2020 Finals : LA Lakers - Miami Heat

[rlee]

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... -10-11-20/

[rlee]

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... -10-12-20/

[Mike G]

Lakers 4, Heat 2
avg score 110.0 - 104.5
Pyth wins 3.99 - 2.01 , eWins 3.49 - 2.51

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.53  LeBron James    LA   40  .658   31.3  12.1   6.8   1.1   3.4   .5   3.10
1.22  Jimmy Butler   Mia   43  .641   23.5   7.5   7.0   1.9   2.9   .7   2.27
1.15  Anthony Davis   LA   38  .658   26.2  11.2   2.6   1.3   2.7  1.9   2.40
.31   Rajon Rondo     LA   26  .491   10.8   7.2   6.0   1.3   2.2   .0    .95
.27   Kelly Olynyk   Mia   19  .611   15.7   9.0   1.7    .6   1.3   .9   1.14

.24   Bam Adebayo    Mia   23  .555   15.7   7.1   2.3    .3   2.4   .8    .87
.22  K Caldwell-Pope  LA   31  .507   13.1   3.6   2.0   1.2    .8   .2    .57
.22  Duncan Robinson Mia   32  .630   13.1   3.2   2.4   1.0    .9   .4    .55
.17   Tyler Herro    Mia   35  .463   13.2   4.6   2.6    .5   2.8   .0    .40
.15   Jae Crowder    Mia   32  .558   10.4   6.3   1.1    .4    .9   .6    .39

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.15   Kendrick Nunn  Mia   23  .583   14.3   5.3   2.2    .0   2.2   .2    .52
.13   Danny Green     LA   23  .450    9.6   4.9   1.6   1.6   1.4  1.3    .45
.07  Meyers Leonard  Mia    4  1.00   25.0   1.7   1.3   1.6    .0   .0   1.44
.06   Dwight Howard   LA   12  .739    9.4   9.0   1.7    .5   2.5  1.0    .41
.04   Goran Dragić   Mia    6  .324    8.1   6.2   4.1   3.0   2.2   .0    .63

.04  Markieff Morris  LA   21  .549   10.4   5.5   1.5    .0   1.6   .0    .15
.04   Alex Caruso     LA   25  .559    8.4   3.7   2.7   1.1   1.9   .2    .12
.02   Solomon Hill   Mia    4  .667   11.6   3.5    .9   1.1    .0   .0    .37
.01   Kyle Kuzma      LA   22  .481   10.7   4.6    .6    .2   1.8   .2    .05
-.03  Andre Iguodala Mia   20  .500    4.3   4.5   2.7    .5    .9   .5   -.11

shooting: LA .574 - .573 Mia
rebounds: LA 45.0 - 37.5 Mia
turnovers: Mia 12.3 - 14.2 LA
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2020.html

[Crow]

2 superstars beat one and somewhat more contributing depth. Bam not really in top part of conversation this time.

Iggy might be headed elsewhere before next playoffs. Of course that could be true for lots of others too. Depending what you can get in players or salary space.

[Mike G]

The 3 superstars' trek thru the Finals, according to 4 summary stats. These are their derived (before/after) numbers over the course of x Finals games:

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1     PER       1   WS/48      1    BPM       1   e480
AD   36.3      AD   .443      AD   14.7      AD   2.98
JB   29.7      LBJ  .334      JB   12.2      LBJ  2.76
LBJ  29.6      JB   .198      LBJ   9.7      JB   1.57
2                             
AD   35.9      AD   .358      LBJ  12.1      LBJ  3.00
LBJ  32.0      LBJ  .321      AD   10.4      AD   2.81
JB   25.9      JB   .173      JB    6.8      JB   1.60
3                              
JB   32.0      JB   .279      JB   10.7      LBJ  2.61
AD   29.2      AD   .260      LBJ   8.6      JB   2.37
LBJ  27.4      LBJ  .213      AD    7.6      AD   2.26

4     PER       4   WS/48      4    BPM       4   e480
JB   30.5      JB   .258      JB   10.5      LBJ  2.73
AD   27.7      AD   .250      LBJ   8.8      JB   2.32
LBJ  27.4      LBJ  .223      AD    7.9      AD   2.27
5                             
JB   32.9      JB   .302      JB   12.9      LBJ  2.85
LBJ  31.1      AD   .272      LBJ  11.9      JB   2.46
AD   29.3      LBJ  .269      AD    9.2      AD   2.28
6                             
LBJ  31.5      LBJ  .293      LBJ  12.6      LBJ  3.10
JB   29.5      JB   .268      JB   10.8      AD   2.40
AD   27.7      AD   .258      AD    8.5      JB   2.27

With the Lakers up 2-0, Jimmy Butler is a distant #3 in all stats. After that monster G3, he's #1 in all b-r.com stats -- and this lead is maintained thru games 4 and 5.
Only at the end do all agree LeBron was the man.