den   31   5   -5.5  -.231  -15.2      10.9   .078   -1.5
-16     total       Den 1225   5   14.8   .083    1.6      18.5   .148    2.2
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
17  LeBron James    LAL  204   5   25.2   .198    9.5      22.7   .152    5.6
4   Rui Hachimura   LAL  182   5   12.1   .060    0.4      13.6   .110   -0.7
2   Dalton Knecht   LAL    4   2   44.9   .206   18.2      12.7   .086   -1.8
1   Gabe Vincent    LAL   99   5    4.2   .008   -3.4       7.4   .039   -4.0
0   Ja. Vanderbilt  LAL   60   5    8.9   .069   -0.7      13.2   .114   -1.0
0   Alex Len        LAL    4   2   23.1   .167   -8.5       5.3   .002   -8.9
-2   Shake Milton   LAL    4   2  -13.7  -.301  -26.1      10.5   .055   -4.0
-2   Bronny James   LAL    4   2  -19.7  -.586  -32.5       7.1  -.043   -7.2
-3  Dorian F-Smith  LAL  170   5    6.9   .034   -2.3       9.2   .070   -1.5
-5  Jordan Goodwin  LAL   31   4    2.0  -.049   -8.8      12.1   .084   -0.8
-5   Luka Dončić    LAL  208   5   21.3   .136    5.3      23.9   .164    6.5
-7   Jaxson Hayes   LAL   31   4    6.3   .002  -10.7      15.8   .162   -0.3
-23  Austin Reaves  LAL  196   5    9.3  -.011   -3.7      18.1   .144    1.9
-23     total       LAL 1200   5   13.5   .071    0.7      16.5   .120    1.6
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
29  Gary Trent      Mil  171   5   19.5   .164    6.4      11.7   .084   -1.6
14  A.J. Green      Mil  135   5   13.5   .124    2.6       9.2   .082   -2.2
7   Giannis A       Mil  188   5   32.9   .231   11.4      30.5   .241    9.5
-1 Chris Livingston Mil    5   2   -5.0  -.218  -16.6       9.8   .035   -6.1
-2   Andre Jackson  Mil    5   2   -7.6  -.239  -18.1       8.6   .059   -3.4
-2   Jericho Sims   Mil   58   5   13.7   .088   -3.3      10.2   .097   -1.9
-2   Ryan Rollins   Mil   30   3    7.4  -.020   -4.0      14.0   .101   -0.5
-4  Pat Connaughton Mil   14   3   -1.1  -.285  -15.6      12.1   .093   -2.3
-6  Taurean Prince  Mil   61   5    1.6  -.110   -6.8       9.8   .077   -1.7
-7   Brook Lopez    Mil   74   5    8.8   .010   -3.6      14.8   .124    0.8
-10   Bobby Portis  Mil  158   5   12.6   .002   -2.7      17.7   .106    0.2
-13   Kyle Kuzma    Mil  102   5    2.5  -.107  -10.9      10.5   .014   -4.7
-14   Kevin Porter  Mil  151   5   11.9   .040   -2.2      20.2   .163    2.1
-17  Damian Lillard Mil   75   3    6.7  -.058   -6.8      21.3   .175    4.0
-27     total       Mil 1225   5   14.3   .058   -0.1      16.7   .123    0.9
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
9   Vince Williams  Mem   38   3   16.0   .131    8.4       9.2   .040   -2.8
6   Marvin Bagley   Mem   28   2   23.3   .118    9.2      15.7   .140   -1.5
6   Zach Edey       Mem  108   4   13.4   .085    2.6      18.2   .165   -0.1
4   Ja Morant       Mem   82   3   15.0  -.042    4.5      19.3   .112    2.4
2   Jay Huff        Mem   18   2   20.3   .162    9.2      18.2   .162    3.5
-1   John Konchar   Mem   69   4    8.3   .047    0.9      12.1   .131    1.7
-2   Lamar Stevens  Mem   12   2   -7.4  -.461  -13.3      11.5   .052   -4.2
-3   Luke Kennard   Mem   80   4    8.2  -.024   -0.6      13.6   .127    1.1
-5   Santi Aldama   Mem  122   4   11.3   .032    1.3      16.8   .144    3.2
-7   Scotty Pippen  Mem  129   4   12.1   .000   -0.8      15.8   .133    1.9
-17  Jaren Jackson  Mem  137   4    8.9  -.060   -3.5      19.6   .139    2.3
-21  Desmond Bane   Mem  139   4    6.8  -.120   -4.2      17.9   .142    3.2
-29     total       Mem  960   4   11.0  -.009    0.2      16.6   .134    1.7
                                 
pts+   Player       tm   min   G    PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
7   Ha. Highsmith   Mia   84   4   13.9   .010    2.0       9.9   .088   -1.9
6  Davion Mitchell  Mia  142   4   16.5   .026    1.5      12.9   .114   -0.6
3   Alec Burks      Mia   15   1   20.6   .150    9.8      12.8   .100    0.3
3   Pelle Larsson   Mia   52   4   12.9  -.024   -0.5      10.2   .086   -3.1
0   Nikola Jović    Mia   75   4   15.2  -.080    0.0      13.8   .104    0.3
-1   Kel'el Ware    Mia   73   4   11.8  -.043   -0.8      17.4   .140   -0.1
-2  Keshad Johnson  Mia    8   2    6.3  -.141  -10.0      19.1   .181   -0.1
-4   Jaime Jaquez   Mia   19   3    3.4  -.235  -10.8      14.3   .081   -0.9
-5   Kyle Anderson  Mia   14   2   -7.3  -.343  -16.2      15.3   .139    0.6
-9   Bam Adebayo    Mia  153   4   15.8  -.066   -0.9      18.9   .135    2.0
-12 Duncan Robinson Mia   59   4     .4  -.228  -11.6      11.8   .071   -1.7
-16  Andrew Wiggins Mia  122   4    7.7  -.177   -5.5      16.4   .069    0.7
-29  Tyler Herro    Mia  144   4    9.6  -.135   -6.6      19.7   .131    3.1
-59     total       Mia  960   4   11.7  -.082   -2.6      15.4   .109    0.4
Crow
Posts: 10533
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Crow »

To me, it appears that you are using *48/minutes instead of *min/48.
Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Let's see: Max Strus
BPM improvement (PO - RS) = 7.1 - 1.3 = 5.8 more points per 100 poss. (~ per 48 min.)
He's played 100 minutes.
5.8 * 100/48 = 12.1

An extra 3 points in 25 mpg; times 4 G
Crow
Posts: 10533
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Crow »

Oh, you mean in series. That would be true. I assumed it was points per game.

Points per game would be better for comparison. But cumulative OK if understood to be such.
Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

A bit late, leaders of the 1st round , in alleged Wins per game. (avg of the 4 shown)

Code: Select all

aW/G    1st round     tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.211   Giannis A      Mil   38   33.0   .232  11.4   3.15     1.15   .88   .92  1.23
.193   Nikola Jokić   Den   40   25.9   .207  12.4   2.46     1.27  1.17  1.45  1.43
.183   LeBron James   LAL   41   25.2   .198   9.5   2.40      .89   .82   .89  1.02
.177  Anthony Edwards Min   41   22.6   .213   7.9   2.43      .78   .88   .80  1.04
.176   Jayson Tatum   Bos   31   28.8   .311   9.8   3.21      .81   .98   .69  1.04

.151   Jarrett Allen  Cle   28   30.9   .425   8.9   2.04      .63   .96   .47   .48
.147   Jalen Brunson  NYK   40   21.8   .160   4.9   2.22      .86   .78   .73  1.11
.147   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   38   24.0   .184   7.0   1.94     1.09   .99   .97  1.07
.144   Luka Dončić    LAL   42   21.3   .136   5.3   2.04      .73   .57   .66   .88
.142  Jalen Williams  OKC   34   22.9   .250   7.6   2.02      .52   .69   .52   .57

aW/G    1st round     tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.140   Shai G-A       OKC   35   21.9   .216   6.4   2.18      .51   .61   .49   .64
.138   Derrick White  Bos   37   19.5   .241   7.4   1.64      .57   .90   .69   .63
.128   Chet Holmgren  OKC   29   23.1   .288   7.7   2.11      .45   .68   .45   .51
.128 Donovan Mitchell Cle   31   25.3   .279   4.9   1.98      .54   .69   .37   .51
.127   Ty Jerome      Cle   23   30.5   .423  10.5   2.07      .51   .79   .43   .40

.123   Stephen Curry  GSW   38   19.4   .127   6.0   1.71      .82   .69   .90   .96
.122  Alperen Şengün  Hou   37   20.5   .138   4.7   1.95      .85   .72   .76  1.04
.120  Tyr. Haliburton Ind   35   20.4   .165   3.7   2.03      .58   .59   .48   .75
.118   Julius Randle  Min   38   18.6   .171   4.5   1.58      .55   .65   .55   .62
.116   Jimmy Butler   GSW   29   22.7   .247   7.0   1.85      .77  1.01   .74   .78

aW/G    1st round     tm   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.113  Cade Cunningham Det   41   17.2   .059   3.1   1.96      .64   .30   .63  1.01
.113  Paolo Banchero  Orl   39   20.1   .039   5.3   1.77      .63   .16   .62   .73
.111   Karl-A Towns   NYK   38   17.8   .170   3.0   1.57      .61   .78   .57   .74
.111   James Harden   LAC   39   18.3   .122   4.1   1.45      .78   .68   .78   .84
.110   Jalen Duren    Det   34   18.9   .216   4.2   1.51      .60   .89   .58   .64

.109   Josh Hart      NYK   37   16.2   .169   5.4   1.31      .52   .76   .71   .61
.108   Jaylen Brown   Bos   36   18.8   .161   1.1   1.92      .52   .58   .35   .71
.107   Evan Mobley    Cle   31   22.1   .263   3.7   1.45      .45   .65   .33   .37
.107   Ivica Zubac    LAC   37   20.7   .169   2.1   1.44      .86   .88   .57   .77
.105  Jaden McDaniels Min   33   19.6   .215   3.6   1.40      .52   .72   .44   .48
.104   Franz Wagner   Orl   39   18.9   .058   4.6   1.52      .58   .23   .58   .62
And later still, leaders thru 2 rounds:

Code: Select all

xyzW  rd   Player         tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
2.50  2   Nikola Jokić   Den   563   24.7   .182  10.7   2.31     2.42  2.08  2.62  2.71
1.96  2   Shai G-A       OKC   403   25.7   .262   9.8   2.51     1.82  2.14  1.77  2.11
1.69  2   Jalen Brunson  NYK   468   21.7   .170   5.4   2.02     1.69  1.62  1.47  1.97
1.65  2  Anthony Edwards Min   399   21.9   .195   7.6   2.38     1.46  1.58  1.50  1.98
1.45  2   Jayson Tatum   Bos   322   24.1   .203   8.6   2.59     1.34  1.33  1.31  1.74

1.42  2   Derrick White  Bos   415   18.9   .208   6.6   1.47     1.24  1.75  1.45  1.28
1.35  2   Jimmy Butler   GSW   397   20.7   .191   5.1   1.64     1.35  1.54  1.22  1.36
1.35  2   Julius Randle  Min   376   20.4   .192   5.3   1.93     1.25  1.47  1.17  1.51
1.30  2 Donovan Mitchell Cle   288   27.6   .230   7.9   2.31     1.43  1.35  1.11  1.39
1.26  2   Josh Hart      NYK   444   16.4   .163   5.1   1.25     1.07  1.47  1.36  1.15

xyzW  rd   11-20          tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
1.25  2  Jalen Williams  OKC   385   18.6   .167   5.6   1.63     1.12  1.31  1.23  1.31
1.17  2   Karl-A Towns   NYK   428   18.0   .145   1.1   1.60     1.19  1.26   .83  1.42
1.15  2   Jamal Murray   Den   578   15.2   .065   2.1   1.02     1.24   .76  1.28  1.23
1.14  2  Tyr. Haliburton Ind   341   20.4   .176   4.1   1.79     1.13  1.22   .95  1.27
1.12  2   Aaron Gordon   Den   522   15.9   .116   2.2    .88     1.20  1.23  1.17   .96

1.09  2   Chet Holmgren  OKC   332   19.0   .194   4.1   1.69     1.00  1.31   .92  1.17
1.05  1   Giannis A      Mil   188   33.0   .232  11.4   3.15     1.16   .89   .91  1.23
1.03  1   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   265   24.0   .184   7.0   1.94     1.10   .99   .95  1.07
.94   2   Evan Mobley    Cle   257   22.8   .232   5.7   1.55      .99  1.21   .83   .83
.93   2   Stephen Curry  GSW   281   19.9   .131   6.4   1.75      .90   .75   .96  1.03

xyzW  rd   21-30          tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.92   2   Jarrett Allen  Cle   261   22.5   .238   4.7   1.47      .99  1.26   .77   .80
.91   1   LeBron James   LAL   204   25.2   .198   9.5   2.40      .90   .82   .88  1.02
.91   2  Is. Hartenstein OKC   284   18.7   .220   4.0   1.45      .83  1.27   .78   .86
.91   2   Myles Turner   Ind   310   19.2   .162   3.2   1.45      .95  1.02   .78   .94
.91   2   Jaylen Brown   Bos   402   16.1   .084   0.2   1.50      .94   .69   .68  1.25

.90   2  Jaden McDaniels Min   360   16.0   .170   2.4   1.04      .84  1.24   .83   .78
.86   2   Pascal Siakam  Ind   321   18.2   .137   2.0   1.47      .91   .89   .70   .98
.86   2  Andrew Nembhard Ind   328   16.8   .145   3.5   1.19      .82   .97   .86   .81
.85   1  Alperen Şengün  Hou   256   20.5   .138   4.7   1.95      .86   .72   .76  1.04
.83   2  Christian Braun Den   544   12.0   .085   1.0    .52      .77   .94  1.04   .59

xyzW  rd   31-40          tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.81   2   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   296   17.4   .173   3.2   1.20      .78  1.04   .75   .74
.81   2   Alex Caruso    OKC   247   17.3   .205   8.3   1.17      .65  1.03   .98   .60
.79   2   Mikal Bridges  NYK   477   12.8   .065   1.5    .74      .76   .63   .98   .74
.77   1   James Harden   LAC   276   18.3   .122   4.1   1.45      .79   .68   .77   .84
.75   1   Ivica Zubac    LAC   256   20.7   .169   2.1   1.44      .87   .88   .57   .77

.72   1   Luka Dončić    LAL   208   21.3   .136   5.3   2.04      .73   .57   .65   .88
.71   2   Buddy Hield    GSW   327   14.8   .105   3.3    .90      .67   .70   .84   .61
.70   1   Fred VanVleet  Hou   280   15.7   .158   3.2   1.05      .63   .90   .71   .61
.70   2   Al Horford     Bos   348   12.3   .145   2.7    .66      .52  1.02   .83   .48
.69   2   Max Strus      Cle   253   16.3   .176   4.2   1.13      .61   .90   .71   .60

xyzW  rd   41-50          tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW   WS   bpmW  eWin
.68   1  Cade Cunningham Det   248   17.2   .059   3.1   1.96      .64   .30   .62  1.01
.68   2   OG Anunoby     NYK   480   11.7   .066   0.1    .60      .65   .64   .79   .60
.67   1   Amen Thompson  Hou   231   19.0   .148   3.7   1.40      .69   .69   .62   .68
.66   1   Jalen Duren    Det   203   18.9   .216   4.2   1.51      .61   .89   .57   .64
.65   2   Rudy Gobert    Min   280   15.6   .172  -0.3   1.12      .63   .98   .43   .65

.57   2 Payton Pritchard Bos   302   13.5   .137   0.9    .67      .53   .84   .57   .42
.56   2   Naz Reid       Min   253   14.4   .134   3.5    .81      .50   .69   .66   .43
.56   1  Paolo Banchero  Orl   197   20.1   .039   5.3   1.77      .64   .16   .61   .73
.52   2   Luke Kornet    Bos   180   17.6   .220   3.6   1.06      .48   .80   .48   .40
.52   1   Franz Wagner   Orl   195   18.9   .058   4.6   1.52      .58   .23   .57   .62
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Both conference finals are at 3-1, and in both the shooting% are very close; and the losing team is dominating the boards while getting swamped on turnovers.

Code: Select all

4 games       Ind    NYK       OKC    Min
shooting :   .595   .584      .579   .581
rebounds:    35.5   41.3      38.8   43.5
turnovers:   10.5   15.0      13.0   16.5

shooting :  +.011                   +.002
rebounds:           +5.8             +4.8
turnovers:          +4.5             +3.5
Pacers winning by 2.75 ppg, OKC by 0.25

In the 2nd round, Denver - OKC had similar Reb/TO mismatch.
Cavs killed Pacers on the boards but lost big in the shooting column.

Last night, KAT had a whopping 3 assists. Now 2 of 16 playoff games with more than 2, and just 4 with more than one.
In the regular season, less than 1/4 of his games came with <2 assists.
Ast% was 15.6 in first half of season; 12.4 after that; 5.3 in postseason.
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Thru 13 playoff series and another * that is at 4 games, the correlations between player minutes and 4 available summary stats:

Code: Select all

rd    tm    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
1    Bos    .50    .29    .40    .59
2    Bos    .11    .02    .25    .13
1    Cle    .33    .19    .18    .39
2    Cle    .83    .68    .77    .86
1    Den    .62    .61    .59    .69
2    Den    .61    .66    .68    .59
1    Det    .25    .11    .31    .50
1    GSW    .38    .10    .44    .53
2    GSW   -.13   -.45   -.05    .07
                    
rd    tm    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
1    Hou    .50    .51    .55    .70
1    Ind    .18    .33    .32    .62
2    Ind    .57    .70    .92    .72
3*   Ind    .36    .33    .52    .39
1    LAC    .83    .73    .57    .88
1    LAL    .69    .51    .64    .63
1    Mem   -.42   -.50   -.76   -.16
1    Mia    .31    .10    .05    .34
1    Mil    .82    .80    .80    .69
                    
rd    tm    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
1    Min    .77    .62    .72    .85
2    Min    .72    .58    .78    .69
3    Min    .36   -.18    .12    .52
1    NYK    .72    .69    .87    .78
2    NYK    .41    .12    .41    .52
3*   NYK    .39    .10   -.01    .48
1    OKC    .27    .10    .01    .47
2    OKC    .65    .47    .46    .72
3    OKC    .42    .32    .44    .45
1    Orl    .63    .22    .68    .74
averages    .45    .32    .42    .54
eWins has highest correlation with minutes in 19 of 28 team-series, lowest in 3.
Win Shares is lowest in 16, highest in none.
Includes those within .01, considered as 'ties'.
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Here's a first pass at comprehensive BPM-informed adjustment to playoff PER, WS/48, and eWins/480
e/480 is calculated for each playoff series and always sums to 1.00
WS/48 would seem to total .100 for all players and teams, but tends to be higher.
PER averages 15.0 around the league, even as teams have only a single opponent for 4 to 7 games.

BPM includes opponent strength and adjusts every player upward for above-avg competition.
So to make these stats consistent -- for players and team totals -- PER can be moved up by 1.52 for each 1.0 of BPM; WS/48 by .024; and e480 by 0.17.
The BPM of reference here is the avg of the 2 team BPM in a series. This represents the competitive milieu of a series in which all players participate; and one team will do better than that (and usually win), while the other will be short.
Series strength has ranged from 2.79 for OKC-Den rd2, down to 0.87 for rd1 Ind-Mil.
On the left are 'raw' stats; 'corrected' on the right. BPM are unchanged.

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rd1   PER   WS/48   e480      BPM   PER   WS/48   e480
OKC   17.5   .206   1.41     4.70   21.6   .266   1.84
Mem   11.2  -.010    .59     0.25   15.2   .050   1.01

Den   15.6   .100    .98     1.91   18.2   .147   1.33
LAC   16.3   .106   1.02     2.18   19.0   .153   1.37

GSW   14.3   .094   1.00     1.49   16.7   .127   1.25
Hou   15.1   .111   1.00     1.42   17.5   .145   1.25

Min   15.8   .142   1.21     2.41   18.3   .175   1.46
LAL   13.4   .069    .79     0.60   15.9   .103   1.05

rd1   PER   WS/48   e480      BPM   PER   WS/48   e480
NYK   14.6   .112   1.04     1.42   16.9   .139   1.26
Det   13.8   .099    .96     1.10   16.1   .126   1.17

Ind   17.1   .144   1.21     1.73   18.1   .165   1.36
Mil   14.3   .058    .79    -0.14   15.4   .079    .94

Bos   16.4   .181   1.35     2.99   18.8   .212   1.57
Orl   12.1   .023    .65    -0.32   14.5   .054    .88

Cle   22.1   .288   1.47     5.01   22.9   .315   1.68
Mia   11.8  -.083    .52    -2.62   12.7  -.056    .73

rd2   PER   WS/48   e480      BPM   PER   WS/48   e480
OKC   16.2   .150   1.25     3.84   20.6   .216   1.73
Den   13.0   .054    .75     1.74   17.4   .119   1.23

Min   15.1   .139   1.21     2.01   17.1   .162   1.40
GSW   13.6   .077    .79     0.21   15.6   .099    .98

NYK   14.9   .103   1.02     1.74   17.7   .143   1.31
Bos   14.4   .103    .98     1.71   17.2   .143   1.28

Ind   16.1   .121   1.10     1.78   18.1   .156   1.33
Cle   14.4   .072    .91     0.96   16.3   .106   1.14

rd3   PER   WS/48   e480      BPM   PER   WS/48   e480
Ind   15.8   .113   1.05     1.31   17.2   .138   1.23
NYK   15.2   .090    .95     0.81   16.5   .114   1.13

OKC   16.8   .140   1.17     2.99   20.1   .193   1.56
Min   13.8   .064    .83     1.56   17.1   .118   1.22

avg   15.0   .102   1.00     1.60   17.5   .140   1.27
PER is offense-charged, so when series are <15 it indicates good defense. NY-Det averaged 14.2 between them, and Cle-Mia was 16.9 avg.
WS/48 is a mystery to me. Series avg range from .108 (Min-GSW) down to .0965 (Ind-Cle), both in round 2.
The 2nd (right) set of columns is a lot more consistent, relative to BPM.

Some notable anomalies: -- GS and Hou scored the same number of points; yet both PER and WS give substantially more credit to the Rockets, while BPM favors the Dubs.
While these numbers often change during the playoffs, b-r.com still gives Houston a team WS/48 = .111
https://www.basketball-reference.com/te ... l_advanced
-- Celtics were outscored by a few points vs Knicks, but they have equal WS rates.

To be clear: PER and WS/48 are first scaled to series avg of 15.0 and .100 respectively; then boosted by the factors shown * series BPM.
All players in a given series are boosted by the same amount in PER, ws/48 and eW/480
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Top 40 thru the conference finals in avg "wins" based on adjusted (see previous post) stats.
These wins will in every case sum to more than actual games won. These would be expected wins vs average NBA schedule.

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xyzW    playoffs      tm  rd   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
3.33   Shai G-A       OKC  3   584   30.0   .307   8.9   2.96     3.22   3.41   3.09   3.60
3.05   Nikola Jokić   Den  2   563   28.2   .238  10.7   2.72     2.88   2.55   3.35   3.19
2.80   Jalen Brunson  NYK  3   680   24.4   .194   4.9   2.20     2.88   2.50   2.62   3.12
2.47  Anthony Edwards Min  3   585   22.7   .189   6.0   2.33     2.25   2.10   2.48   2.84
2.36  Jalen Williams  OKC  3   553   23.6   .228   5.6   2.18     2.24   2.40   2.27   2.51

2.34  Tyr. Haliburton Ind  3   562   23.1   .214   5.5   2.14     2.22   2.29   2.28   2.50
2.14   Karl-A Towns   NYK  3   639   21.1   .172   1.4   1.96     2.24   2.09   1.65   2.61
2.04   Chet Holmgren  OKC  3   473   24.3   .258   4.5   2.22     1.99   2.32   1.75   2.19
1.97   Julius Randle  Min  3   533   21.4   .186   4.2   1.91     1.89   1.89   1.92   2.12
1.90   Josh Hart      NYK  3   642   17.2   .169   3.4   1.30     1.67   2.06   2.12   1.74

xyzW    11-20         tm  rd   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
1.84   Pascal Siakam  Ind  3   537   21.2   .176   3.0   1.78     1.89   1.80   1.70   1.99
1.69   Derrick White  Bos  2   415   21.5   .244   6.6   1.74     1.49   1.92   1.85   1.50
1.67   Jayson Tatum   Bos  2   322   26.7   .238   8.6   2.86     1.53   1.46   1.67   1.92
1.62   Jamal Murray   Den  2   578   18.7   .121   2.1   1.43     1.70   1.33   1.64   1.73
1.57   Jimmy Butler   GSW  2   397   22.9   .219   5.1   1.86     1.55   1.65   1.56   1.54

1.54   Aaron Gordon   Den  2   522   19.4   .172   2.2   1.29     1.62   1.71   1.50   1.40
1.51   OG Anunoby     NYK  3   705   15.2   .107   1.0    .91     1.51   1.44   1.72   1.34
1.47 Donovan Mitchell Cle  2   288   29.1   .261   7.9   2.53     1.53   1.43   1.42   1.52
1.47  Jaden McDaniels Min  3   497   18.1   .177   2.6   1.30     1.40   1.68   1.50   1.34
1.45  Is. Hartenstein OKC  3   382   22.0   .256   3.0   1.80     1.41   1.86   1.21   1.44

xyzW    21-30         tm  rd   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
1.40   Myles Turner   Ind  3   485   18.5   .157   2.0   1.37     1.41   1.45   1.36   1.39
1.36   Aaron Nesmith  Ind  3   461   17.8   .178   2.7   1.28     1.27   1.56   1.41   1.23
1.33   Mikal Bridges  NYK  3   706   14.4   .076   0.3    .87     1.38   1.02   1.54   1.28
1.30   Alex Caruso    OKC  3   360   19.5   .241   5.8   1.32     1.12   1.65   1.50    .99
1.25  Christian Braun Den  2   544   15.5   .141   1.0    .94     1.21   1.46   1.33   1.06

1.25  Andrew Nembhard Ind  3   531   15.4   .128   1.4   1.04     1.17   1.29   1.37   1.15
1.23   Kawhi Leonard  LAC  1   265   26.6   .231   7.0   2.29     1.26   1.16   1.22   1.27
1.16   Giannis A      Mil  1   188   34.0   .253  11.4   3.30     1.21    .90   1.16   1.29
1.12   Jaylen Brown   Bos  2   402   18.7   .120   0.2   1.76     1.18    .91    .86   1.48
1.11   Stephen Curry  GSW  2   281   22.2   .164   6.4   2.00     1.05    .88   1.23   1.17

xyzW    31-40         tm  rd   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
1.08   Evan Mobley    Cle  2   257   24.2   .263   5.7   1.77     1.08   1.29   1.06    .95
1.06   LeBron James   LAL  1   204   27.7   .231   9.5   2.65     1.02    .90   1.12   1.13
1.05   Jarrett Allen  Cle  2   261   24.0   .269   4.7   1.69     1.08   1.34    .99    .92
1.04   Rudy Gobert    Min  3   411   17.0   .174  -0.3   1.22     1.05   1.36    .81   1.04
1.01  Alperen Şengün  Hou  1   256   22.9   .171   4.7   2.20      .99    .83    .97   1.17

.97    James Harden   LAC  1   276   20.9   .169   4.1   1.80      .95    .89    .98   1.04
.97    Naz Reid       Min  3   375   16.4   .143   2.5   1.07      .91   1.02   1.12    .83
.92    Ivica Zubac    LAC  1   256   23.3   .216   2.1   1.79     1.02   1.05    .73    .95
.90    Al Horford     Bos  2   348   14.9   .181   2.7    .92      .72   1.19   1.06    .67
.90    Mi. Robinson   NYK  3   370   17.4   .168   0.2    .99      .98   1.18    .80    .77
Cade Cunningham (Det) comes in at #46. Paolo Banchero (Orl) #51. Zach Edey (Mem) #91. Davion Mitchell (Mia) at 94.
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Final eWins leaders for the postseason:

Code: Select all

eWin    per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
4.31   Shai G-A      OKC   851  .562   30.0   5.3   5.8   1.6   2.8   .9   2.44
2.82 Tyr. Haliburton Ind   772  .575   18.3   6.2   7.9   1.5   2.7   .7   1.77
2.79  Jalen Williams OKC   799  .535   21.8   5.9   4.6   1.5   2.0   .4   1.69
2.76  Jalen Brunson  NYK   680  .572   28.4   3.5   5.8    .4   3.1   .3   1.97
2.70  Pascal Siakam  Ind   771  .587   21.2   7.3   3.1   1.3   1.5   .8   1.70

2.67   Nikola Jokić  Den   563  .576   23.9  11.7   6.0   1.7   3.8   .8   2.31
2.50 Anthony Edwards Min   585  .555   23.3   7.9   4.4   1.1   2.6   .7   2.05
2.28   Karl-A Towns  NYK   639  .579   20.9  12.8   1.2    .7   2.4   .7   1.73
2.21  Chet Holmgren  OKC   707  .555   18.2  10.6   1.0    .9   1.6  2.3   1.57
1.82  Julius Randle  Min   533  .612   23.7   6.5   4.4    .9   3.7   .1   1.64

eWin    per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.73   Jayson Tatum  Bos   322  .557   27.7  10.6   4.6   1.9   3.2   .7   2.59
1.48 Is. Hartenstein OKC   558  .624   14.1  12.3   3.5   1.4   2.1   .8   1.41
1.41   Josh Hart     NYK   642  .586   11.8   9.6   3.9   1.1   2.1   .6   1.07
1.39   Do. Mitchell  Cle   288  .558   33.0   5.5   4.1   2.0   2.3   .4   2.31
1.36   Jimmy Butler  GSW   397  .549   19.5   7.1   4.7   1.3   1.4   .3   1.64

1.35   Myles Turner  Ind   675  .594   16.3   6.2   1.5    .7   2.2  2.5    .97
1.26  Derrick White  Bos   415  .627   20.5   5.0   3.3    .6   1.3  1.1   1.47
1.25   Jaylen Brown  Bos   402  .533   23.2   7.2   3.6   1.0   3.9   .3   1.50
1.24  Aaron Nesmith  Ind   650  .633   15.3   7.7   1.3   1.2   1.4  1.0    .93
1.21   Jamal Murray  Den   578  .549   18.1   4.4   3.8   1.0   2.9   .7   1.02

eWin    per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.21   Giannis A     Mil   188  .632   30.3  16.2   5.3   1.0   4.7  1.0   3.15
1.17  T.J. McConnell Ind   402  .578   17.8   6.5   6.5   1.6   3.9   .2   1.40
1.12 Andrew Nembhard Ind   769  .583   13.2   3.7   4.3   1.7   2.1   .2    .70
1.07 Jaden McDaniels Min   497  .601   15.3   6.7   1.4   1.5   1.4  1.0   1.03
1.06  Kawhi Leonard  LAC   265  .621   24.0   7.7   3.7   1.1   2.2   .7   1.94

1.04  Alperen Şengün Hou   256  .483   19.0  12.1   4.8   1.8   2.3   .4   1.95
1.03  Stephen Curry  GSW   281  .628   25.7   5.6   4.7   1.1   3.8   .8   1.75
1.02   LeBron James  LAL   204  .588   22.4   8.1   4.4   2.0   2.6  1.6   2.40
1.01 Cade Cunningham Det   248  .500   20.8   7.9   6.9   1.6   5.0  1.2   1.96
.99    OG Anunoby    NYK   705  .533   13.5   4.6   1.1   1.8   1.6  1.1    .68
Note: These eWins are not adjusted to series BPM but assume that is zero (average) in each series and merely add players' "raw" eW in Rd1 + Rd2 ...
Mike G
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Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Playoff over-achievers, relative to their regular season (RS) BPM. Ranked by playoff BPM-Wins above what they'd have achieved in their minutes at RS rates.

Code: Select all

bW+    Player          Team   G   min     RS   PO    bpmW
.72   Andrew Nembhard  Ind   23   769   -2.3   1.0   1.47
.57   Pascal Siakam    Ind   23   771    1.7   4.3   2.19
.47 Bennedict Mathurin Ind   22   385   -2.9   1.4    .78
.44   Julius Randle    Min   15   533    1.3   4.2   1.50
.40   Aaron Nesmith    Ind   23   650   -0.5   1.7   1.37

.40   Buddy Hield      GSW   12   327   -1.0   3.3    .84
.39   Gary Trent Jr.   Mil    5   171   -1.6   6.4    .59
.37   Jaden McDaniels  Min   15   497    0.0   2.6   1.17
.36   Derrick White    Bos   11   415    3.5   6.6   1.45
.34  Donovan Mitchell  Cle    9   288    3.7   7.9   1.11

bW+    Player          Team   G   min     RS   PO    bpmW
.31   Dennis Schröder  Det    6   164   -2.1   4.6    .48
.31   Jayson Tatum     Bos    8   322    5.2   8.6   1.31
.31   Jalen Brunson    NYK   18   680    3.3   4.9   2.05
.29   Kawhi Leonard    LAC    7   265    3.1   7.0    .95
.28   Anthony Edwards  Min   15   585    4.3   6.0   1.94

.26   Isaiah Joe       OKC   21   211    1.3   5.6    .68
.22   LeBron James     LAL    5   204    5.6   9.5    .88
.21   Jamal Murray     Den   14   578    0.8   2.1   1.28
.21   Max Strus        Cle    9   253    1.3   4.2    .71
.20   Nicolas Batum    LAC    7   172    0.8   4.9    .52
Were these Pacers the most over-achieving playoff team ever?

Under-achievers by the same measure:

Code: Select all

bpmW+   Player         Team   G   min     RS   PO    bpmW
-.77   Shai G-A        OKC   23   851   11.5   8.3   3.38
-.57   Kr. Porziņģis   Bos   11   231    4.7  -4.0    .11
-.41   Nikola Jokić    Den   14   563   13.3  10.7   2.62
-.40   Karl-A Towns    NYK   18   639    3.6   1.4   1.29
-.39   Tyler Herro     Mia    4   144    3.1  -6.6   -.03

-.33   Draymond Green  GSW   12   389    0.5  -2.5    .36
-.32 Mitchell Robinson NYK   18   370    3.3   0.2    .62
-.31   Mike Conley     Min   15   356    1.2  -1.9    .39
-.31   Austin Reaves   LAL    5   196    1.9  -3.7    .11
-.29   Desmond Bane    Mem    4   139    3.2  -4.2    .06

bpmW+   Player         Team   G   min     RS   PO    bpmW
-.28   Cameron Payne   NYK   14   102   -0.2  -9.8   -.12
-.27 Bogdan Bogdanović LAC    7   117    0.2  -7.9   -.07
-.26   Michael Porter  Den   14   435   -0.1  -2.2    .44
-.26  Donte DiVincenzo Min   15   377    1.9  -0.5    .56
-.26   Rudy Gobert     Min   15   411    1.9  -0.3    .63

-.24   Ty Jerome       Cle    9   191    4.3  -0.2    .30
-.24 Tyrese Haliburton Ind   23   772    5.8   4.7   2.28
-.24   Cole Anthony    Orl    5    51    0.1 -16.4   -.15
-.23   Damian Lillard  Mil    3    75    4.0  -6.8   -.02
-.22   Jaren Jackson   Mem    4   137    2.3  -3.5    .09

bpmW+   Player         Team   G   min     RS   PO    bpmW
-.22  Payton Pritchard Bos   11   302    3.5   0.9    .57
-.21   Andrew Wiggins  Mia    4   122    0.7  -5.5    .01
-.21   Darius Garland  Cle    5   148    3.1  -1.9    .16
-.21   Luguentz Dort   OKC   23   666    0.2  -0.9    .91
-.20   Br. Podziemski  GSW   12   385    0.7  -1.1    .51
Shai, Joker, and Haliburton were 1-2-3 in playoff bpm Wins while notably reduced from their season BPM.

Of Pacers' 8 most-used in playoffs, 5 were both more available and with better BPM than in the season.

Code: Select all

Pacers 2025     mpgR   bpmR   bpmP  mpgP
Tyr. Haliburton 29.9   5.8    4.7   33.6
Pascal Siakam   31.1   1.7    4.3   33.5
Andrew Nembhard 22.9  -2.3    1.0   33.4
Myles Turner    26.5   0.4    0.6   29.3
Aaron Nesmith   13.7  -0.5    1.7   28.3
Obi Toppin      18.8   1.7    0.4   19.1
T.J. McConnell  17.3   1.2    2.6   17.5
Be. Mathurin    26.2  -2.9    1.4   16.7
Ben Sheppard    15.0  -2.0   -2.5   12.7
Thomas Bryant   10.3   0.7   -2.3    7.3
Jarace Walker   14.5  -0.9   -3.9    5.1
Tony Bradley     1.4   1.2   -4.4    3.4
https://www.basketball-reference.com/te ... l_advanced
mpg = minutes/82 in RS, min/23 in PO
Crow
Posts: 10533
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Crow »

Top risers pretty spread by position but do not include centers. Not many youngish guys.

Top declines from centers.
Mike G
Posts: 6144
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2025 Playoff Summaries

Post by Mike G »

Interesting observation. Top 'risers' among centers were Horford at +.15 and Naz Reid +.10
My first instinct was to suppose they played more than optimal minutes in the playoffs. But overall, that is not borne out.
% of total minutes by position, RS and PO. Total overachievement (by bpm-wins) and age (minutes weighted).

Code: Select all

%min:  RS   PO     bpmW+   age
PG   .193  .194   -1.34   28.5
SG   .263  .274   +1.07   26.0
SF   .168  .154   + .93   27.1
PF   .183  .189   +1.43   27.3
C    .193  .189   -2.10   27.2
Total minutes by those listed as C actually dropped a bit in playoffs. Aging may have been a factor among guards.
It seems this postseason had more than normal quality C and especially in later rounds:
4 teams had to go against blocks leader Myles Turner (plus some hackers); also against Holmgren-Hartenstein.
3 teams' C went up against Gobert-Reid or vs Towns-Robinson. Reid and Towns are not defensive beasts, but their offense can wear you down and draw fouls.

2 teams had Horford-Porzingis-Kornet -Queta, J Allen-Mobley, or the Joker to deal with.
1st round losers -- about half had no substantial force in the middle -- Mil, Orl, LAL, Mem;
or no substantial backup C: Mia, Det, LAC. The Houston frontcourt didn't lose it to the Dubs.
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